Mimo币驰

When exactly will Predict launch its token? It’s currently held up on Binance’s end.

Binance has just resumed withdrawals, and many permissions haven’t been restored yet.

The listing will most likely have to wait a little longer.

Here’s a detail many people have missed: Binance Web3 Wallet now runs AI checks when initiating transactions. This is probably the contract’s AI self-check; if it detects a risky contract, it will stop the transaction immediately.

The losses this time were substantial, and at such a sensitive moment, Binance won’t risk letting things through too easily.

If there are any backdoors or viruses that haven’t been detected, the losses could be even greater. Predict, as one of Binance’s favored projects, is also being held up.

The project team is anxious too. S1 has ended, the points are locked, and S2 has already started, but the official launch date hasn’t been set.

Market sentiment is weakening, and the chill of a crypto winter is growing stronger. The project team also wants to distribute the tokens sooner so everyone can cash out before year-end.

Users are even more eager to get their money, but A Huang has only told people in the group to wait for an announcement.

Ultimately, the timing depends on Binance fully completing the account transfers and security checks.

Until then, order-book activity and community expectations can offer some clues, but until an announcement is released, everything remains uncertain.
Let’s keep waiting.$PREDICT

Will Predict.fun’s FDV break $1 billion a day after its token launch? The market currently puts the odds at 51%.

Looking at this Polymarket market, the $1 billion threshold is priced at 51.8¢—almost exactly a coin flip. Below that, $600 million is at 91% and $800 million at 75%. Above it, the odds drop sharply: $1.5 billion is at just 24%, and $2 billion at only 14%. Beyond that, hardly anyone is buying it.

In other words, the market consensus seems to be somewhere between $800 million and $1 billion, while the odds of exceeding $1.5 billion are being priced very low.

Looking at the trend, the odds for the $1 billion threshold have only recently climbed. They had hovered around 30–40% for a long time, then started accelerating in late October and have only just crossed 50%. The issues on Binance’s end previously delayed the TGE and dampened expectations. Now that things are back on track, the market is repricing.

I’m more inclined to think the actual FDV after launch will land in the $800 million–$1.2 billion range. Plenty of early airdrop farmers from the first season will sell as soon as they get their tokens, so the selling pressure is real. It’ll be difficult to push the price straight above $1.5 billion. Binance may give its favored project a boost, but that doesn’t necessarily mean blindly pumping the price. More likely, it’ll manage the pace and keep the price stable within a relatively reasonable range.

There’s still no official announcement, but the market has already priced in its expectations. We’ll have to wait for actual trades after launch to see whose pricing was more accurate.

Binance is about to open withdrawals, and $PREDICT will most likely be the first one listed after things resume.

Some people think Binance will deliberately pump it at launch to prove there’s nothing wrong.

As someone who farmed airdrops in Season 1, I definitely hope it gets a good price. Whether I can make a little more by year-end all depends on this.

But I lean more toward another possibility.

Binance took a pretty big hit this time, and it will most likely try to recoup its losses from the project.

As Binance’s favorite child, Predict got listed on Binance without even launching a token. There’s no way Binance would let it get listed for nothing.

It’s normal for something to happen at launch, but that doesn’t necessarily mean a straightforward pump.

For airdrop farmers, the rule is simple: sell as soon as you get it.

Some may have already hedged, so the listing itself will bring selling pressure. Most people won’t hold on to the tokens they earned from Season 1 points for the long term.

So the actual launch is more like a battle between the two sides: Binance may try to control the price or recoup its costs, while a large number of farming accounts are ready to dump.

Whether it pumps or dumps depends on which side has more firepower.

I’m still in, so I’m not in a hurry to call the direction. Let’s wait for the announcement and see what happens when trading actually opens.

Good news, Binance has enabled withdrawals!

Bad news, looking at a screen full of exchanges, I don't know where to withdraw to.$BTC

A-Huang confirmed in the group that the TGE has been delayed.

I just saw someone in the Predict Chinese group asking how to claim tokens on the Binance main site and whether there was any news about Alpha accounts. A-Huang replied directly: “The TGE has been delayed. An announcement will be out later.”

