三思交易

Woke up and something happened with Bitget.

At 2:31 a.m., the platform detected abnormal transfers from some hot wallets, initially involving $351.6 million.

At present, the official confirmation is as follows:

Cold wallets are fine, user account balances are normal, and deposits and trading are proceeding as usual, but withdrawals are temporarily closed.$BTC

Strategy Last week increased holdings by 950 BTC and repurchased $174 million of STRC. The average purchase price per BTC was $79,670. Total Bitcoin holdings increased to 846,000 BTC.$BTC
#比特币突破8.5万美元

Next week we’re doing a “copycat” rollout—first, let’s jot down this unlock schedule.

This time the most eye-catching one is XPL.

September 25, 20:00:
XPL unlocks about 1.76 billion tokens, worth about $158 million, accounting for roughly 63.2% of the current circulating supply.

That ratio is indeed a bit scary—I’ll keep a close watch.

I’ll also note the others:

September 22: ID, MBG
September 23: SOON
September 24: SOSO
September 25: H, BIGTIME, XPL
September 26: STBL

Among these, BIGTIME’s unlocked amount is about 13.34% of circulating supply, H about 7.34%, and SOSO about 5.97%.

I have a habit when doing “copycats”:

When it’s a big unlock week like this, first check the unlock ratio, then check the receiving addresses and whether there’s any subsequent transfer to an exchange.

Unlock ≠ guaranteed sell-off.

But if a large batch of tokens suddenly appears, at the very least I need to know who received them and whether they might sell.

Especially for something like XPL, which unlocks more than 60% of circulating supply at once—I’d rather take another look or two than rush in blindly.
$BTC
$XPL
$HYPE
#以太坊突破2700美元

BTC’s close this week is worth close attention, with the weekly MA50 currently at around $787,000.

Doctor Profit’s statistics show that historically BTC has fallen below the weekly MA50 seven times, then regained it; of those, five times were followed by a bull market, while the other two were false breakouts.

However, the sample size is limited, so it cannot simply be taken as an inevitable pattern that will repeat. Even if this week’s close holds above the MA50, it does not mean a new uptrend has been absolutely confirmed—there could still be consolidation, pullbacks, or even another drop below.

Therefore, he believes: if this week’s close holds above the MA50, it can be seen as one of the key confirmation signals for the next uptrend.

The key resistance area is $825,000–$830,000. If that level is broken, the target may look toward $880,000.

But there’s no need to rush to declare that the bull market has returned.

First, see whether this week’s weekly candle can hold its ground. The rest is up to the market.$BTC