DegenShiro
28 Posts
DegenShiro
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Block User
Crypto | Markets | Agents | BTC
Learning to build in public so I can see more clearly
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In this discussion i mainly spoke about Tesla fundamentals. Check it out!
$TSLAB reported flat Q3 revenue of $28.05 billion with a deliveries beat, margin recovery, and a surprise positive free cash flow of $1.53 billion, while cutting full-year CapEx guidance as it continues investing in AI, Robotaxi, and Optimus.
Meanwhile, $METAB a delivered 26% revenue growth to $64.6B driven by advertising, with adjusted earnings beating expectations.
Both are investing heavily in AI, but Tesla cut its full-year CapEx guidance while Meta remains on a high absolute spend path.
In this discussion i mainly spoke about Tesla fundamentals. Check it out!
$TSLAB reported flat Q3 revenue of $28.05 billion with a deliveries beat, margin recovery, and a surprise positive free cash flow of $1.53 billion, while cutting full-year CapEx guidance as it continues investing in AI, Robotaxi, and Optimus.
Meanwhile, $METAB a delivered 26% revenue growth to $64.6B driven by advertising, with adjusted earnings beating expectations.
Both are investing heavily in AI, but Tesla cut its full-year CapEx guidance while Meta remains on a high absolute spend path.
$TSLAB reported flat Q3 revenue of $28.05 billion with a deliveries beat, margin recovery, and a surprise positive free cash flow of $1.53 billion, while cutting full-year CapEx guidance as it continues investing in AI, Robotaxi, and Optimus.
Meanwhile, $METAB a delivered 26% revenue growth to $64.6B driven by advertising, with adjusted earnings beating expectations.
Both are investing heavily in AI, but Tesla cut its full-year CapEx guidance while Meta remains on a high absolute spend path.
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Excited for my upcoming discussion on $TSLAB Tesla alongside @Beca !!!
Everyone in the space knows I'm a researcher and trader who approaches and builds a thesis from a fundamental investor lens.
Looking forward to sharing my thoughts on the business, technology, and longer-term picture.
Will be speaking on binance square live
22 Oct 10.00 UTC
Join here:
[Tesla fundamentals discussion](https://www.binance.com/en/square/audio?id=47405722702641)
Excited for my upcoming discussion on $TSLAB Tesla alongside @Beca酱 !!!
Everyone in the space knows I'm a researcher and trader who approaches and builds a thesis from a fundamental investor lens.
Looking forward to sharing my thoughts on the business, technology, and longer-term picture.
Will be speaking on binance square live
22 Oct 10.00 UTC
Join here:
Tesla fundamentals discussion
Everyone in the space knows I'm a researcher and trader who approaches and builds a thesis from a fundamental investor lens.
Looking forward to sharing my thoughts on the business, technology, and longer-term picture.
Will be speaking on binance square live
22 Oct 10.00 UTC
Join here:
Tesla fundamentals discussion
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Bullish
Placed my bets on binance $BNB
Many friends and ex-colleagues working there are just super high caliber and i believe the team makes the dream work
Whose with me?
Placed my bets on binance $BNB
Many friends and ex-colleagues working there are just super high caliber and i believe the team makes the dream work
Whose with me?
Many friends and ex-colleagues working there are just super high caliber and i believe the team makes the dream work
Whose with me?
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How many of you can say you bullish on the boss @CZ because he is now a real gymbro and bought his coin??
I bought in because health is wealth and respect to the boss really put in the work as gymbro fitzai!!
Respect!!!
BNB Up only!
How many of you can say you bullish on the boss @CZ because he is now a real gymbro and bought his coin??
I bought in because health is wealth and respect to the boss really put in the work as gymbro fitzai!!
Respect!!!
BNB Up only!
I bought in because health is wealth and respect to the boss really put in the work as gymbro fitzai!!
Respect!!!
BNB Up only!
