😅 It’s been more than a month since I’ve been away, and Bitcoin and most altcoins are still at their levels. Many are negative and pessimistic about the situation, but the truth is that Bitcoin is doing an excellent job of holding the $60k range. It seems that Bitcoin has absorbed the impact of the war and geopolitical developments, unless something major and surprising happens. This boredom and negativity happening in the markets doesn’t need a reason to explain it. It’s clear that liquidity tends to stay in its dollar form and not be used, because that’s the safest way to preserve cash right now—especially with ongoing tensions and increased chances of interest rate hikes, which favors the dollar. But don’t look at things only from the negative side. The Clarity Act is still an event that may bring liquidity back to the markets. And even if the US Federal Reserve raises its rate, I believe that would be setting the stage for a strong cut that will happen toward the end of the year. I always repeat: from the depth of negativity and its dominance, positivity emerges, starts to appear, and develops—becoming the best opportunity to enter. Think deeply, don’t make hasty decisions, be prepared, and consider all the short- and long-term scenarios.
🚨Urgent: New escalation between the United States and Iran
According to Axios reports, the United States has begun launching retaliatory strikes on Iranian targets, amid reports that Washington is preparing for a military campaign that could last about two weeks.
⚠️ This type of escalation could raise oil and the dollar while pressuring stocks and high-risk assets, including crypto.
As for $BTC , it’s best not to rush right now. Geopolitical tensions could make the next move violent in both directions.
Watch oil and the dollar during market opening—this may give us a signal before crypto. Be cautious 👀
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warnock said the U.S. economy shows resilience, but inflation remains high compared to the 2% target.
And most importantly? The Fed continues to stay away from offering any clear guidance. The statement has become focused only on facts, without steering the market toward what may happen next.
📈 Warnock also noted that artificial intelligence will be a major driver of economic growth in the future.
But for crypto, there’s a point worth paying attention to:
Real and nominal bond yields have risen clearly since the previous meeting, and with no guidance from the Fed, uncertainty is likely to remain elevated.
The market is now forced to watch the data and react to it, rather than trying to predict what the Fed will do.
👀 And regarding <0>$BTC </0>, don’t rush into a move—lack of guidance means volatility could be higher than usual.
🚨 The Federal Reserve holds interest rates for the fifth consecutive time
The decision came as expected, but the vote was divided 9-3, with Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan voting in favor of raising rates.
The Fed believes the economy continues to grow at a healthy pace, and the labor market remains solid, while maintaining commitment to the 2% inflation target.
📈 Bitcoin’s initial reaction was positive, as it reclaimed the $64K level, while $ETH and $SOL moved higher during the first few minutes.
But beware ⚠️
I don’t think this move is strong enough to judge the market’s direction right now. The first reaction after the decision doesn’t necessarily mean the uptrend will continue.
What matters most will be what the Fed says in the coming hours and how liquidity will behave.
Don’t rush to enter—let the market show the direction first. 🔥
🚨 The Federal Reserve decides to maintain As expected, the Federal Reserve has decided to keep interest rates unchanged at 3.50% – 3.75%. But this time is a little different. This is the fifth consecutive meeting without any change, the longest stretch of rate stability since the 2008 cycle. Most importantly, the decision came amid strong division within the Fed, so attention is now on not only the decision itself, but also the officials’ tone and what will happen to interest rates over the coming months. For crypto, rate stability alone is not necessarily positive or negative. 👀 The real question: Did the Fed give the market any hope for rate cuts, or will the dollar keep pressuring $BTC ?
Trump says the United States will respond to Iranian strikes that targeted a U.S. base in Jordan.
At the same time, U.S. oil continues to rise, while stocks and crypto remain under pressure.
The equation has become clear: the higher the tension and uncertainty, the more attention big investors pay to oil and the dollar, as the most important indicators you should be watching right now.
If escalations continue, liquidity may remain away from high-risk assets, meaning $BTC and altcoins could face additional pressure.
👀 Watch oil and the dollar before you look for a bottom in crypto.
Russia has escalated the case against the Telegram founder after the FSB said it has brought charges against him related to facilitating terrorist activity and issued an international arrest warrant.
Here’s the question that matters to GRAM traders:
The news could cause psychological pressure and strong volatility in the coin, especially since the project is closely linked to the Telegram ecosystem. But that doesn’t automatically mean GRAM will fall; the real impact will depend on whether the case affects Telegram usage or the expansion of the TON ecosystem.
What’s notable is that $GRAM has become the new name for the TON coin since June 15, while The Open Network itself has remained unchanged.
