传奇量化

【USDT-Margined Trend Continuation · Daily Update】10-24

Whether price rises or falls, watch if the move can last for a few days
First filter out the spikes, then assess the structure

Market overview
BTC choppy　Current price 80907
ETH down　Current price 2381

Screening criteria
Structure, volume, OI, funding rates, market depth
12-point scale; same yardstick for longs and shorts. Only consider continuation at 8 points or above

Upside continuation

Primary trend (reassess if a pullback holds at the 4h EMA20/50; don't chase highs)
None today; don't force a setup

Watchlist
XMR / BTC / ETH / ZEC / SOL
XMR trading volume is thin; BTC/ETH/ZEC/SOL have broken structure

Excluded
DOS　ATR has expanded sharply
ARIA　Too extended
BTR　Volume contracted after a record surge

Downside continuation

Primary trend (reassess if a rebound is rejected at the 4h EMA20/50; don't chase shorts)
AVAX　11 points　Current price 9.0400｜Lower highs and lows, price down and OI up
INJ　11 points　Current price 7.7602｜Lower highs and lows, price down and OI up
XRP　10 points　Current price 1.2914｜Lower highs and lows, price down and OI up

Watchlist
HYPE / TAO / FIL / ARB
Volume is weak for HYPE/TAO/FIL/ARB

Excluded
STRK　ATR has expanded sharply
NEAR　New low, OI down
JCT　One-day sell-off

Notes
More short setups qualified (7 original primary-trend picks); this post only keeps the top three by score with intact structure

Review it yourself
Longs: stop following if a long bearish candle breaks the previous low
Shorts: stop following if a long bullish candle breaks the previous high

Not investment advice

#币安合约 #U本位 #TrendTracking

【USDT-Margined Trend Continuation · Daily Update】10-22

For both rallies and drops, the question is whether they can last for a few days
Filter out impulsive spikes first, then assess the structure

Market
BTC climbing along the moving averages　Current price 84173
ETH falling　Current price 2473

How to screen
Structure, volume, OI, funding rate, market depth
12-point scale, same yardstick for longs and shorts; only discuss continuation at 8 points or above

Upside continuation

Primary trend (watch for a hold on a retest of the 4h EMA20/50; don't chase highs)
XMR　11 points　Current price 623.05｜Structure aligned, OI rising with price

Watchlist
WLD / ASTER / BTC / ZEC / BCH
WLD/ZEC are overextended; ASTER/BCH have thin trading liquidity; BTC's OI isn't confirming

Exclude
NEAR　Too overextended
ICNT　Volume contracted after a massive spike
ALT　Surged over 24h

Downside continuation

Primary trend (watch for resistance at the 4h EMA20/50 on a rebound; don't chase shorts)
None today; don't force a setup

Watchlist
FIL / ARB / TAO / HYPE
FIL/ARB/TAO/HYPE have broken structure

Exclude
W　ATR expanded sharply
APR　Volume contracted after a massive spike
US　Oversold and overextended

Review for yourself
Longs: stop following after a long bearish candle breaks the previous low
Shorts: stop following after a long bullish candle breaks the previous high

Not investment advice

#币安合约 #U本位 #TrendTracking

【USDT-Margined Trend Review · Late Update】10-17

Hypothetical review
Entered at the price posted earlier and held until now; fees and slippage not included
Longs profit when prices rise; shorts profit when prices fall

Uptrend continuation (Long)
No primary trend today
Reference: APT Long -3.40% / XMR Long +0.34%

Downtrend continuation (Short)
HYPE　80.2740 → 78.7460 (Short +1.90%)

Conclusion
Longs equal-weighted —, shorts equal-weighted +1.90%
1 asset total: 1 profitable, 0 losing, 0 breakeven
For hypothetical observation only; does not indicate tomorrow’s direction

Not investment advice

#币安合约 #U本位 #Trend Tracking

【USDT-Margined Trend Review · Late Update】10-16

Hypothetical review
Entered at the early posted price and held until now; fees and slippage not included
Longs profit when prices rise; shorts profit when prices fall

