This Thursday and Friday will see two data releases: PPI and CPI will be unveiled one after the other. Currently, the probability of a rate hike in September has risen to 60%—if the higher production costs caused by elevated oil prices feed through to core inflation, then the overall structure will face a fresh stress test. However, I believe the recent rise in oil prices is only temporary. Over the past two days, oil tankers have been repeatedly attacked in the Middle East, which is the main factor driving crude oil higher, but the geopolitical conflict will eventually cool down. Even if it’s difficult to calm in the short term, it will decline in the medium term—and Trump won’t allow it to rise like this. As long as Trump doesn’t want to see a rate hike, he will definitely step in and “draw the chart” (i.e., influence the market)—whether through a tweet or negotiations with <c-1/>. Either way, oil prices will fall, and the upward trend will then collapse. Let’s pull up a small chair and watch the clouds roll by—calmly and patiently. #中国8月CPI同比涨0.8% #美军打击霍尔木兹岛及贾斯克目标 #原油涨至7月来最高 #美军击毁5艘伊朗油轮 #伊朗称击中两艘美军驱逐舰 $BZ
The U.S. intelligence agencies finally woke up and started telling the truth. After all, Langzi is at least a medium-sized country that has been preparing for so many years; without ground troops, taking it down is unrealistic! This time, the U.S. is stuck in an awkward position: it can't win if it fights, and retreating would be too embarrassing. Things could easily change in the Middle East from here on out! #比特币ETF创1月以来最大单日流入 #美国8月新增就业16.2万近预期三倍 #美国8月平均时薪同比增3.1% #美国8月非农数据今日公布 #BTC走势分析 $BTC
I don’t want to pay transit tolls, but I also want to secretly smuggle oil across the strait—this time, it’s over for them; they got taken care of! Now the global oil prices are being nudged up again today, so we’re looking for an opportunity to move in on a short contract first! This time, the Americans are put on the spot: they can’t beat them in a fight, and even the financial sanctions—those don’t seem to bother “Big Brother,” so it’s done. And they still insist, saying they “won big.” What happens about the midterm elections? If they lose the midterms, then the Trump family will have trouble too! #比特币8月上涨23%跑赢黄金股市 #比特币守稳78000美元上方 #油轮在霍尔木兹海峡触雷起火 #布伦特原油涨破90美元 #WTI原油突破85美元 $BZ