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noMAeffect

Youtube & X (Twitter) : @nomaeffect | Effective Crypto Trader | Analyst | 5 Year Experience In Crypto Trading & CEO & Mentor of (Effective Trading Academy)
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Frequent Trader
3.2 Years
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Portfolio
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Bullish
Strategy reports purchasing another $330 million worth of Bitcoin Michael Saylor's Strategy bought 4,871 Bitcoin between March 30 and April 5 for $329.9 million at an average purchase price of $67,718. According to data as of April 5, Strategy holds 766,970 BTC (more than 3% of the total supply), which the company has spent approximately $58.02 billion to acquire since 2020. The company's average purchase price is about $75,644 per BTC. The latest batch of Bitcoin was financed largely through the sale of STRK preferred shares and partly through common MSTR shares. #StrategyBTCPurchase
Strategy reports purchasing another $330 million worth of Bitcoin

Michael Saylor's Strategy bought 4,871 Bitcoin between March 30 and April 5 for $329.9 million at an average purchase price of $67,718.

According to data as of April 5, Strategy holds 766,970 BTC (more than 3% of the total supply), which the company has spent approximately $58.02 billion to acquire since 2020.

The company's average purchase price is about $75,644 per BTC.

The latest batch of Bitcoin was financed largely through the sale of STRK preferred shares and partly through common MSTR shares. #StrategyBTCPurchase
War TheoryJust got some inspiration after Monday Easter dinner with a friend. He's not an economist either a financial people. He just has an edge in the politic. He told me about such a game theory.. What if Trump's real purpose is not about the nuclear? What if the Trump's real purpose is to intentionally lose the war in Iran? Such a game theory and wild edge of theory from me.. I'll try to explain it here but please don't eat it raw as it's just wild theory for our entertainment when the market closes. It all started with the vision.. We all know that actually the world is now entering the early phase of regime change as the most powerful country in the world is in collapse. Let's assume that Trump is a genius and he knows it all about this scenario of world war which is coming soon.. So that what he can do is to prepare for the war time. He knows that it's impossible for America to be in double digit grow in the economy, he knows that US debt is now very vulnerable and he also know that the petrol dollar status is getting pressure from the BRICS. So what can the America does? The answer is to control the resource in the world! First, Trump took over Venezuela, the country with the biggest oil reserve in the world. Second, Trump disable strait of Hormuz which also means, destroying the oil producer countries in middle east. Also note that the next Trump's purpose is to take over Canada, which he has been saying this thing on almost every occasions, remember that Canada is the number 4 country with oil reserve in the world with 170 billions barrel! By doing this, we know that all of the top oil producers countries are in the US sides. let's say it he get Venezuela, Canada, Brazil, and Unites States itself is becoming the country with the most oil reserve. Now look at the biggest oil importers which included China,  EU, and Japan. These countries are the countries which will be hit hard with the declining world's oil production. Also in note that all of those countries are also the biggest holders of the US treasury! So, right now you get the point? From this perspective, I think Trump wants a longer time duration of this war so that Hormuz can be closed permanently and he wants all of these countries to be dependent to America at the time of war. Remember that war needs energy and oil is the most needed commodity! Trump also want to secure the current US treasury position so that he can refinance the US debt without these UST holders selling. Also, the idea is about North America becoming the center of the world for resource provider. Will it be logical?US will lose the war against Iran but they are reaching their goal.

War Theory

Just got some inspiration after Monday Easter dinner with a friend. He's not an economist either a financial people. He just has an edge in the politic.
He told me about such a game theory.. What if Trump's real purpose is not about the nuclear? What if the Trump's real purpose is to intentionally lose the war in Iran? Such a game theory and wild edge of theory from me.. I'll try to explain it here but please don't eat it raw as it's just wild theory for our entertainment when the market closes. It all started with the vision.. We all know that actually the world is now entering the early phase of regime change as the most powerful country in the world is in collapse. Let's assume that Trump is a genius and he knows it all about this scenario of world war which is coming soon.. So that what he can do is to prepare for the war time. He knows that it's impossible for America to be in double digit grow in the economy, he knows that US debt is now very vulnerable and he also know that the petrol dollar status is getting pressure from the BRICS.

