65.3k successful trades skipped and the probabilities that will come is 57.8 the end of the correction or is this just the beginning of the final leg of the track record, my analysis is actually correct but just DELAYED? who knows and let's see there are so many people who have interests in the market. have to be patient and wait for your turn, right i hope something sweet comes soon after this bear $BTC EthereumBreaks$1700Up7.98%
For this one. the analysis has reached 61.8% of the TF 1H
Now the next target is on the third slide (fractal breakdown on a smaller TF). The main point is if it can be below 0.04645-0.0448, that will be a lucky entry
Just dropped to 58.3k but there was a little prank market up to 60.5, it turned out the leg went up inside but it’s still continuing downward. If it isn’t broken through beyond that, it’s still valid, but the target becomes shorter to 57.7–55.8k let's see
Ayu A Suryabudhi
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This is 1st July 2026 Indonesian Times. If you are a Spot Trader! BUY time!!! Prepare for the DUMP TODAY tonight tonight NOOOOWWWW From the highest price of 59368-59,563 into this area 56,630 54,818
invalidation zone above 59563 means this signal is Not VALID anymore if price go beyond 59563 You are welcome. #OilPriceFalls $BTC
This is 1st July 2026 Indonesian Times. If you are a Spot Trader! BUY time!!! Prepare for the DUMP TODAY tonight tonight NOOOOWWWW From the highest price of 59368-59,563 into this area 56,630 54,818
invalidation zone above 59563 means this signal is Not VALID anymore if price go beyond 59563 You are welcome. #OilPriceFalls $BTC
The market has moved exactly as I predicted. If you're wondering why my target became 83k, it's because Leg IV retraced unusually deep, reaching the 61.8% Fibonacci level. This can happen, although it's relatively rare. A deep Leg IV usually results in a shorter Leg V.
Based on that structure, I projected a final target around 55.3k–56k. Since then, the price has dropped from my predicted 83.4k area (around 82.8k on the chart) toward that target. And now we've already touched 58k.
Let's see whether the market will break below this level.
This bear market almost wiped me out as a trader.
I can honestly say I've lost a significant amount of money during this bear market.
I now need approximately 3–4× gains just to recover those losses.
Can the next impulsive wave make that recovery possible?
Let's not repeat the same mistakes.
Don't buy too early. Stay patient and watch this damn market first. 😂 #TradebStocks $BTC
Hey guys, if I summarize the journey from 126200-now and every movement that aligns with my predictions, I’ll compile all the techniques into a PDF. Do you want to learn it? I've been getting a ton of emails asking. Why not learn this skill yourself and master it? #BTC
I’m aware of the upward move beyond 74k and understand that market targets have shifted accordingly. But i ve made the decision to step away from Square quite some time ago, so no need to ask about the update. Right now, I’m focused on creating psychology-related content, building a healing-centered community, and supporting someone in my neighborhood with a disability who has endured years of bullying. I ve become a safe person for this particular person and I ve decided to help him regain his sense of safety, live peacefully, and recover from self h*rm. So I no longer have the time to perform consistent analysis, My trading activity is now very limited—roughly once a week. I’m no longer active on Square. Thank you for your understanding. $BTC #EthereumFoundationSellsETHtoBitmineAgain
sorry this one typo, i Mean 83350-83900 now price 837xx which Mean it Will likely to drop from here i am not Gonna active in this platform anymore. Bye bye
Ayu A Suryabudhi
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Reply to @Ayu A Suryabudhi and @December1988
now rebound max to 93900, or 93350. from there maybe drop to 80-78k area. don't ask me for futures.
none could predict the exact number in this kind of market i will just prioritize arround 80-78k area first and see what is going to happen after some rebound. $BTC #WhoIsNextFedChair due to you know in this market, many circumtances that somehow makes it shorter not Gonna reach the target,premature, extended, deep retrace, etc etc so i am not really into one certain number.
so... are we going under 80600? 75,9-73k? in this post i said prepare for the worst scenario . it looks like a trap an plot twist right? and see what happened today, market dump just when everyone is not aware and a bit too late. we re back into the old scenario leg V .....hahahahhaha #WhoIsNextFedChair $BTC
Ayu A Suryabudhi
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reached 86k area. That's actually so long..... Target of 88,2 & 86k achieved. Actually i don't expect this, because the leg gets an extension again. Gotta be careful for the next move. This looks like a trap & plot twist. Prepare for the worst case (in case). #GrayscaleBNBETFFiling $BTC
Shared this few hours ago while it was 83k and now its already happening dump to 81k, Looks like it followed the wave iv scenario
Ayu A Suryabudhi
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Updates..
