蛋挞只爱黑丝脚

The Ethereum Foundation is selling ETH again,
You know the comments section is gonna blow up once this topic hits.

Some folks see the Foundation selling and instantly think it’s the end of the world.

But hey, let’s not jump the gun here.

This selling gig by the Foundation isn’t new, and it won’t be the last time either.

The real issue isn’t whether they sold or not.
It’s all about how the market reacts.

If after the sell-off the price can still hold steady,
that means there are buyers willing to step in.
But if it tanks right away,
that’s when it gets really awkward.

Right now, ETH’s biggest problem isn’t the lack of news.
It’s whether it can make the market believe again:
I’m still worthy of being the main player.

The market out there is buzzing.

US stocks are hitting new highs,
AI stocks are diversifying,
oil prices are on a rollercoaster.

And now a lot of folks are starting to ask:
Is crypto gonna follow suit?

I think we can’t view it that simply right now.

The US stock market has its own script,
oil has its own sentiment,
and crypto has its own quirks.

Just because the Nasdaq is up,
that doesn’t mean your altcoins should automatically pump.

The market is very reality-based right now.

Just because others are strong,
doesn’t mean you are too.

Don’t think just because the table next to you is feasting,
that there’s food on your own plate.

Tonight's altcoin leaderboard is not about which one pumps the most.

It's about which of these coins can transition from short-term hype to a sustained structure.

Many coins have a strong initial pump.
But the real question is, what happens after that pump?

Some coins just crash back down without any buyers,
while others can bounce back and continue to rise.

These two scenarios are on completely different levels.

I'm more focused on:

Is there sustained trading volume?
Is there a hot narrative?
Is there support on the pullbacks?
Is there sector correlation?
Can they establish a second wave structure?

The biggest fear in trading altcoins isn't missing the first wave.

It's entering after the first wave is done,
only to provide liquidity for others.

Tonight's strategy is straightforward:
Look for strength, filter for second waves, and don't chase the hype.

Is Twitter crashing again, folks?
🤡🤡

You get rich
#UKOIL

Crude oil
As mentioned yesterday, it reached support, experienced a brief bullish rebound, with the price rebound gap around 103. Increase short positions, if it breaks around 90, pursue shorts. Currently opened 400 lots, expecting to reach 1000 lots.

Short-term long positions in gold and silver
I don't know if any of the teachers got it.
Please cherish the handsome blogger who is still sending you analysis.
Wishing you prosperity.
#XAGUSTD #xau

#btc
The two gaps
Using a long strategy will yield better results.

Most people think trading is about buying low and selling high, but that's completely wrong.

Real trading can be summed up in one sentence:

Use probability to combat uncertainty.
Only those who understand this sentence can be considered beginners.

The market is never meant for prediction but for response.
In each trade, you are essentially doing three things:

Judging whether an advantage exists
Deciding how much risk to take
Accepting uncertain outcomes

True experts never pursue correctness in every trade.
They focus on one thing:

Making more when right and losing less when wrong.
Thus, the core of trading is never the technique itself, but:

Discipline (Can you execute according to the rules?)

Risk management (How much will you lose without breaking?)

Probabilistic thinking (Accepting loss as part of the game)
If you are still asking:

"Will this coin go up?"

"Can I enter now?"

Then you have not truly understood trading.

The real questions to ask are:

"Where is my advantage?"

"Can I bear this loss?"

Remember:

Trading is not a place to make you smarter,
but a place to avoid mistakes.