So what can the America does? The answer is to control the resource in the world!
First, Trump took over Venezuela, the country with the biggest oil reserve in the world.
Second, Trump disable strait of Hormuz which also means, destroying the oil producer countries in middle east. Also note that the next Trump's purpose is to take over Canada, which he has been saying this thing on almost every occasions, remember that Canada is the number 4 country with oil reserve in the world with 170 billions barrel!
By doing this, we know that all of the top oil producers countries are in the US sides. let's say it he get Venezuela, Canada, Brazil, and Unites States itself is becoming the country with the most oil reserve.
Now look at the biggest oil importers which included China,  EU, and Japan. These countries are the countries which will be hit hard with the declining world's oil production. Also in note that all of those countries are also the biggest holders of the US treasury! So, right now you get the point?
From this perspective, I think Trump wants a longer time duration of this war so that Hormuz can be closed permanently and he wants all of these countries to be dependent to America at the time of war. Remember that war needs energy and oil is the most needed commodity!
Trump also want to secure the current US treasury position so that he can refinance the US debt without these UST holders selling.
Also, the idea is about North America becoming the center of the world for resource provider. Will it be logical?US will lose the war against Iran but they are reaching their goal.
Nothing about winning as a trader is coincidental. It’s skill. It’s understanding. It’s preparation. If you’re still underestimating how accurate this can become when you truly learn the market, then you’re not paying attention. I don’t guess where price is heading. I execute. I’m elite at what I do. #nomaeffect #trading #XAUUSD #goldtrading
Nothing about winning as a trader is coincidental. It’s skill. It’s understanding. It’s preparation.

If you’re still underestimating how accurate this can become when you truly learn the market, then you’re not paying attention.

I don’t guess where price is heading. I execute.

I’m elite at what I do. #nomaeffect #trading #XAUUSD #goldtrading
Thats how i play the game and manage ! . . #XAUUSD
Thats how i play the game and manage !
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#XAUUSD
I traded one account for 22 Dec 2025 and still counted and generated over $80,000 from it. One account. One system. One level of discipline. If you’re still losing live accounts, the issue isn’t strategy. It’s how you operate.
I traded one account for 22 Dec 2025 and still counted and generated over $80,000 from it.

One account. One system. One level of discipline.

If you’re still losing live accounts, the issue isn’t strategy. It’s how you operate.
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Bullish
There's a question I ask traders when they tell me they're struggling. "Walk me through your morning." And the answer is almost always the same. "I wake up. I open the charts. I look at a few pairs. I check what happened overnight. I scroll through Twitter to see what other people are looking at. I pull up a few timeframes. I wait for something to set up." "How long does that take?" "I don't know... a few hours usually. Sometimes I don't take a trade until the afternoon." "And when you finally take one... how do you feel about it?" "Honestly? Not great. But I've been watching the charts for so long at that point that I feel like I have to take something." That last line. Read it again. "I feel like I have to take something." That's not a trading decision. That's a hostage situation. The screen held you for five hours and you took a trade just to feel like the time wasn't wasted. And that trade... the one you took because you'd been sitting there too long and felt like you "had to"... That's usually the one that wrecks your day. Not because you're bad at trading. Because you were exposed to the market for way too long and your brain broke down. What if the answer isn't becoming better at surviving eight-hour chart days... ...but never having one in the first place?
There's a question I ask traders when they tell me they're struggling.

"Walk me through your morning."
And the answer is almost always the same.

"I wake up. I open the charts. I look at a few pairs.

I check what happened overnight.

I scroll through Twitter to see what other people are looking at.

I pull up a few timeframes.

I wait for something to set up."

"How long does that take?"

"I don't know... a few hours usually.

Sometimes I don't take a trade until the afternoon."

"And when you finally take one... how do you feel about it?"

"Honestly? Not great. But I've been watching the charts for so long at that point that I feel like I have to take something."

That last line.
Read it again.

"I feel like I have to take something."

That's not a trading decision. That's a hostage situation.

The screen held you for five hours and you took a trade just to feel like the time wasn't wasted.

And that trade... the one you took because you'd been sitting there too long and felt like you "had to"...

That's usually the one that wrecks your day.

Not because you're bad at trading.

Because you were exposed to the market for way too long and your brain broke down.

What if the answer isn't becoming better at surviving eight-hour chart days...

...but never having one in the first place?
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Bearish
I’ve been a bit quiet this week had a lot to handle behind the scenes. But one thing remains unchanged… the standard here doesn’t drop. First, Happy Eid Mubarak to everyone celebrating. Wishing you peace, clarity, and progress in every aspect of your life. Also, there will be no live session this Saturday. And yes early birthday wishes to me. Saturday is my day. Now let’s talk. Some of you are still not taking this seriously enough. You want results, but your actions don’t match it. No structure. No discipline. No patience. You can’t treat trading like a side hobby and expect professional results. The market rewards those who are consistent, calculated, and focused not those who show up only when they feel like it. If you’re here, act like it.
I’ve been a bit quiet this week had a lot to handle behind the scenes.