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Bullish
Verified
30D trade $ZEC 16.7K USDT
Added buy positions to my previous $ZEC 1420 entry as it looks like a stealth bullish signal
Its likely token2049 conference in singapore where all the biggest names in crypto connect for the week we will see alot of deals done and get a sensing of whats going to happen for the next couple of years
Im based in singapore as well and will be paying for my ticket to hear the founder zooko and zcash buillders talk about the next phase 🫡
Added buy positions to my previous $ZEC 1420 entry as it looks like a stealth bullish signal
Its likely token2049 conference in singapore where all the biggest names in crypto connect for the week we will see alot of deals done and get a sensing of whats going to happen for the next couple of years
Im based in singapore as well and will be paying for my ticket to hear the founder zooko and zcash buillders talk about the next phase 🫡
Its likely token2049 conference in singapore where all the biggest names in crypto connect for the week we will see alot of deals done and get a sensing of whats going to happen for the next couple of years
Im based in singapore as well and will be paying for my ticket to hear the founder zooko and zcash buillders talk about the next phase 🫡
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Previously i posted about my $QNT buy that my entry was bad and took the L wanting to buy in lower
And it rallied back to my range 😹
Lesson learnt never play w the “quants” that builds infrastructure for the banks
I stay humbled by this trade
Well played
Previously i posted about my $QNT buy that my entry was bad and took the L wanting to buy in lower
And it rallied back to my range 😹
Lesson learnt never play w the “quants” that builds infrastructure for the banks
I stay humbled by this trade
Well played
And it rallied back to my range 😹
Lesson learnt never play w the “quants” that builds infrastructure for the banks
I stay humbled by this trade
Well played
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I was one of the late rally buyers and honestly I’m being humbled by the market
9/10 times in a bullish market
Speed + risk taking = profits
Even for a good trader with years of experience swing trading to a bullish volume this is one such trades where it exemplifies the above does not always equate to profits
It can be a good long term buy but short term losses still takes efficiency of capital off the table
Im blessed that this is my first “bad” trade for entry price in 6 months 🙏🏻
#QNTFallsOver40%FromMorningHigh
I was one of the late rally buyers and honestly I’m being humbled by the market
9/10 times in a bullish market
Speed + risk taking = profits
Even for a good trader with years of experience swing trading to a bullish volume this is one such trades where it exemplifies the above does not always equate to profits
It can be a good long term buy but short term losses still takes efficiency of capital off the table
Im blessed that this is my first “bad” trade for entry price in 6 months 🙏🏻
#QNTFallsOver40%FromMorningHigh
9/10 times in a bullish market
Speed + risk taking = profits
Even for a good trader with years of experience swing trading to a bullish volume this is one such trades where it exemplifies the above does not always equate to profits
It can be a good long term buy but short term losses still takes efficiency of capital off the table
Im blessed that this is my first “bad” trade for entry price in 6 months 🙏🏻
#QNTFallsOver40%FromMorningHigh
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Booked my first unrealized L in 6 months on $QNT i was late to the rally and bought close to the daily top currently sitting on a 15% loss after massive gains on $ZEC i became over confident in alt strength volume and entered in a strong volume but heavier selloff chart
Lesson learnt here
This downtrend is largely attributed to macro sell offs and profit taking of QNT early holders, its still in nascent stages of this playbook that they will capture a large majority of banking infrastructure moving onchain using its standards so i will hold my position and continue buying into the dips as the market moves
trust the process
Booked my first unrealized L in 6 months on $QNT i was late to the rally and bought close to the daily top currently sitting on a 15% loss after massive gains on $ZEC i became over confident in alt strength volume and entered in a strong volume but heavier selloff chart
Lesson learnt here
This downtrend is largely attributed to macro sell offs and profit taking of QNT early holders, its still in nascent stages of this playbook that they will capture a large majority of banking infrastructure moving onchain using its standards so i will hold my position and continue buying into the dips as the market moves
trust the process
Lesson learnt here
This downtrend is largely attributed to macro sell offs and profit taking of QNT early holders, its still in nascent stages of this playbook that they will capture a large majority of banking infrastructure moving onchain using its standards so i will hold my position and continue buying into the dips as the market moves
trust the process
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I must once again heavily direct your attention to learn what is a Bitcoin supercycle and halving events
If you’re new to crypto it is one of the most important fundamentals to master of when to be risk on/off accordingly to the markets phases leading up to the bullrun
of course this will allow you to plan your exit strategy in crypto trading
I must once again heavily direct your attention to learn what is a Bitcoin supercycle and halving events
If you’re new to crypto it is one of the most important fundamentals to master of when to be risk on/off accordingly to the markets phases leading up to the bullrun
of course this will allow you to plan your exit strategy in crypto trading
If you’re new to crypto it is one of the most important fundamentals to master of when to be risk on/off accordingly to the markets phases leading up to the bullrun
of course this will allow you to plan your exit strategy in crypto trading
DegenShiro
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BullishIF you're new to crypto, heres something you must learn and understand. The SuperCycle which correlates with $BTC Halving events.
