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墨染web3
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墨染web3

币圈老油条 投研|撸毛|YouTuber|INTP|一日不喝咖啡会die
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It’s important to find your place in the crypto circles, but it’s not the only thing. What really matters is being independent and capable enough to always find a way to make money and generate income. Then you don’t have to scamper around looking for “informants” just to get into the circles. After all, if you can earn while standing, who would rather kneel, right?
It’s important to find your place in the crypto circles, but it’s not the only thing.

What really matters is being independent and capable enough to always find a way to make money and generate income.

Then you don’t have to scamper around looking for “informants” just to get into the circles.

After all, if you can earn while standing, who would rather kneel, right?
In the crypto world, going to zero is nothing out of the ordinary. Many of the big shots I know have gone through a reset to zero in the middle of their journey—some more than once, and some even have debts. But there are always people who rise again. The biggest differences between them and ordinary people mainly come down to two things: First, they always have a reliable, stable source of off-exchange cash flow to fall back on. Second, they never give up and never refuse to fight.
In the crypto world, going to zero is nothing out of the ordinary.

Many of the big shots I know have gone through a reset to zero in the middle of their journey—some more than once, and some even have debts.

But there are always people who rise again.

The biggest differences between them and ordinary people mainly come down to two things:

First, they always have a reliable, stable source of off-exchange cash flow to fall back on.

Second, they never give up and never refuse to fight.
From the data by @predictdotfun, when Anthropic gets to its IPO, it will also be a unicorn-level company. A valuation of $2 trillion is all but certain. In this round, for everyone working on AI cars—whether you’re in the AI industry or an AI investor—you’ve also managed to catch a century-level narrative. https://t.co/ZHfNcgedly
From the data by @predictdotfun,

when Anthropic gets to its IPO, it will also be a unicorn-level company.

A valuation of $2 trillion is all but certain.

In this round, for everyone working on AI cars—whether you’re in the AI industry or an AI investor—you’ve also managed to catch a century-level narrative. https://t.co/ZHfNcgedly
This Ledger battery that went bad at the beginning of this year—over the past couple of days, I suddenly had the idea to reach out to customer service for after-sales support. Because I bought it earlier from a third-party authorized retailer in Hong Kong, when I tried to get after-sales service, I suddenly discovered that this website had already gone 404. So then I went to Ledger’s official after-sales service. I’ve been using this Ledger for almost two years. The after-sales team promptly sent me a new one, and they didn’t even ask me to return the old unit. I’ve got to leave a good review for this—haha @Ledger
This Ledger battery that went bad at the beginning of this year—over the past couple of days, I suddenly had the idea to reach out to customer service for after-sales support.

Because I bought it earlier from a third-party authorized retailer in Hong Kong, when I tried to get after-sales service, I suddenly discovered that this website had already gone 404.

So then I went to Ledger’s official after-sales service.

I’ve been using this Ledger for almost two years. The after-sales team promptly sent me a new one, and they didn’t even ask me to return the old unit.

I’ve got to leave a good review for this—haha @Ledger
Twitter shadow-ban inquiry. I feel like this is a response aimed at many people who were previously banned for no apparent reason. With this shadow ban, you can tell that the content you wrote had issues. On my own account, out of the 389 tweets I posted over the past month, only 1 was problematic. Everyone can also check—if the number of problematic items here is too high, you need to be careful with your account. Link: https://t.co/mbvxjsdjKv
Twitter shadow-ban inquiry. I feel like this is a response aimed at many people who were previously banned for no apparent reason.

With this shadow ban, you can tell that the content you wrote had issues.

On my own account, out of the 389 tweets I posted over the past month, only 1 was problematic.

Everyone can also check—if the number of problematic items here is too high, you need to be careful with your account.

Link: https://t.co/mbvxjsdjKv
I wrote this article in May. Actually, the traffic wasn’t very good, but up until now, I’ve kept this article pinned at the top of my Twitter profile. Because from that time until now, I’ve seen so many users, KOLs, and friends switch careers. But I know that opportunities are definitely out there. Still, when new opportunities arrive, entering the market then will be too late. The past one or two months have also indeed proven my judgment: after Robinhood, ZEC, BP, and so on—what’s next will be about what new narratives emerge. But the most important thing is just one: stay in crypto
I wrote this article in May. Actually, the traffic wasn’t very good, but up until now, I’ve kept this article pinned at the top of my Twitter profile.

Because from that time until now, I’ve seen so many users, KOLs, and friends switch careers.

But I know that opportunities are definitely out there. Still, when new opportunities arrive, entering the market then will be too late.

The past one or two months have also indeed proven my judgment: after Robinhood, ZEC, BP, and so on—what’s next will be about what new narratives emerge.

