蜡币小鑫

Teachers, happy holidays! Thank you for everything you’ve done for me this past year—teaching me what memes are, what application coins are, what unbeatable angles are, and all of it.

📣predict.fun's API Key can now be requested by yourself!

Previously, to get a Predict API Key, you had to first join the official Discord, then open a Support Ticket, explain your use case, and wait for manual review and issuance.

Now this process has finally been simplified. You no longer need to issue invoices in Discord—just go directly to the developer console:

Application steps:

1️⃣ Open the Developer Console
You can register and log in using Discord, Google, or email.

2️⃣ Create an Application
After entering the dashboard, select Create Application, then fill in the application name and purpose according to the prompts.

3️⃣ Generate an API Key
Once the app is created, you can generate a new Key. After copying it, be sure to store it securely. Do not post it in group chats, take screenshots, or upload it to public code repositories.

4️⃣ Check Usage
In the backend, you can directly view API call volume, your current limit, and usage status. Management is much clearer than before.

5️⃣ Request a Higher Tier
API limits are divided into Volume-based Tiers based on your transaction volume over the past 30 days. Once you meet the corresponding criteria, you can manually request a higher tier in the backend.

6️⃣ Import Old Keys
API Keys previously obtained via Discord can also be imported into the new backend for unified management.

According to the official documentation, the default limit for mainnet API Keys is:
240 Requests/Minute

However, note that new applications’ order placement and cancellation requests are also subject to a separate Trade Burst Limit restriction. 240 RPM does not mean you can place and cancel orders indefinitely at high frequency.

Also, an API Key is only a credential for the mainnet interface. If you want your program to place orders, cancel orders, or read personal orders, you’ll also need to sign with your wallet to obtain a JWT.

The South Korean market is also joining the coin-stock craze—AVAX is getting a leg up

South Korea is preparing to move settlement for bonds, funds, stocks, and even stablecoins onto the blockchain, and $AVAX has already made its way into the financial infrastructure of a major brokerage.

Hanwha Investment & Securities began development with FairSquare Lab as early as 2025, and the platform is now complete, supporting networks such as Avax and HypeBesu. Although it is not exclusive to AVAX, being able to enter the technology stack of a major brokerage alongside enterprise-grade blockchains is itself an important institutional endorsement.

The relevant South Korean laws will take effect on February 4, 2027, formally recognizing distributed ledgers for securities registration.

The regulatory roadmap will start with institutional bonds, private MMFs, and unlisted stocks, gradually expand to publicly issued securities, and eventually explore an on-chain payment system connected to stablecoins. Financial Services Commission of Korea

Hanwha is clearly not doing a one-off proof of concept:

→ Hanwha affiliates collectively hold about 9.6% of Securitize
→ Invested about KRW 30 billion in Digital Asset, the company behind Canton Network
→ Completed an Avalanche-compatible tokenized securities platform
Issuance, registration, circulation, settlement—it is assembling an entire tokenized finance landscape.

The real bullish case for AVAX is not “how much fees it will add immediately,” but rather:

Before South Korea’s securities tokenization is officially opened up, Avax has already secured a ticket into the technology stack of licensed financial institutions.

Once financial infrastructure completes compliant integration, custody, and system integration, switching costs become extremely high. Getting into the tech stack today could mean taking part in standards-setting, asset issuance, and liquidity accumulation tomorrow.

Of course, it has not yet been disclosed whether the platform is deployed on the public C-Chain or whether AVAX is used to pay gas, so one cannot directly equate securities scale with AVAX buying pressure.

In the past, the market priced AVAX as “just another public chain”;

In the future, the market may reprice it as—

Hanwha is only the entry point; the real incremental upside is South Korea’s capital markets moving on-chain.

Missed the big money
Pounding the chest and stamping the feet
Started fomo
Grinding to farm chains
All kinds of rugs
Charging wildly at beasts
Keep recharging
Going crazy getting ripped off
Crying in agony
Sitting idle is useless
Review and accept defeat
Start slacking off
Missed the big money

Going out to have fun in Shenzhen, I wanted to experience the Yamase, so I asked around, and the broker asked me whether I wanted the Russian or Ukrainian girl. He asked whether I support Putin or Zelensky. I said, “What does it matter?” He said, “Every choice you make affects the world order. If you choose the Russian girl, she will send money back, turning into bullets aimed at Ukraine. If you choose the Ukrainian girl, she will also send money back to purchase weapons to resist.” I hesitated for a long time—could my choice really have such an impact? That one choice of mine might even be the fuse for a third world war. Later, I felt I shouldn’t disrupt the world order, so I picked both.

