喜欢数学的男孩

Market review: #BTC

This time, we open the pure mode for the algorithm and analyze this decline with the purest and most accurate perspective of the trend growth of the Chaos Theory.

1F - A0, we can see that the decline starting from 108000 is a five-segment large line segment decline. The internal structure of this trend is not full and is in a non-divergent decline acceleration state. The current rebound is just the bottom divergence generated within the fifth trend. The current rebound trend structure is relatively neutral, and the height of the center formed is basically the same as that of the adjacent trend center. The entry segment of this trend is a three-segment purple line segment, and the exit segment is currently one segment, which is lower than the entry segment. If this exit segment is established, then three buys will need to be formed in the future to complete the three-segment structure.

As for whether the current rebound trend can be extended, trigger the growth of the center, and evolve into a trend, I think the probability is very small. The reason is very simple. The previous downward trend structure is incomplete and has not damaged the green trend. Based on the current objective trading principles, it is impossible to talk about reversal. Then, our trading plan should be based on the extension of the downward trend, not the reversal.

Trading suggestions: Spot positions can be reduced or cleared at any time, and when the second or third buy or bottom divergence buy is given later, consider intervening. Even if it really reverses into a trend, there will still be opportunities to intervene when high-level bulls emerge later.

The rebound that started last night was not small, and many KOLs on the Internet began to shout orders again. This is caused by the recent cause effect. The trend gave the leeks a red date, and he would forget the previous slap. We traders must become steel warriors, abandon all emotions, not be swayed by the market, and only operate according to the information given by the market. $BTC

Market review: #BTC

1D, the trend diverged, and after breaking through the 10W integer mark, it began to insert pins continuously downward. Here, we can expect a daily-level callback, and finally build a weekly-level trend B center.

30F, the trend inserts pins up and down, making the characteristic sequence segmentation method invalid. Here we directly use a more intuitive interpretation method. If you want to complete a daily line down, you need to complete the current 4H trend up first. If there is a top divergence + trend destruction later, you can extend it downward until the daily structure is full.

Trading suggestions: Recently, Bitcoin has fallen slightly, and the cottage has fallen sharply, which has scared many people. But in fact, as long as you review the past few bull markets, you will know that every time BTC builds the B center, it is the time for the cottage to perform. Therefore, although BTC has the top feature here, you can still find the cottage at the buying point to intervene, but the market fluctuations will become larger and larger. If you don’t have enough operating skills, you will lose money faster.

$BTC

Market review: #BNB

4H, it is in the daily line of breaking through the weekly central axis. The current trend has no divergence and is also in the first step back after leaving the segment, with a three-buy structure.

30F, after a reverse decline, completed the three-buy fall, triggered the turning center and broke through upward to establish an upward trend, which is a standard three-buy structure of the entanglement theory.

Trading advice: At any level of 30F, as long as the step back does not break the central axis, you can do three buys, and the goal is at least to complete a section of 30F.

$BNB

Observation of altcoins: $OMNI

1D, in a breakthrough departure segment of a non-same-level center.

4H, in a running center, you can see a departure segment of this level.

This is the trend I like, a typical b-B structure, suitable for inertial trading, but be careful, don't do it. $OMNI

Market Quick Review: #ETH

1D, I haven't been trading ETH much recently, but the current higher-level structure aligns well with my trading system. 1. MACD retraces to the zero line without breaking, forming a MACD golden cross, similar to a second buy. 2. The number of segments within the central axis > 5. Therefore, spot swing operations can be executed here.

30F, the previous trend exhibits bottom divergence, triggering a counter-trend, which is the strongest reversal structure. Currently, it faces dual pressure from the upper track of the central axis and trend divergence, so additional positions cannot be added, as there is a need for a pullback. However, whether it's a pullback of one segment or a pullback over a period, as long as it doesn't break the B central axis, positions can be added.

Trading Suggestion: Personally, I've already established a base position with the third buy in the A central axis and executed a follow-up buy with the second buy in the B central axis. If a pullback forms a nine-segment upgrade or a pullback over a period results in a higher-level second buy, I will continue to add positions with floating profits. The reason is simple: our goal is to break through the departure segment of the daily central axis. As long as the trend upgrades in the direction we anticipate, we must decisively execute the position-adding operation. When the direction is correct, we maximize profits. This is the correct way to open the door to adding positions with floating profits.

Market Review: #BTC

30F - T0, overall, the trend structure from 49K to now, the rise has reached T3 level, and there is a potential three-buy. It is recommended to wait for at least a green retracement, that is, a T2 retracement, before adding positions to go long. At present, it is in a divergence interval, and the cost-effectiveness of going long is average.

The push pen mode opened this time, the chart is messy, there is no need to push one by one in the real market, just look from big to small.

Market Review: #BTC

30F, left picture, a reverse penetration, although no confirmation of small to large, but the probability of structural reversal is relatively high, here you can start from the third buy in the form of low long, I would tend to do a segment three buy, because (middle picture) yesterday's transaction hit the RSI severely overbought range, a two-month high, must beware of exhaustion small to large.

Here is a segment three buy, it is also a better buying point, because the follow-up can be expected in the 4H, if the third buy, can only see the 30F transaction, therefore, the position management plan here, should also follow the level, at least according to the ratio of 1:2, that is, if the third buy intervenes 10% of the position, the segment three buy intervenes 20% of the position.