But one thing remains unchanged… the standard here doesn’t drop.

First, Happy Eid Mubarak to everyone celebrating. Wishing you peace, clarity, and progress in every aspect of your life.

Also, there will be no live session this Saturday.

And yes early birthday wishes to me. Saturday is my day.
Now let’s talk.

Some of you are still not taking this seriously enough.

You want results, but your actions don’t match it.

No structure. No discipline. No patience.

You can’t treat trading like a side hobby and expect professional results.

The market rewards those who are consistent, calculated, and focused not those who show up only when they feel like it.

If you’re here, act like it.
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Bearish
- Trump just declared that they won the war. - But on the other hand, USOIL just have a spike to $91 in the last 1 hour. I still think that Oil will visit $100 unless there is resolution in Hormuz. - 4 consecutive days of the S&P500 has closed below the $6800. Time is ticking, we are going to see big move very soon. Based on my calculation, there is 65%-70% probability of the big move favoring the bears. Watch out. My trade right now : 1. Long Oil 2. Short equity *For BTC, I still think that we can go a little bit higher considering it's now the most hated asset in the world. But short term could get a pull back if stock market does.
- Trump just declared that they won the war.
- But on the other hand, USOIL just have a spike to $91 in the last 1 hour. I still think that Oil will visit $100 unless there is resolution in Hormuz.
- 4 consecutive days of the S&P500 has closed below the $6800.

Time is ticking, we are going to see big move very soon. Based on my calculation, there is 65%-70% probability of the big move favoring the bears.

Watch out.

My trade right now :
1. Long Oil
2. Short equity

*For BTC, I still think that we can go a little bit higher considering it's now the most hated asset in the world. But short term could get a pull back if stock market does.
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Bearish
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Bullish
This is the chart of oil which is the every reason behind the rally in all risk asset. Drop -33% in the last 2 days and continuing. The fear which was dominating the market yesterday has now became just another noise after Trump predicted the war will end soon. It's all reflected in the price.. There is no secret that Trump actually is very concern to the equity market performance. So, should we trust the Trump statement about war ending soon? Again, it has happened several times and right now is no different.. Don't be in euphoria and don't blindly buy here. Always use proper risk management.. Also anticipate another weird statement from Trump again in the future. #IranianPresident'sSonSaysNewSupremeLeaderSafe #UseAIforCryptoTrading #TrumpSaysIranWarWillEndVerySoon #OilPricesSlide #CFTCChairCryptoPlan
This is the chart of oil which is the every reason behind the rally in all risk asset.

Drop -33% in the last 2 days and continuing. The fear which was dominating the market yesterday has now became just another noise after Trump predicted the war will end soon.

It's all reflected in the price.. There is no secret that Trump actually is very concern to the equity market performance. So, should we trust the Trump statement about war ending soon?

Again, it has happened several times and right now is no different.. Don't be in euphoria and don't blindly buy here. Always use proper risk management..

Also anticipate another weird statement from Trump again in the future.

#IranianPresident'sSonSaysNewSupremeLeaderSafe
#UseAIforCryptoTrading
#TrumpSaysIranWarWillEndVerySoon
#OilPricesSlide
#CFTCChairCryptoPlan
Thats situation when trade close earliy
Thats situation when trade close earliy
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Bullish
Bitcoin Nothing has really change since my latest update about BTC as the price remains in sideway chop for now. However there is a news and reaction that is caught me off guard for today. It's not Iran things or anything. It's about Powell. Basically Powell came out after the criminal probe and accused the executive is pushing him to the ground because he doesn't want to lower the rate. However during this crazy news, we are seeing BTC is having a bounce and S&P is also in the same level as previous week's close. What does it mean? I think that market is so bullish that even the news like this can't drive the price lower. BTC is having a bounce and I think this is short covering in the lower time frame. However if the spot bidder step in this $92k resistance, we should see $98k to be tested sooner than everyone expects. #StrategyBTCPurchase #USNonFarmPayrollReport #USTradeDeficitShrink #ZTCBinanceTGE #USJobsData
Bitcoin

Nothing has really change since my latest update about BTC as the price remains in sideway chop for now.

However there is a news and reaction that is caught me off guard for today. It's not Iran things or anything. It's about Powell.

Basically Powell came out after the criminal probe and accused the executive is pushing him to the ground because he doesn't want to lower the rate.

However during this crazy news, we are seeing BTC is having a bounce and S&P is also in the same level as previous week's close.

What does it mean?

I think that market is so bullish that even the news like this can't drive the price lower.

