Mimo币驰

Will Polymarket actually issue tokens? This question has been asked for a year.

In October 2025, the founder hinted at a Solana address. The CMO said on a podcast, "There will be tokens, and there will be airdrops"—and then nothing happened.

This year in February, the parent company filed a POLY trademark. In July, they hired people to work on tokenomics models. Later, the负责人 was reportedly leaving the company.

The direction is actually not hard to read: Polymarket is now moving toward building compliant financial infrastructure—acquiring licensed markets, entering the ICE strategic investment, and strengthening compliance and risk control.

Compared with issuing a governance token, partnering for an IPO and with traditional finance is clearly higher priority.

Tokens would make the structure more complicated, so they’ve been pushed further back.

But there’s also no evidence that they’ve completely abandoned it. The trademark is still there, and early-funding token warrant options are still there too.

On Predict, the market odds are more direct than any analysis:

Token issuance by the end of 2026: about 6%—almost nobody believes it

By the end of June 2027: about 30%—a few people are still betting

One more thing to clarify: the $pPOLY on Binance Wallet and PancakeSwap recently is not an official Polymarket token.

That is Paimon’s pre-IPO indirect exposure. It has no voting rights and no dividend rights—don’t mix them up.

Do you think Polymarket will issue tokens?

@Predictdotfun

Predict to give you money to play, and you don’t even play?

This time it’s different

It’s not asking you to top up—it’s giving you money.

For 100 people, each starts with 100 USDT. See who can earn the most over 14 days.

No adding to the position—only use the 100 U provided by the official.

The only thing you can rely on is your judgment.

The prizes are straightforward:
1st place: 1000 U,
2nd place: 800 U,
3rd place: 500 U,
4th–10th places: 200 U each

Even if you don’t win, this 100 U is still yours to use as principal after it’s used up.

There’s one tough rule: you must trade every day + post your trading performance once on X or Binance Square.

If you miss updates continuously for more than the allowed protection times, you’ll be eliminated immediately.

This effectively turns your “private play” into a “public competition”—every step of your actions will be watched.

In prediction markets, position sizing is an opinion. This time, it’s making those opinions public and comparing who can truly turn judgment into money.

Registration closes on September 16. There are 100 spots—apply early if you want to go.

How much do you think you can turn 100 U into in 14 days?

$MARSCOIN The FDV is now a little over 200 million, but on Predict people are already betting whether it can reach 1 billion.

What makes this coin interesting has never been the fundamentals, but how high the narrative can stack.

It started as a Mars meme, then got listed on Binance Alpha,

then CZ publicly ranked its wallet as the number one "most likely to buy" probability,

and then holding it could also earn tokenized SpaceX stock.

Layer after layer, every narrative upgrade brings in another wave of people.

The current pricing on Predict is:

300 million: 59%, more than half think it can get there, only 50% away from the current price

400 million: 34%, one-third are betting on a double

500 million: 20%, a minority are betting on continued hype

1 billion: 8%, purely betting on conviction

Total volume is 2.3 million U, with settlement on October 1.

Buying the coin and buying the prediction market are two different plays.

Buying the coin means betting it will keep going up; buying the prediction means pricing where it can go. The odds are different, and so is the risk structure.

But underneath, it is the same question:

How far can this narrative still go?

Predict has turned US stocks into a 15-minute up/down trading board.

S&P 500 (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) are now directly tradable.

In the entire prediction market space, there isn’t a second one that has made US stocks at this level of granularity.

This isn’t just random new listings.

Previously, the 5-minute and 15-minute boards for $BTC accounted for more than half of the platform’s trading volume—users have already validated this high-frequency battle-style玩法.

Now, the same logic has been brought over to US stock indexes, and the board is immediately opened up by a whole chunk.

What’s even more interesting is the timing: crypto users are moving into stocks, and stock users are also moving onto-chain.

The sentiments and capital on both sides are converging, and an order book setup like SPY/QQQ is stuck right in the middle—people who understand US stocks have an edge in judgment, while people who are used to operating on-chain have an advantage in tools.

More underlying assets will be added going forward.

A 15-minute settlement cycle—if you want to play short-term cycles, you can go check the board now.

Predict 悄悄上线了开发者面板。

In the screenshot you can see: create an app, generate keys, check usage, view rate limits—everything is self-serve. No need to contact official support, no need to wait for approvals; you can go straight into the back office to operate.

This matters more than it looks.

If the prediction market is going to truly grow, you can’t rely on just placing orders via the website.

You need someone to build order-posting tools, someone to handle data aggregation, someone to build strategy API integrations—these things don’t fall from the sky; developers build them.

Previously, accessing the API required an approval process. Now it’s self-serve, and the barrier drops by a whole level.

The Builder Program has also been running continuously. People with development skills who join now are among the earliest cohorts.

For ordinary users, the significance of this update is: later on, more and more third-party tools will appear—better order-posting interfaces, more intuitive dashboards, and more worry-free strategy bots. These are the products of a developer ecosystem that keeps getting thicker.

