Max_S
Max专注传统金融与web3的融合，坚持以实战视角复盘市场热点，分享兼具全球化视野与前沿体感的Web3商业观察 。
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Fellow villagers, don't sleep yet! Take a look at the $BTC market!!
I just glanced at the neighboring gold (Gold) which is also plummeting, this explains it. Previously, BTC surged to 70,000, largely benefiting from the geopolitical tensions, what we call the 'war premium'. Now that news of an agreement between the US and Iran has emerged, market panic has eased, and funds naturally want to withdraw from safe-haven assets to take profits.
This is the classic trading logic: "When the cannon fires, gold is worth ten thousand taels; when an agreement is signed, assets are halved".
What does this mean for BTC?
Since the drop is caused by the 'failure of safe-haven properties,' this pullback might not be technical but rather logical.
1. Weaker support: The support mentioned at $67,000, if it loses the backing of macro sentiment, could become as thin as paper.
2. Spillover effect: If gold continues to drop, BTC, as 'digital gold,' will find it hard to stand alone and is likely to follow downwards.
I’ll keep an eye on the news for everyone, please click to follow 🙏🏻
I just glanced at the neighboring gold (Gold) which is also plummeting, this explains it. Previously, BTC surged to 70,000, largely benefiting from the geopolitical tensions, what we call the 'war premium'. Now that news of an agreement between the US and Iran has emerged, market panic has eased, and funds naturally want to withdraw from safe-haven assets to take profits.
This is the classic trading logic: "When the cannon fires, gold is worth ten thousand taels; when an agreement is signed, assets are halved".
What does this mean for BTC?
Since the drop is caused by the 'failure of safe-haven properties,' this pullback might not be technical but rather logical.
1. Weaker support: The support mentioned at $67,000, if it loses the backing of macro sentiment, could become as thin as paper.
2. Spillover effect: If gold continues to drop, BTC, as 'digital gold,' will find it hard to stand alone and is likely to follow downwards.
I’ll keep an eye on the news for everyone, please click to follow 🙏🏻
Bottom fishing in Japanese bonds!
Don't be brainwashed by the $6,000 slogan! Big funds have already swapped gold for Japanese bonds.
Today is February 17. Spot gold has still fallen below $5,000, currently struggling around $4,980; meanwhile, after failing to break through $71,000, Bitcoin has returned to $68,900 in fluctuation. Many people are confused: inflation in the U.S. has clearly cooled, interest rate cut expectations have stabilized, so why are gold and BTC still falling?
We need to consider a question: if interest rate cuts are a real positive, who is selling now?
This is called holiday liquidity exhaustion. The Chinese Lunar New Year holiday and U.S. Presidents' Day have left the market feeling empty. For the big players who set up positions at 4,500 points, $5,000 is their last cover to take advantage of retail investors' optimistic sentiment and complete an orderly retreat.
So, where exactly is this massive amount of money that has come out of hard assets flowing to?
Although BTC, as digital gold, has absorbed some liquidity, its rise and fall at 70,000 points proves that it is currently just a pressure testing station for funds. The real endpoint carrying huge institutional funds is Japanese government bonds.
Even the biggest short seller of Japanese bonds—Mark Nash—has now turned around and heavily invested in Japanese bonds? Why?
Because previously, the yield on Japan's 10-year government bonds surged to decades-high levels, which was a signal of a bond market collapse; but after the victory of the high city early rice, the stability of the political situation directly eliminated the market's fear of policy unpredictability. While the U.S. is still worried about a $2 trillion fiscal deficit and the erosion of the dollar's credit, the certainty of Japanese government bonds has become the meat in the eyes of global funds. Nash is focused not only on bond returns but also on the 9% appreciation potential of yen assets compared to the Swiss franc. This is the real landing point chosen by smart money after withdrawing from gold.
After gold breaks below $5,000, is it an opportunity or a abyss?
Goldman Sachs and Bank of America predict that gold prices could rise to $5,400 or even $6,000 by the end of the year, but in the short term, the longer it stays below $5,000, the more bullish confidence collapses. Large funds are shifting from emotional gold to the certainty of Japan.
