Will altcoins surge across the board in the bull market?
Question one: In the bull market of 2021, the total market cap of the cryptocurrency market reached a high of $2.8 trillion, with the total market cap of altcoins reaching as high as $1.6 trillion. During the process of Bitcoin (BTC) climbing from the previous high of $20,000 to $60,000, the total market cap of altcoins soared from $200 billion to $1.6 trillion, an increase of about 8 times. The current international cryptocurrency market cap is $3.8 trillion, with a change of 0.53% in the past 24 hours and a change of 135.66% in the past year. As of today, the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) is $2 trillion, with a Bitcoin dominance of 52.41%. Meanwhile, the market cap of stablecoins is $200 billion, accounting for 5.38% of the total cryptocurrency market cap. Assuming you still believe that the total market cap of altcoins can increase 8 times, then the future total market cap of altcoins would need to reach $12 trillion. If we calculate BTC.D at 40% at that time, then the highest total market cap during the bull market would need to reach $19 trillion. This is over 5 times that of the previous bull market, minus the current $3.8 trillion, leaving a need for $15 trillion in liquidity. So, where will such a massive amount of funds come from?
Major Events in the Crypto World! You cannot miss this moment! The Christmas bells are approaching, seize the investment opportunities!
As Christmas draws near, from December 10 to 15, many Western investors may choose to take their profits and allocate funds for holiday expenses. Therefore, we are likely to experience a 2-3 week market adjustment period.
With the Spring Festival approaching, grab the last investment opportunities!
Once the adjustment period ends, we will welcome the most important holiday in the country—Spring Festival (from January 20 to January 30), which might be your last entry opportunity. Take this chance to prepare for the upcoming market.
In February and March, the blockchain market welcomes a bull market!
In the coming 2-3 months, the blockchain market may see a strong bull market, with various altcoins rising in turn, and meme and trending projects emerging one after another. This is a period full of opportunities.
At the end of March, I recommend temporarily stepping back to observe!
However, by the end of March, I suggest everyone temporarily withdraw from the market and maintain an observational stance. This is because the months of April and May are often a market adjustment period, and sometimes this adjustment can last for 6-8 months.
In the next 3-4 months, an investment window!
Therefore, the next 3 to 4 months will be an excellent investment window. When encountering a low point, do not hesitate, act decisively to seize the opportunity and let your wealth grow!
In this unpredictable market, maintaining sharp insight and calm judgment is crucial. Let us welcome this period full of opportunities and make the investment journey smoother.
Bitcoin Heatmap! Explaining the Bitcoin liquidity chart for those who don't understand.
- The chart shows that there is a significant liquidity area for BTC in the price range of 95k to 105k. It is understandable that there are many orders, and if the price reaches or exceeds this area, these orders will be forcefully liquidated.
So what does this mean?
+ Scenario 1: If BTC breaks through 105k, short positions will be immediately liquidated. We understand that when you are short, you borrow BTC from the exchange and sell it for USD. So when the orders are forcefully liquidated, the exchange will sell your margin USD to buy back BTC, leading to a sharp increase in the demand for BTC, causing its price to keep rising.
+ Scenario 2: If BTC breaks through 95k, a similar situation occurs, but at this point, long positions are forcefully liquidated, resulting in a larger price drop.
* In summary, there is strong liquidity in the price range of 95-105k. If the price breaks through 105k, BTC will rise extremely strongly to higher levels; if it breaks through 95k, there will still be a cushion. Those who play stocks may be familiar with the cases of Tesla and Gamestop; a few years ago, many short funds went bankrupt. You know what to do! The rise will sharply increase, and the fall will sharply decrease.
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A bull market generally lasts 6 months to 1 year, while a bear market generally lasts 1 to 2 years, with one cycle of bull and bear lasting 3 to 4 years.
Seize the opportunity to earn at least 50%+ profits in each round of bull market, enough to outperform various financial products, stocks, and funds. Because this 50%+ profit is certain to be gained, with no suspense.
1. Only layout in a bear market. You must be patient and try to layout at the bottom of the bear market (although it's impossible to buy at the true bottom of the bear market). A simple way to judge the bottom of a bear market is to see if no one is paying attention to Bitcoin, and the crypto world is lifeless. You can buy intermittently during this period, which may last for a year or even longer.
2. Mainstream coins. BTC and ETH will always be the kings of the crypto world, buying in a bear market is definitely not wrong. Although they may not rise exponentially, buying in a bear market and holding until the bull market to sell will definitely yield a gain of over 50%. This is the first choice for large capital.