But the most important thing is just one: stay in crypto
The characteristics of blockchain determine that hackers will run rampant in this space. If a project or a platform can directly freeze an entire chain, then that chain doesn’t really have to do with decentralization anymore. But the core of blockchain is decentralization. What this means is openness and transparency. In normal times, it can help make every party on the chain more transparent. The cost is that when you run into a black swan event like a hacker attack, there may be no solution. What can be done is to respond with strategies that outmatch the threat—continuously strengthening network security defenses is the optimal answer.
The characteristics of blockchain determine that hackers will run rampant in this space.

If a project or a platform can directly freeze an entire chain, then that chain doesn’t really have to do with decentralization anymore.

But the core of blockchain is decentralization.

What this means is openness and transparency.

In normal times, it can help make every party on the chain more transparent.

The cost is that when you run into a black swan event like a hacker attack, there may be no solution.

What can be done is to respond with strategies that outmatch the threat—continuously strengthening network security defenses is the optimal answer.
Earlier on, Surf created a developer account. In the first few hours, if you followed it, it would follow you back. But surprisingly, after Surf’s main account was frozen, this account gradually became Surf’s official publishing Twitter. So it’s lucky to have become 1/137, haha 😂 https://t.co/MJQhQlbFoY
Earlier on, Surf created a developer account. In the first few hours, if you followed it, it would follow you back.

But surprisingly, after Surf’s main account was frozen, this account gradually became Surf’s official publishing Twitter.

So it’s lucky to have become 1/137, haha 😂 https://t.co/MJQhQlbFoY
Let me say, @world_xyz I did the trading, and I sent out invitations too—when can you make up the missing airdrop? Back then, on day one, this account of mine got stuck because I’d linked a Google email to log in. I ended up messing around for four or five hours, but still couldn’t claim the airdrop. Now I see it was because of this step that I missed it 😂 https://t.co/VXpLJ6TUPI
Let me say, @world_xyz

I did the trading, and I sent out invitations too—when can you make up the missing airdrop?

Back then, on day one, this account of mine got stuck because I’d linked a Google email to log in. I ended up messing around for four or five hours, but still couldn’t claim the airdrop.

Now I see it was because of this step that I missed it 😂 https://t.co/VXpLJ6TUPI
In the data from @predictdotfun we can see: The probability of a Polymarket IPO and token issuance are both continuously declining. That’s a bit strange—under theory, these two should be negatively correlated. Now it looks like Poly doesn’t want to issue tokens or do an IPO anymore? Feels like it’s going to become another MetaMask. https://t.co/flN3cxY3qc
In the data from @predictdotfun we can see:

The probability of a Polymarket IPO and token issuance are both continuously declining.

That’s a bit strange—under theory, these two should be negatively correlated.

Now it looks like Poly doesn’t want to issue tokens or do an IPO anymore?

Feels like it’s going to become another MetaMask. https://t.co/flN3cxY3qc
They say a bull market is here, but I’m still a bit doubtful. Even though prices have been performing well lately, the macro picture doesn’t seem to have improved much. It just gives me a feeling of an artificially manufactured bull market.
They say a bull market is here, but I’m still a bit doubtful.

Even though prices have been performing well lately, the macro picture doesn’t seem to have improved much.

It just gives me a feeling of an artificially manufactured bull market.
Many people have high expectations when it comes to smartphones, such as the newly released iPhone 18 PM. Personally, I’ve been using a phone from several years ago. Mostly, it’s because I hardly ever use my phone and don’t really have any need for socializing on the go. Most days, I spend the majority of my time sitting in front of my computer using my computer, and I barely use my phone. So for me, spending several tens of thousands of yuan to buy a Mac feels more cost-effective than spending ten thousand to buy a small phone.
Many people have high expectations when it comes to smartphones, such as the newly released iPhone 18 PM.

Personally, I’ve been using a phone from several years ago. Mostly, it’s because I hardly ever use my phone and don’t really have any need for socializing on the go.

Most days, I spend the majority of my time sitting in front of my computer using my computer, and I barely use my phone.

So for me, spending several tens of thousands of yuan to buy a Mac feels more cost-effective than spending ten thousand to buy a small phone.
For your U Card, never enlarge or increase the amount of money. It’s best to save only what you have, and save it as much as you can. When you don’t need it, don’t keep too much money in it either. If you’re worried about your card being frozen, then as long as you make one or two small purchases every one or two months, that’s enough. If even the security of CEXs is difficult to control in the current situation, then U Cards are even more so.
For your U Card, never enlarge or increase the amount of money. It’s best to save only what you have, and save it as much as you can.

When you don’t need it, don’t keep too much money in it either. If you’re worried about your card being frozen, then as long as you make one or two small purchases every one or two months, that’s enough.