Today is February 17. Spot gold has still fallen below $5,000, currently struggling around $4,980; meanwhile, after failing to break through $71,000, Bitcoin has returned to $68,900 in fluctuation. Many people are confused: inflation in the U.S. has clearly cooled, interest rate cut expectations have stabilized, so why are gold and BTC still falling?
We need to consider a question: if interest rate cuts are a real positive, who is selling now?
This is called holiday liquidity exhaustion. The Chinese Lunar New Year holiday and U.S. Presidents' Day have left the market feeling empty. For the big players who set up positions at 4,500 points, $5,000 is their last cover to take advantage of retail investors' optimistic sentiment and complete an orderly retreat.
So, where exactly is this massive amount of money that has come out of hard assets flowing to?
Although BTC, as digital gold, has absorbed some liquidity, its rise and fall at 70,000 points proves that it is currently just a pressure testing station for funds. The real endpoint carrying huge institutional funds is Japanese government bonds.
Even the biggest short seller of Japanese bonds—Mark Nash—has now turned around and heavily invested in Japanese bonds? Why?
Because previously, the yield on Japan's 10-year government bonds surged to decades-high levels, which was a signal of a bond market collapse; but after the victory of the high city early rice, the stability of the political situation directly eliminated the market's fear of policy unpredictability. While the U.S. is still worried about a $2 trillion fiscal deficit and the erosion of the dollar's credit, the certainty of Japanese government bonds has become the meat in the eyes of global funds. Nash is focused not only on bond returns but also on the 9% appreciation potential of yen assets compared to the Swiss franc. This is the real landing point chosen by smart money after withdrawing from gold.
After gold breaks below $5,000, is it an opportunity or a abyss?
Goldman Sachs and Bank of America predict that gold prices could rise to $5,400 or even $6,000 by the end of the year, but in the short term, the longer it stays below $5,000, the more bullish confidence collapses. Large funds are shifting from emotional gold to the certainty of Japan.
ZeroLend announces the cessation of operations! Users withdraw funds quickly🚨
Another DeFi veteran has fallen. After three years of operation, ZeroLend has just announced that it will gradually stop all protocol operations. This is not a drill; if you have funds there, hurry to withdraw! 🏃♂️💨
⚠️ What happened?
Despite the team's efforts, the drawbacks of multi-chain expansion have become apparent. #ZeroLend Several chains (such as Manta, Zircuit, XLayer) that were supported early on are now severely lacking in liquidity, and even some oracles are no longer providing data support. Coupled with thin profit margins and hackers on the prowl, the team admits they simply can't hold on any longer, facing long-term losses.
🛑 Current operational advice:
1. Withdraw coins immediately: The official has set the LTV for most markets to 0%, which means you can only repay and withdraw, but cannot borrow anymore.
2. What to do if stuck? If your assets are on chains with poor liquidity (such as Manta/XLayer) and cannot be withdrawn, don't panic. The official is working on a smart contract upgrade (Timelock) to redistribute assets and refund everyone; keep an eye on official announcements.
The DeFi world is harsh; once 'hot projects' may come to an end due to changes in the on-chain environment. When rushing for new projects and engaging in DeFi, always remember to periodically check if the chain where your assets are located is still 'alive.'
Another DeFi veteran has fallen. After three years of operation, ZeroLend has just announced that it will gradually stop all protocol operations. This is not a drill; if you have funds there, hurry to withdraw! 🏃♂️💨
⚠️ What happened?
Despite the team's efforts, the drawbacks of multi-chain expansion have become apparent. #ZeroLend Several chains (such as Manta, Zircuit, XLayer) that were supported early on are now severely lacking in liquidity, and even some oracles are no longer providing data support. Coupled with thin profit margins and hackers on the prowl, the team admits they simply can't hold on any longer, facing long-term losses.
🛑 Current operational advice:
1. Withdraw coins immediately: The official has set the LTV for most markets to 0%, which means you can only repay and withdraw, but cannot borrow anymore.
2. What to do if stuck? If your assets are on chains with poor liquidity (such as Manta/XLayer) and cannot be withdrawn, don't panic. The official is working on a smart contract upgrade (Timelock) to redistribute assets and refund everyone; keep an eye on official announcements.
