If 58,000 USD is lost and the candle closes with confirmation below this zone, the probability that the downward momentum extends to around 48,000 USD will increase significantly.
For now, I’m still prioritizing patience and waiting for confirmation—no FOMO.
Which scenario are you leaning toward? 📉 Or will BTC break through this resistance zone right away?
Before executing a trade, aside from the RR factor, you gotta ask yourself: Why am I entering this position? What's my win rate? What factors are influencing this Long (or short) trade? Only then should you consider other factors!❌❌❌ Never jump into a trade based on outside information; rely on your own analysis. External info can mess with your emotions and judgment!
Most people look at good traders and think: “What incredible patience and mental strength.”
But that’s not what’s really happening.
They don’t feel pain when they hit a stop (cut loss).
They don’t struggle to follow the rules and maintain consistency.
Through thorough testing and practice, they deeply believe that repeating those actions and allowing the overall wins and losses to occur will ultimately create profit.
You won’t suffer from what you truly believe in.
In fact, they feel resistance and discomfort when they deviate from the rules.
This is not a discipline issue.
This is a belief issue.
Have you really built belief in maintaining consistency more than in winning or losing in the short term?
Last week, gold faced strong selling pressure, decreasing from 5.238 to 5.009 USD/oz, closing around 5.020 USD/oz.
Data from the U.S. shows that Q4/2025 GDP only increased by 0.7%, much lower than expected, while GDP inflation rose to 3.8%. This raises market concerns about the stagflation scenario.
Along with Middle Eastern tensions and rising oil prices, the FED is likely to continue keeping interest rates high, supporting the USD and bond yields — factors putting pressure on gold in the short term.
📉 Technical Perspective • If it drops below 5.000 USD → gold could drop to 4.800 USD • Resistance to watch: 5.238 – 5.418 USD • The H4 frame still leans towards a downward trend
⚠️ The analysis is for reference only. Always manage risks before trading.
The biggest mistake in analysis is not whether you analyze and predict correctly or incorrectly. It is how you react to the situation. What often happens here is this:
You draw a chart, and unfortunately, the price goes quite similarly to that chart. Immediately, you think it’s correct and enter the trade exactly as you thought before. Regardless of how the price moves afterward, you almost don't want to think that you are wrong. And immediately, you will have to pay the price.
If you are right, try to gain as much as possible. If you are wrong, accept it and find a way to lose the least.
The current overall trend still prioritizes a long-term bearish view. During the retracements, I will focus on observing price reactions at 92.6k and 91.4k to seek suitable opportunities.
The long-term target is expected around 62k, however, actions will only be taken when there are clear signals, not based on intuition.
This perspective is for reference only. Risk management and discipline are always the top priorities.$BTC