叼毛资本

#比特币走势观察
1. The daily chart shows a small bullish candlestick that recovers most of the losses from the large bearish candlestick at 12.26 and breaks through the downward trend line, confirming short-term bullish sentiment. However, the price remains within the 92000-99000 consolidation range without a complete breakout, and both the bullish candlestick body and volume bars are shrinking, necessitating attention to the bullish defense level around 91350 below. The overall medium to long-term strategy remains to buy on dips.
2. On the hourly chart, the intraday resistance range is between 99020-99400, and without an expansion of demand, it is difficult to form an effective breakout; at the same time, it is important to note that the upward trend line formed since 1.1 has now been tested for the fourth consecutive time, and the rebound price range has begun to significantly shrink, indicating a potential drop. After breaking this level, wait for a pullback to 98600 to confirm that resistance has turned into a short-term bearish outlook.

#比特币市场波动观察
1. The daily chart continues to rise with no signs of adjustment, and the short-term resistance level remains near 100600, as emphasized on Monday in the weekly SOW.
2. The 4-hour level has completed the crossing of the EMA resistance band for the first time. Although there was a dense collection of long upper shadows yesterday, the trading volume was low and quickly retracted, and supply has not expanded. In the coming days, the main observation is whether it can stabilize upon retracing to this EMA band (i.e., 97700-98200). The bullish defense level is 96000; if it breaks below, it will continue to weaken.
3. The intraday risk points mainly come from the 30-minute level, where there is a continuous retracement to the ascending trend line, but the upward momentum is starting to weaken. Be cautious of a rapid spike breaking the level.

BTC:
1. The daily line broke through the downward trend line since 12.18 with a big positive line. The three EMAs are still upward, but the upper long-term trend line is still in a suppressed state. Based on the above, the overall trend is still low and long during the day, and the entry points are concentrated in 96700-97000.
2. The attempt to break through the 4-hour EMA adhesion band in the early morning failed, and a long upper shadow negative line was closed, but the subsequent positive line engulfed it, forming a 97200-99000 oscillation range, and EMA began to stick together. More observation is needed here.
3. According to the video yesterday morning, the current 5 15 30 minutes has gone out of the long pattern. Today, we will observe whether it will spread to the 1-hour level to form a three-EMA upward state. The key long-short dividing point is 97200
#比特币市场波动观察

#比特币市场波动观察
1. The weekly candlestick pattern of a dark cloud cover has formed SOW. This week there are two scenarios: (1) a rebound to around 100250 in the middle of the bearish candlestick to test resistance, observe the formation of upper shadows.
(2) Continuing last week's downward trend, testing support around 89800. The first two scenarios, I believe, are just adjustments on the weekly chart, not the end of the bull market.
(3) In extremely rare circumstances, it may strike the previous high again and then quickly pull back. If this signal appears, I believe the bull market has already ended!
Regardless of which trend occurs, it should not be a time to buy the dip for the long term this week.
2. After a single candlestick bottoming pattern on the daily chart, it has not attracted more demand participation, closing two consecutive bearish candlesticks and operating below EMA30, forming a daily oscillation range of 93746-99630. It is recommended to switch to the hourly chart for participation.

#比特币市场波动观察
BTC：
1. The closing line has formed a long lower shadow above the EMA30, and there is still a chance for an upward movement. However, I personally believe that this week will experience fluctuations between 96000-101600 for consolidation, making it difficult to form a continuous upward trend. It is also essential to closely monitor today’s closing; if it falls below 95000, the daily pullback will not yet be over.
2. The bearish arrangement at the 1-hour level has not changed, but the pullback in the early morning did not create a new low again. Currently, it has formed a fluctuation range of 95576-98851. The intraday strategy still leans towards short positions, which have a better risk-reward ratio.
ETH：
1. A spike to the EMA120 resulted in a rebound, briefly stabilizing above the EMA60. However, the EMA30 above shows signs of turning down, with resistance in the range of 3537-3600.
2. A reversal pattern has formed on the 4-hour chart, but the trading volume is insufficient. The three EMAs above turning down still indicate a bearish trend. However, a breakout above 3500 may allow for the establishment of long positions during the confirmation process of the pullback, with both conditions being essential.