If even the security of CEXs is difficult to control in the current situation, then U Cards are even more so.
Many people complain that the large-scale closure of domestic KTVs has happened, and that the economy is in a slump. Although I’ve never been to KTVs, I do remember that when Dongguan cracked down hard a few years ago, a large number of hostesses also lost their jobs. But precisely because of that, the live-streaming economy was further boosted into takeoff. So this round might promote the takeoff of something else, too. Find the windbreak, and it’s just a matter of getting on the bandwagon.
Many people complain that the large-scale closure of domestic KTVs has happened, and that the economy is in a slump.

Although I’ve never been to KTVs, I do remember that when Dongguan cracked down hard a few years ago, a large number of hostesses also lost their jobs.

But precisely because of that, the live-streaming economy was further boosted into takeoff.

So this round might promote the takeoff of something else, too.

Find the windbreak, and it’s just a matter of getting on the bandwagon.
If @predictdotfun issues a token this year, then by setting the cutoff to token issuance on 12/31, there would be about 13 weeks left. If we follow the current token-issuance pace, we’ll roughly see about 520 million PP points issued. So, for conservative calculations, the value of each PP point would be around 0.12–0.2 u. However, if the broader market can continue to hold up, there’s hope it could be a bit higher by the end of the year. https://t.co/vehb0aGokK
If @predictdotfun issues a token this year, then by setting the cutoff to token issuance on 12/31, there would be about 13 weeks left.

If we follow the current token-issuance pace, we’ll roughly see about 520 million PP points issued.

So, for conservative calculations, the value of each PP point would be around 0.12–0.2 u.

However, if the broader market can continue to hold up, there’s hope it could be a bit higher by the end of the year. https://t.co/vehb0aGokK
Last year, I shared my current security strategy. Now, I store funds using two hardware wallets plus a top-tier exchange. Only when I need to work on a project do I take some funds out of the wallets; once the project is done, I transfer them back in. From 2020 to now, as a content creator who does earnings farming, I still haven’t had any funds stolen. You can also consider following this approach. https://t.co/ZJ2bHhDRUu
Last year, I shared my current security strategy.

Now, I store funds using two hardware wallets plus a top-tier exchange.

Only when I need to work on a project do I take some funds out of the wallets; once the project is done, I transfer them back in.

From 2020 to now, as a content creator who does earnings farming, I still haven’t had any funds stolen.

You can also consider following this approach. https://t.co/ZJ2bHhDRUu
.@Backpack_CN Based on the total market cap, the current price is only around just over 300 million. Compared with exchanges that trade in billions or tens of billions, there’s still quite a lot of room. That said, the price is currently indeed in an upward phase, so a short-term pullback is also possible. If there’s an opportunity later, I’ll try to lay in a bit more. (Personal sharing only; not investment advice) https://t.co/vucuZDIzre
.@Backpack_CN Based on the total market cap, the current price is only around just over 300 million.

Compared with exchanges that trade in billions or tens of billions, there’s still quite a lot of room.

That said, the price is currently indeed in an upward phase, so a short-term pullback is also possible.

If there’s an opportunity later, I’ll try to lay in a bit more.

(Personal sharing only; not investment advice) https://t.co/vucuZDIzre
Actually, stocks and prediction markets are a pretty good match. Take @predictdotfun as an example: for many stock IPOs, there’s limited market data before the listing, so it’s not that easy to value a project. But prediction markets can display probabilities directly, which makes it easier to surface information that would otherwise be hard to detect. In other words, it’s relatively transparent information. That’s also why I often treat prediction markets as an information board. Even though there isn’t much trading, the number of times I open it is pretty frequent 😂
Actually, stocks and prediction markets are a pretty good match.

Take @predictdotfun as an example: for many stock IPOs, there’s limited market data before the listing, so it’s not that easy to value a project.

But prediction markets can display probabilities directly, which makes it easier to surface information that would otherwise be hard to detect.

In other words, it’s relatively transparent information.

That’s also why I often treat prediction markets as an information board.

Even though there isn’t much trading, the number of times I open it is pretty frequent 😂
In the crypto world, especially in the “small coins” circle, there is no such thing as the so-called “strong always stronger.” In my view, for most people, luck matters more than ability. How many big shots who became famous overnight ended up back to zero overnight—success was also thanks to the same thing that led to their downfall.
In the crypto world, especially in the “small coins” circle, there is no such thing as the so-called “strong always stronger.”

In my view, for most people, luck matters more than ability.

How many big shots who became famous overnight ended up back to zero overnight—success was also thanks to the same thing that led to their downfall.
I took a look and turns out it really is, and the overall probability that @predictdotfun’s market cap is greater than 1B has also been steadily increasing. It’s also been getting better and better. Hope it can be the next super big winner. https://t.co/ZFVehbsvSy https://t.co/cTdKOTGCLg
I took a look and turns out it really is, and the overall probability that @predictdotfun’s market cap is greater than 1B has also been steadily increasing.

It’s also been getting better and better.

Hope it can be the next super big winner. https://t.co/ZFVehbsvSy https://t.co/cTdKOTGCLg
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