Read more to understand how past cycles have behaved to plan for the upcoming bullrun.
What is a halving?
- Every 210,000 blocks (~4 years), miner rewards get cut in half. Same demand, less new coins hitting the market. That event is the halving.
Cycle Breakdown:
Historically, Bitcoin reaches its cycle peak roughly 12 to 18 months after a halving event.
- 2012 Halving (Cycle 1): Took 368 days to reach an ATH of $1,127 in November 2013.
- 2016 Halving (Cycle 2): Took 525 days to reach an ATH of $19,665 in December 2017.
- 2020 Halving (Cycle 3): Took 549 days to reach an ATH of $69,044 in November 2021.
- 2024 Halving (Cycle 4): Took approximately 534 days to reach a peak in $126,198 October 2025.}
Three things this actually teaches you:
- Timing clusters. Mature cycles topped ~17–18 months after the cut. Not the week of the halving. Not 3 years later.
- Returns compress. ~95x → ~30x → ~8x → ~2x from the halving print. Bigger market, smaller multiple. Plan for that, not 2013.
- The clock has two jobs. Accumulation lives in the quiet stretch after a blow-off. Distribution lives when everyone is already talking about the next ATH. Most people do the opposite.
Save this so you can come back later when youre trying to plan your strategy for accumulation/ trading/ investing/ exit TP.
Thank me in the next bull run 🙏
Read more to understand how past cycles have behaved to plan for the upcoming bullrun.
What is a halving?
- Every 210,000 blocks (~4 years), miner rewards get cut in half. Same demand, less new coins hitting the market. That event is the halving.
Cycle Breakdown:
Historically, Bitcoin reaches its cycle peak roughly 12 to 18 months after a halving event.
- 2012 Halving (Cycle 1): Took 368 days to reach an ATH of $1,127 in November 2013.
- 2016 Halving (Cycle 2): Took 525 days to reach an ATH of $19,665 in December 2017.
- 2020 Halving (Cycle 3): Took 549 days to reach an ATH of $69,044 in November 2021.
- 2024 Halving (Cycle 4): Took approximately 534 days to reach a peak in $126,198 October 2025.}
Three things this actually teaches you:
- Timing clusters. Mature cycles topped ~17–18 months after the cut. Not the week of the halving. Not 3 years later.
- Returns compress. ~95x → ~30x → ~8x → ~2x from the halving print. Bigger market, smaller multiple. Plan for that, not 2013.
- The clock has two jobs. Accumulation lives in the quiet stretch after a blow-off. Distribution lives when everyone is already talking about the next ATH. Most people do the opposite.
Save this so you can come back later when youre trying to plan your strategy for accumulation/ trading/ investing/ exit TP.
