Askhat GVP Gold Quant

$BTC (Bitcoin): Breakout of sigma volatility and retest of the institutional wall of the CME at 75,000

On the Bitcoin chart, we’re seeing the strongest realization of options volatility after a bounce off the 80,000 strike. We analyze the structure of the move using data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME):
Volatility sigma dynamics (Full Sigma):
From the base ATM strike 79,250 (spot 79,130 taking into account the forward 120
Where is the institutional floor in CME options?
According to the QuikStrike report for the September BTCU6 contract, the key level is the 75,000 strike.
This is where the largest open-interest cluster is located: 65 Put contracts.
With a recalculation of the exchange forward (-120
) on the spot chart, this institutional barrier sits exactly at 74872–74880)
Nearest reference points:
Before the main wall, price encounters support at Put -3.0 Sigma (75,482).
Above, a strong resistance zone remains at 80,000 (on spot ~79,887$), from which sellers resumed pressure.
The 75,000 – 74,880$ zone is critical for put sellers—this is where market maker delta-hedging algorithms are expected to kick in and the impulse will slow down.
Keep an eye on the protection of the 75,000 strike with large limit order densities. Stay calm and bring home profits!
#CME #BTC

$BTC

I SEE THIS SCENARIO FOR BITCOIN!
ON THE CME BITCOIN FUTURES, THERE WAS A CORRECTION FROM THE MAXIMUM OF EXACTLY ONE AND A HALF MOVES AND A CORRECTION UP BY 3/4, AFTER WHICH A DECLINE CONTINUED TO 1/2 AND STABILIZED IN THIS ZONE, WHICH MEANS THAT IN 80-90% OF CASES THE SOUTHERN DIRECTION WILL CONTINUE AND REACH THE AREA INDICATED IN THE SCREENSHOT - FULL MOVE.
AFTER THAT, GLOBAL GROWTH IS EXPECTED TO RESUME!

#BTC
I SEE SUCH A SCENARIO FOR BITCOIN!
ON CME BITCOIN FUTURES, IT WENT DOWN EXACTLY ONE AND A HALF STEPS FROM THE MAXIMUM AND CORRECTED UP BY 3/4, AFTER WHICH A DECLINE CONTINUED TO 1/2 AND STAYED IN THIS ZONE, WHICH MEANS THAT IN 80-90% OF CASES, THE SOUTHERN DIRECTION WILL CONTINUE AND REACH THE AREA INDICATED IN THE SCREENSHOT - A FULL MOVE.
AFTER THAT, GLOBAL GROWTH MAY RESUME!

$FDUSD

#FDUSDT Recently wrote a script that automatically executes trades without human involvement. Trading is conducted via API through Python. The bot is currently in the testing phase.
Are there those who have implemented something similar on this pair?

#FDUSDT RECENTLY WROTE A SCRIPT THAT AUTOMATICALLY EXECUTES TRADES WITHOUT HUMAN INVOLVEMENT. TRADING IS CONDUCTED VIA API THROUGH PYTHON. THE ATS IS IN THE TESTING STAGE.
ARE THERE ANY WHO HAVE DONE SIMILAR ON THIS PAIR?

#BTC
I expect some correction in the 1/6 area, even better 1/4 of the current maximum to reach the full margin cycle zone in the 70k area.
The margin levels indicator automatically builds levels from the extremes (1/6; 1/4/3/8; 1/2; 3/4 and full move).
After reaching the specified area, a good correction up to 3/8 of the future expected high is quite likely!

$BTC
#BinanceTurns7
#BTC
Also in support of the fact that we will go to 70k, there are 135 calls on options on CME.
After reaching which, with some calls, we will go down.
To make it easier to find margin levels, I wrote a script that automatically builds zones from Low or from High for a certain number of candles!
Levels are built on the basis of margin support!

$BTC
#BTC
#BinanceTurns7
I think the instrument will start to become volatile during the American session.
From the current ones, I expect a correction to the 1/6 area and a maximum of 1/4 (which is unlikely), after which the full margin cycle will be reached in the 70k area, where a significant decline will occur!