BTC:
1. Since the breakout of the rising trend line at the beginning of November, the closing yesterday did not hold, and I personally believe this is the first daily-level adjustment since early November. The significance of the weekly hanging man pattern mentioned in previous videos is still increasing.
2. From a trading perspective, attention needs to be paid to the process of rebounding to 99200-99400 to confirm resistance; it is not recommended to chase shorts at the current price.
Support: 95860 Resistance: 98200 99100
ETH:
1. The daily chart has basically confirmed the breakout of the trend line. In the short term, it has found support at EMA60, but the trading volume has not expanded, which means there is not much bottom-fishing capital entering here.
2. At this stage, it is still in the distribution process at the hourly level. The ice line at 3543 has been broken, and panic selling has not yet arrived; it is not recommended to bottom-fish here, as there is still room for further declines, with the weekly expected position around 2861-3087.
Support: 3365 (weak) Resistance: 3538

BTC
The daily line continues to accelerate upward, please remove the short position
Intraday pressure is around 107059, this is the first take-profit point for long positions. If there is a volume increase but the price rise is narrowing, caution is needed.
Support: 106569, needle point: 105377 (cancel pending orders before sleep)
ETH:
After Bitcoin continues to hit new highs, there is room for imagination for Ethereum.
There is an expectation for a catch-up rally, and the hourly level center of gravity is starting to rise, showing signs of acceleration.
The moving averages are starting to diverge, pay attention to the launch intraday.
Resistance level 4087, still the first take-profit position for the day.
Support: 4009, needle point: 3998
#BTC再创新高

Someone come and recharge my faith!!
#shib

Market Analysis——#BTC 1. The daily chart shows a price stop behavior, with short-term buying funds entering the market, but whether it will stop falling still needs to be observed at today's closing. If there are medium-term short positions, one can move the stop loss instead of closing the positions. 2. The 5, 15, 30-minute, and 1-hour levels are forming a resonant bearish arrangement, with the intraday trend leaning towards bearish, and around 93900 is a strong resistance. 3. In recent days, there have been frequent up and down spikes in the early morning, the underlying logic is that this round of decline is merely a pullback in a bull market. The main boundary line between long and short in the short term is 85000.

#美国大选后涨或跌？

Yesterday's video publicly shared a strategy that was only 86 points off, just a bit of luck. The thought process has no issues and continues into today. The short-term EMA on the 4-hour level is consistently downward, putting pressure on the price. During the day yesterday, there were four consecutive attempts that did not break through the resistance zone, but during the pullback, the trading volume was almost the same while the decline was reduced. The price has shown signs of stopping behavior and will maintain a wide range oscillation between 67523-69000 throughout the day, suggesting to watch more and act less.

#BTC☀
I have always wanted to know... who this silly blogger is following and who is watching

The strategy provided yesterday was accurate for entry and profit-taking
Market Analysis——#ETH $ETH
The 4-hour level has gradually formed a bearish arrangement, but after a long upper shadow was recorded at 4 AM, the closing at 8 AM did not continue the downward trend, showing signs of price stabilization. It is expected to fluctuate within 2469-2500. Overall, the market remains relatively bearish, and it is recommended to only short and not go long
Variety: ETH
Direction: Short
Entry Position: 2535-2555
Definition: Intraday short-term
Take Profit: Notification in the community or set the profit-loss ratio to 1.8-2.5
Stop Loss: 2570

#BTC☀
Today's Analysis——#BTC $BTC
Since reaching a high in March, the 69600 region has been a strong resistance level on the daily chart. However, unlike in the past, the EMA below is in a bullish arrangement, and the upward trend line that started in September has not been broken, indicating a bullish outlook for the medium to long term. From another perspective, the current international turmoil and the investigation into Tether may suppress demand. Therefore, my personal trading strategy is to enter near the EMA30 for a more suitable risk-reward ratio. If trading short-term, Ethereum can be chosen for operation:
Variety: ETH
Direction: Short
Entry Position: 2509-2538
Definition: Intraday Short-term
Take Profit: Real-time Notification
Stop Loss: 2572
Risk-Reward Ratio: About 1.8

#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥
Daily Analysis——#ETH $ETH
Ethereum continues to underperform; in the logic of the cryptocurrency market rally, the rebound, especially for higher market cap varieties, tends to be less sustainable. However, there are some details to note:
1. On the daily chart, it has already fallen back into the range of oscillation, temporarily supported near the midpoint today. If the closing line shows a small bearish candle with volume, there is still a chance for a rebound. But if it breaks below the daily low of 2445 again, returning to the previous low of 2350 is highly probable.
2. A few days ago, I mentioned the cycle dispersion; from 5, 15, 30 minutes to the 1-hour level, it is gradually turning into a bearish trend. To stop the decline, the 4-hour chart needs to stay above 2570, so this point can serve as the boundary for short-term long and short positions.