“Ecosystem” may be a tired word, but the logic is real: if people build tools, the platform can develop real moat.

If you have development ability, go take a look now.

Predict starts recruiting part-time BD, and in less than a day we received over 200 applications.

In a bear market, most projects are cutting staff, but this one is hiring instead—showing that the platform truly has something to expand.

The job itself isn’t complicated: help the platform broaden its channels, attract real users, and drive trading volume. It’s results-oriented—base salary + commission + bonuses, with no rigid limits on headcount. If you can make it work, you’ll earn.

But I think there’s something even more worth highlighting.

For people who want to get into the crypto space but have average education or limited industry experience, this kind of role is actually a very realistic entry point.

It’s not that the pay is extremely high; it’s that during the process, you’ll learn the product inside and out. You’ll also build your own circle and network along the way.

These things don’t belong to Predict—they belong to you. You can take them with you to the next project.

Over 200 applications already tells us the competition is real. There will be pre-screening and interviews afterward—if you want to try, apply early.
@predictdotfun

Before, many people criticized that Predict’s liquidity is worse than Polymarket. This isn’t a smear—it’s just a fact.

This thread from Ahuang is a positive response—over the past month, he talked to a dozen-plus institutions market makers, and most of the major names in the crypto space are there.

Why does this matter?

The most direct user experience in prediction markets isn’t the UI or the event prize pool—it comes down to three things:

When you want to enter, are there enough counterparty orders?

When you want to exit, will you get eaten by slippage?

And whether the odds/price actually reflect the market’s consensus.

If these three aren’t done well, users try a few times and don’t come back.

My own recent experience has been very obvious—when I open the $BTC up/down market, it’s no longer “let’s see if there’s volume first before deciding whether to place an order.”

With the order book there, with volume there, and the bid-ask spread pushed down to 1¢—this is what a market that people can seriously trade should look like.

Of course, thicker BTC books don’t mean the whole site is automatically great; esports, sports, and long-tail events are still a different story in terms of depth.

But the direction is right.

Liquidity isn’t marketing language—it’s whether users are willing to put their next real chunk of money into the market.

This road is only just starting to look like it’s going somewhere.

$BTC reaching $1 million will happen far faster than everyone expects.

Not “it might reach”—but “it will reach faster than you think.”

But more worth discussing than the number itself is the logic behind what he said.

In the next decade, the best window for development is here for payments, AI, stablecoins, RWA, and tokenization of stocks—these foundational infrastructures.

People always overestimate what can be done in one year, but underestimate what can be done in ten.

On Binance bStocks, growth accelerated rapidly within just three months—that’s only the beginning.

CZ also specifically called out Hong Kong—plainly put: the financial advantages accumulated over decades there—capital, regulation, talent, liquidity, and global connectivity—if they’re gradually moved onto the chain, could enable a huge catch-up and even leap ahead. But the prerequisite is: don’t keep hesitating.

In summary, there’s only one judgment:
In the next ten years, more and more assets and financial infrastructure will migrate onto the chain.

This isn’t a prediction—it’s already happening.

On Xianyu, CZ’s signed copy of *Binance Life* has already been bid up to 4444 RMB per book!

Predict’s official community is now offering a free draw.

Not the regular edition—this is the CZ handwritten signed version, limited quantity, and the authentic copy can’t be bought in the market.

To participate, there’s only one step: join the Predict ZH official community, send the passphrase, and you’re done.

This is your last chance—drawing at 12:00 UTC+8 on August 30, ending tomorrow at noon.

There aren’t many people in the community right now; when you join, you’re competing with only a few.

The entrance is in the chat room!

Xianyu has a signed copy of "Binance Life" for 4444!\n\nNow you can enter a free giveaway in the Predict official group!\n\nNot the regular version\n\nIt’s the CZ personally signed version. The pirated copies being sold on Xianyu are everywhere.\n\nHow to participate is extremely simple:\n\nJoin the Predict ZH official Telegram group,\n\nSend the keyword “玩预测就来 predict.fun”, and you can enter the raffle.\n\nDraw time: August 30 at 12:00 UTC+8 — that’s tomorrow at noon.\n\nThere aren’t many participants in the group right now, so your chance of winning is higher than you think.\n\nEntry link is in the comments section.

TI Finals are here—today is Championship Night.

Official Asian Games esports commentary. This afternoon at 1:00 PM, we’ll watch the action with you end-to-end in the official Predict.fun Telegram group.

BO5 format: pre-match analysis and post-match breakdown. We’ll explain every draft (BP) and every team fight in full detail.

Watch the match and earn a little on the side: we’ll randomly select 10 viewers during the stream—20 USDT each.

No advance notice for the giveaway—stay online all the way so you don’t miss out.

Plus, like, comment, and share to participate in splitting an additional 5 sets of 10 USDT.