The DeFi world is harsh; once 'hot projects' may come to an end due to changes in the on-chain environment. When rushing for new projects and engaging in DeFi, always remember to periodically check if the chain where your assets are located is still 'alive.'
CZ has made a thought-provoking point: the 'missing link' that hinders the widespread adoption of cryptocurrency payments may be — privacy.
He pointed out that while the transparency of blockchain is an advantage, in commercial scenarios such as salary payments, complete on-chain transparency has become a stumbling block. Imagine if your payslip is visible on-chain to everyone; not only is this embarrassing, but it also poses a risk! ⚠️
This viewpoint is not unfounded. Recent data shows that 'physical attacks' targeting cryptocurrency holders have increased in 2025-2026, even affecting executives at Binance France. CZ's emphasis on privacy at this moment is, in fact, highlighting a new narrative that on-chain privacy = personal safety.
In addition, the highly anticipated personal memoir #CZ is confirmed to be released from late February to early March. It is reported that the book will reveal details of his life in prison over the past four months and deep reflections on the industry, with all proceeds donated to charity.
He pointed out that while the transparency of blockchain is an advantage, in commercial scenarios such as salary payments, complete on-chain transparency has become a stumbling block. Imagine if your payslip is visible on-chain to everyone; not only is this embarrassing, but it also poses a risk! ⚠️
This viewpoint is not unfounded. Recent data shows that 'physical attacks' targeting cryptocurrency holders have increased in 2025-2026, even affecting executives at Binance France. CZ's emphasis on privacy at this moment is, in fact, highlighting a new narrative that on-chain privacy = personal safety.
In addition, the highly anticipated personal memoir #CZ is confirmed to be released from late February to early March. It is reported that the book will reveal details of his life in prison over the past four months and deep reflections on the industry, with all proceeds donated to charity.
From Spring Festival Gala Robots to Computing Power Energy Wars: Why Does China Hold the 'Trumps' in the AI Era?
In the Spring Festival of 2026, while the whole world was still amazed by OpenAI's latest model parameters, China showcased another side of AI to the world through a Spring Festival Gala—embodied intelligence's physical landing.
Opening the program list for the 2026 CCTV Spring Festival Gala, we see an unprecedented 'AI military parade'. This is no longer the simple mechanical dance display of a few years ago, but a concentrated explosion of China's robot industry with 'multiple enterprises, multiple models, and all scenarios'.
The full-stack cluster of Magic Atom has made robots the best 'atmosphere group', performing alongside Chen Xiaochun and Yi Yangqianxi in (Smart Manufacturing Future), with the coordination of movements difficult to distinguish from reality.
Opening the program list for the 2026 CCTV Spring Festival Gala, we see an unprecedented 'AI military parade'. This is no longer the simple mechanical dance display of a few years ago, but a concentrated explosion of China's robot industry with 'multiple enterprises, multiple models, and all scenarios'.
The full-stack cluster of Magic Atom has made robots the best 'atmosphere group', performing alongside Chen Xiaochun and Yi Yangqianxi in (Smart Manufacturing Future), with the coordination of movements difficult to distinguish from reality.
BlackRock's transfer of $257 million worth of BTC to Coinbase has sparked widespread discussion online, with the market experiencing a drop and rampant FUD. However, as an experienced investor, I suggest everyone take their eyes off the K-line charts and review what CZ said in his previous AMA.
🤖 CZ's 'Ten-Year Commitment': AI Agents
In the recent Binance Square AMA, although CZ has stepped back from the limelight, he still made remarkable statements. Unlike the short-term price fluctuations that everyone is focused on, CZ is betting on the 'AI Agent Economy'.
He believes that traditional banks cannot support the high-frequency trading of thousands of AI agents in the future, and only cryptocurrency can achieve this.
CZ revealed that the number of students at Giggle Academy has exceeded 150,000! Moreover, he announced that the approximately $18,000 in tips received from that AMA would be donated 100% to Giggle. The current CZ is more like a builder for the industry rather than just a trader.