The move to 97,924 can be interpreted in few different but structurally valid ways. Here are both scenarios phrased clearly and cleanly: 🔹 Scenario 1 — It was Wave B of a larger A-B-C correction If we count 126,200 → 80,600 as Wave A, then the rally to 97,924 is a shallow Wave B (≈38.2% retracement). Because B did not reach the 50–61.8% zone, this suggests a weak B wave, which typically leads to a strong Wave C down. Implication: Wave C would likely extend to at least equality with Wave A. Wave A length = 45,600 Projected C target = 97,924 − 45,600 = 52,324 ➡ This scenario expects a much deeper decline toward the 52K area ➡ Structure = A–B–C correction (bearish larger degree) 🔹 Scenario 2 — It was nested correction aka wave B inside of Wave IV from that unfinish correction??? If we instead count the structure as a 5-wave impulse from 126,200, then: Wave I = 126,200 → 102,000 Wave II = 102,000 → 116,400 Wave III = 116,400 → 80,600 (extended) Wave IV = 80,600 → 97,924 In this case, the move to 97,924 is a complex Wave IV correction. ✔ Wave IV retraced ~50% of Wave III (not Typical but i guess sometimes ITS happen as this is wild market with some exceptions???) Wave III range = 116,400 → 80,600 = 35,800 50% retracement = 80,600 + 17,900 = 98,500 area Price topped at 97,924, which is very close to the 50% retracement zone ✔ Wave IV often: Moves sideways and overlaps internally Contains smaller A-B-C swings inside it Takes longer in time Looks like multiple “B waves” during its development All of those match the current behavior. Implication: The market is now in Wave V down, which is typically weaker after an extended Wave III. Projected Wave V targets: Weak V (0.618 × Wave I) → ≈ 82.9–83K Normal V (equal to Wave I) → ≈ 73.7K ➡ This scenario expects one more drop, but not as deep as 52K ➡ Structure = 1-2-3-4-5 impulse completing a correction What Happens If Price Stops at 83K? If price declines and finds strong support near 83K: ✔ That fits a weak Wave V ✔ That completes a full 5-wave impulse down from 126,200 ✔ That means the entire larger correction is finished After a completed 5-wave structure, market typically begins a larger degree reversal or new bullish cycle Otherwise, we will lead into 73K If price fails to hold 83K and continues lower: Wave I length = 24,200 97,924 − 24,200 = 73,724 ✔ This would still be a valid Wave V completion ✔ Structure remains a 5-wave impulse, just with a deeper final leg So a move to 73K does NOT automatically mean Wave C to 52K It can still be the final Wave V flush before reversal So we will see which one is the true one. #USIranStandoff $BTC
The move to 97,924 can be interpreted in few different but structurally valid ways. Here are both scenarios phrased clearly and cleanly: 🔹 Scenario 1 — It was Wave B of a larger A-B-C correction If we count 126,200 → 80,600 as Wave A, then the rally to 97,924 is a shallow Wave B (≈38.2% retracement). Because B did not reach the 50–61.8% zone, this suggests a weak B wave, which typically leads to a strong Wave C down. Implication: Wave C would likely extend to at least equality with Wave A. Wave A length = 45,600 Projected C target = 97,924 − 45,600 = 52,324 ➡ This scenario expects a much deeper decline toward the 52K area ➡ Structure = A–B–C correction (bearish larger degree) 🔹 Scenario 2 — It was nested correction aka wave B inside of Wave IV from that unfinish correction??? If we instead count the structure as a 5-wave impulse from 126,200, then: Wave I = 126,200 → 102,000 Wave II = 102,000 → 116,400 Wave III = 116,400 → 80,600 (extended) Wave IV = 80,600 → 97,924 In this case, the move to 97,924 is a complex Wave IV correction. ✔ Wave IV retraced ~50% of Wave III (not Typical but i guess sometimes ITS happen as this is wild market with some exceptions???) Wave III range = 116,400 → 80,600 = 35,800 50% retracement = 80,600 + 17,900 = 98,500 area Price topped at 97,924, which is very close to the 50% retracement zone ✔ Wave IV often: Moves sideways and overlaps internally Contains smaller A-B-C swings inside it Takes longer in time Looks like multiple “B waves” during its development All of those match the current behavior. Implication: The market is now in Wave V down, which is typically weaker after an extended Wave III. Projected Wave V targets: Weak V (0.618 × Wave I) → ≈ 82.9–83K Normal V (equal to Wave I) → ≈ 73.7K ➡ This scenario expects one more drop, but not as deep as 52K ➡ Structure = 1-2-3-4-5 impulse completing a correction What Happens If Price Stops at 83K? If price declines and finds strong support near 83K: ✔ That fits a weak Wave V ✔ That completes a full 5-wave impulse down from 126,200 ✔ That means the entire larger correction is finished After a completed 5-wave structure, market typically begins a larger degree reversal or new bullish cycle Otherwise, we will lead into 73K If price fails to hold 83K and continues lower: Wave I length = 24,200 97,924 − 24,200 = 73,724 ✔ This would still be a valid Wave V completion ✔ Structure remains a 5-wave impulse, just with a deeper final leg So a move to 73K does NOT automatically mean Wave C to 52K It can still be the final Wave V flush before reversal So we will see which one is the true one. #USIranStandoff $BTC
