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BTC

Still talking about shorting? The trend line has been broken. If we don't see a significant dip on the 29th, we might be looking at a bullish run leading up to May Day. Bitcoin and Ethereum are both in the same boat.

The 29th is a pivot day, but I don't think we're going to see a drop. We're bullish. Guys, it's time to get hyped up!

#比特币走势分析

BTC

Last night I mentioned that Bitcoin would experience a roller coaster market, just as I said! In the early hours, Bitcoin pulled back and made a "V" shape reversal.

The market has returned to the original point of yesterday, the price remains unchanged, but some people's positions have changed.
[HaHa]

From a short-term trend perspective, this wave of rise hasn't ended yet, currently facing resistance at 70800, with resistance above at 72300-74000. However, it is worth noting that if the short-term trend breaks, the momentum will be completely released. Because the overall trend has always been upward.

It just needs a short-term rebound, low low high, high high showing a short-term upward trend, just lacking a top.

Daily suggestion: 70500 (current price) - around 70000 to enter in batches, target 72300-73800.

Around 2150-2120 to enter in batches, target 2180-2220.

Defensive measures should be based on personal risk tolerance, the real market will provide direct guidance! The market changes in real-time, and specific operations should follow Brother Ye's real-time instructions, as the market is ever-changing and make sure to have defense! #BTC走势分析

BTC （精品贴）
Has it turned bullish? My answer is: NO

Technical Analysis:
The overall trend is still within a downward channel, unless this downward channel pattern is broken! Currently, although it has surpassed recent highs, it can be seen that this wave of rise is accompanied by relatively low trading volume, which raises doubts about whether the price can stabilize at this position. The buying momentum is still insufficient, making it difficult to break through this level directly.

Short-term Outlook:
I tend to believe that this time it may be difficult to break through directly, and there may be a pullback in the short term first. It is highly likely that after a period of consolidation and some fluctuations, we will see a real breakout market.

Personal Mindset:
The biggest enemy in trading is actually yourself. Not resisting temptation has long been a common topic, but most people cannot overcome themselves and are prone to getting carried away, which is why every time such a tempting situation arises in the market, there are large amounts of forced liquidations. It’s a lose-lose situation!

Operational Advice:
I already provided advice this morning, I may continue to hold for a while, but if you can’t hold, you can exit first. Personally, I still lean towards holding on, and if there’s an opportunity, I will try to hold for the medium term.

Off-Market News:
The proportion of BTC supply available on exchanges has fallen to the level of November 2017, when the price of each token was $16,400.

There will be milk, there will be bread, and finally, I wish us a successful start!

BTC

Bitcoin's short-term structure has already broken through, with a price imbalance and strong buyer intervention, leaving a fair value gap between 69000 and 70800, as shown in the green part of the chart. The price is currently imbalanced, and the nature of the market has changed!

Currently, Bitcoin is forming an upward trend line, and a very good risk-reward opportunity has been established here. The market still has the potential to decline, but the prerequisite is that it must break below this upward trend channel and close beneath the trend line! Otherwise, the previous structure remains effective.

The bottom support is at the gap around 69000; if it doesn't break here tonight, one can buy based on the bottom value gap.

For larger positions, follow the morning strategy in real-time. Of course, the market changes in real-time, and specific operations should primarily follow Ye Ge's real-time guidance! #BTC走势分析

Common Patterns in the Cryptocurrency Market:

A symmetrical triangle is a chart pattern characterized by progressively lower highs and progressively higher lows, with two trend lines converging at the same angle. This pattern typically serves as a continuation signal for trends. The formation of a symmetrical triangle indicates that market volatility has been compressed over a period, suggesting an upcoming trend reversal.

Technical Characteristics of the "Symmetrical Triangle" Pattern

- A clear trend must exist before the formation of the triangle to facilitate the continuation direction
- At least 4 touches: dynamic support line (ascending) 2 times, dynamic resistance line (descending) 2 times. The more touches, the higher the reliability of the pattern
- As the price converges, trading volume should gradually shrink
- Although symmetrical triangles usually break out in the direction of the trend, false breakouts in the opposite direction can occasionally occur. For safe trading, it is recommended to wait for a retest confirmation in the breakout area (upper boundary or lower boundary)

Here is a reason for a higher Bitcoin!

