稳行者Ai

The pancake's rebound this time
has potential, but don't get too excited

Speaking through charts
Selling pressure is strong; as it approaches 74,000, it drops
The ETF is still buying, but it's all small amounts
So the height is limited

The trend is the same as previously analyzed
It won't fly straight up, but will grind upward with fluctuations
After a surge, it’s likely to pull back around 70,000
and then bounce back

I adjusted the Fibonacci levels
0.618 is around 74,500
Based on this volume and the speed of ETF inflow,
it can at most touch 78,800 before it has to take a break

Keep an eye on volume and fund flows
Around March 17th
Prepare for mid-term short positions

Don't chase the highs, be careful not to get trapped
The big players love to see you go all in 😏

CVD is coming back quickly
Let's see if this position can get one last injection
Waiting for an entry signal

OI is still about one-third left

There are 70k on the order book
There is some demand for contracts and spot
But it's very thin
Not thick enough

The big pancake has reached the tip of the triangle.
This position is very likely to turn down.

The five major logic points are all there.
Data won't lie.

Are you bottom-fishing the big pancake or the second pancake now?
Don't mess around.

The bear market has only reached the mid-late stage.
The real market bottom hasn't come out yet.

Don't be in a hurry to go all in.
Be careful not to get trapped.

Wait for the spike to settle before considering increasing your position.
It's safest to watch from the sidelines with no position right now.

Is the Middle East about to explode?😅

Iran is directly betting on seven countries
Bitcoin responds by plummeting

Is gold going to surge to 6000?
It's just wishful thinking
If it really comes to blows, who will still look at the K-line?

Behind this, the three countries of China, the U.S., and Russia are fighting
Small countries are just fodder
They can be harvested at any time

If a full-scale war breaks out
The global market will collapse
Bitcoin dropping to 38,000 is not a dream

Is it time to buy the dip now?
Be careful of getting stabbed
The big players are just waiting to cut the losses

The bear market is still long
Don't rush to go all in
Save some bullets for the real bottom

Wow, this analysis makes my scalp tingle...

America's recent actions
On the surface targeting Iran
But actually aimed at China

The essence boils down to three points:
1️⃣ Deploying troops to the junction of Europe, Asia, and Africa
Controlling the lifelines of minerals and energy
2️⃣ Choking off the land Silk Road
Preventing the Eurasian continent from uniting
3️⃣ Disrupting the north-south passage between Russia and the Gulf
Weakening the entire economic zone

Iran is just an entry point
The real goal is to contain China

This situation... is even more ruthless than the harvesting of altcoins
It all depends on whether China can break the deadlock

I bet Bitcoin can rise
And I also bet China can win
This wave must be full of faith 🇨🇳

When the war drums sound, gold rises and Bitcoin falls
The market digests this wave of news over the weekend

If you ask me, this battle in the Three Kingdoms is just for show
Old Trump finds a way to back down while boasting a bit
How dare the Americans really engage in a long-term war

With the bad news hitting, Bitcoin only touches 63000
No crash, no waterfall
At this position... short-term can try with a light position
Target below 69000

Why won't it immediately be cut in half to rush to 40000?
The market doesn't have enough money, the oscillation time hasn't been endured long enough
The retail investors haven't fattened up, and the main players are reluctant to harvest

Just wait, the oscillation and accumulation will last until mid-March
By then, liquidity will come up, combined with the bad news of no interest rate cut in March
Directly a wave of sell-off
Bury all the iron-headed bulls

That scene... just thinking about it makes me feel bittersweet 😏

The Americans are causing trouble in the Middle East
The army is pressing towards Iran
Gold has risen, and the big pie has fallen
So what happened over the weekend?

If you're not going to fight, hurry up and pull up the market
Stop scaring us retail investors every day
National debt has reached 38 trillion, yet you're still acting tough

Do you really think you're the world's police?
Fighting this and that
Your own backyard is on fire

I only care about my positions
Don't affect my bottom fishing
World peace? First, make the K-line look better before talking.