Wall Street (BlackRock) is making swings, while CZ is laying the groundwork for the next era of 'infrastructure' (education + AI payments). If you're feeling anxious about today's drop, consider this: in the future, will AI robots use fiat currency or Crypto for payments? #cz入局教育板块
🤖 CZ's 'Ten-Year Commitment': AI Agents
In the recent Binance Square AMA, although CZ has stepped back from the limelight, he still made remarkable statements. Unlike the short-term price fluctuations that everyone is focused on, CZ is betting on the 'AI Agent Economy'.
He believes that traditional banks cannot support the high-frequency trading of thousands of AI agents in the future, and only cryptocurrency can achieve this.
CZ revealed that the number of students at Giggle Academy has exceeded 150,000! Moreover, he announced that the approximately $18,000 in tips received from that AMA would be donated 100% to Giggle. The current CZ is more like a builder for the industry rather than just a trader.
Wall Street (BlackRock) is making swings, while CZ is laying the groundwork for the next era of 'infrastructure' (education + AI payments). If you're feeling anxious about today's drop, consider this: in the future, will AI robots use fiat currency or Crypto for payments? #cz入局教育板块
CZ and Chamath Palihapitiya recently issued a warning: the lack of native privacy protection is the biggest obstacle preventing Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies from truly going mainstream.
Why is it difficult for industries other than web3 to pay salaries in cryptocurrency? 🤔
Imagine if a company announced tomorrow that it would pay you via on-chain transfers. It sounds cool, but the problems arise: as soon as you click on that payment address on the blockchain explorer, everyone in the company can see how much money each person received, how much the boss has in assets, and even where your colleagues spent money yesterday. 👀
What we often take pride in as "on-chain transparency" becomes a bug in payment scenarios. For ordinary people, no one wants their bank transactions to be live-streamed to the whole world; for companies, it’s even less possible to let competitors see through their cash flow.
Only when we can enjoy the convenience of digital transactions while protecting transaction privacy, can Mass Adoption truly arrive. This is also why I have long been optimistic about privacy computing and the ZK (Zero-Knowledge Proof) field.
If this issue is not resolved, Crypto may forever remain just an "asset" and never become a "currency".
#CZ
Why is it difficult for industries other than web3 to pay salaries in cryptocurrency? 🤔
Imagine if a company announced tomorrow that it would pay you via on-chain transfers. It sounds cool, but the problems arise: as soon as you click on that payment address on the blockchain explorer, everyone in the company can see how much money each person received, how much the boss has in assets, and even where your colleagues spent money yesterday. 👀
What we often take pride in as "on-chain transparency" becomes a bug in payment scenarios. For ordinary people, no one wants their bank transactions to be live-streamed to the whole world; for companies, it’s even less possible to let competitors see through their cash flow.
Only when we can enjoy the convenience of digital transactions while protecting transaction privacy, can Mass Adoption truly arrive. This is also why I have long been optimistic about privacy computing and the ZK (Zero-Knowledge Proof) field.
If this issue is not resolved, Crypto may forever remain just an "asset" and never become a "currency".
#CZ
Computing Power Inflation and Electronic Famine: When AI Meets the Physical Limits of a Century-Old Power Grid
Over the past five years, Wall Street analysts have been focused on the housing and food components of the CPI, while collectively ignoring the quietest elephant in the room—electricity. By early 2026, the average electricity price for American residents has quietly risen from $0.13 per kWh five years ago to $0.18 per kWh, an increase of over 36%. For the average American household, this means monthly electricity expenses have jumped from the $120 range to the $160 range.
However, this is not simply a story of inflation. Electricity—this modern society's most fundamental 'commodity'—is transitioning from an infinitely supplied public service to a scarce resource that constrains productivity development. The core driver of this situation is the productivity engine we have high hopes for—artificial intelligence.
However, this is not simply a story of inflation. Electricity—this modern society's most fundamental 'commodity'—is transitioning from an infinitely supplied public service to a scarce resource that constrains productivity development. The core driver of this situation is the productivity engine we have high hopes for—artificial intelligence.
According to the latest updates, Elon Musk's "Everything App" vision has taken another step forward—X Money has entered the internal testing phase, and there are even reports that we may be able to trade cryptocurrency directly in the app within a few weeks.
