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Nmads_Ray
99 Posts

Nmads_Ray

Open Trade
High-Frequency Trader
1.8 Years
59 Following
66 Followers
91 Liked
Posts
Portfolio
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As of 07:00, $BCH is trading at 270.6, down 5.3% over the past 24 hours and down 14.6% cumulatively over the past 7 days. But looking at the 30-day view, it is still up 19.5%. So the question now is: is this a normal pullback after a rally, or has the trend started to weaken? First, let’s look at the chart structure. On the daily chart, the price has fallen below the MA7 and MA25, and is about 10% below the MA25 (302.4), with the short- and medium-term moving averages overhead. However, it is still nearly 9% above the MA99 (248.5), so the longer-term uptrend structure remains intact for now. The RSI is at 42, showing weakness, but it is not yet oversold. This suggests the drop looks more like sentiment cooling off than a panic sell-off. Next, let’s look at volume. The 24-hour trading volume is 1.2 times the average for the previous 7 days, which is not a major increase. The modest rise in volume during the decline suggests some selling, but there has not yet been a concentrated rush for the exits. These are the key levels I’ll be watching: - The first level to watch below is near the 24-hour low of 269. The current price is already very close, so the first thing to see is whether it can hold here; - Further down is the area around the MA99 at 248.5, which is key to judging whether the medium-term structure remains intact; - Above, the first level to watch is the MA7 (around 285). It would need to reclaim the MA25 (around 302) for this pullback to be considered absorbed. Invalidation condition: If the daily candle closes below the MA99, particularly on rising volume, I’ll retract the view that this is a “pullback within an uptrend” and consider the structure to be weakening. Conversely, if the price stabilizes on declining volume and gradually reclaims the MA7, the pullback thesis remains valid. Also, the total market cap fell 3.3% over the past 24 hours, while $BTC fell only 1.7%. Capital is clearly taking shelter in the leaders, so altcoins are unlikely to strengthen independently in the short term. That’s another factor to keep in mind. These are my personal views and not investment advice. #BCH #技术分析 #Altcoins
As of 07:00, $BCH is trading at 270.6, down 5.3% over the past 24 hours and down 14.6% cumulatively over the past 7 days. But looking at the 30-day view, it is still up 19.5%. So the question now is: is this a normal pullback after a rally, or has the trend started to weaken?

First, let’s look at the chart structure. On the daily chart, the price has fallen below the MA7 and MA25, and is about 10% below the MA25 (302.4), with the short- and medium-term moving averages overhead. However, it is still nearly 9% above the MA99 (248.5), so the longer-term uptrend structure remains intact for now. The RSI is at 42, showing weakness, but it is not yet oversold. This suggests the drop looks more like sentiment cooling off than a panic sell-off.

Next, let’s look at volume. The 24-hour trading volume is 1.2 times the average for the previous 7 days, which is not a major increase. The modest rise in volume during the decline suggests some selling, but there has not yet been a concentrated rush for the exits.

These are the key levels I’ll be watching:
- The first level to watch below is near the 24-hour low of 269. The current price is already very close, so the first thing to see is whether it can hold here;
- Further down is the area around the MA99 at 248.5, which is key to judging whether the medium-term structure remains intact;
- Above, the first level to watch is the MA7 (around 285). It would need to reclaim the MA25 (around 302) for this pullback to be considered absorbed.

Invalidation condition: If the daily candle closes below the MA99, particularly on rising volume, I’ll retract the view that this is a “pullback within an uptrend” and consider the structure to be weakening. Conversely, if the price stabilizes on declining volume and gradually reclaims the MA7, the pullback thesis remains valid.

Also, the total market cap fell 3.3% over the past 24 hours, while $BTC fell only 1.7%. Capital is clearly taking shelter in the leaders, so altcoins are unlikely to strengthen independently in the short term. That’s another factor to keep in mind.

These are my personal views and not investment advice.