Market analysis——#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥
The current pressure level of Ethereum is very obvious near 2820. There are two situations:
1. If the big positive line directly breaks through 2820 and the short-term chips that have made profits in recent days, it may trigger a large-scale sell-off in the short term. In this case, the rise is an opportunity to reduce positions
2. If it falls back after the breakthrough as in situation 2, it will digest the short-term chips and complete the full turnover, and there will be more opportunities in the future market
In either case, it is recommended to only buy and not sell

Market analysis——#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 $ETH
1. Compared with the rebound from 9.17 to 9.27, this rebound is fast and has a large volume. The current correction has not fallen below EMA60, and the probability of a breakthrough is greater. The pressure level is still around 2720; compared with the current position of Bitcoin, combined with the expectation of a rebound, the reasonable price target should be around 2900-3100 (although Ethereum is lagging in this round of bull market, it does not hinder its second place status) 2. The 1-hour level is temporarily in the box 2595-2650. The morning big positive increase has now fallen back by more than half. The oscillation time is not sufficient to make it difficult to change hands. A good rise should be a small positive + two forward and one backward trend; it is recommended to mainly use the current price order according to the actual situation of the small level during the day, and try not to place orders

#BTC☀ $BTC
With floating profits, should you take the initiative to stop profits? The price has reached the limit, should you exit and wait and see?
These two questions are based on the same principle: if the retracement you bear is small or no, then you lose the possibility of continuing to expand your profits. You sacrifice your future profits in exchange for a smaller retracement. This is a choice, and you need to make a trade-off.
With floating profits on long orders, should you reduce your position when the profit reaches a certain level?
This is the principle of risk exposure in retracement control. You can indeed avoid a larger retracement in the future by reducing your position, but at the same time, you still sacrifice your future profits.
While controlling the retracement, the expected future returns will also be reduced. There is no best way to deal with it. It is all about choices and trade-offs. Making a choice between retracement control and profit range, and then fixing it, is the best decision.

$BTC
Market analysis -#BTC$BTC
1. The bull flag rising channel on the daily line has not been broken. This is the key point to determine whether the subsequent rise can continue. Time needs to be exchanged for space. The pin yesterday night was a normal phenomenon; but from the perspective of volume, yesterday's volume did not increase accordingly. The price stopped behaving. It is not suitable to chase more here again in the medium term
2. The 30-minute level has basically recovered the decline. Personally, I tend to ignore the surge and plunge caused by emotions. At present, it continues to move up along the rising channel. The short-term defense price is 66730
3. Do less swings and don't do it back and forth. This is the core requirement in recent days. Otherwise, it will be difficult to get it back after selling it.

$BTC
Daily Sweep -#btc$btc
1. The flag pattern on the daily line still exists. This is the only form in which there is hope for the bull market. Funds are also relatively patient. They have been washing the market from March to 7.3W. If it falls below, it is necessary to reduce positions in time. However, there is no signal on the right side. It is only recommended to do intraday trading and not to predict how long it will take to rise.
2. The panic selling and the second bottoming stage have been completed in 30 minutes. Next, wait for the three lines to diverge before entering the market. Pay attention to the 6.2 support below.

$BTC
Daily Analysis - #BTC
The continued popularity of A-shares will have a certain siphon effect on the currency circle. The back-and-forth pins on the hourly line also prove that it is currently in a stock game market.
The three EMA lines on the daily line have not diverged yet, so there will be no mid-term trend before it stands above 65,500 this week.
Pay attention to the trend line shown in the figure below, and change the short-term short-term thinking in time after breaking it. Overall, there is no big problem with the market for the time being, so hold on.