長川佐正美 082

BTC breaks through $80,000—why did it suddenly surge like this? On the news front: Fed Governor Waller signaled that he leans toward keeping interest rates unchanged this month. The market’s previously biggest fear—renewed rate hikes—has been defused, directly loosening risk assets. On-chain, more hardcore: a “mega whale” snapped up 60,000 BTC in August (about $4.7 billion). U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of $3.52 billion in August, and BlackRock even slashed the IBIT redemption threshold from $25 million to $1 million—institutions are buying while retail is selling. Positions are shifting from retail hands to whales and institutions. This rally isn’t a panic-driven stampede—it’s a change of hands. After breaking 80,000, what matters is whether it can hold. In the short term, the core question is whether it can hold and build volume above 81,500. Holding would open the way to the 82,800~83,800 range, and the 82,800 area is the watershed for the medium-term outlook: a breakout could target 94,000–98,000, while rejection would send it back into its trading range. $BTC