5F, right picture, small level switch to push pen mode analysis. It can be seen that within the structure of this rising transaction, the sub-level and sub-sub-level are all non-divergence structures. Therefore, there are two possible entry points, namely the second buy of T0, which is near the current position, and the possible third buy of T1. These two are not in conflict. You can execute whichever one you reach. If it does not meet expectations, close the position.

Trading suggestions: It has been clearly stated above. Try to enter the low-long in order from small to large. At the same time, beware of the exhaustion caused by severe overbought, and do a good job of position management and dynamic stop loss protection.

Market Review: #BTC

This time, we take 5F as the starting point of T0 to see the overall microstructure of the current daily decline.

It can be seen that the large level is in the divergence position, and the yellow center T1 is upgraded in nine sections. It is a T2 T3 overlapping trend. The departure section has a non-divergence trend structure. The end pin is retracted to form a center. The direction of this center is unknown. It is the middle Yin area of ​​5F.

In terms of structure, the pin is retracted and the fifth divergence confirmation is made. There is a basis for small to large, but if the small level does not make the three buy confirmation, the upward attack on the lower track of the yellow center cannot reverse the trend. It is still in the three sell extension area. Therefore, it is necessary to continue to observe here.

Trading suggestions: The fifth bottom divergence of the large level is confirmed, and the small level pin is inserted, but there is no divergence. There is a little difference in the level direction. If you bet on small to large here, you can only make a light position to make a bottom position and use the pin point as defense. The real opportunity must wait for the right side three buys or three sells to enter the position. $BTC

Market review: #BTC

30F, as mentioned yesterday, a neutral second buy was generated, a departure segment was made, and the center B was grown. It is currently inside the center. According to the standard trend, a departure segment is needed to complete the trend structure, but it is not recommended to intervene in the short term here, because it is a consolidation-within-a-consolidation structure, the trend will be sluggish, and the operation is difficult.

Trading advice: wait and see, wait for the departure segment to complete, and then look for intervention opportunities.

$BTC

Market review: #BTC

4H, broke the previous high, extended the daily trend, and is currently in a divergence position, but at the moment, there has been no strong pullback, so the overall idea here is still to follow the trend and buy low.

30F, this section of the trend is very strong, it is a high-level attack-type central form, the central price average is 68015, and the center of gravity is obviously biased upward. Last night's news led to the upper and lower pins, and the current price is running in a middle Yin area of ​​this level.

Trading suggestions: Look for opportunities to intervene in low and long on 30F. If it goes down for 4H and does not break the 4H central axis, do a 4H three-buy. If it breaks through the central axis and does not break the 30F central axis, do a 30F three-buy. In terms of spot, the current cost-effectiveness is not high, and you can look for other cottages with a demand for replenishment.

$BTC

$WIF

Observation of oversold rebound
30F consolidation bottom divergence buy one + 4H MACD type buy two.
Note that it is to fight for oversold rebound, not to let you pattern. Control the stop loss yourself.

Shanzhai Observation: #NEAR

4H strong three buys, 30F consolidation bottom divergence one buy, 5F, type two buy.

Target 4H one up.

$NEAR

Market Review:#BTC

It was a day of explosive pull. Yesterday I mentioned that I could prepare to do three buys or two sells. As a result, I was given three buys in the evening. I did not participate in the middle Yin, but I had to intervene according to the plan when leaving the segment. Unfortunately, it was a small-level transaction of 5F. I only took half of the increase and ran away. But it doesn’t matter. There are multiple buying and selling points in a large-level trend, and trading is a process. Once the trend is formed, there will be sufficient buying and selling points for you to choose.

Let’s get back to the topic and talk about the market.

4H, left picture, a 4H trend, and no divergence, then according to the market structure, it is necessary to test more. There are two ideas for intervention here. 1. The upper rail of the non-same-level central axis is not broken, resulting in superimposed three buys, which is the strongest way. 2. The lower rail of the non-same-level central axis is not broken, resulting in two-three combined buys, which is the second strongest way. Both are strong buying points that can be intervened.

30F, let's see if there are any opportunities at the sub-level. In the right picture, there is a very powerful departure segment. Through two three-buys, the consolidation divergence is washed away. The third three-buy is currently being constructed. In a strong market, the third type of buying and selling points can be extended infinitely. The current trend is an example. Then, at the current position, we can continue to do three buys, but because it has been pulled up, we need to find an opportunity to intervene at the sub-level 5F. I personally do not recommend doing this, because this position has a little moving average divergence and there is a need for correction. A slightly safer strategy is to wait for a central axis to form, let MACD return to the zero axis through double pullbacks, pull out the profit and loss ratio, and then intervene, the certainty will be better.

Trading suggestions: 30F and 4H can be deduced according to the drawing on the picture to make a two-three buy trading plan. If you don't keep up, you can also look for a strong cottage at the buying point. Once BTC stabilizes, the risk of intervening in the cottage will be much smaller.

$BTC

Market review: #BTC

4H, still in the trend of the previous section, no divergence, but the strength is average, the movement is very slow, and there is no sign of breakthrough for the time being. The probability of forming a center here is higher.

30F, the center continues to extend. Strictly speaking, it does not destroy the upward trend here. It can still continue to move up and leave the section, but the center of gravity of the center has begun to move downward, and the second time it hits the pen that penetrates the center, the probability of moving downward is higher, but because it is in the middle Yin area, it is not recommended to intervene in the middle of the secondary trend within the center, because the profit and loss ratio is not good.

Trading advice: wait and see. The trend structure is still unclear, and traders need to do things with confidence. Before the trend shows obvious tendency, the best way is to wait.

$BTC