People had been expecting it to open today, but now that an official representative has confirmed the delay, it’s pretty much certain.

He hasn’t said when it will happen yet—just told everyone to wait for the announcement.

Given the earlier Venus service suspension and the temporary disabling of token splitting and market taker orders in Binance Wallet, this delay is most likely due to technical or integration issues, not a last-minute cancellation.

The token contract has already been deployed on-chain, and the allocation structure remains as previously announced. Only the official launch time has been pushed back.

For now, the safest thing is to wait for the official announcement and ignore all the rumors circulating in the group.

During the delay, points and airdrop eligibility won’t change. There’s still time to keep an eye on pre-market prices and liquidity before trading officially opens.

3 billion was frozen, but 5.6 billion was actually transferred,

resulting in a loss of nearly 2.6 billion!

Have to FUD Binance a bit,

Both of these bull markets were put on pause by Binance.

On 10/11, Binance's oracle malfunctioned, causing many on-chain assets to depeg.

And now there's been another exchange hack!

Binance really loves stirring things up in October!$BTC

Something major has happened at Binance!
A summary is circulating: around $5.6 billion in funds flowed out, of which $2.4–2.6 billion has already been frozen. Withdrawals have also been halted to prevent further outflows.

The official response was straightforward: Binance will cover all losses. Deposits and withdrawals have been suspended while security checks are carried out, funds are frozen, and authorities are assisted. A full postmortem will be published afterward.

Partners are helping freeze the assets, and user funds are safe.

The $5.6 billion figure is hard to ignore.

Freezing roughly half suggests that people across the blockchain ecosystem are still willing to step in and help;

but the fact that so much could flow out also shows the attack surface was substantial.

Binance’s promise to cover the losses is the most important thing for now.

When major exchanges have had incidents in the past, users’ biggest fear was being told to “just accept the loss.”

This time, Binance has clearly taken responsibility, at least easing the worst-case fears for now.

We’ll have to wait for the official postmortem to learn exactly how the attack happened, which addresses were frozen, and whether the remaining funds can be recovered.

There’s still a lot of confusion, so don’t trust “the latest updates” from unofficial sources.

This isn’t the first time a major exchange has had an incident, but every time, trust gets repriced.

What do you think about this?

The Alpha Predict frenzy has wrapped up, and now it’s the turn of users who farmed Predict on the official website!

The Predict airdrop page is now live.

It shows that I’m eligible to claim, with about 21 hours left on the countdown.

The page is calculating the exact amount, so the final figure isn’t available yet.

There are still the same two options mentioned earlier:

Choose 35% to receive it right away and forfeit the rest;

or lock the full amount for a year and receive 100% after one year.

The form deadline is November 26. If you don’t fill it out, it’ll default to the one-year lockup.

The presale just ended, and the airdrop countdown has started too.

If you’re eligible, just make your choice and wait for the official distribution. If you’re not eligible, keep an eye out for future events.

Head to the official website and check how much you’ve got!

Binance Alpha absolutely crushed it! This is how airdrop farming works: when nobody’s paying attention, that’s when the big airdrops come.

Now it’s packed, and everyone’s getting harvested!

I wonder if the studios that used to farm Alpha airdrops are still around. With 100+ accounts, this would easily be an A7 project from a single token.

A total of 289,700 BNB was raised, against a target of just 7,794 BNB—oversubscribed by 37 times. Just over 48,000 people participated.

With a per-person cap of 6 BNB, not many people could actually fill their allocation.

A third-party calculator shows that if you put in 6 BNB, only 0.1614 BNB was actually deducted. You received 414 PREDICT, worth about 562 U at the current pre-market price, for an estimated profit of around 440 U. The remaining 5.8 BNB was returned.

The low entry threshold definitely let people in, but not many accounts could put up 6 BNB.

The profit per account looks decent, but people with multiple accounts will see more significant returns.

These tokens won’t be distributed to Alpha accounts until the official TGE, and the circulating supply at launch will still be 16%.

If you participated, note down your results and see how the price moves at the official launch.

The token is launching! The token is launching! Predict is launching its token!