Upward continuation (long)
No primary trend today
For reference: WLD long +5.79% / XPL long -1.30%

Downward continuation (short)
HYPE　81.8130 → 81.7390 (short +0.09%)
SOL　105.42 → 106.17 (short -0.71%)
ETH　2443 → 2467 (short -1.01%)

Conclusion
Equal-weight longs —, equal-weight shorts -0.54%
3 assets total: profitable 0, losing 2, breakeven 1
Best relative performer: HYPE (short +0.09%); weakest: ETH (short -1.01%)
Hypothetical observations only; not indicative of tomorrow's direction

Not investment advice

#币安合约 #U本位 #TrendTracking

【USDT-Margined Trend Continuation · Daily Update】10-15

For both up and down moves, see whether they can last a few days
Filter out impulse moves first, then assess structure

Market overview
BTC sideways　Current price 81554
ETH down　Current price 2418

How to screen
Structure, volume, OI, funding rates, market depth
12-point scale; same yardstick for longs and shorts. Only consider continuation at 8 points or above

Upside continuation

Main trend (wait for a stable retest of the 4h EMA20/50; don't chase highs)
None today—no forcing a pick

Watchlist
TIA / FIL / AVA / WLD / OP
TIA/FIL/AVA are too far from the averages; WLD's structure is broken; OP's volume is weak

Excluded
PYTH　Too far from the averages
WAL　Surged sharply in 24h
TRUTH　Massive-volume spike

Downside continuation

Main trend (wait for resistance at the 4h EMA20/50 on a rebound; don't chase shorts)
HYPE　11 points　Current price 80.8297｜Lower highs and lows; price down, OI up

Watchlist
RENDER / MARSCOIN / ZEC / SOL
RENDER/MARSCOIN have thin trading; ZEC/SOL's structure is broken

Excluded
US　Oversold and too far from the averages
NEAR　Dumped in a single day
BTC　New low, OI down

Review notes
Longs: Stop following after a long bearish candle breaks the previous low
Shorts: Stop following after a long bullish candle breaks the previous high

Not investment advice

#币安合约 #U本位 #TrendTracking

【USDT-Margined Trend Continuation · Daily Update】10-14

Whether up or down, the question is whether the move can last for several days
First screen out spikes, then assess the structure

Market
BTC sideways　Current price 83123
ETH down　Current price 2498

Screening criteria
Structure, volume, OI, funding rate, market depth
12-point scale; same yardstick for longs and shorts. Only consider continuation at 8 points or above

Upside continuation

Main trend (wait for a pullback to hold at the 4h EMA20/50 before considering; don’t chase)
None today—no need to force a pick

Watchlist
WLFI / FIL / PYTH / ATOM / SKL
WLFI/PYTH/ATOM/SKL have thin trading; FIL is significantly extended

Excluded
STX　Too extended
Q　24h surge
STRK　Volume contracted after a huge spike

Downside continuation

Main trend (wait for a bounce to meet resistance at the 4h EMA20/50 before considering; don’t chase shorts)
ETH　11 points　Current price 2498｜Lower highs and lows; price down, OI up
SOL　11 points　Current price 106.79｜Lower highs and lows; price down, OI up
ZEC　11 points　Current price 1218｜Lower highs and lows; price down, OI up
BTC　10 points　Current price 83123｜Price down, OI up; volume expands on drops and contracts on bounces
DOT　9 points　Current price 1.1596｜Lower highs and lows; price down, OI up

Watchlist
CT / MARSCOIN / PONS / ASTER
CT has moved above the 4h moving averages; MARSCOIN/PONS/ASTER have thin trading

Excluded
APR　24h plunge
NEAR　Heavy selling in a single day
QNT　New low; OI falling

Note
Yesterday’s short-side trend picks PONS/WLD move to the watchlist today (thin trading / score too low)

Review for yourself
Longs: stop following after a long bearish candle breaks the prior low
Shorts: stop following after a long bullish candle breaks the prior high

Not investment advice

#币安合约 #U本位 #TrendTracking