So for now: don’t chase the move or assume the news means a collapse. Watch the price reaction and trading volume before making any decision. 👀
All eyes today on the Federal meeting, and the base scenario remains holding the interest rate steady, but raising it by 25 basis points is not fully ruled out, with a probability priced in at around 33%.
What’s interesting is that the decision’s impact on $BTC may be less than usual.
Bitcoin has been moving sideways for a while, with volatility at low levels, and its correlation with the Nasdaq has clearly declined.
So here’s the real question:
Is the market overreacting with fear about the Federal meeting?
If #BTC holds its strength despite all these worries, it could be a sign that buyers are still there and that the rally may continue after the meeting.
As for the hawkish surprise from the Federal, it could flip the scene quickly. 👀
Today, don’t just watch the decision—watch what comes after, because it may be a prelude to the next move 📉📈
🚨 3 reasons why today’s Federal meeting is extremely important for Bitcoin
Today, the decision itself may not be the story—what matters is what Kevin Warsh says afterward.
1️⃣ High uncertainty: Markets are pricing in about a 35% chance of a rate hike, which means a surprise is still possible right up until the last moment.
2️⃣ Bond yields rise: Rising U.S. bond yields usually put pressure on high-risk assets, and Bitcoin is among them.
3️⃣ Oil jumps strongly: Oil rising by around 20% this month brings back inflation worries, which could reduce the Fed’s room to speak in a dovish tone.
If the Fed raises rates or if Warsh’s tone is hawkish, we may see additional pressure on $BTC and cascading red.
But if it ignores inflation concerns and gives the market a dovish tone, the surprise could be positive for Bitcoin.
Today is better not to chase the move, but to wait for Warsh’s remarks. 👀
Just after the post, you’ll find a post about the topic. In short, the data was negative for crypto and positive for the dollar. Inflation is present and high, and the Federal Reserve has only two options, no third: either keep interest rates unchanged for longer until conditions stabilize, or raise interest rates. This creates negative pressure on crypto and limits its upward movement.
🔥 US inflation data was worse than expected, and this explains why pressure on risky assets is still ongoing.
The PCE index, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure for monitoring inflation, rose to 4.1%, the highest reading since April 2023.
Meanwhile, Core PCE increased to 3.4%, the highest level since October 2023.
The issue isn’t just the numbers, but the message it sends to the market: inflation is still far away from the Fed’s 2% target.
This may prompt markets to price in higher odds of interest rates staying elevated for longer, and perhaps a return to talk of rate hikes if inflationary pressures persist.
A strong dollar + high inflation = a difficult environment for $BTC and cryptocurrencies in the short term.
🚨 Less than 30 minutes remain until the release of important U.S. economic data that could strongly move the markets.
Key upcoming releases: 🔹 Core PCE Index (the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge) 🔹 GDP (U.S. Gross Domestic Product)
Why is this data important?
The PCE index is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure for monitoring inflation. If the reading comes in higher than expected, that means inflation is still strong—which could lead markets to anticipate higher interest rates for longer, or even bring back talk of rate hikes.
As for GDP data, it reflects the strength of the U.S. economy. Strong figures mean a more resilient economy, which also supports the dollar.
📈 Right now, the dollar is going through one of its strongest phases in months, and any positive surprise in this data could give it a fresh boost.
And here lies the problem for crypto
When the strength of the dollar rises, investors’ appetite for risk declines, and high-risk assets—such as $BTC and altcoins—are often subjected to additional selling pressure.
⏰ Only half an hour separates us from the numbers. Expect volatility to increase and make sure to manage risk well.
While fear grips the market and many traders are selling off, it seems the whales have a completely different plan. 👀
During the recent drop below $63,000, the CVD indicator showed continued buying from large wallets, while most of the selling was coming from retail investors.
The result? Over 119,000 traders got liquidated in just 24 hours, totaling over $530 million.
Interestingly, institutions and whales don't seem fazed by the current panic; instead, they are capitalizing on the dips to build their positions. Historically, these periods are when assets shift from weak hands to strong hands.
Now, $BTC is moving between significant support and resistance levels, and the question arises:
Are we witnessing the start of a real weakness in the market, or just another accumulation phase before the next move?
🔥 Micron's strong results have reignited excitement across the entire AI sector. 🚀
The company reported revenues of $41.5 billion, significantly beating expectations, and confirmed that the demand for AI memory chips still exceeds the market's ability to supply them, with shortages expected to persist beyond 2027.