#BCH #技术分析 #Altcoins
Lately, everyone on the forums has been posting “Ethereum breaks above 2,500,” but I think that claim deserves a closer look. As of 03:00, $ETH was trading at 2,515 USDT, indeed above 2,500—but it had fallen back from higher levels: down 7.2% over 7 days, with the current price still about 5% below the MA25. So rather than calling it a “breakout,” I’d say the market is testing whether it can hold the psychological 2,500 level. My personal view is cautious. This level looks more like an area to watch during a pullback than the start of a new rally. I have two reasons. First, 24-hour trading volume was only 0.9 times the average daily volume of the previous 7 days. There was no surge in volume on the way down, but buyers haven’t clearly stepped in either—both sides are waiting and watching. Second, the total crypto market cap fell 3.7% over 24 hours, while $ETH fell just 0.8%. That’s relatively resilient, but still a long way from showing independent strength. Where might I be wrong? The daily MA99 is at 2,245, and the current price is still about 12% above it, so the medium-term structure hasn’t actually broken down. An RSI of 43 is also nowhere near an extreme. If volume returns after repeated tests near 2,500, then holding that psychological level could itself become a sentiment turning point—and my caution would prove unnecessary. The “breakout” in the headline and the “retest” on the chart are two different things. Make sure you understand the direction before drawing conclusions. These are my personal views and do not constitute investment advice. #以太坊突破2500USDT #ETH
Lately, everyone on the forums has been posting “Ethereum breaks above 2,500,” but I think that claim deserves a closer look. As of 03:00, $ETH was trading at 2,515 USDT, indeed above 2,500—but it had fallen back from higher levels: down 7.2% over 7 days, with the current price still about 5% below the MA25. So rather than calling it a “breakout,” I’d say the market is testing whether it can hold the psychological 2,500 level.

My personal view is cautious. This level looks more like an area to watch during a pullback than the start of a new rally. I have two reasons. First, 24-hour trading volume was only 0.9 times the average daily volume of the previous 7 days. There was no surge in volume on the way down, but buyers haven’t clearly stepped in either—both sides are waiting and watching. Second, the total crypto market cap fell 3.7% over 24 hours, while $ETH fell just 0.8%. That’s relatively resilient, but still a long way from showing independent strength.

Where might I be wrong? The daily MA99 is at 2,245, and the current price is still about 12% above it, so the medium-term structure hasn’t actually broken down. An RSI of 43 is also nowhere near an extreme. If volume returns after repeated tests near 2,500, then holding that psychological level could itself become a sentiment turning point—and my caution would prove unnecessary.

The “breakout” in the headline and the “retest” on the chart are two different things. Make sure you understand the direction before drawing conclusions. These are my personal views and do not constitute investment advice.

#以太坊突破2500USDT #ETH
As of 23:00, $SUI is trading at 1.087. It has gained nearly 50% over the past 30 days, but has given back 10.4% in the last 7 days. Rather than wondering whether it can keep rising, I’m more interested in understanding what this pullback is working off. First, let’s look at where it stands. The price is less than 1% below the daily MA25, and still more than 30% away from the MA99. The medium-term trend remains intact, while short-term momentum is cooling. Notably, trading volume is roughly in line with the average for the previous 7 days. There’s been no clear spike in volume on the way down, which looks more like profit-taking and rotation than panic selling. The area around the 24-hour low of 1.078 is a level I’ll be watching: holding it would look like a normal consolidation, while a break below it would make me reassess the quality of this rally. Fundamentally, $SUI ’s key selling point has always been the parallel execution enabled by the Move language and object model, with its narrative centered on high-performance public blockchains and on-chain applications. But this sector is crowded, and performance is no longer scarce. Whether it can translate that into sustained users and revenue is what will truly anchor its valuation. Tokenomics is the risk I care about most. Circulating supply is still increasing as tokens unlock. After such a substantial rally, new supply and profit-taking will both test how much demand is there to absorb them. Finally, the broader market. Total market capitalization is down 2.5% over 24 hours, while $BTC is down just 0.6%, with a 59% market share. Capital is concentrating in the largest assets. In this environment, high-beta altcoins are unlikely to rally strongly on their own. These are my personal views and not investment advice. #SUI #公链赛道 #TokenAnalysis
As of 23:00, $SUI is trading at 1.087. It has gained nearly 50% over the past 30 days, but has given back 10.4% in the last 7 days. Rather than wondering whether it can keep rising, I’m more interested in understanding what this pullback is working off.

First, let’s look at where it stands. The price is less than 1% below the daily MA25, and still more than 30% away from the MA99. The medium-term trend remains intact, while short-term momentum is cooling. Notably, trading volume is roughly in line with the average for the previous 7 days. There’s been no clear spike in volume on the way down, which looks more like profit-taking and rotation than panic selling. The area around the 24-hour low of 1.078 is a level I’ll be watching: holding it would look like a normal consolidation, while a break below it would make me reassess the quality of this rally.

Fundamentally, $SUI ’s key selling point has always been the parallel execution enabled by the Move language and object model, with its narrative centered on high-performance public blockchains and on-chain applications. But this sector is crowded, and performance is no longer scarce. Whether it can translate that into sustained users and revenue is what will truly anchor its valuation.