Do you remember the last wave of the bull market in 2021? At that time, many friends around me realized wealth gains during that wave, and they each chose their own ways to change their lives, profiting and exiting. How are they doing now? Perhaps there are some insights.
Real Estate: A, bought an apartment in the Minato district of Tokyo, now the floor price is 50% higher than it was back then. B, bought a piece of land in Australia, forgot to build, and now the agent asked this year if it could be sold for double. C, made a down payment on a leading domestic property, entered with a relatively high-interest loan, now down 20%.
Identity: A, because he bought an apartment, also got a high-skilled visa, now in his third year has obtained permanent residency in Japan. B, ultimately did not go to Australia, continues to work in Singapore, caught the last wave of the PR application period and got in. C, considering both the Hong Kong Quality Migrant Scheme and the high-skilled visa, but hasn't taken action yet.
Stocks: A, followed the trend and bought some Japanese and American stocks, currently up 30% overall. B, not trading, focusing on Crypto, solely aiming to increase his BTC holdings. C, this year A-shares rebounded significantly, made some quick trades and profited a bit.
Cars: A, did not buy a car, within 1 km of the apartment, there are no long-term parking spaces available. B, did not buy a car, car ownership certificate in Singapore is now $70,000, chooses to continue dollar-cost averaging into Bitcoin. C, bought a Model 3, the version that cost over 300,000, now depreciated to around 180,000.
Family: A, has a child, attending a private school in Tokyo, bilingual learning. B, has a child, attending a public school in Singapore, multilingual learning. C, has a child, but due to household registration issues, commuting daily to a private school in the neighboring district.
Holdings: A, recently returned, bought back those DeFi coins he sold at the low point back then. B, selling altcoins less and less, but accumulating more Bitcoin. C, no longer adding funds, because he needs to repay the mortgage, recently bought a few AI coins.
Work: A, feels inadequate, prefers discussing life rather than career. B, quite passionate, very interested in opportunities to make money. C, extremely passionate, asks every night when to rush in.
MicroStrategy, a giant in the cryptocurrency world, has been selected into the Nasdaq 100 index!
Trading will start on December 23, and the cryptocurrency market is about to enter a rapid rise! This is just the early stage of Wall Street entering Bitcoin, and the cryptocurrency market is expected to experience a qualitative leap in the next 3-5 years! Those without a spiritual belief will find this bull market basically empty. History does not simply repeat itself, but it does rhyme. The greatest significance of cryptocurrency for the world is to reshuffle and redistribute. Bitcoin is still consolidating in a range, with hourly support remaining effective. The current price has stabilized around 100,000, and the support level has shifted upward. Watch for resistance around 102,500. There are no special news events in the market over the weekend, so it is not advisable to chase prices at high levels; instead, wait for a pullback. After the price rises, reasons for bullishness that you couldn’t find before now become apparent, which is a change in sentiment. At this time, it is crucial to respond more rationally and avoid blindly following the trend, as technical pressure still exists. The momentum for further increases has already weakened, and there is also an expectation for a pullback in the normal structure. In recent days, Bitcoin has exhibited extremely strong contesting behavior, rapidly plunging after a surge, and then steadily rising after a dip. This back-and-forth seems to have become routine. If one wants to trade back and forth, one must act decisively.
Some friends are still worried that this bull market has ended. Let's discuss the current market situation.
The current bull market started from the bottom in January 2023. Based on the bottom of 15,700, BTC has increased sixfold so far, experiencing two mid-term consolidations and breaking through two highs, one at 73,000 and the other at 104,000. Up to now, some old investors believe the bull market is over, reasoning that new highs have been reached and altcoins have already experienced two rounds of bull market trends (in March-April and November-December this year). Furthermore, the four-year halving cycle that typically leads to new highs has been broken. Currently, there is no visible increase in funds inside or outside the market, nor is there a large-scale FOMO phenomenon, leading to a decline in the crypto market's heat. Therefore, they suggest that BTC's last bull market frenzy has completely ended and recommend that everyone clear out their positions.
One-minute reveal of the complete history of BNB price surges!!! Outshining all traditional bank wealth management!
I spent 3 hours organizing, and after reading you might know whether BNB will continue to rise.
The doubling in one year reflects Binance's stability as a leading exchange. Why is BNB worth writing about? Are other hundred times memes not good?
It's good, but buying BNB is relatively safe because you know that as long as Binance develops well, the price of BNB won't drop much. After buying, you can sleep peacefully; how does the news fit in? The application for Binance MVB 9 will soon be open??
Next week’s BNB price surge tactics.
First, BNB surged from December 9th to 13th, so we will observe from that day.