Thank me in the next bull run 🙏
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In my last post i mentioned rotating my capital from BTC to ZEC
As there’s more upcoming Zcash ETFs approvals for many large funds
With a fixed supply of 21M
Similar to BTC
With ZK privacy
It looks like one of the strongest runners leading up to the 2029 bullrun
In my last post i mentioned rotating my capital from BTC to ZEC
As there’s more upcoming Zcash ETFs approvals for many large funds
With a fixed supply of 21M
Similar to BTC
With ZK privacy
It looks like one of the strongest runners leading up to the 2029 bullrun
As there’s more upcoming Zcash ETFs approvals for many large funds
With a fixed supply of 21M
Similar to BTC
With ZK privacy
It looks like one of the strongest runners leading up to the 2029 bullrun
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This is my trade on $BTC average cost 65k and sold close to the local top 82k netting ~30% profit, will be staying liquid for better entries down the road
Been a great month as 3 of the assets i was trading were all the major runners this mini-bull season Zcash, Near & BTC.
Imo the current market does looks to be sideways and altcoin dominance has started shifted towards 57%
Meaning more traders will be looking to rotate their positions in alts with a strong narrative hence my decision to close my spot BTC positions
If you’ve enjoyed my calls so far as a 5 figs spot trader, do follow along for more alpha plays.
This is my trade on $BTC average cost 65k and sold close to the local top 82k netting ~30% profit, will be staying liquid for better entries down the road
Been a great month as 3 of the assets i was trading were all the major runners this mini-bull season Zcash, Near & BTC.
Imo the current market does looks to be sideways and altcoin dominance has started shifted towards 57%
Meaning more traders will be looking to rotate their positions in alts with a strong narrative hence my decision to close my spot BTC positions
If you’ve enjoyed my calls so far as a 5 figs spot trader, do follow along for more alpha plays.
Been a great month as 3 of the assets i was trading were all the major runners this mini-bull season Zcash, Near & BTC.
Imo the current market does looks to be sideways and altcoin dominance has started shifted towards 57%
Meaning more traders will be looking to rotate their positions in alts with a strong narrative hence my decision to close my spot BTC positions
If you’ve enjoyed my calls so far as a 5 figs spot trader, do follow along for more alpha plays.
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Holding $ZEC 18.6K USDT
Follow me for more of my plays, last i called Zcash $ZEC when it dipped.
It had rally back up to its ATH price and with overall $BTC macro hitting 86k
The potential of negative news catalyst from FOMC rate hikes, BOJ rate hikes and crypto clarity news behind us it looks like we will be seeing a nice bullish rally into Q4.
With privacy being one of the biggest narratives of this season i can see Zcash positioned to capture more rotation from other altcoins that are lagging in volume and onchain ecosystem buildout.
Follow me for more of my plays, last i called Zcash $ZEC when it dipped.
It had rally back up to its ATH price and with overall $BTC macro hitting 86k
The potential of negative news catalyst from FOMC rate hikes, BOJ rate hikes and crypto clarity news behind us it looks like we will be seeing a nice bullish rally into Q4.
With privacy being one of the biggest narratives of this season i can see Zcash positioned to capture more rotation from other altcoins that are lagging in volume and onchain ecosystem buildout.
It had rally back up to its ATH price and with overall $BTC macro hitting 86k
The potential of negative news catalyst from FOMC rate hikes, BOJ rate hikes and crypto clarity news behind us it looks like we will be seeing a nice bullish rally into Q4.
With privacy being one of the biggest narratives of this season i can see Zcash positioned to capture more rotation from other altcoins that are lagging in volume and onchain ecosystem buildout.
DegenShiro
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My quant said buy the dip
$ZEC ecosystem build out looks very promising good amount of fud and launches of zksnark rallying a sizeable community behind it gives the extra juicy wings it needed to get more devs in to build
zillions
$ZEC ecosystem build out looks very promising good amount of fud and launches of zksnark rallying a sizeable community behind it gives the extra juicy wings it needed to get more devs in to build
zillions
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Verified
Last i posted about my $ZEC buys at 1427.19 > 1625.5 a 12.91% profit
As i mentioned theres a huge rally from community ecosystem buildout and adding to the fact that theres Zcash ETFs approved for greyscale.