U.S. Military Attacks Iran’s Southern Islands; Iran Vows Retaliation

Iranian Media Say Iran Fired Missiles at a U.S. Warship

According to Iranian media: Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said that in response to the U.S. attack on the Larak Island, it launched ballistic missiles at two U.S. bases located in Jordan.

Which circle do you belong to?

Kalshi lost a very critical lawsuit.

The Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals was very direct: obtaining a CFTC license does not mean you have a pass that lets you bypass B/C regulations in every state across the United States.

Kalshi argued that it is not a traditional B/C company, but a contract trading platform regulated by the CFTC. What users trade is not “wagers,” but “sports event contracts.”

The court concluded that if a product trades outcomes like game results, point spreads, totals, player statistics, or even parlays, whether it is called an “event contract” or a “prediction market,” it is fundamentally very similar to sports B/C.

You can’t change “betting” into buying Yes and buying No, and then suddenly claim it is a financial derivative.

Therefore, the court held that Kalshi’s sports contracts do not qualify as “swap agreements” that would trigger the CFTC’s exclusive jurisdiction, and Nevada can still regulate them under its local B/C laws. The court also noted that the CFTC’s existing rules themselves also prohibit designated contract markets from listing contracts related to “B/C.”

Previously, the Third Circuit Court of Appeals had sided with Kalshi in a New Jersey case, ruling that sports event contracts could be considered “swaps” under the definition in the Commodity Exchange Act, to be uniformly regulated by the CFTC, and that state governments could no longer interfere using B/C regulations.

Now there is an apparent split between different U.S. circuit courts.

Legally, sports predictions and political or election predictions may not necessarily belong in the same category.

Predict also serves as a strong warning signal.

Sports and games are indeed among the most promising high-frequency use cases for prediction markets, but they are also the area with the highest regulatory risk.

If Predict plans to focus on developing sports markets in the future, beyond liquidity, gameplay, and settlement efficiency, it also needs to consider licensing, KYC, geographic restrictions, and compliance boundaries in advance.

Today, when looking at Predict’s esports section, the one I personally play the most is League of Legends.

From a betting perspective, here’s how to filter

1. Prioritize: LCK
2. Secondary: LEC, LCP, LCS
3. Proceed with caution: CBLOL, LCK Challengers League
4. Try to avoid as much as possible: Circuito Desafiante, EBL, the Arab League, Hitpoint Masters

In the next few events, lineup changes are more likely, young players’ form can fluctuate, and betting market liquidity may be insufficient.

🎮 Two LCK qualifying matches to choose from

Both matches are BO5 (best of five, first to three wins).

1️⃣ KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION

📊 Outcome: KT win

🧭 Handicap: BRO (+2.5) ⭐

🎯 Score: 3:1 | 3:2 | 2:3

📈 Total games: Over 3.5 games / Under 4.5 games

✅ First choice: BRO (+2.5) 71¢

2️⃣ Nongshim RedForce vs BNK FEARX

📊 Outcome: Nongshim RedForce win ⭐

🧭 Handicap: For now, don’t chase NS (-1.5)

🎯 Score: 3:1 | 3:2 | 2:3

📈 Total games: Over 3.5 games

✅ First choice: Nongshim 58¢

Come try your hand at the esports section recently.

Why run here and there—Predict has it all.

After the Predict prediction event for DOTA 2 went live, the 王者荣耀 (Honor of Kings) KPL has also launched in sync.

Now, Predict has basically shoved everything into one prediction market: games, politics, crypto, the secondary market, sports events… all of it.

Bullish. At first, everyone just thought it was a movie.

Now Btc is at 69,000. From “bullish” to “the bull really has arrived”—the “Bullish” I bought earlier: YES for $75 million, has already been secured.

There are still 100M and 150M YES remaining.

KPL for Honor of Kings is the highest-level league in China. The regular season is basically BO5—best of five, first to three.

Chengdu AG Super Play vs Guangzhou TTG—I chose TTG to win.

📍
Venue: Chengdu

Match result: TTG wins ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Game 1: TTG wins ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Game 2: TTG wins ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Score: 1:3 / 0:3, for 2:3 prevention

Seems like the circuit breaker has tripped again