A dimensional reduction attack? The impact on centralized exchanges (CEX)
Don't think that Musk is trying to take CEX's business. X is essentially focused on traffic aggregation. It doesn't directly facilitate transactions, but rather connects to mainstream platforms (like eToro or top exchanges) via API.
It will bring a massive influx of "novice" funds to the exchanges, acting as a super traffic pool. However, the exchanges' "entry position" is indeed weakened. In the future, users may no longer be used to opening exchange apps to check prices, but instead trade directly while scrolling Twitter on X, returning the power of traffic distribution to Musk.
Are you more optimistic about the traffic that X brings, or do you worry that it will dilute the depth of existing exchanges? Let's discuss in the comments!
#X平台将可交易加密资产
A dimensional reduction attack? The impact on centralized exchanges (CEX)
Don't think that Musk is trying to take CEX's business. X is essentially focused on traffic aggregation. It doesn't directly facilitate transactions, but rather connects to mainstream platforms (like eToro or top exchanges) via API.
It will bring a massive influx of "novice" funds to the exchanges, acting as a super traffic pool. However, the exchanges' "entry position" is indeed weakened. In the future, users may no longer be used to opening exchange apps to check prices, but instead trade directly while scrolling Twitter on X, returning the power of traffic distribution to Musk.
Are you more optimistic about the traffic that X brings, or do you worry that it will dilute the depth of existing exchanges? Let's discuss in the comments!
#X平台将可交易加密资产
The point about "chip devaluation" mentioned by Nikki the octopus is too sharp.
The #AWS in 2006 was mainly about innovation in software and services, with low marginal costs; but this time it's all about tangible hardware arms races.
The H100/H200 iterations are happening so quickly that they may become outdated before recouping costs. This isn't just about vision; it's also about the speed of cash flow consumption. Wall Street's concerns this time are not without reason. 🤔
The #AWS in 2006 was mainly about innovation in software and services, with low marginal costs; but this time it's all about tangible hardware arms races.
The H100/H200 iterations are happening so quickly that they may become outdated before recouping costs. This isn't just about vision; it's also about the speed of cash flow consumption. Wall Street's concerns this time are not without reason. 🤔
It's so unusual! The U.S. inflation just dropped to 2.4% in January, the lowest in six months, and the Federal Reserve is almost waking up with a smile. Logically, the stock market should be celebrating, but unexpectedly, the e-commerce giant Amazon has just set the worst consecutive decline record in 20 years, falling back into the shadows of 2006. Since money is no longer becoming expensive, why is Wall Street choosing this moment to send Amazon into a bear market?
To find the answer, let's pull back time to 2006. That year, Amazon also saw a nine-day consecutive decline like now because Bezos wanted to spend money on something that no one understood at the time—AWS cloud computing. Everyone criticized him as crazy, saying he was wasting cash, and profits plummeted by 55%.
Twenty years later, history is repeating itself. Current CEO Jassy also wants to spend money, but this time the amount has become an astonishing $200 billion. What exactly is he betting on?
This time he is not betting on the cloud; he is betting on AI infrastructure. What does $200 billion mean? It could drain all of Amazon's cash reserves and even put the company under significant debt. Wall Street is not afraid of AI; it fears that these chips worth tens of thousands of dollars each will devalue to scrap metal before they can even break even.
So the third question: If AWS took 10 years to show returns back then, do investors today have the patience to wait another ten years in the current AI race?
Now that Microsoft and Amazon have both entered a technical bear market, does this indicate that the AI faith of the seven giants has already shown cracks? The CEOs are urging everyone to be patient, saying this is not blind investment but a future cash cow. At the end of the video, do you think Amazon will, like in 2006, dominate the next twenty years with AI again, or will it be completely crushed by this $200 billion?
To find the answer, let's pull back time to 2006. That year, Amazon also saw a nine-day consecutive decline like now because Bezos wanted to spend money on something that no one understood at the time—AWS cloud computing. Everyone criticized him as crazy, saying he was wasting cash, and profits plummeted by 55%.
Twenty years later, history is repeating itself. Current CEO Jassy also wants to spend money, but this time the amount has become an astonishing $200 billion. What exactly is he betting on?