The trend should still be like the last wave, maintaining continuous fluctuations, with multiple tests at the top and bottom.

The 70000 level is always a strong resistance point, and it's not a problem to trade around this point, with bottom support at the lower track of the monthly line!

The upward space is limited, but the downward space is quite large. Here's a piece of advice: it's not yet time to buy at the bottom; be patient and wait for the next bull market! Of course, the process will be quite torturous, but as long as you keep up with the rhythm, everything will be fine!

#BTC走势分析

BTC

The market is entering the weekend preparation phase, and volatility has dropped to a low point. There is a high probability that there will not be any significant market fluctuations before Monday, so everyone can gradually enter a rest state.

Next week will welcome the most important event of the month, the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting and rate decision. Powell's speech will indicate the direction for the subsequent trend.

Currently, I still tend to be bullish towards the $96,000 area, but current operations remain highly cautious. Waiting for the opening of the workweek next week.

#BTC走势分析

Today's Bitcoin market analysis, you already know its future direction

#BTC走势分析

All positions in Bitcoin and Ethereum have been fully closed out, netting 23,000U after fees. Patiently waiting for the next opportunity!

The mindset of the elite is simple: results are the manifestation of a systematic approach.

Trading is not just a way to make profits for me, but a lifestyle.

Every decision is carefully weighed. Every trade is the result of calm calculation. This is the true path to building real wealth.

If you're ready to step into this level, welcome aboard. The future will only go deeper.

#BTC走势分析 #ETH

ETH
Weekly K-line resistance level at 3350, after the support/resistance reversal, the previous resistance level at 3170 becomes support
Looking at the 4H and daily charts, the top near 3300 may appear early in the day, with the daily candle showing overbought conditions
Suggestion: Partial short positions around 3270-3300, target 3170-3100

#ETH走势分析

LDO Daily Chart
A new week begins, and it is expected that there will first be a partial correction to key levels, followed by a recovery of the upward trend. This may be seen as an opportunity to establish long positions.
Target levels: $0.7147, $0.8200

When the system begins to suffocate
Looking at this chart, a familiar feeling arises.
This is not a "market decline," nor is it "bad news."
Rather, it's the moment when the mechanism begins to creak.
What is presented in the chart.
Overnight Repo refers to the Federal Reserve's overnight repurchase operations.
In simple terms: it indicates how much liquidity the Federal Reserve needs to urgently inject to help banks get through the night.
There are several phenomena worth noting.
For a long time, the data was almost zero.
The system operates on its own. Funds circulate normally, counterparties trust each other, and the market can complete financing without the assistance of regulatory agencies.
Then, steep vertical spikes appear.
It's not gradual growth. It's not a trend.
Rather, it's a sudden surge: $20 billion, $30 billion, or even over $70 billion in a single night.
This is not "stimulus policy."
This is a fire hose.
Typically, this means:
- Certain institutions have imbalanced balance sheets
- Some participants cannot complete refinancing through the market
- Willingness to take on risk declines
- Trust between counterparties diminishes
At this point, the Federal Reserve intervenes as the ultimate counterparty.
It should be noted:
Repo is not QE; they prefer to call it that, but it's really not.
This is not a long-term asset purchase plan but a temporary patch to prevent the system from suddenly stalling.
However, when the demand for patches becomes increasingly frequent and expands in scale, it itself has become a symptom.
Historical experience shows that such periods often:
- Occur at the peak phase of tightening policy
- Coincide with pressures in the credit market
- Typically signal a policy shift or market turmoil
The core issue raised is not about the chart but rather about the macro context.
If the economy is "strong," interest rates are high, and inflation is controlled
—
Why does the system so frequently need overnight rescues?
In my view, this is not a reflection of strength but of internal pressure.
On the surface, all seems calm, but internally, cracks have already appeared.
The market often initially turns a blind eye to such signals.
But then, it will suddenly trigger a comprehensive reassessment.