The era of AI has arrived
Your cognition is the moat
Technology, resources, execution
These are the hard currencies

Stop staring at fakes all day
Missing out is worse than being trapped
Either go all in or stay out
The centrists will be harvested sooner or later

Pay for value?
Have the courage to act
If you lack execution, shut up
Don't be the chives of signal callers

If you can't even understand the big and small cakes
What are you talking about AI moats
First ask yourself
When it drops by half, do you dare to buy the dip

Freebie benefits are here
OpenClaw cloud deployment
Zero-cost onboarding tutorial
Hand-in-hand teaching you to reap benefits

This wave is not a loss
Just give it a try
After all, it costs nothing 😏

This trend is too familiar

Yesterday and today
Bit by bit, grinding away the orders at 65k and 64k
Exactly the same as the tactics from the past two weeks

Once again, the familiar formula
Once again, the familiar taste

Where are the line drawing enthusiasts?
Come out and take a few steps

The dealer's scythe
Is really polished bright

Did 65k break?

What the hell are you panicking about?

The order thickness is still there

Don't be scared by the needle.

Can't hold on, just empty the position
Don't force it
If the market is bad, take a break
Wait for the opportunity to gamble again

Wow, is the weather about to change? 😱

Wu Jihan directly cleared the company's big pie
Mining machine big shots have all run away, this signal is clear enough

Vitalik is also secretly selling
Withdrawing ETH from Aave in batches for a month
Still holding 240,000 in the wallet, is this the rhythm of clearing inventory?

ETF institutions are even harsher
Net outflows for four consecutive months
November - 3.48 billion December - 1.09 billion
January - 1.62 billion February - 0.993 billion
This scythe swings really hard

The big pie has dropped to 67,000
These big shots are still crazily reducing their holdings
What does this mean? Those who understand, understand

In this market
Either watch from the sidelines
Or be ready to buy the dip
Don't be silly and act as a bag holder

Just a word from the horse's mouth
This round of correction isn't over yet
Don't rush to go all in
Wait for a spike before considering entry

Remember
Even in a bull market, you need to learn to escape the peak
In a bear market, you must control your hands
Don't be led by the rhythm of the shout-out dogs

Make your own judgment
Don't be a leek

Tonight the goddess is giving out red envelopes
Don't be slow
Hurry up and take a chance
Don't miss out

This week's glassnode data shows
The market is a bit too calm, which is scary

Want a real rebound?
Three conditions must be met:
1. Spot demand must come back
2. Whales need to start hoarding again
3. Liquidity must truly improve

Without these?
Continue to oscillate, I suppose

📊 Market structure
Bitcoin has broken the key average price of 79k
54.9k below is a hard bottom
Without macro favorable stimuli
It is highly likely to grind within this range
From 79k to 54.9k
Enough to play around for a while

🛡️ Support area
The area between 60k-69k is interesting
In the first half of the year, retail investors were crazily buying here
Near the cost price
Now the selling pressure is being digested here
It has supported the current consolidation

💰 Chip accumulation
The score has returned from below 0.1 to 0.43
Still a fragile balance
Want a sustained rebound?
Need to see when the whales start buying again
The current volume is not enough to watch

💧 Liquidity
Still tight
The 90-day profit and loss ratio has dropped to 1-2
Capital rotation is slow
The market is all timid

📉 Capital flow
Spot CVD is all negative
Selling pressure is fierce
ETF has begun to net outflows again
The previous bottoming effect is gone

🎭 Derivative sentiment
Implied volatility has dropped
The demand for crash hedging has weakened
But this does not mean bullish
It just means less panic
Market expectations are oscillation

In short
The market has shifted from passive liquidation to controllable sideways movement
Want a reversal?
Wait for those three signals

Before that
Hold your positions well
Don't move around carelessly

gm