Currently, the most talked about are the old coins such as: XRP, ADA, HBAR, etc.
Then there’s DEFI: UNI, CRV, ENA, USUAL, DYDX
Next are the highly anticipated AI agents, whether on-chain or those listed on exchanges, most retail investors' money should be here,
Similarly, in the AI sector, WLD, IO, FET, RENDER on exchanges are seldom mentioned.
In terms of the AI track: It remains the core focus topic of this bull market. Since last year’s hype on AI started at the small bull exchange, tokens like AGIX have seen several times price increases within just a month.
Stepping into this year, on-chain AI projects have shown an extremely enthusiastic trend, with tokens like Goat, ACT, gaining high popularity. Recently, even meme coins, as long as they have AI elements, can experience a sharp price surge.
In short, seizing the AI opportunity is equivalent to holding a profit opportunity. Many on-chain projects related to AI are performing quite well. As long as investors can follow this line of thought and find a token related to AI, they can generally reap profits.
Moreover, Ethereum's recent performance has been quite strong, and it is expected that AI projects on it will also see explosive growth. If there are quality AI projects emerging, everyone might as well pay attention.
As for L2 and a series of modular chain-abstracted game tokens, no one mentions them, and many even say they are too lazy to discuss, including some old and new L1s that no one buys.
So what stage are we really in now? According to the logic of a bull market, has the sector only just rotated to DEFI? But these coins are too old, to the point that newcomers don't even buy them. How much do they have to rise to attract the attention of retail investors to start buying in?
Everyone's energy is limited, and it’s impossible to catch all sector rotations. Logically, this round of DeFi rotation should be catchable, but overconfidence in the coins they bought causes them to miss out, and they can’t afford to miss out on the subsequent AI and meme segments.
I have a friend who has invested 90% of his personal cryptocurrencies in SOL. The reason is: Despite the large price fluctuations of SOL, it has shown extraordinary resilience.
SOL has a good community, excellent user experience, excellent technology, the ability to issue low-cost NFTs on the chain and fast transaction speed. The explosive Meme is also one of the breakthroughs made by SOL in chain use. The ecosystem is growing rapidly, just like ETH in the last cycle. Therefore, he believes that SOL is a low-risk zone and a good place to invest larger funds.
In addition to SOL, he is also optimistic about SUI and DOGE.
SUI was chosen because: SUI is technologically innovative and has shown superior performance in the market relative to other major cryptocurrencies such as SOL and ETH.
Price performance is also important. It was not until SUI's price performance was better than the overall performance relative to other cryptocurrencies that he felt confident that SUI might be a "new product".
DOGE was chosen because: DOGE has a strong cultural identity and international recognition, that is, broad community support. Musk's support for DOGE is also a factor that cannot be ignored. Musk has the ability to promote the development of DOGE through his social media influence and practical actions.
In addition, according to DOGE's trading chart and historical performance, it has a huge price fluctuation at a certain period every four years. This cyclical performance is also part of his investment decision. In his view, DOGE is the SOL in Meme.
Ethereum is expected to undergo a significant upgrade in March next year, and historical experience shows that each upgrade comes with speculative opportunities.
Therefore, high-quality targets like ENA, LDO, ENS, OP, LQTY, etc., present good opportunities for positioning if there is a pullback.
In addition, projects like ARB, STRK, ZK, METIS, TAO, ETHFI, SSV are also worth paying attention to. Depending on the targets you are familiar with, choose a suitable second wave market positioning.
For pullback positioning, mainstream coins like ETH, BNB, SOL, DOGE, UNI can also be considered boldly.
In the AI sector, quality targets like WLD, FET, RENDER, GRT have not fully caught up yet, and are expected to continue rising in the future.
Chain game projects, such as YGG, MAGIC, GALA, also have future potential. Meanwhile, the fan sector and the concept of FTT bankruptcy are speculative in nature, and a low-positioning strategy could yield around 20% returns in the short term.
The market has actually adjusted very healthily in the past couple of days. Most cryptocurrencies have risen several times over the past month, so a 30% or 50% pullback is completely normal. The following are my judgments on the upcoming market:
1. The first phase of the bull market has ended, and after the adjustment, we are about to enter the second phase.
2. Currently, outside capital has not yet entered the market on a large scale; it is still in the self-excited phase of the existing participants. The rise of many coins is also driven by leverage within the market, so it is very necessary to clear leverage in the short term.
3. The adjustment period will not be long, and the second phase will start before Christmas.
4. The leading performers in the second phase will be SOL or ETH. This is my judgment after experiencing several chains. SOL is simple, has a low entry barrier, and has a grassroots base, while ETH has a demand for catch-up.