The TI prediction event is also still running: a $100,000 USDT prize pool—today is the last day.

📅 8/23 (Sun) 13:00 UTC+8 📍 Link is in the comments

predict，it’s increasingly starting to look like a dedicated prediction market for the Asia-Pacific region.

We’ve done in-depth research into user needs in the Asia-Pacific region.

The prediction market for the King of Glory professional league is now live.

Where are all the King of Glory players?

This game has such a massive user base—on mobile, the volume directly dwarfs most PC games.

We’re currently in the third round of the regular season (through 8.23),

followed immediately by the playoffs (8.27-9.6),

and then the Summer Series finals (9.12).

The betting board is already up—if you’re a true King of Glory fan, you can go take a look.

In esports, Predict is covering more and more of it.

The knockout stage is underway—the pace is way faster than the group stage.

Every match is a do-or-die situation: lose and you’re going home. That’s the kind of game that makes betting exciting.

The Predict International event is still ongoing: a $100,000 USDT + 5,000,000 PP prize pool, with spots for the top 1,000 participants.

Lock in at least 20 shares. If your prediction is correct, points are awarded automatically, and your积分 are updated in real time on the leaderboard.

There are more betting markets in the knockout stage than in the group stage—if you understand teams, now’s a great time to get in.

Go straight to the event page—don’t wait until the final to remember.

Which team are you betting on to make it all the way to the end?

Binance-Backed Project: Predict The official Asian Games esports commentators are here

Watch Dota 2 and make a bit of money while you’re at it—something like this isn’t common.

Join the predictions and you can earn points and prizes at the same time!

This Saturday at 7:00 PM, join the Predict official community chat and watch the TI crucial matches with you.

It’s not just watching the games—commentators will break down BP logic and explain the details of team fights. After watching a match, you’ll truly understand what happened.

Understand the game—then you can back the right direction.

During the livestream, 10 viewers will be randomly selected throughout. Each gets 25 USDT. Prizes may drop at any time— the longer you watch, the more chances you’ll have.

TI is currently underway and the prize pool is still growing. Joining the group now is just in time.

📅 August 15 (Saturday) 19:00 UTC+8 📍 Predict.fun Official Telegram Group — link in the comments.

Predict Now the ways we cooperate are becoming more open. If you have content, you can become an ambassador.

If you have a community, you can apply for title sponsorship.

If you have channels, you can get higher commission rebates. As long as you have real resources and can help the platform grow, benefits like cash, points, merchandise, and exclusive events can all be negotiated.

The last World Cup has already proven this model: there was a community that directly converted from title sponsorship into a long-term partnership.

Now esports The International is also underway. The events are ongoing, and the partnership window is open as well.

This isn’t a group for one-time posting—it’s for partners who can work together on long-term content and events. If you have ideas, you can contact @Predictdotfun directly.

The World Cup just wrapped up, and Predict immediately went into esports.

The International — Dota 2’s highest-tier global event — kicks off in Shanghai tomorrow.

Predict’s accompanying events launch at the same time, with a prize pool of $100,000 USDT + 5,000,000 PP.

The gameplay is the same as the World Cup: choose which team you think will win, lock in at least 20份 (shares) in advance. If your prediction is correct, you’ll automatically receive event points. Points don’t reset—at the end, the top 1,000 on the leaderboard will share the prize pool.

Two phases: Group stage (8.13–8.16): $25,000 + 1,000,000 PP Final (8.20–8.23): $75,000 + 4,000,000 PP — the bulk is in the finals.

If you know Dota, you really have an information advantage this time.

Unlike the crypto market where you need to watch the K-line and on-chain data, here it’s all about your knowledge of the teams—who’s in good form, which matches have suspense. People who have watched the games understand more than pure traders.

While the World Cup winners had a chance to profit from football knowledge, TI’s opportunity is right here.

There are less than 4 hours left until the event starts—go straight to Predict’s homepage.

Do you follow Dota? Which team are you backing?

Let me ask something: if Trump were to start a war, would that mean he could be re-elected in the 2028 presidential election?

On Predict's current 2028 presidential election market, the frontrunner is Vance at 21%.

Many people still say Trump will continue, but legally, this matter is basically locked down.

After serving two terms, the 22nd Amendment has no exceptions. To change the law requires a two-thirds vote in both houses of Congress plus approval from 38 states—so it’s unlikely anyone will see it in this lifetime.

So the market is assigning probabilities to those who are eligible.

Vance at 21%, the current vice president—this succession logic is the smoothest;

Rubio and Gavin Newsom are tied at 13%.

One represents the Republican Party’s traditional wing, and the other is the strongest candidate from the Democratic Party;

AOC at 11%, the hottest among young voters.

What’s interesting is the AOC price chart—Polymarket gives her 10%, while Predict gives 11%.

The two sides are basically aligned, suggesting this isn’t random noise, but a real market consensus.

It’s still more than two years until 2028, but prediction markets are already trading one question: after the Trump era, who comes next?