Back in 2016-2017, a buddy of mine was trading ETH. The price was around $15, maybe even lower. He was raking in profits, let’s just say—doing really well. But from this story, we learned an important lesson:
HOLD > Trade
Not because he kept getting stopped out in bear markets or because he was making little on every trade. On the contrary, the issue was that despite putting in a ton of effort over time, he ended up with way less than he could have just by holding the asset.
Some might think that holding is a boring strategy, especially those who want to get everything all at once. But the missed profits while cash is temporarily sitting in fiat can turn out to be a lot more painful over time than it seems.
For example, let’s take that same year, 2017. ETH price—$15, deposit—$1000 (these numbers are hypothetical).
It’s hard to say how much could have been traded from then until 2026, but let’s assume he managed to 10x the deposit. That’s already a pretty solid result.
Trading result: $1000 → $10,000
But if those ethers had just been sitting in the wallet all those years, the final amount would have been roughly: $1000 → $110,000
So, passive holding of the asset would have brought in about 10 times more.
November: −17.5% December: −3.2% January: −10.1% February — ?
I think there will be a rise soon. Why?
Because there are indicators that have proven themselves over the years in the market. One of them is the fear and greed index. Right now, global confidence is at a very low level. Most people are afraid.
And that is a good sign. The rule in the market is simple: the stronger the fear, the greater the subsequent profit.
Therefore, I think one should buy now and wait. Growth is just a matter of time.
I myself will set a limit order at the 74 500 level tomorrow and will enter the purchase. I see the potential at 40–50%.
#BTC - the asset is back in the breakout operation, as of the end of the week, we can see a return to the trend channel. The market wants to rise ahead of the Fed meeting.
Good market dynamics are confirmed. For Bitcoin, I set the next target — $120,000.
Congratulations to our community — we entered this growth on time. This could be a strong start to the entire growth season.
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Why is it important now? • Around — FUD, fear, doubts. • But we see deeper: long liquidity has already been cleared, there is no one left to liquidate. • The market has been cleaned — and it is in such moments that real momentum begins.
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💬 For those in the know:
Those who come to the streams, participate, listen — they will be one step ahead of the majority. Without emotions, without guesses, only system and facts.
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We activate concentration mode. 120 000$ for BTC — the next station. 🚀
📈 Crypto — long positions prioritized for the US session 🇺🇸
With the opening of the American session, the market confidently secures above key levels — buyer activity is increasing.
🟢 According to the P3 strategy, more and more crypto-assets are moving into the green trend zone, forming signals for Long. 📊 In the order book, the volume delta is on the buyer's side, and the previously observed density at 1000 BTC around 109,000 — has already run out. This confirms: 💡 This was spoofing, artificially created by sellers to intimidate.
🔍 Signals are strengthening: • The breakout at 108,000 occurred on volume 💥 • CVD continues to rise 📈 • Coinbase, Bybit, Binance — are recording abnormal buyer activity
💥 Against the backdrop of these confirmations: ▶️ Priority for BTC — Long ▶️ Focus — on continuing the momentum above 110,000
We are monitoring the development. A repeat of the 14-day-old pattern is possible 📊
I cannot confirm the accuracy of the rumors, but there are reports circulating on the internet that over 2000 crypto traders have taken their own lives after the crash on October 10, 2025 — the very day when the market experienced record liquidations.
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📉 Data from Glassnode: • Funding rates in the crypto market fell to minimal levels not seen since the bear market of 2022. • This is one of the most powerful instances of deleveraging in the history of crypto markets — the market aggressively and quickly "blew off" speculative excesses.
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💡 Conclusion: Something clearly went wrong. The market did not just experience a correction — it conducted a purge of excessive speculation. Such events are rare, and they remain in history as harsh lessons for all.
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⚠️ It is important to remember: • Emotions and tragedy are part of human history, but they cannot be ignored. • We are traders, but first and foremost, we are human beings. • When the market breaks leverage, it is especially important to maintain discipline, understand risks, and be prepared strategically.
The green wide zone is clearly visible on the chart — this area is the range where buyers are systematically accumulating the asset. This zone is called the “order shelf” or Buyer Block — market participants are holding the price at this level and are actively buying back any dips.
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🔹 What this means: • The width of the zone indicates the scale of participant interest — the wider it is, the higher the liquidity and attention from large players. • The green “strong” signals at the bottom of the chart show the buyers' initiative and confirm that there is demand. • Currently, demand and interest in ETH are at a high level — this is also confirmed by the recovery in price and growth in trading volume.
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💬 Conclusion:
📊 Ethereum is currently situated in the area under the following conditions: • consistent interest from buyers has formed, • active price holding and buybacks are occurring, • and if this zone is maintained, there is potential for further upward movement in price.