Predict has officially announced its tokenomics.

The total supply is fixed at 1 billion tokens. 70 million tokens have been allocated to the Season 1 airdrop, representing 7% of the total supply.

You can choose one of two claim options: claim immediately and receive only 35%, or choose 12-month linear vesting and receive the full 100%.

If you choose the 12-month option, you can still switch back to immediate claiming within one month after TGE. The core team and early investors are fully locked up, with a 24-month cliff followed by a 36-month release period. The full unlock schedule is about five years.

Based on the current pre-market price of around $1.5B, the 70 million tokens would be worth roughly $100 million.

If the total points supply is estimated at 450 million, the theoretical value per point would be around $0.20.

How much you actually receive will depend on the final points results and which claim option you choose.

The official team says the claim date and final Season 1 points results will be announced within 24 hours.

Damn, Feng Ge, the sexually repressed founder

Yesterday’s viral hit, which racked up a million views

A day trying out daily-wage work in Majuqiao

At 4:05, there’s a bit about farming Binance referral rewards and offering 10 yuan for sign-ups 🤣

Everyone, vote for the streamer!

Just started up and already saying goodbye?

Citi, you’ve really landed yourself in hot water!

Solana projected its logo onto the exterior wall of the Citi building on Shanghai’s Bund.

It was highly visible from the Bund, and the official account even posted “ni hao shanghai.”

It was a bold move, but it crossed a line too—the domestic ban on cryptocurrency advertising meant the LED display was quickly taken down. Some say it was a system playback error, and regulators have also stepped in.

Solana opened a Builder Station in Shanghai this year and has been holding developer events, while trying to avoid directly promoting its token.

Being able to light up a building doesn’t mean you can advertise there long-term, and opening an office doesn’t mean you can openly attract traffic.

The rule here has always been: technology is okay to discuss; coins are not.

This time, they found a loophole—and put the issue squarely on the table.

Whether restrictions will tighten further depends on the results of the investigation.

$SOL

This is a market depth slope chart: Polymarket is blue, Predict is purple.

On the 5-minute BTC up-or-down market, Predict has gone from almost nothing to nearly catching up with Polymarket.

This slope shows one thing: high-frequency markets are no longer Poly’s exclusive territory.

Polymarket isn’t issuing a token, which means it’s actively giving up the crypto crowd’s expectation of a $4 billion valuation.

The only reasons users have left to stick around are liquidity and habit.

Liquidity can be caught up with; habits can change.

Predict has a Binance entry point, points, and the expectation of a token launch. Once its user base catches up, drawing over Poly users is only natural.

Here’s how I’m playing it now: I watch both platforms for high-frequency short-term trades. If Poly still has more liquidity, I trade there. If Predict is already competitive, I leave my orders on Predict.

I keep my long-term positions and points only on Predict.

Polymarket isn’t issuing a token, so my expectations have already come down.

As long as Predict can grow its user base further, it’ll be the next player to take the lead in prediction markets.

We’ll see who comes out on top in six months.

@predictdotfun-华语

I’ve been playing prediction markets for over three years, and Yue Xiaoyu’s piece really hit the mark.

The crypto playbook of points, ambassadors, and airdrops can bring people in, but it can’t keep them around.

The World Cup was a case in point. A lot of people came in early to farm points and chase rewards by running multiple accounts. Once the World Cup was over, they were gone.

The ones who stayed are people who genuinely bet on the markets. People like me, who have always followed the development of this sector and still look for opportunities in prediction markets every day, trading against the odds.

Some people stayed because they really got hooked. They saw the potential for a token launch, had points to earn, and found the platform comfortable and easy to use.

Others may have stayed for a simpler reason: they saw me when I was livestreaming in the community feed.
You can play right on Binance, without jumping to a third-party link or connecting a wallet.
It’s really convenient—you can play on your phone anytime, anywhere.

Even now, you can still make money selling the points you’ve farmed on the secondary market. It’s like getting paid to mine.

The problem in the deep end isn’t a lack of users; crypto has already exhausted its pool of potential users.

