Last week during the livestream, we said not to leave storage empty—be ready to迎接 a rebound market. The rebound has arrived on schedule.
$MU , don’t rush to go short. It has broken through the 950 resistance level; the next resistance level is 1000.
On July 22, $GOOGL is about to release its earnings report, which may affect the trend of the AI sector.
What the market is focused on is no longer just their revenue and profits, but also AI capital expenditures, data center construction, cloud business growth rates, and management’s guidance on future compute demand. This information is very likely to re-price the entire AI industry chain—especially the server, storage, HBM, semiconductor, and optical communications sectors.
During the earnings-report window, it’s advisable to proactively reduce positions and wait for the market to show direction.
CRCL from 53U to 65U has been a very good price in the long term. Yesterday I asked everyone to buy spot around 64U. Today it’s already 70U. The spot can still be held, and the first target is 80U.$CRCLB
The weekend looks like it may be trying to hold steady
FlameKey
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Bullish
July 17 Market Analysis【Short-term may continue to fall; medium- to long-term is bullish into the end of the month】
The overall market is pressing lower and pulling back as expected. From a technical perspective, it’s still bearish. In the short term, rallies are mainly for selling high; however, in the medium to long term, the uptrend view remains intact. BTC support is around 62000~63000, and ETH support is around 1830~1800. If BTC holds and starts showing signs of a rebound, you can go long for the medium to long term.
Below is the short-term market analysis based on the current行情 and short-term trading recommendations.
$BTC is currently around $63200, and the technicals are bearish.
For the 4-hour MACD, the DIF is -64.2 and the DEA is 148. The green bars continue to expand, meaning the short-term downtrend structure has not ended yet.
The 1-hour RSI is already at 36, and the 4-hour RSI is at 41. This indicates price is still in a neutral consolidation zone; direction needs to wait for a breakout or breakdown of key levels.
For the 1-hour Bollinger Bands, the lower band is at $62520. Price is still below the mid-band. The strength of any short-term rebound depends on whether it can reclaim the mid-band.
It’s not recommended to chase shorts. Wait for a rebound to $63520~$63810, then consider going short.
The first target is $62950. If it breaks below, look at $62670. Place the stop loss above $63810.
$ETH is currently around $1835, and the technicals are bearish.
It’s not recommended to chase shorts. Wait for a rebound to $1852~$1858, then consider going short.
The first target is $1833. If it breaks below, look at $1821. Place the stop loss above $1858.
$SOL is currently around $74.73, and the technicals are bearish.
With the current price at $74.73, going short directly has poor risk-reward. Wait for a rebound to $75.14~$75.50 before considering a short.
The first target is $74.62. If it breaks below, look at $74.30. Place the stop loss above $75.50.
#BNB is currently around $564.1, and the technicals are bearish.
It’s not recommended to chase shorts. Wait for a rebound to $565.8~$569.8, then consider going short.
The first target is $563.1. If it breaks below, look at $546.9. Place the stop loss above $569.8
July 17 Market Analysis【Short-term may continue to fall; medium- to long-term is bullish into the end of the month】
The overall market is pressing lower and pulling back as expected. From a technical perspective, it’s still bearish. In the short term, rallies are mainly for selling high; however, in the medium to long term, the uptrend view remains intact. BTC support is around 62000~63000, and ETH support is around 1830~1800. If BTC holds and starts showing signs of a rebound, you can go long for the medium to long term.
Below is the short-term market analysis based on the current行情 and short-term trading recommendations.
$BTC is currently around $63200, and the technicals are bearish.
For the 4-hour MACD, the DIF is -64.2 and the DEA is 148. The green bars continue to expand, meaning the short-term downtrend structure has not ended yet.
The 1-hour RSI is already at 36, and the 4-hour RSI is at 41. This indicates price is still in a neutral consolidation zone; direction needs to wait for a breakout or breakdown of key levels.
For the 1-hour Bollinger Bands, the lower band is at $62520. Price is still below the mid-band. The strength of any short-term rebound depends on whether it can reclaim the mid-band.
It’s not recommended to chase shorts. Wait for a rebound to $63520~$63810, then consider going short.
The first target is $62950. If it breaks below, look at $62670. Place the stop loss above $63810.
$ETH is currently around $1835, and the technicals are bearish.
It’s not recommended to chase shorts. Wait for a rebound to $1852~$1858, then consider going short.
The first target is $1833. If it breaks below, look at $1821. Place the stop loss above $1858.
$SOL is currently around $74.73, and the technicals are bearish.
With the current price at $74.73, going short directly has poor risk-reward. Wait for a rebound to $75.14~$75.50 before considering a short.
The first target is $74.62. If it breaks below, look at $74.30. Place the stop loss above $75.50.
#BNB is currently around $564.1, and the technicals are bearish.
It’s not recommended to chase shorts. Wait for a rebound to $565.8~$569.8, then consider going short.
The first target is $563.1. If it breaks below, look at $546.9. Place the stop loss above $569.8
The callback is even stronger than I expected. Both U.S. stocks, A-shares, and Japanese and Korean stocks are falling. It seems we need to adjust market sentiment to panic before the weekend. Don’t rush long positions with big size. Take it slow.
FlameKey
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Bearish
Just now I squared off the extra $BTC and $ETH first. I guess tonight’s second half into tomorrow daytime will still see a pullback. When the pullback happens, add the long positions back. Hold it until next week.
Completely short the market again at the end of July
Big pancakes have indeed dropped to around 63,300. ETH is even stronger than I expected.
FlameKey
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Bearish
Just now I squared off the extra $BTC and $ETH first. I guess tonight’s second half into tomorrow daytime will still see a pullback. When the pullback happens, add the long positions back. Hold it until next week.
Completely short the market again at the end of July