This time he is not betting on the cloud; he is betting on AI infrastructure. What does $200 billion mean? It could drain all of Amazon's cash reserves and even put the company under significant debt. Wall Street is not afraid of AI; it fears that these chips worth tens of thousands of dollars each will devalue to scrap metal before they can even break even.
So the third question: If AWS took 10 years to show returns back then, do investors today have the patience to wait another ten years in the current AI race?
Now that Microsoft and Amazon have both entered a technical bear market, does this indicate that the AI faith of the seven giants has already shown cracks? The CEOs are urging everyone to be patient, saying this is not blind investment but a future cash cow. At the end of the video, do you think Amazon will, like in 2006, dominate the next twenty years with AI again, or will it be completely crushed by this $200 billion?
Happy Valentine's Day to everyone! However, for those of us who are watching the market, the CPI data for January released last night is obviously more heartwarming than roses. 🌹📈
This report is very impressive:
CPI year-on-year decreased to 2.4% (expected 2.5%)
Core CPI remained stable at 2.5%
This data "exceeded expectations and declined," directly pushing the probability of a rate cut in March back to over 50%. For our crypto market, this is definitely a significant positive:
The dollar is weakening, $BTC is strengthening: The DXY dollar index has already started to decline, and as the "anti-dollar" pioneer Bitcoin, it provided positive feedback last night.
Funds are flowing back in: Everyone can pay attention to the USDT premium and funding rate on Binance. The inflation pressure alarm has been lifted, and those risk-averse funds waiting for a "hard landing" on the sidelines are now very likely to start bottom-fishing.
Note: Don't go all in at high emotional positions; make good use of the strategy trading tool #币安 to build positions in batches.
#CPI数据来袭
This report is very impressive:
CPI year-on-year decreased to 2.4% (expected 2.5%)
Core CPI remained stable at 2.5%
This data "exceeded expectations and declined," directly pushing the probability of a rate cut in March back to over 50%. For our crypto market, this is definitely a significant positive:
The dollar is weakening, $BTC is strengthening: The DXY dollar index has already started to decline, and as the "anti-dollar" pioneer Bitcoin, it provided positive feedback last night.
Funds are flowing back in: Everyone can pay attention to the USDT premium and funding rate on Binance. The inflation pressure alarm has been lifted, and those risk-averse funds waiting for a "hard landing" on the sidelines are now very likely to start bottom-fishing.
Note: Don't go all in at high emotional positions; make good use of the strategy trading tool #币安 to build positions in batches.
#CPI数据来袭
🚨 Tonight at 21:30, a heavyweight bomb! The CPI data is about to be revealed, who will be laughing in the end?
Brothers, buckle up! 🇺🇸 January CPI data is about to be published. The current market is like the calm before the storm, the main players are waiting for this card to be played.
👇 Pay attention to these key expected values:
CPI year-on-year expectation: 2.5% (previous value 2.7%) — The market bets on a significant cooling of inflation!
Core CPI year-on-year expectation: 2.5% (previous value 2.6%)
Core CPI month-on-month expectation: 0.3% (previous value 0.2%)
Script predictions (suggest to bookmark):
Bullish script (🚀): If the actual value < 2.5%, inflation cools more than expected, interest rate cut expectations soar, the big pie is likely to surge directly, hitting the upper resistance level!
Bearish script (🩸): If the actual value > 2.7%, inflation rebounds, and the Federal Reserve turns hawkish, then we might see a wave of "waterfall" washout tonight, be careful with long positions.
Volatile script (〰️): If the data meets expectations (2.5%), there may be up and down spikes with a "painting door" market, a double kill for both bulls and bears before entering a volatile phase.
Operation suggestion:
The moment the data is published will be extremely volatile; contract holders are advised to stay on the sidelines or hold light positions with stop-losses, don't bet your life savings on luck! Spot traders, hold steady and don't panic.
Do you think tonight will be a "big surge" or a "golden pit"? Leave your predictions in the comments!💰
#CPI数据来袭
Brothers, buckle up! 🇺🇸 January CPI data is about to be published. The current market is like the calm before the storm, the main players are waiting for this card to be played.