Tokenomics is the risk I care about most. Circulating supply is still increasing as tokens unlock. After such a substantial rally, new supply and profit-taking will both test how much demand is there to absorb them.

Finally, the broader market. Total market capitalization is down 2.5% over 24 hours, while $BTC is down just 0.6%, with a 59% market share. Capital is concentrating in the largest assets. In this environment, high-beta altcoins are unlikely to rally strongly on their own.

These are my personal views and not investment advice.

#SUI #公链赛道 #TokenAnalysis
$PUMP Your pump bro is hard again
$PUMP Your pump bro is hard again
$GTC Next, it's time to sharpen the blade—repeatedly sway it back and forth; after a week, lift it back up.
$GTC Next, it's time to sharpen the blade—repeatedly sway it back and forth; after a week, lift it back up.
$GTC My buddy's getting fired up again.
$GTC My buddy's getting fired up again.
$GTC charge plans, scale it to the 1-hour level
$GTC charge plans, scale it to the 1-hour level
30D trade $SOL 3.3K USDT
$SOL 68月线级别还要走一次大回调,要不然不可能起来的
$SOL 68月线级别还要走一次大回调,要不然不可能起来的
$GTC Zhuang is about to start, right?
$GTC Zhuang is about to start, right?
$PUMP I sold all my pump at the position of 0.002
$PUMP I sold all my pump at the position of 0.002
After consecutive losses, stop for a day first; reviewing is more important than averaging down. Personal opinion. #TradingMindset
After consecutive losses, stop for a day first; reviewing is more important than averaging down. Personal opinion. #TradingMindset
$SKR can we connect the 0.03 empty-energy part, guys?
$SKR can we connect the 0.03 empty-energy part, guys?
Partly True
⚠️ New important developments: PUMP has encountered a new project-level bearish catalyst, and SKR’s weakness is further confirmed. Pump.fun’s latest price is about $0.00371, down 8.4% in 24h. More importantly, on September 11, a new non-price event occurred: Pump.fun’s mobile app was removed from the US and India iOS App Stores. The team said it is temporary and expects to return, but there is currently no publicly disclosed clear reason. The newly launched Custom Pairs itself was relatively bullish—supporting trading pairs made up of tokens and tokenized stocks, metals, and major crypto assets, and allocating 50% of revenue to PUMP buyback-and-burn—yet the price not only failed to react to the upside catalyst, but has continued to fall. Spot fund flows also back up this assessment: recently verifiable Binance PUMP data shows 24h Volume Delta of -$2.83M, CVD of -$2.06M, and the buy ratio is only 46.1%. Therefore, PUMP is no longer just dealing with supply/unlock pressure—it now shows a very典型 “bullish catalyst fails to move price + added app delisting risk.” This round’s qualitative upgrade for PUMP is: sell-the-news + coin-specific independent bearish factors. Meanwhile, Seeker’s latest reliable quotes are about $0.0173–0.0179, with a 24h drop of roughly 12%–16%, and it has already once again retouched the low point of this leg down; 24h trading volume is about $11.6M–12.8M. Compared with the previously monitored $0.0183 support, there has now been a valid downward break through.$SOL $PUMP $SKR
⚠️ New important developments: PUMP has encountered a new project-level bearish catalyst, and SKR’s weakness is further confirmed.

Pump.fun’s latest price is about $0.00371, down 8.4% in 24h. More importantly, on September 11, a new non-price event occurred: Pump.fun’s mobile app was removed from the US and India iOS App Stores. The team said it is temporary and expects to return, but there is currently no publicly disclosed clear reason. The newly launched Custom Pairs itself was relatively bullish—supporting trading pairs made up of tokens and tokenized stocks, metals, and major crypto assets, and allocating 50% of revenue to PUMP buyback-and-burn—yet the price not only failed to react to the upside catalyst, but has continued to fall.

Spot fund flows also back up this assessment: recently verifiable Binance PUMP data shows 24h Volume Delta of -$2.83M, CVD of -$2.06M, and the buy ratio is only 46.1%. Therefore, PUMP is no longer just dealing with supply/unlock pressure—it now shows a very典型 “bullish catalyst fails to move price + added app delisting risk.”

This round’s qualitative upgrade for PUMP is: sell-the-news + coin-specific independent bearish factors.