These factors have allowed Zcash to attract both builders and whale money
This network effect has allowed Zcash to have a stronger privacy security and that naturally makes the network stronger
I will continue to watch the buildout onchain, i suggest those interested in Zcash to keep an eye on it as i believe it will be one of the biggest runners leading up tk 2028~2029
Last i posted about my $ZEC buys at 1427.19 > 1625.5 a 12.91% profit
As i mentioned theres a huge rally from community ecosystem buildout and adding to the fact that theres Zcash ETFs approved for greyscale.
These factors have allowed Zcash to attract both builders and whale money
This network effect has allowed Zcash to have a stronger privacy security and that naturally makes the network stronger
I will continue to watch the buildout onchain, i suggest those interested in Zcash to keep an eye on it as i believe it will be one of the biggest runners leading up tk 2028~2029
As i mentioned theres a huge rally from community ecosystem buildout and adding to the fact that theres Zcash ETFs approved for greyscale.
These factors have allowed Zcash to attract both builders and whale money
This network effect has allowed Zcash to have a stronger privacy security and that naturally makes the network stronger
I will continue to watch the buildout onchain, i suggest those interested in Zcash to keep an eye on it as i believe it will be one of the biggest runners leading up tk 2028~2029
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My quant said buy the dip
$ZEC ecosystem build out looks very promising good amount of fud and launches of zksnark rallying a sizeable community behind it gives the extra juicy wings it needed to get more devs in to build
zillions
My quant said buy the dip
$ZEC ecosystem build out looks very promising good amount of fud and launches of zksnark rallying a sizeable community behind it gives the extra juicy wings it needed to get more devs in to build
zillions
$ZEC ecosystem build out looks very promising good amount of fud and launches of zksnark rallying a sizeable community behind it gives the extra juicy wings it needed to get more devs in to build
zillions
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Bullish
IF you're new to crypto, heres something you must learn and understand. The SuperCycle which correlates with $BTC Halving events.
Read more to understand how past cycles have behaved to plan for the upcoming bullrun.
What is a halving?
- Every 210,000 blocks (~4 years), miner rewards get cut in half. Same demand, less new coins hitting the market. That event is the halving.
Cycle Breakdown:
Historically, Bitcoin reaches its cycle peak roughly 12 to 18 months after a halving event.
- 2012 Halving (Cycle 1): Took 368 days to reach an ATH of $1,127 in November 2013.
- 2016 Halving (Cycle 2): Took 525 days to reach an ATH of $19,665 in December 2017.
- 2020 Halving (Cycle 3): Took 549 days to reach an ATH of $69,044 in November 2021.
- 2024 Halving (Cycle 4): Took approximately 534 days to reach a peak in $126,198 October 2025.}
Three things this actually teaches you:
- Timing clusters. Mature cycles topped ~17–18 months after the cut. Not the week of the halving. Not 3 years later.
- Returns compress. ~95x → ~30x → ~8x → ~2x from the halving print. Bigger market, smaller multiple. Plan for that, not 2013.
- The clock has two jobs. Accumulation lives in the quiet stretch after a blow-off. Distribution lives when everyone is already talking about the next ATH. Most people do the opposite.
Save this so you can come back later when youre trying to plan your strategy for accumulation/ trading/ investing/ exit TP.
Thank me in the next bull run 🙏
IF you're new to crypto, heres something you must learn and understand. The SuperCycle which correlates with $BTC Halving events.
Read more to understand how past cycles have behaved to plan for the upcoming bullrun.
What is a halving?
- Every 210,000 blocks (~4 years), miner rewards get cut in half. Same demand, less new coins hitting the market. That event is the halving.
Cycle Breakdown:
Historically, Bitcoin reaches its cycle peak roughly 12 to 18 months after a halving event.
- 2012 Halving (Cycle 1): Took 368 days to reach an ATH of $1,127 in November 2013.
- 2016 Halving (Cycle 2): Took 525 days to reach an ATH of $19,665 in December 2017.
- 2020 Halving (Cycle 3): Took 549 days to reach an ATH of $69,044 in November 2021.