👇 Pay attention to these key expected values:
CPI year-on-year expectation: 2.5% (previous value 2.7%) — The market bets on a significant cooling of inflation!
Core CPI year-on-year expectation: 2.5% (previous value 2.6%)
Core CPI month-on-month expectation: 0.3% (previous value 0.2%)
Script predictions (suggest to bookmark):
Bullish script (🚀): If the actual value < 2.5%, inflation cools more than expected, interest rate cut expectations soar, the big pie is likely to surge directly, hitting the upper resistance level!
Bearish script (🩸): If the actual value > 2.7%, inflation rebounds, and the Federal Reserve turns hawkish, then we might see a wave of "waterfall" washout tonight, be careful with long positions.
Volatile script (〰️): If the data meets expectations (2.5%), there may be up and down spikes with a "painting door" market, a double kill for both bulls and bears before entering a volatile phase.
Operation suggestion:
The moment the data is published will be extremely volatile; contract holders are advised to stay on the sidelines or hold light positions with stop-losses, don't bet your life savings on luck! Spot traders, hold steady and don't panic.
Do you think tonight will be a "big surge" or a "golden pit"? Leave your predictions in the comments!💰
#CPI数据来袭
Coinbase lost 667 million, Robinhood's crypto revenue fell 38%, and the 2025 Q4 financial report reveals the "growing pains" of the giants.
As BTC pulls back from $126,000, pure trading models are facing a valuation ceiling. Can they establish a new moat in 2026 relying on #Base , #RWA , and L2 infrastructure? This is not just a financial report, but a life-and-death battle for the migration of crypto finance from "casino" to "system."
In-depth analysis of traditional giants' "de-trading" transformation: 阅读全文
As BTC pulls back from $126,000, pure trading models are facing a valuation ceiling. Can they establish a new moat in 2026 relying on #Base , #RWA , and L2 infrastructure? This is not just a financial report, but a life-and-death battle for the migration of crypto finance from "casino" to "system."
In-depth analysis of traditional giants' "de-trading" transformation: 阅读全文
Walls and Bridges: The Compliance 'Double City' of Asia's RWA and the Institutional Breakthrough of Interest-Bearing Assets
On February 6, the People's Bank of China, in conjunction with eight ministries, issued a notice (on preventing and dealing with risks of virtual currencies and RWA tokenization) (i.e., 'Document No. 42'), which not only reiterated the ban on virtual currencies but also for the first time clearly included 'RWA (Real World Assets) tokenization' in the category of illegal financial activities, strictly prohibiting domestic institutions from engaging in such businesses. For a time, the exploration of RWA in the mainland market seemed to have been pressed to the stop button.
However, just four days later on February 10, at the '2026 Asia Crypto Finance High-Level Closed-Door Forum' held in Hong Kong, Fosun Wealth Holdings' FinChain announced a deep strategic partnership with Avalanche and officially issued an interest-bearing stablecoin based on Asian compliant assets—FUSD.
However, just four days later on February 10, at the '2026 Asia Crypto Finance High-Level Closed-Door Forum' held in Hong Kong, Fosun Wealth Holdings' FinChain announced a deep strategic partnership with Avalanche and officially issued an interest-bearing stablecoin based on Asian compliant assets—FUSD.
The House of Representatives passed a resolution to terminate Trump's tariffs on Canada with a vote of 219 to 211.
What surprised the market the most was that, in the Republican-controlled House, 6 Republican members surprisingly voted in favor. This is an extremely rare public opposition during the 'Trump era'.
Although it is very likely that Trump will use his veto power to block this in the end, it sends a strong signal: the internal resistance to such 'radical tariff policies' has begun to surface.
This bill still has some distance to go before it is actually implemented, but the emotional struggle has already started. The prudent suggestion is to continue watching key support levels for BTC, and short-term operations can look for arbitrage opportunities arising from exchange rate fluctuations.
#美国众议院终止特朗普加拿大关税
What surprised the market the most was that, in the Republican-controlled House, 6 Republican members surprisingly voted in favor. This is an extremely rare public opposition during the 'Trump era'.