The next users aren’t farming points on Twitter. They’re watching the Premier League, playing League of Legends, or following the ups and downs of US stocks.

Embedding Predict in Binance was the right move. It means I don’t have to leave the app to place an order.

Liquidity is the real barrier. If the order book is thin, I come in once, get hit with slippage, and never come back.

Yue Xiaoyu said the budget should shift from marketing to market making. That’s right. When I place orders to earn points, I’m also adding depth to the order book.

Without depth, even the liveliest campaign is just noise.

Fees on Dune have topped 21 million, with daily fees at 200,000.

Those aren’t user acquisition numbers. They’re proof that people are actually trading.

The deep end is tough, but it’s more interesting than continuing to fleece each other in crypto.

Trump: If we win the midterms, every American adult gets $5,000!

Yeah, right! Let’s look at the numbers:

The odds on Predict haven’t even moved a single point.

A Republican sweep is at 10%. A Democratic sweep is at 65%.

The Senate stays Republican, the House flips to the Democrats: 27%.

This market has seen 11.5 million U in trading volume. It’s not being ignored—people just don’t believe it.

At $5,000 for 240 million adults, that comes to $1.2 trillion.

Tariff revenue can’t cover that in a year. The promised $2,000 tariff rebate from the last round still hasn’t arrived. The market isn’t stupid.

Historically, not many presidents have lost both chambers at once.

If Trump becomes the next one, that 10% on Predict is practically free money. Looking at this market, I wouldn’t bet on a Republican sweep.

People’s Daily has made its position crystal clear this time.

The brake pedal bracket on the Huawei MAEXTRO V800 broke in the same place on three new cars during a test by Dongchedi. The official response was that it “exceeds national standards,” that “no actual users have experienced this in real-world use,” and that the test involved “non-standard extreme conditions.”

But People’s Daily put it straight on its trending list: a car’s brake pedal should never break while the car is being driven.

Safety is a red line. Four government departments have joined forces to say no to cars rushed to market.

A million-yuan car, just two months after launch, and its pedal bracket broke during emergency braking.

This wasn’t a one-off: it happened repeatedly on three cars from different batches.

The company says no actual users have encountered the problem. The testing outfit says this is a basic test, and rival models did not break under the same conditions.

The two sides tell different stories, but state media has already made its position clear: this cannot be dismissed as just a war of public opinion.

After Dongchedi released the test video, some questioned the testing method, while others asked whether the test was deliberately targeting the car.

Then People’s Daily singled out the phrase “cars rushed to market” and put it right on its homepage.

This move by ByteDance has taken the safety issue beyond a media spat and into the realm of regulation.

The race to compete in the new-energy vehicle industry has been moving too fast in recent years.

New brands, new platforms, new features—the launch cycle is now measured in months. Software can be updated over the air; structural components can’t.

When things like pedals, steering, and braking fail under extreme conditions, neither public opinion nor regulators will be satisfied with “no actual users have experienced this.”

When the safety red line is repeatedly emphasized, it’s usually not because of just one test, but because too many people think speed matters more than safety.

State media has made the point clear this time. What really matters now is how the issue is investigated, addressed, and regulated.

Token2049 will be held in Singapore on October 7–8, and Predict will meet with everyone in person again this time.

There will be relevant exhibits and discussion sessions at both the main venue and the BNB Chain Super Meetup.

For friends who are interested in prediction markets, on-chain trading, and community development, this will be a good opportunity to connect face-to-face.

After the Hong Kong stop, Predict will once again come to the scene of an in-person event in the Asia-Pacific region.

Compared with only viewing information online, many things are still better suited for face-to-face conversation:

product experience, market strategies and gameplay, community feedback, and everyone’s real thoughts on prediction markets.

On the evening of October 7, there will also be a small community get-together jointly organized by NeoSoul and Bagel. Friends who are interested in the Predict ecosystem and prediction markets are welcome to exchange ideas.

If you happen to be in Singapore, you can come by and take a look, chat, and meet on the 7th and 8th.

Whether it’s your first time learning about Predict, or you’ve been following the order book and market mechanisms for a long time, you’re welcome to join the in-person discussion.