5. The leverage clearing (spike) in the second phase will be more intense than in the first phase, but the overall trend of rising prices remains unchanged. Therefore, accumulating spot positions at low prices is sufficient (for example, now). Frequently adding leverage in a bull market will only accelerate your demise; don’t treat exchanges like fools.
6. I did not choose to 'sell at the top' in the first phase because I knew this was just the beginning. Often, once you exit the market, it is hard to come back, or you will have to return at a higher cost. I believe the gains in the second phase will leave those who sold at the top in the first round astounded, smacking their thighs in disbelief. This trust comes from Wall Street/BlackRock/Trump/ETF, and that man.
7. Miners are the group closest to Bitcoin and have their own set of cognitive frameworks. The supply and demand relationship of mining machines and their prices often reflect the stage we are currently in. During the peak phases of previous bull markets, not only the price of $BTC, but even mining machines have to rise several times. So if someone tells me to sell at the top now, I can only say you’re a fool who has never seen the world.
In the past couple of days, Jack Ma's name has once again topped the trending search, saying he is vacationing in Spain, living an enviable wealthy life.
When I opened the video comment section, most of the comments were sarcastic, criticizing his statements as no different from those made two years ago at the Bund Financial Summit, the only difference being that the uproar this time is much smaller.
This reminds me of two years ago, almost at the same time, when someone asked on a Q&A platform: 'Has Jack Ma stepped down from the altar?' Perhaps Jack Ma's silence over the past two years is the best answer to this question.
In these two years, Jack Ma has paid a huge price for his 'reckless words'. The IPO plan for Ant Financial has yet to be restarted, Alibaba's stock price has fallen sharply from its peak, with its market value shrinking by more than 75% at its lowest, equivalent to evaporating 4 trillion RMB. Meanwhile, the Lakeview University, which Jack Ma had high hopes for, has also closed down. For someone who is keen on preaching, this is undoubtedly the biggest blow, as this university was originally a key platform for him to establish top business resource channels.
The upcoming market trends and a summary of the key points from the morning:
By the end of December, the market may rise to a small peak.
However, in January, it may drop sharply like a waterfall, bottoming out by the end of January. Then, the market will start to rise in February and March. But from April to September, the market may fluctuate up and down like a roller coaster, experiencing declines.
But don't worry, from October to December, the market may surge to another peak, forming a second high point.
This four-year bull market will then end, and we may enter a bear market in 2026.
Morning key points summary:
The Nasdaq 100 Index will include MicroStrategy on December 23, which is great news, as it means that MicroStrategy and BTC will attract a lot of money.
Many analysts believe that the market will rise around Christmas, with Ethereum possibly reaching $5,000 in early next year.
Moreover, in the past ten years, cryptocurrencies have risen before and after Christmas in eight of those years.
The Bank of Japan is likely to keep interest rates unchanged in its meeting next week, so there’s no need to worry about bad news.
Many people bought 2.18 million BTC between $94,300 and $100,250, making this price a support level, which is not easy to drop below.
In the last 30 days, a lot of BTC has flowed out of trading platforms, indicating a decrease in BTC supply, which may drive prices up.
Today, there are an additional 50 million $USDC. Although it's continuously being minted, as long as there are buyers, it's a good thing.
The season for altcoins is approaching, and everyone should pay attention to those small coins that are reaching new highs and have strong momentum.
Bitwise CIO: When BTC Reaches $1 Million, Non-Investors Will Regret Missing Out on Current Bullish Signs
Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan stated on the X platform that when Bitcoin reaches $1 million, those who have not invested in Bitcoin will regret missing various obvious bullish signs, such as: 1. The former President of the United States gave a keynote speech at a Bitcoin conference; 2. BlackRock recommends allocating 2% of portfolios to Bitcoin; 3. Bitcoin ETFs are among the most successful ETFs of all time; 4. Investors like Ray Dalio say you should hold Bitcoin. Matt Hougan stated that in hindsight, many incredible investments always seem obvious, and Bitcoin is now eagerly drawing people's attention.
25-year bull market forecast for various digital currencies
People believe only after they see, but the world sees because we believe. New investors know nothing about the bull market, nor about the bear market. They dare not imagine the top of a bull market, nor the bottom of a bear market. They only dare to think of the top of a bull market as halfway up the mountain, or even the ankle. When a bear market reaches the shoulder, they think it has reached the bottom, but they don’t know that it will be cut in half again and again. Only after you have experienced several rounds of bull and bear markets and constantly summarizing, reflecting and reviewing, can you understand this market and understand which ones are overvalued, which ones are undervalued, which ones are overvalued in the short term but promising in the long term, etc.