Although it is very likely that Trump will use his veto power to block this in the end, it sends a strong signal: the internal resistance to such 'radical tariff policies' has begun to surface.
This bill still has some distance to go before it is actually implemented, but the emotional struggle has already started. The prudent suggestion is to continue watching key support levels for BTC, and short-term operations can look for arbitrage opportunities arising from exchange rate fluctuations.
#美国众议院终止特朗普加拿大关税
The freshly released non-farm data is simply a booster shot for the bulls!
Tonight #非农数据 Review:
Non-farm employment: Actual recorded 130K, far exceeding the expected 66K. Although the data itself doubled, let’s not forget that the 2025 benchmark was significantly revised down by 862,000, which means that the past job market is actually “weaker” than we imagined.
Unemployment rate: Actual 4.3%, better than the expected 4.4%.
Wage growth: Hourly wage increased by 0.4% month-on-month, higher than the expected 0.3%, indicating that inflationary pressures are still present, and the Federal Reserve may not lower interest rates as much as expected.
What does this mean for the cryptocurrency market?
Short-term volatility: At the moment the data was released, BTC showed a significant spike. On one hand, better-than-expected employment is good for the dollar (bad for cryptocurrencies), while on the other hand, the significant downward revision of the benchmark weakens the dollar's strength.
“Digital gold” logic: Combined with #黄金白银反弹 , the market is digesting a logic of “the economy is resilient but long-term inflation is hard to reduce.” This is a long-term positive for BTC as an anti-inflation asset.
Tonight #非农数据 Review:
Non-farm employment: Actual recorded 130K, far exceeding the expected 66K. Although the data itself doubled, let’s not forget that the 2025 benchmark was significantly revised down by 862,000, which means that the past job market is actually “weaker” than we imagined.
Unemployment rate: Actual 4.3%, better than the expected 4.4%.
Wage growth: Hourly wage increased by 0.4% month-on-month, higher than the expected 0.3%, indicating that inflationary pressures are still present, and the Federal Reserve may not lower interest rates as much as expected.
What does this mean for the cryptocurrency market?
Short-term volatility: At the moment the data was released, BTC showed a significant spike. On one hand, better-than-expected employment is good for the dollar (bad for cryptocurrencies), while on the other hand, the significant downward revision of the benchmark weakens the dollar's strength.
“Digital gold” logic: Combined with #黄金白银反弹 , the market is digesting a logic of “the economy is resilient but long-term inflation is hard to reduce.” This is a long-term positive for BTC as an anti-inflation asset.
Currently, spot gold in London has stabilized at $5100 per ounce, with an intraday increase of over 1.5%; silver performed even better, soaring 6% towards the $86 mark. The core logic behind this rebound is very clear: the U.S. retail data for December was far below expectations, and concerns about an economic recession have directly raised expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates within the year.
What signal does this send to us cryptocurrency traders?
Return of liquidity expectations: The major rebound in gold and silver is essentially a pre-pricing of 'dollar interest rate cuts'. As long as the expectations for Federal Reserve easing remain, the confidence in risk assets remains strong.
Correlation linkage: Although Bitcoin fluctuated around $69,000 today, historical experience tells us that when gold and silver first break through resistance levels, digital gold (BTC) usually follows closely behind.
Switch in risk aversion logic: Currently, the market is not only trading on interest rate cuts but also on long-term concerns about the credit system of the dollar. This narrative of 'de-dollarization' serves as a common engine for the rise of gold, silver, and cryptocurrencies.
#黄金白银反弹
What signal does this send to us cryptocurrency traders?
Return of liquidity expectations: The major rebound in gold and silver is essentially a pre-pricing of 'dollar interest rate cuts'. As long as the expectations for Federal Reserve easing remain, the confidence in risk assets remains strong.
Correlation linkage: Although Bitcoin fluctuated around $69,000 today, historical experience tells us that when gold and silver first break through resistance levels, digital gold (BTC) usually follows closely behind.
Switch in risk aversion logic: Currently, the market is not only trading on interest rate cuts but also on long-term concerns about the credit system of the dollar. This narrative of 'de-dollarization' serves as a common engine for the rise of gold, silver, and cryptocurrencies.
#黄金白银反弹
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