This is me testing the waters by buying less than 3u of the altcoin EIGEN on February 22, 2025, and I have held it for almost a whole year.
Now, my unrealized loss exceeds 70%, and it's still spot. 2.89U is left with 0.46$ , and I am very glad that I only bought two or three U, as I can feel how bad the altcoin situation is.
Apart from this, I have never held onto any altcoins for a long time, I can say that I am luckier than 99% of people,
Some people bought the dip on altcoins for 15000U, with an unrealized loss exceeding 90%, and are left with over 1000u. Many people are trapped with a 90% loss due to their belief in an altcoin season and have paid a high price.
My current viewpoint is that there will be no altcoin season, Unless my 70% unrealized loss turns into +1% (a positive number), I will not believe there will be an altcoin season.
But what needs to be considered now is: macroeconomics, inflation, rising prices, interest rate issues, and Japan's market economy issues, whether the U.S. will provide liquidity to the crypto market, and unlimited QE (like the liquidity in the 2021 bull market). Many people know nothing about this, and most are just closing their eyes and shouting bull market.
From the very beginning, I have been disgusted by the Chinese names of meme coins, so I have never touched them, especially those idiots who seriously analyze this and that about Chinese coins while frequently posting explanations about them. There are also quite a few people looking for the future in these coins. The obvious things about Chinese coins have already been named in Chinese; what kind of people are playing with them? Is there any foreigner? What is the final outcome of projects that are heavily domestically flavored? Don't you have a sense of this? Including the artificial bull market in March 2025, I also never touch things like CZ's cauliflower dog. Anyone with a bit of intelligence can understand how strong the large holders' chips and control over the market are in such artificial bull market products and what the final outcome of the projects is. Do I still need to say it? The conclusions I draw are not temporary thoughts, nor are they discrimination against Chinese; they are a truth that most people understand, which is that the final outcome of domestically produced projects → death
Every cycle is a deliberately fabricated hypocritical narrative, describing Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset; this logic is fundamentally flawed. The true purpose is to create a safe-haven narrative to fool others into taking the bait and lifting certain people up. Let me ask, who would consider an investment product that drops 70% to 80% in every bear market as a safe-haven? When real problems arise in the world, people will inevitably choose gold instead of Bitcoin; their bubbles and lies will naturally be burst. $BTC
Some people just keep saying this time is different, every time is different, yet the result is always the same.
Please, some people should check the actual data (QE, inflation, interest rate hikes) before fantasizing about altcoin season.
They yearn for cryptocurrency to break free from the traditional rule of an 80% crash. Is it your first day in the crypto world?
Since entering the market at the end of 2020, I have only experienced one bull-bear cycle and can understand such a simple truth, while some people do not realize that they treat the crypto market as a 50% winning lottery ticket.
They have said “different” a thousand times, but what is called “different” is actually because the altcoin season did not come; their greed was not satisfied, which drives them to say “this time is different” to continue fantasizing about their altcoin season.
The cyclicality of cryptocurrency remains consistent, Strong cyclicality ≠ Strong altcoin season rules.
Cyclicality refers to the Bitcoin cycle rules And not the altcoin season cycle rules.
By the way, let's take a look at the increase of altcoins in 2021 compared to the prices in 2020; how much increase is still unfulfilled? It’s not just about being filled with passionate enthusiasm. How much percentage has the spot market lost, how much have you lost, don’t you have any idea?
Tom Lee's large position in leeks has been trapped by Ethereum for over 4 billion dollars, and now he can't find a buyer. He's pretending to be a diamond hand, claiming he will never sell, so he started playing with staking, which made me laugh.
MicroStrategy's current price is 173.71 USD, with a daily increase of +1.64%, and a decrease of -42% over the past 3 months.
Bitcoin peaked at 126000 and fell to 80000 recently, a decrease of 37%. It has fluctuated to 91000 now, still showing a decrease of 27%. Those who are trapped at the top need a price increase of 38% to break even.
Ethereum peaked at 4950, fell to 2600, with a decrease of 47%. It has fluctuated to 3100 now, still showing a decrease of 37%. Those trapped at the top need a price increase of 58% to break even. The groups trapped above were previously lured into traps by FOMO and are also the retail investors of the altcoin season.