🟢Solana (SOL): With its outstanding technical advantages and extensive ecological layout, it occupies an important position in the cryptocurrency field. SOL excels in trading processing speed and scalability, attracting numerous developers and projects. It is expected that by the end of 2025, SOL will break through the $1200 barrier, leading industry transformation and becoming a leader in the cryptocurrency market.
🟢Sui (SUI): Focused on the high-performance sector, it has a strong technical team. The technical architecture of SUI is designed to provide fast and efficient transaction processing capabilities, meeting users' demands for high-performance cryptocurrencies. As the market's demand for high-performance cryptocurrencies continues to grow, SUI is expected to skyrocket to $50 in 2025, becoming a dazzling new star in the cryptocurrency field.
🟢Aptos (APT): Emerging with a development model driven by both technology and community, APT stands out in the cryptocurrency market. APT has an advanced technical architecture and active community support, laying a solid foundation for its future development. By the end of 2025, APT's target price is expected to be $120, potentially becoming a market focus and attracting the attention of numerous investors.
🟢Optimism (OP): As a leader in layer 2 scaling, Optimism is committed to providing higher scalability and efficiency for the Ethereum network. By continually advancing ecological construction, Optimism has attracted numerous projects and developers to join. By the end of 2025, OP's target price is expected to be $30, likely providing substantial returns for investors.
🟢Hundredfold Coin (a coin expected to surge): As a heavily invested coin in the hands of various experts, this coin carries numerous favorable narratives. It is backed by strong technical support, a wide range of application scenarios, and active community support. In the context of the ongoing development trend in the cryptocurrency market, it is expected to achieve a remarkable hundredfold increase in 2025, bringing significant returns.
Google's quantum chip 'Willow' news is trending, and everyone is discussing whether this will threaten the security of cryptocurrencies.
Indeed, this technological breakthrough is significant, but it may still be early for practical application; market concerns might be somewhat excessive. However, observant people will notice: every time there is a 'crisis' news in the market, new opportunities are often hidden. Like this time's mainstream coin volatility, it actually gave more attention to some tech-driven projects, such as innovative solutions combining AI and on-chain arbitrage technology. ROBOT AI has become particularly important in this wave of market movement: • It can track on-chain dynamics in real time, capturing market fluctuations instantly, helping users find truly promising opportunities;
How many of the safest withdrawal methods do you know?
Suppose you have 2 million USDT in your account and are ready to withdraw it:
The first method is to use BiyaPay wallet, which has a formal license in the United States and is very safe. You only need to transfer USDT to BiyaPay wallet, and then you can exchange it into US dollars or other currencies you can accept, and then withdraw it to a bank account such as Wise or OCBC. Wise is very convenient. US dollars can be directly transferred back to Alipay, WeChat or Chinese banks in China. Although there are some quota restrictions, it is easy to operate. OCBC 360 account is even better. It can withdraw cash directly in China without a limit of 50,000 US dollars. However, these operations may charge some fees, and you may suffer a little loss in exchange rate, but it is always more reassuring than those unclear money. After all, what we want is clean money, so feel free to withdraw it!
The second method is to withdraw cash in Hong Kong. If you are willing to go to Hong Kong, it is also a good choice. However, you must pay attention that it is safer to withdraw cash in batches. Don't take too much at a time. Operations in batches can reduce risks. Although Hong Kong is convenient for cash withdrawal, you have to be careful of those unreliable exchange shops. Only reputable old shops are reliable and don't let yourself suffer losses.
The third trick is to apply for an overseas bank card. If you have spare time and are willing to toss it, applying for an overseas bank card is also a safe way. You can transfer the currency from Binance to Kraken, convert it into US dollars, and then withdraw it to an overseas bank account. For example, iFAST's British bank or ZhongAn Bank. Kraken is also a regular army. The path is legal, but you have to pay some fees and suffer some exchange rate losses.
Finally, let's talk about the precautions for large withdrawals. Bank risk control is a big deal. It's troublesome if the funds are frozen. Remember not to rush to transfer out as soon as you get the money in your account, otherwise the bank will suspect that your transaction is abnormal. Don't make small withdrawals frequently, which is also a large amount. Try to avoid large transactions at night, when the bank's anti-money laundering system is particularly sensitive.
You have to be cautious when withdrawing money. Follow the rules and don't think about taking shortcuts. This is the only way to get your hard-earned money safely and smoothly.