Reached 27-26. Gotta trust my own Analysis Even if market try to blur it out, not long after that, At the end of the day it Will always happen. Because every number is not a random shit. Adding more into my bags @this price Gotta watch the next movement first, could not assume anything at this moment. #GrayscaleBNBETFFiling $BTC
Ayu A Suryabudhi
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$ZK already start ITS downward impulse before btc expecting 0.027-26 area or maybe lower if i get lucky could be last day to buy cheap chips........ Don't forget to average down #WhoIsNextFedChair $BTC
Less illusion, more truth. No overwhelming impressive graphic Just number speak it self Analysis vs reality is matched Almost reached 88,2k Price now 88.5 Heading toward 88,2k Let's fly from here ? ;) ahhh let me sleep and rest first. Enough trading for today and share it as well Successfully Catched the bottom Thank God Gotta off for few days Bye bye! $BTC #WEFDavos2026
Ayu A Suryabudhi
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Price now 89,5k Next drop Will be Between this 86,850 ≈ 88,272 ≈ 84,554 and back to 87200 area. because the correction already extended i guess it will be shorter just to 88,2k-87k 86 max area Not a signal #TrumpCancelsEUTariffThreat $BTC
Price now 89,5k Next drop Will be Between this 86,850 ≈ 88,272 ≈ 84,554 and back to 87200 area. because the correction already extended i guess it will be shorter just to 88,2k-87k 86 max area Not a signal #TrumpCancelsEUTariffThreat $BTC
$ZK already start ITS downward impulse before btc expecting 0.027-26 area or maybe lower if i get lucky could be last day to buy cheap chips........ Don't forget to average down #WhoIsNextFedChair $BTC
This level of manipulation...It feels similar to dealing with someone with a personality disorder. Lately this market feels inconsistent, deceptive, and unstable—until it is correctly diagnosed. an identity that keeps shifting—forcing you to constantly re-evaluate what you think is real.
When something keeps changing, our mind instinctively tries to close the loop. It creates cognitive dissonance. One day, price behaves exactly like leg Iv from Earlier correction. Next is leg V down. It went okay and align for a while. Analisis matched with reality.
Next day it violate your structure and shows that it was an impulse. "Okay this is wave iv, the next movement is going up. I'll count how much it can go" Because : It has its own I-V in lower time frame Fib alignment No overlaps Look impulse on tf 15 minutes Clean 5 waves in H1 No violations Simple short duration of correction So your mind was like "Ah, this is impulse right! Next one is wave v!" "Last label is wrong!" "Must be supercycle continuation"
The next day, it destroys that illusion with misaligned Fibonacci relationships. Structure collapse. Your prior model is invalidated. I was like.. "Again???!" Then the following day, it behaves in the complete opposite way and slaps you in the face, revealing that it was never an impulse at all Your mind was like : " I was not being inconsistent, this wave was!!! " " What the hell is this actually? " The identity that keeps shifting, cause identity confusion, it could give you emotional rollercoaster & ptsd from how it operate across multiple label and degree simultaneously.
The crazy part is this: once you finally get the diagnosis right, everything suddenly makes sense. All the madness, inconsistency, and contradictory behavior become coherent under a single explanation. I found the only model that explain all behaviors. The erratic behavior becomes expected. All the nested correction now make sense. Let it correct how much it wants. It has a function. $BTC #TrumpTariffsOnEurope
Price now 87.900 why is it so extreme? where are we actually? wait.. is it even still valid as a retracement ? This is the first time i Saw such a deep retracement like this.