- 2024 Halving (Cycle 4): Took approximately 534 days to reach a peak in $126,198 October 2025.}
Three things this actually teaches you:
- Timing clusters. Mature cycles topped ~17–18 months after the cut. Not the week of the halving. Not 3 years later.
- Returns compress. ~95x → ~30x → ~8x → ~2x from the halving print. Bigger market, smaller multiple. Plan for that, not 2013.
- The clock has two jobs. Accumulation lives in the quiet stretch after a blow-off. Distribution lives when everyone is already talking about the next ATH. Most people do the opposite.
Save this so you can come back later when youre trying to plan your strategy for accumulation/ trading/ investing/ exit TP.
Thank me in the next bull run 🙏
Read more to understand how past cycles have behaved to plan for the upcoming bullrun.
What is a halving?
- Every 210,000 blocks (~4 years), miner rewards get cut in half. Same demand, less new coins hitting the market. That event is the halving.
Cycle Breakdown:
Historically, Bitcoin reaches its cycle peak roughly 12 to 18 months after a halving event.
- 2012 Halving (Cycle 1): Took 368 days to reach an ATH of $1,127 in November 2013.
- 2016 Halving (Cycle 2): Took 525 days to reach an ATH of $19,665 in December 2017.
- 2020 Halving (Cycle 3): Took 549 days to reach an ATH of $69,044 in November 2021.
- 2024 Halving (Cycle 4): Took approximately 534 days to reach a peak in $126,198 October 2025.}
Three things this actually teaches you:
- Timing clusters. Mature cycles topped ~17–18 months after the cut. Not the week of the halving. Not 3 years later.
- Returns compress. ~95x → ~30x → ~8x → ~2x from the halving print. Bigger market, smaller multiple. Plan for that, not 2013.
- The clock has two jobs. Accumulation lives in the quiet stretch after a blow-off. Distribution lives when everyone is already talking about the next ATH. Most people do the opposite.
Save this so you can come back later when youre trying to plan your strategy for accumulation/ trading/ investing/ exit TP.
Thank me in the next bull run 🙏
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BTCRebounds80K
60,180 views
676 Discussing
BITCOIN UPDATE I’M STILL BEARISH, AND HERE’S WHY! 🚨⚠️
As you all witnessed, BTC bounced back from the $75,700 area and touched $81K. First, the market trapped long traders, and then it trapped short traders.
I’m still bearish. First of all, as everyone knows, Democrats won today’s US midterm elections, and in my view, this outcome is bearish for the market.
The market can remain volatile in the short term and trap as many traders as it wants, but that doesn’t change the overall market outlook.
There are several important upcoming events, including US Non Farm Payrolls (November 6), US CPI Inflation (November 10), US PPI (November 13), US Retail Sales (November 17), FOMC Meeting Minutes (November 18), US PCE Inflation (November 25), Federal Reserve interest rate expectations, the US Dollar Index (DXY), Treasury Yields, Nasdaq performance, Bitcoin ETF flows, and ongoing( Iran ) Israel geopolitical developments. All of these could have a significant impact on Bitcoin and the overall crypto market.
But don’t get too carried away by Bitcoin’s recent movement. Technically speaking, there hasn’t been any major bullish move yet. Yesterday, BTC was trading between $80K and $82K, and even today, it’s still around the same range.
If you want to turn bullish, that’s entirely your choice.
In my previous post, I clearly explained that BTC had technical support in the $75K / $76K zone, and the price bounced from that support and made its way back towards $80K. But this wasn’t something I had failed to mention before. In fact, I repeatedly mentioned in my posts that BTC could move towards $80K, $81K, or even $82K.
Despite that, I’m still bearish.
And I don’t have just one reason to support my bearish outlook. I have several reasons, which I’ve already explained in my previous posts.
For now, I’ll continue to wait for BTC to drop below $74K, which I believe could happen very soon. In my view, such a correction is also necessary for the market.
Anyone looking for crypto guidance just let me know.
#BTCRebounds80K
Strategic Adviser
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