💎The first Trust Alpha campaign has been launched in Trust Wallet with Credia_Layer 🚀 - Lock $TWT - Earn from a pool of 5,000,000 CRED 👉Make sure you have the latest version of the app installed, then go to the Earn → Trust Alpha section to get started❗ Why join early❓ The Trust Alpha campaign is already underway, and time matters. ⏰The earlier you lock your TWT, the more CRED rewards you will receive. 💸5,000,000 CRED rewards distributed based on how early and how much you locked. 🗓October 9, 11:00 UTC → October 12, 11:00 UTC *The TGE for CRED is expected to take place around 11:30 UTC on October 9. 🚀How to join Trust Alpha❓ 🔹Update Trust Wallet to the latest version. 🔹Go to the "Earn" tab → "Trust Alpha". 🔹Select Trust Alpha $CRED and lock a minimum of 1$ TWT. 🔹Make a minimum exchange of 10$ (excluding fees) on BNB, ETH, or Base networks. 🔹Track rewards in the "Reward Tracker" every 8 hours.
• The majority of members consider a softening of monetary policy appropriate in 2025; • However, inflation remains the main risk limiting aggressive rate cuts; • Committee members emphasized: decisions will depend on inflation and labor market data.
📉 Conclusion: The Fed is on course to lower rates, but is doing so very cautiously. If inflation accelerates again — the pause will continue. The market reads this as "soft, but without euphoria."
The US Senate has once again failed to approve the budget agreement. 👉 The shutdown continues.
📌 What this means: • Federal agencies have partially suspended operations • Reports on labor markets, inflation, and the economy may be delayed • The SEC and other regulators are operating in emergency mode — this blocks the launch of new crypto-ETFs • Political tensions are rising, pressure on the economy is increasing
📉 Markets are reacting nervously. Every day of the shutdown is a decrease in investor confidence and a slowdown of key processes.
▪️CryptoQuant analysts believe that BTC is maintaining a bullish trend despite a slowdown in growth. The price is currently around $119,600, which is 10% higher than the recent low.
▪️The key level, according to experts, is at $130,000. This is where short-term investors may start to take profits.
▪️The company notes that traders are actively using dips to enter the market, which supports momentum and increases Bitcoin's chances of moving to new highs.
Growing in trading is not just about chasing every hot signal. It comes from depth, discipline, patience, and a lot of hard work over time. The way is as follows 👇 1. Find the strategy that suits you Experiment with different trading styles; one day you will find the one that suits you. It must match your personality, time, and way of thinking. You won't succeed with a system that doesn't fit you. 2. Stick firmly to one strategy Once you find your style, commit fully. Don't be distracted. You need to endure all the good and bad moments. 3. Learn from past leaders and setups Spend a lot of time (more than 10,000 hours). Study successful traders and repeatedly recurring patterns. As you train your brain, you'll start to see good opportunities faster. 4. Establish the market trend model Know exactly when to trade and when to wait. Choosing the right time increases your chances of winning. 5. Learn risk management Understand the basics, then dive deeper. Your first goal is to stay in the market. Take minimal risks, preserve your capital, and one trade shouldn’t wipe you out. 6. Document every trade Use tables, screenshots, and notes. This way, documenting will speed up your learning process. 7. Make not losing money your primary goal The first goal is not profit but to avoid losing money. Risk control and choosing the right market will help you break even. 8. Eliminate recurring mistakes Every mistake is a lesson. Review your trades, identify mistakes, and write new rules to avoid repeating them. This way, you will grow. 9. Achieve consistent profits Over time, your graph will start to rise—not because you found better setups, but because you managed risk and time better. 10. Expand cautiously Only increase positions and margins when you start seeing consistent profits. But never scale up a faulty system.
The U.S. Government Shutdown (temporary closure) occurs when Congress fails to pass a budget or funding legislation on time. If a decision is not made by October 1, most government agencies will cease operations, and thousands of employees will go on temporary unpaid leave.
This situation affects the market's decline for the following reasons: 1. Uncertainty: The biggest risk for investors is political instability. It becomes unclear when the government will start operating again and how expenses will be funded. 2. Negative economic impact: If government employees do not receive their salaries, their consumption will decrease. Contractor companies may also not get paid on time, leading to a short-term slowdown in the economy. 3. Debt and rating risk: If the shutdown prolongs, doubts about the U.S.'s ability to pay its debt will arise. This could lower the credit rating and negatively impact the bond market. 4. Investor reaction: Many will shift their capital to safe assets (gold, U.S. short-term treasury bills). As a result, stocks will decline, and the dollar will become unstable.
👉 In short, the main reason for the market's decline is political uncertainty and short-term negative expectations for the economy.
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