In the volatile world of cryptocurrencies, the term 'bear market' is often mentioned, but few new investors truly understand its implications. Many entered the market in 2020-2021, or in 2024-2025, periods of euphoric rises, and have not experienced the intense bearish phases that have marked the history of cryptos. This article, inspired by a detailed thread on X (formerly Twitter), aims to demystify what a true bear market is, its consequences on prices, projects, and investor psychology, while providing advice on how to prepare for it.
According to on-chain data, an early ETH investor woke up after 10.6 years of inactivity and attempted to transfer 1 ETH to an exchange platform, but the transaction failed. He had invested 443 dollars during the ICO to acquire 1430 ETH, which are now worth 2.81 million dollars, representing a return multiplied by 6335.
According to a report by Jinse Finance, Dune's data shows that the total on-chain holdings volume of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States has reached 1.5 million BTC, currently exceeding 1.494 million BTC, which represents 7.47% of the current BTC supply. Over the past week, 22,590 BTC have flowed in, with the value of on-chain holdings reaching 168.9 billion dollars. #bitcoin
According to Darkfost from CryptoQuant, the four-year simple moving average (SMA) indicator for bitcoin has now entered the bearish market level zone. This indicator evaluates the valuation state of bitcoin using standard deviation and the SMA multiple: the higher the multiple, the greater the overbought level; the closer the price is to the four-year SMA, the lower the valuation.
Currently, the price of bitcoin has fallen back into the green zone and is approaching the level of the four-year SMA, which is currently around 57,500 dollars. According to historical trends, this level generally marks the last phase of each bear market, with the BTC price tending to fluctuate in this zone for several months. Darkfost indicates that he is generally not a proponent of models based on moving averages but believes that this indicator is worth monitoring.
According to data from Hyperbot, 10 minutes ago, Huang Licheng reduced his long position on ETH by 425 tokens. His long position on ETH is now 2,500 tokens (approximately 5.02 million dollars). In addition, he also holds a long position of 8,000 tokens VVV (approximately 2.87 dollars).
Currently, the total size of Huang Licheng's position is approximately 5.05 million dollars, with a latent loss of 94,000 dollars; his futures account recorded a loss of approximately 1.08 million dollars over the past week, for a cumulative loss reaching 26.02 million dollars.
L0REANO
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according to HyperInsight's monitoring, the address of "Big Brother Whale" Huang Licheng added to his long position in ETH 10 minutes ago, currently holding a long position of 2700 ETH with a leverage of 25x, for a floating profit of $150,000.
Interesting fact: Historically, BNB has often entered strong momentum phases after Lunar New Year, particularly when broader market liquidity expands in late Q1.
In 2021, BNB accelerated aggressively in the weeks following Lunar New Year and eventually reached its cycle ATH ($671) during one of the most explosive expansion phases of the market.
According to Bitcoin.com, Jurrien Timmer, global director of macroeconomics at Fidelity, stated on platform X that bitcoin recently fell to $60,000, reaching the support zone anticipated several months ago, which could indicate the formation of a bearish floor and the opening of a new phase of expansion. He emphasized that the drop to $60,000 remains relatively moderate and that as bitcoin matures, its volatility is expected to gradually decrease. He forecasts that after several months of consolidation, a new bullish cycle could begin, with the possibility of reaching new highs.
Timmer attached a chart analysis showing the correlation between the price of bitcoin and the global money supply, identifying $60,000 as a technical support level. Another chart, titled "The Path to Bitcoin Maturity", traces its historical waves: from early levels at $2 and $24, up to the breakthrough peak at $64,000, and points towards a projected sixth wave at $290,425. This model incorporates the adoption curve and macroeconomic variables, outlining a long-term framework towards a goal of one million dollars. He emphasized that if cycles and adoption trends continue, bitcoin could follow a structured maturity path after consolidating around $60,000.
According to The Fintech Times, the digital bank of the United Arab Emirates Zand is expanding its collaboration with Ripple, particularly by supporting RLUSD in the regulated digital asset custody services of Zand, studying direct liquidity solutions between the regulated stablecoin of the dirham AEDZ and RLUSD, as well as exploring the issuance of AEDZ on XRPL.
According to SaniExp, on February 14, 2026 (Saturday) at 23:53:18 (UTC+8), centralized exchanges hold a total of 3.4985 million BTC. Over the last 48 hours, individuals have sold 7,015 BTC. Historical data shows an increase of 5,482 BTC over 24 hours, 10,084 BTC over 48 hours, 16,231 BTC over 7 days, and 74,499 BTC since the beginning of the year.
Steve Kurz, head of asset management at Galaxy Digital, stated that the recent decline in cryptocurrencies reflects a healthy deleveraging, while infrastructure growth and institutional adoption support optimistic prospects. Kurz believes that the recent market decline was driven by liquidity factors and a reduction in leverage, rather than a systemic failure; the market cycle is more mature than in 2022, and most forced sales may be over. He emphasizes that stablecoins, tokenization, and the integration of blockchain with traditional finance are accelerating, with cryptocurrencies becoming financial assets and central financial infrastructures. He forecasts that there will not be a V-shaped rebound, but rather a gradual rise after a period of fluctuations, and that with the deepening of institutional capital, the "deep fusion" between cryptocurrencies and traditional finance will continue to progress.
The current total capitalization of the cryptocurrency market is $2.63 trillion, with an evaporation of $27.716 billion over 24 hours, representing a decrease of 1.04%. Among these, Bitcoin's market share is 52.96%, while Ethereum's is 9.69%.
X plans to launch cryptocurrency and stock trading features in the coming weeks, allowing users to trade directly via stock codes in posts. The product manager of X indicated that the internal payment system, X Money, is expected to launch an external beta version for testing in one to two months.
To all the women building, innovating, and inspiring in Web3 💛
Today, I celebrate your courage, your vision, and your determination. Every line of code, every project launched, and every community you grow proves that the future of blockchain is also being shaped by you.
Across the Binance tour and throughout the ecosystem, your energy is changing the game. Keep daring, creating, and showing the world that Web3 is stronger when women shine fully.
according to HyperInsight's monitoring, the address of "Big Brother Whale" Huang Licheng added to his long position in ETH 10 minutes ago, currently holding a long position of 2700 ETH with a leverage of 25x, for a floating profit of $150,000.
GM 🌞 According to data from CryptoRank, the inflows of bitcoin to accumulation addresses have reached their highest level since the beginning of 2022, with large holders continuing to buy during the price decline.
ETH is approaching a key technical area. The price of ETH is currently testing the major resistance located around $2059, an area characterized by a strong concentration of volumes. The buying ratio at 1.23 already indicates notable selling pressure at this level. The technical elements to watch: The J indicator has entered the extreme overbought zone, signaling an increased risk of a short-term correction. Potential formation of a top on the candlestick structure. The EMA24 and EMA52 remain oriented downward, confirming that the overall trend remains fragile.
The bill on the structure of the cryptocurrency market in the U.S. Senate is stalled due to the controversy over stablecoin yields. The banking sector had previously submitted documents to the White House requesting a complete ban on yields from stablecoins. The Digital Chamber published a principles document in response, estimating that activities related to stablecoins require certain incentives, but that the industry does not need to develop products that directly threaten bank deposits.
Mike McGlone expects inflation to be close to zero in 2026, Bitcoin could lead the recession. Mike McGlone of Bloomberg Intelligence stated that historical trends of the CPI indicate that in 2026, inflation could approach zero, and that Bitcoin could play a dominant role in an economic recession driven by deflation.