#BTC
#BTC Price will reach 61500 by the end of the day, possibly higher! The day will close bullish!

$BTC
BITCOIN ANALYTICS JULY 8, 2024

Bitcoin, well, very accurately worked out the decline in levels and found resistance in the Initial zone of the full margin cycle. And as we see below, downward volumes began to appear, so if we see the current breakdown of the lows, then there is a very high probability of seeing the level of 50,000.
137 puts were poured. If today there is a passage of a local minimum by the opening of America, then we will touch 50k on the futures of the Chicago Stock Exchange!

A very large purchase order at the round level. I believe that the asset will reach the specified level and will encounter strong resistance here in the form of a large infusion of contracts.
Spot quotes are different from futures quotes, so you need to look at their difference.
Trading with a short stop can be dangerous here, since the future is quite rubbery.
Not a call to action, but a vision of the movement of a given coin.

We reached the second level, where I previously published in this post:
https://app.binance.com/uni-qr/cpos/10327238073865?r=420697228&l=ru&uco=PVb4hnWSW-w1cMgzfeZWmA&uc=app_square_share_link&us=copylink
The price has dropped even lower, there is an assumption that it may drop to this area:
https://app.binance.com/uni-qr/cpos/10333961572706?r=420697228&l=ru&uco=PVb4hnWSW-w1cMgzfeZWmA&uc=app_square_share_link&us=copylink
In any case, we need to secure 54482 at the close of the American session. Then, through the correction, we can talk about going to 52047.
Cancellation will be when the clearing price is fixed above 55k. It will be worth considering a significant correction through patterns in the north direction.
Not a call to action!

You will teach me etiquette here. Don't like something? There is a head - think, reflect! Only time to kill with such people!
Secondly: who are you to show you something? Get out of here!

It's your right to believe it or not!
It's my opinion . Read more carefully!

$BTC
At 57k there is a significant density of $6M, where the price has found support.
I consider these to be purchase orders at the round level of large participants. The second approach to it can provoke the so-called erosion of this density.
Perhaps the sellers will be able to sell it.
If this does not happen, then with the third approach it will most likely “eat” it.

THIS IS A SPOT!

$BTC
It would be nice to reach 54500-600, where with a short stop take 1/4, which is 57500 (the level may change depending on the margin requirements on the CME and the local minimum)
In the event of a breakdown of 54500 and consolidation below it at the close of America, I will wait for further movements down to 51800. There is very strong support here. A good jackpot from these marks for half a move in the northern direction - a fat piece! It is unlikely to see this price tag, because one and a half margin cycles, even for the cue ball, require a correction.
I am inclined to believe that the stop will still be at 54500 (this area)
First you need to overcome 57500!
But no one canceled his passage!

$BTC
The price has almost reached the previously announced first goal! Now I expect a correction by at least 1/6, this is 59800 (+-), but the best ones by 1/4 are 60500-60650. If the price breaks through this area, it will tend to a deeper correction.
And yet I expect a further fall to my long-range level, which I predicted yesterday.
After reaching it, Bitcoin will go to half the margin move in the north direction.

$BTC
For Bitcoin, I expect a further decline to the area indicated above.
The price went through the full margin move from the high 72144 and adjusted northward by 3/4.
At the moment, a bearish flag figure has been formed, which may indicate a continuation of the trend in a southerly direction.
Downward dynamics can be observed down to 54600-54500 and even lower, then a rebound and a good correction.
Futures.

$CKB
A limit order to buy was detected at a price of 0.011 in the amount of 228k. There will be a second approach to this area.
There will definitely be a reaction to this mark. Short stop for a rising level.
In case of a breakdown, I would wait for a retest for a further fall in price.
This is spot, futures quotes will be different (it is rubber).

$BTC
As expected in yesterday's post, the state gap will be closed. We haven’t quite reached the specified mark yet, but we’re very close.
I believe that the price will fall a little lower and then there will be an upward movement.
If they push through the level of 60500-60000, then further movement to the south will be a priority.
If so, then 55k can be seen in a day or two.
But I'm looking towards the northern direction.