Using the Last Full Day Low to Evaluate Breakout Quality
While the Last Full Day Low is an excellent stop-loss reference, it can also reveal valuable information about the strength of the breakout itself. Not all successful breakouts behave the same way. Some explode higher without hesitation. Others pull back to test former resistance before continuing. Some experience deep shakeouts before eventually reaching their objectives. Others fail completely. These differences can be organized into four objective breakout types. Type 1 – Momentum Breakout A Type 1 breakout occurs when price breaks out of a chart pattern and rallies directly toward its measured price objective without any meaningful pullback. Characteristics include Immediate expansion away from the breakout level No meaningful re-test of the pattern boundary No test of the Last Full Day Low Strong institutional demand Frequently exceeds the measured move objective These are the strongest breakouts because buyers remain in control from the moment of the breakout. Type 1 breakouts often occur in leading stocks during strong bull markets. Type 2 – Standard Re-test Breakout A Type 2 breakout occurs when price breaks out successfully but later returns to test the former resistance level. During this pullback: Price may touch or slightly penetrate the breakout boundary. The Last Full Day Low remains intact. The violation is judged on an intraday basis, not a closing basis. Buyers quickly regain control. The measured objective is eventually achieved. This represents the classic “breakout and re-test” behavior frequently observed in healthy trends. The former resistance successfully becomes new support. Type 3 – Deep Re-test Breakout A Type 3 breakout represents a much weaker but still successful breakout. After the breakout: Price retraces sharply. The pullback violates the Last Full Day Low on an intraday basis. However, price remains above the chart pattern negation level. Buyers eventually regain control. The measured price objective is ultimately reached. From a risk management perspective, Brandt’s original stop based on the Last Full Day Low would likely have been triggered. From a chart pattern perspective, however, the pattern itself remains valid because its structural support has not failed. These breakouts often shake out weaker holders before resuming their advance. Type 4 – Failed Breakout A Type 4 breakout occurs when the breakout cannot be sustained. Price: Breaks out initially. Pulls back aggressively. Violates the Last Full Day Low. Continues downward until reaching the chart pattern negation level. Invalidates the original chart pattern. Once the pattern negation level is broken, the original trading thesis no longer exists. This represents a failed breakout and an unsuccessful chart pattern. Summary for the 4 types of breakout:
$VELVET is rising third time buyers are gaining momentum. wait for the 1H resistance breakout before execution. Long $VELVET Entry: 0.6025- 0.6545 TP1 0.7523 TP2 0.8656 TP3 0.9823 SL 0.4503
Bitcoin holds near $63,800 as war-driven selloff hits everything but crypto
Gold, oil, stocks and bonds all moved sharply on the fourth round of U.S. strikes on Iran, but bitcoin is little-changed.
bitcoin held near $63,800 on Monday while gold, oil, equities and government bonds all slumped on U.S.'s fourth round of strikes on Iran in a week. The largest cryptocurrency was down 0.3% over 24 hours and up 2% on the week.
The traditional-market reaction that was on hold over yweekend arrived at once. Spot gold slid as much as 1.6% to near $4,050 an ounce. Brent crude jumped 4% to above $79 a barrel as conflicting claims over the Strait of Hormuz fueled worries about . supply Treasuries fell across curve, with the two-year yield climbing to its highest since February 2025, and MSCI's Asia Pacific equities gauge dropped 1.6%.
Central Command said U.S. forces struck Iran in response to an attack on a container ship. The status of the strait was left unclear, with the U.S. denying Iran's statement that waterway would close "until further notice." Roughly a fifth of the world's seaborne oil normally passes through Hormuz
Moves priced a single fear, that a wider war keeps oil elevated and forces Federal Reserve to hold rates higher for longer. Minutes of the Fed's June meeting show a few policymakers saw a case for raising rates before backing a hold. Gold fell because a higher-for-longer path lifts real yields and dulls appeal of metal that pays nothing, and bonds fell for same reason.
But bitcoin sat all of it out. Ether was little changed at about $1,800, up 2% on the week, and the rest of majors barely moved on the day, with Solana weakest at $76, down 5% over seven days. XRP held $1.09 and dogecoin sat near $0.07.
one crypto-relevant thread runs through Korean stocks. SK Hynix shares plunged 12% in Seoul after chipmaker's U.S.-listed shares surged 13% on their Friday debut, a reversal that helped drag the Kospi down 7%. That chip trade drove rally that lifted bitcoin on Friday, and its sharp reversal on Monday still left crypto flat, in either direction.
Bitcoin's $60,000-$70,000 range becomes third most traded range in history.
Bitcoin has spent 307 days in the $60,000-$70,000 range, the third longest consolidation in any $10,000 price band. The consolidation range is now the third longest period spent in any $10,000 price band in bitcoin's history, behind only the $10,000-$20,000 and $20,000-$30,000,
From a technical perspective, bitcoin continues to trade above its 200-week moving average, currently around $64,373. Historically, prolonged moves below this level have been short lived, making it a closely watched gauge of the long term trend.
Despite holding near $64,000, bitcoin remains roughly 50% below its all-time high reached in October. $BTC
Another bearish parallel channel Bitcoin is following. Another possible scenario is 56k. This steady drop and bearish trend reminding me that a few month ago an old man is claiming in a viral video that Bitcoin price is going to become zero. 😱 Are you still holding Bitcoin . .. 🫢 $BTC
Bitcoin Hits Highest Price in Weeks as Bernstein Analysts Maintain 'Ambitious' $150K Target The financial firm admitted Bitcoin's retrace has been painful, but still holds a lofty year-end price prediction for the top crypto asset.
Since reaching a new all-time high price last October, Bitcoin has failed to meet lofty future price targets from enthusiasts and analysts alike, falling nearly 50% since that time.
But as it changes hands at $63,836 on Monday after touching $63,900 earlier in the day—its highest price in the last two weeks of trading—analysts at investment bank Bernstein are still holding to their admittedly “ambitious” target of $150,000 per Bitcoin by year’s end.
“Bottom line, any crypto correction is painful, but this one has been rather comforting,” analysts from the financial firm wrote. “Crypto feels like it's growing up. We remain optimistic on Bitcoin long-term,” they added.
The top crypto asset has jumped 1.7% in the last 24 hours and now more than 6% in the last week of trading, though Bitcoin has seen all its gains since the reelection of President Donald Trump wiped away in the last eight months.
We reckon, our 2026 year-end 150K $BTC price target appears ambitious in context of the market correction,” analysts said. “However, we expect [the] Bitcoin cycle will eventually turn and we continue to watch the $BTC flows to see any signs of life.”
One sign of life could be on the regulatory front, with the firm noting that odds of the Clarity Act’s passage by the end of the year still sit around 50%, according to Polymarket.
If that regulatory advancement comes, then the firm expects “more market liquidity and institutional adoption for both crypto-native assets and blockchain versions of real-world assets.”
$HMSTR has changed the character.into bullish gaining momentum to go up. Long $HMSTR Entry: 0.000343 TP1 0.0004037 TP2 0.0004688 TP3 0.0005163 SL 0.0002947