Bitcoin's bear market bottom in 2022 was at 15400, rising to a peak of 126000. Those who escaped at the top made a pure profit of 700%. Now, with liquidity in the crypto market depleted, it is enough to show that this cycle has completed its bull market mission, and it also indicates that the bull market of this cycle has moved far away from us.
The deep bear market engine is stirring, and we only need to watch those who yearn for wealth through spot trading slowly fade away in this process of transitioning between bull and bear markets.
I advise those who are obsessed with the altcoin season to rein in their greed. The crypto market does not have to have an altcoin season in every cycle; this market does not owe you anything.
The current altcoin prices, compared to the prices before the explosion in the crypto market in 2020, still have dozens or even hundreds of times of increase. Without digesting these increases, it is difficult to achieve a hundredfold rise.
Bitcoin's bear market bottomed at over 15,000 in 2022, rising to this year's peak of 126,000, with a remarkable increase of 700%. Aside from the foolish and the bad, who would still fantasize about a bull market? 😃
On January 10, 2026, around 11 PM (UTC), a victim lost over $282 million worth of Litecoin (LTC) and Bitcoin (BTC) due to a hardware wallet social engineering scam.
The attacker started exchanging the stolen Litecoin and Bitcoin for Monero (XMR) through multiple instant exchanges, causing the price of Monero to surge.
Additionally, the attacker bridged Bitcoin to Ethereum, Ripple, and Litecoin through Thorchain.
Stolen addresses (2.05 million Litecoin, 1459 Bitcoin):
Bitcoin bear market rose from 15000 to 126000, it's already a very bullish market. Now, aside from the foolish and bad, who would still naively shout for a bull market? Except for the naive and those bad people, there are no more.
Because this round does not have a altcoin season to satisfy their greed, some people always try to continue their delusion of an altcoin season using the theory of broken cycles.
$KAITO One hour ago, kaito announced the suspension of Yaps (oral stimulation) incentives.
This cancer in the crypto circle has finally left, precisely because it once spread the distorted values of oral stimulation throughout the entire mining community.
It ruined the hard work of real users, rendering it all meaningless.
Now this bastard has finally left.
Many testnet users have been severely affected by it; if you've been harmed by it, please raise your hand
For this artificial bull market, do we really need to elaborate on how likely it is to crash and wipe out retail investors?
Starting from the broccoli meme coin in March 2025
All the way to today's various insulting-to-intelligence Chinese coins
Who exactly are these weak players involved in? Don't they have any sense?
Blowing up hype, pushing up prices, and racing against a bunch of weak players—how hilarious!
Who exactly are these people playing these Chinese-style coins? Are there any foreigners involved? Don't they know what they're doing?
👉 Chinese 👉 Domestic 👉 Ambush 👉 Crash 👉 Wipe out retail investors 👉 Liquidate 👉 Ruin
The funniest part is that this highly domestic-style product is still attracting a large group of weak players looking for a future
In reality, they know perfectly well they're just racing to see who can run faster and make a quick profit before exiting
I used to think the listing standards and requirements on Binance were strict and sophisticated, but now I see they're not that impressive
If this continues, Chinese clones are inevitable. I don't know the bottom line for foreigners, but I know the bottom line for Chinese people all too well
Besides BSC, I've also seen Chinese coins on other chains—those locusts spreading destruction everywhere
Funny enough, the common point about their so-called 'difference' is that they only want to ignore the bear market cycles, but never the bull market cycles, so they always cling to the belief that 'the alt season and bull market will come tomorrow,' always with tears in their eyes.
This perfectly reflects the ugly nature of human greed.
They've said 'this time is different' a million times, yet they refuse to consider that 'different' might mean there will be no more alt season.
This cycle is meant to teach you: 'different' simply means no more alt season, got it?
Thinking about 'this time is different' from this angle isn't impossible. But insisting that an alt season must come, as if the market owes you something?
In the previous bear market bottom, those who bought at $16,000 have already made profits and exited the top. The few who haven't exited are just hoping some big player will push the price up a bit more before selling.
If you had gone all-in on Bitcoin at the $20,000 bottom, and sold at the peak of $120,000, your profit after cost would already be 5 times, at least 500% — you wouldn't be acting like a naive fool constantly screaming about a 'furious bull market'.
In my eyes, some garbage altcoins are no better than meme coins.