BTC is having a bounce and I think this is short covering in the lower time frame. However if the spot bidder step in this $92k resistance, we should see $98k to be tested sooner than everyone expects.
#StrategyBTCPurchase
#USNonFarmPayrollReport
#USTradeDeficitShrink
#ZTCBinanceTGE
#USJobsData
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Bullish
$BTC closed red in 2025. Bitcoin has never had back-to-back red years in history. The year following a red year, Bitcoin has on average +95% gains. 2026. Iykyk #btc #USNonFarmPayrollReport
$BTC closed red in 2025.

Bitcoin has never had back-to-back red years in history.

The year following a red year, Bitcoin has on average +95% gains.

2026. Iykyk
#btc #USNonFarmPayrollReport
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Bullish
Back into the BTC. Structurally, it's looking good trying to defend this key support level at $90k and also as a stance to retest previous broken resistance trend line which is now acting as support. This $90k level is the most important level we need to watch for intraday level as this is the psychological level for the traders. Shorts are also stacking their position here with the vulnerability of getting squeezed if the price can surpass the $92k (just like what I anticipated yesterday). Let's wait, volume is very low but it's clear that price wants to go up. Current correction is fueled by the short position, not spot selling. I'll be active during the weekend because there is a heating situation in Iran right now. Source says that some air forces have been sent to Tehran? This is important guys #USTradeDeficitShrink #USJobsData #BinanceHODLerBREV #WriteToEarnUpgrade m#USNonFarmPayrollReport
Back into the BTC.

Structurally, it's looking good trying to defend this key support level at $90k and also as a stance to retest previous broken resistance trend line which is now acting as support.

This $90k level is the most important level we need to watch for intraday level as this is the psychological level for the traders.

Shorts are also stacking their position here with the vulnerability of getting squeezed if the price can surpass the $92k (just like what I anticipated yesterday).

Let's wait, volume is very low but it's clear that price wants to go up. Current correction is fueled by the short position, not spot selling.

I'll be active during the weekend because there is a heating situation in Iran right now. Source says that some air forces have been sent to Tehran? This is important guys

#USTradeDeficitShrink
#USJobsData
#BinanceHODLerBREV
#WriteToEarnUpgrade m#USNonFarmPayrollReport
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Bullish
✏️ Bitcoin We reached today's resistance at the $93,400 level from which we are now seeing a pullback sending the price back toward $92,000 However the upward impulse is not being suppressed very aggressively yet Therefore as I mentioned earlier I am accounting for the possibility of a squeeze all the way to the resistance boundary at $94,000. There, the trend should very likely shift to downward I will stick to this scenario until we break the $95,000 level and close above it on the daily chart. Only in that case would it be reasonable to change the setup. Until that happens downward expectations remain the priority #BinanceHODLerBREV #ETHWhaleWatch #USJobsData #WriteToEarnUpgrade #Write2Earn
✏️ Bitcoin

We reached today's resistance at the $93,400 level from which we are now seeing a pullback sending the price back toward $92,000

However the upward impulse is not being suppressed very aggressively yet

Therefore as I mentioned earlier I am accounting for the possibility of a squeeze all the way to the resistance boundary at $94,000. There, the trend should very likely shift to downward

I will stick to this scenario until we break the $95,000 level and close above it on the daily chart. Only in that case would it be reasonable to change the setup. Until that happens downward expectations remain the priority

#BinanceHODLerBREV #ETHWhaleWatch #USJobsData #WriteToEarnUpgrade #Write2Earn
Also my quant sent me this behavioral change in term of BTC current movement. 1. Bid/ask ratio with the ob depth of 10% has now flipped positive, means that swing players are accumulating after previously being dominated by the short sellers on period between Nov 21 - Dec 18. 2. Funding rate is hiking after period of contraction, meaning that the long position is now dominating again in term of total positioning. Still expecting the liquidation on both long and short before we see an expansion in the price. Just can't wait. #BTC90kChristmas #StrategyBTCPurchase #BTCVSGOLD #USJobsData #CPIWatch
Also my quant sent me this behavioral change in term of BTC current movement.

1. Bid/ask ratio with the ob depth of 10% has now flipped positive, means that swing players are accumulating after previously being dominated by the short sellers on period between Nov 21 - Dec 18.
2. Funding rate is hiking after period of contraction, meaning that the long position is now dominating again in term of total positioning.

Still expecting the liquidation on both long and short before we see an expansion in the price.

Just can't wait.

#BTC90kChristmas
#StrategyBTCPurchase
#BTCVSGOLD
#USJobsData
#CPIWatch
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