Meanwhile, Seeker’s latest reliable quotes are about $0.0173–0.0179, with a 24h drop of roughly 12%–16%, and it has already once again retouched the low point of this leg down; 24h trading volume is about $11.6M–12.8M. Compared with the previously monitored $0.0183 support, there has now been a valid downward break through.$SOL $PUMP $SKR
New relative weakness deterioration: SOL’s negative alpha versus BTC/ETH has widened again. This round is more worth watching than simply looking at SOL/USDT. Solana is currently around $99.6–101, but SOL/BTC has fallen to about 0.00129. Over the past 24 hours, SOL’s relative drop versus BTC is roughly 5%. SOL/ETH is also down—currently about 0.04049, below the prior level of around 0.0411. In other words, even if SOL’s USD price is still oscillating around $100, capital is actually clearly favoring BTC/ETH rather than SOL. No new derivatives development has emerged that could offset this signal. The latest verifiable Kraken SOL Perp data still shows OI at about $28.3M, 24h trading volume around $101M, funding close to 0 (+0.000043%/h), and the next period’s forecast at about -0.00187%/h. Therefore, this is not simply a price distortion caused by extremely crowded shorts; it more resembles a decline in SOL’s relative demand itself. Seeker is currently around $0.02001, down 10.3% over 24h. Yet its 24h trading volume has increased by about 52%. This means SKR’s rebound from the 0.0184 low shown in your morning screenshot did indeed occur. However, overall it is still significantly lagging SOL, and high turnover is continuing. At this stage, it can’t be defined as a return of ecosystem capital. On the governance side, there are no new outcome changes: SGP-0001 remains approved at 86%; SGP-0002 is around 67% and narrowly missed; SGP-0003, with a 53.9% approval rate, fell short of the 2/3 threshold and failed. No new key faction shifts have been found yet. Qualitative summary for this round: SOL’s weakness versus BTC/ETH is continuing and accelerating. This is not a governance catalyst, nor a diffusion of funds from SOL to the Solana ecosystem. $SOL $SKR
New relative weakness deterioration: SOL’s negative alpha versus BTC/ETH has widened again. This round is more worth watching than simply looking at SOL/USDT.

Solana is currently around $99.6–101, but SOL/BTC has fallen to about 0.00129. Over the past 24 hours, SOL’s relative drop versus BTC is roughly 5%. SOL/ETH is also down—currently about 0.04049, below the prior level of around 0.0411. In other words, even if SOL’s USD price is still oscillating around $100, capital is actually clearly favoring BTC/ETH rather than SOL.

No new derivatives development has emerged that could offset this signal. The latest verifiable Kraken SOL Perp data still shows OI at about $28.3M, 24h trading volume around $101M, funding close to 0 (+0.000043%/h), and the next period’s forecast at about -0.00187%/h. Therefore, this is not simply a price distortion caused by extremely crowded shorts; it more resembles a decline in SOL’s relative demand itself.

Seeker is currently around $0.02001, down 10.3% over 24h. Yet its 24h trading volume has increased by about 52%. This means SKR’s rebound from the 0.0184 low shown in your morning screenshot did indeed occur. However, overall it is still significantly lagging SOL, and high turnover is continuing. At this stage, it can’t be defined as a return of ecosystem capital.

On the governance side, there are no new outcome changes: SGP-0001 remains approved at 86%; SGP-0002 is around 67% and narrowly missed; SGP-0003, with a 53.9% approval rate, fell short of the 2/3 threshold and failed. No new key faction shifts have been found yet.

Qualitative summary for this round: SOL’s weakness versus BTC/ETH is continuing and accelerating. This is not a governance catalyst, nor a diffusion of funds from SOL to the Solana ecosystem. $SOL $SKR
$SPCX You can now add one more position with a small increase. The profit is right in front of you
$SPCX You can now add one more position with a small increase. The profit is right in front of you
Overall, this symposium has been widely interpreted by the market as a clear positive signal aimed at maintaining stability. After a week of fluctuations in the A-share market, the regulators quickly held meetings with major core market institutions. The ultimate effect will depend on whether specific measures can be introduced that go beyond market expectations.
Overall, this symposium has been widely interpreted by the market as a clear positive signal aimed at maintaining stability. After a week of fluctuations in the A-share market, the regulators quickly held meetings with major core market institutions. The ultimate effect will depend on whether specific measures can be introduced that go beyond market expectations.
$ZEC LOL, where did all the folks who barked about a 10k pump go? Come on, speak up!
$ZEC LOL, where did all the folks who barked about a 10k pump go? Come on, speak up!
$BTC 6 million is the low
$BTC 6 million is the low
$HYPE , bro, we're really about to hit the top!
$HYPE , bro, we're really about to hit the top!
$TON When you can't see the direction clearly, succumbing to loneliness is the most dangerous mindset.
$TON When you can't see the direction clearly, succumbing to loneliness is the most dangerous mindset.
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