This news has propelled AI and chip stocks upward, also helping #BTC regain the $60k level.
But there's an important point to keep an eye on 👀
As liquidity continues to flow into the AI sector, competition for the funds that used to flow into crypto has increased. That's why we see some AI tokens performing well or outpacing the market while many other coins struggle.
The question now is: Will the crypto market benefit from the AI boom, or will liquidity keep fleeing towards it?
Strong numbers from Micron came in better than expected, and this isn't just news for one company.
When a semiconductor and AI company like $MU posts solid results, it signals that demand for data centers and AI infrastructure is still high, and major players continue to spend despite economic fears.
This kind of news fuels risk appetite in the markets and gives a boost to tech stocks and the AI sector, which often translates positively for AI-linked coins and the crypto market overall.
While everyone is keeping an eye on the Fed and the dollar, we shouldn't overlook that corporate earnings are still painting an important part of the picture.
If tech company results keep trending this way, it might be a signal that liquidity hasn't left the market as many believe. 👀
Are we facing a final capitulation moment or an opportunity that many might regret later?
🔻 $BTC dropped to the $59k zone after a strong sell-off, while the strength of the dollar continues to pressure all risk assets.
However, in the next 48 hours, we might witness one of the most crucial periods in the market this month.
On Friday, Bitcoin options worth $10.6 billion expire, and interestingly, around 80% of these contracts are out of the money. This type of event is often accompanied by significant volatility and sudden price movements.
At the same time, institutions keep entering the market through Bitcoin Spot ETF funds that have recorded massive trading volumes, confirming that institutional interest is still present despite the current fear.
The issue is that the dollar is hitting its strongest levels in months, which limits any strong recovery for Bitcoin at the moment.
In my opinion, the $60k zone has become the main battleground. If Bitcoin manages to reclaim it and hold above, sentiment could improve quickly; however, continued trading below it may keep volatility and randomness prevailing until the options contracts expire.
The market now lacks not just liquidity but is also waiting for the spark that will determine the next direction.
Zone 0.94-0.84: Fibonacci from the bottom of 2024 and VWAP from the coin's historical low, plus a sloping support area and daily support zone. This area has a lot of indicators and setups, making it a golden opportunity to consider starting to accumulate and invest in the coin.
This isn't financial advice. However, with the market continuing to show weakness, the chances of $XRP dipping to that zone are high, especially since the coin hasn't filled the price gaps on larger timeframes. Remember, when fear and negativity dominate, that's when buying and accumulation opportunities arise at the lowest prices, and only the patient will reap the rewards in the end.
A lot of folks are asking: if oil is crashing, and gold and silver are pulling back, why isn't crypto pumping? In my view, the issue isn't really with oil or gold anymore, but with the dollar itself. Sure, the drop in oil was one of the factors that pressured Bitcoin recently, but today we're seeing oil tank hard, and gold and silver are losing steam too, yet liquidity is still MIA in the crypto market. The reason is that markets are starting to accept the idea of high interest rates sticking around longer, and some Fed members are still eyeing the possibility of raising them again. This gives the dollar a huge boost and makes it the preferred destination for investors during times of fear and uncertainty. When the dollar gets stronger, almost no one escapes. Stocks are under pressure, gold is dropping, silver is sliding, and crypto is suffering from a liquidity drought. That's why I believe the key to a bullish comeback isn't oil or gold, but rather the weakening of the dollar and a shift in expectations towards rate cuts. Only then might we see liquidity flood back into risk assets, with Bitcoin at the forefront.
The markets are sending a clear message today: fears of a return to interest rate hikes are starting to weigh on most assets.
🛢️ U.S. oil has dipped below $70 a barrel for the first time since March.
🥈 Silver has slipped below $60 an ounce for the first time since December 2025.
🥇 Gold has also fallen below $4000 an ounce for the first time since November 2025.
What's happening is interesting because we're not just seeing pressure on high-risk assets, but even traditional safe havens are starting to decline as interest rate expectations are being repriced.
On the flip side, the crypto market, especially Bitcoin, is still trying to hold above $60k despite this pressure, making the upcoming days crucial to see if Bitcoin will continue to show relative strength or follow the rest of the markets.
Currently, it seems investors prefer to wait and reduce risk until the path of monetary policy becomes clearer.
For weeks now, $XRP has been trading in a tight range, but the longer this consolidation lasts, the closer we get to a decisive moment.
Right now, the $1.00 - $1.10 zone has become the most critical defense line for buyers. The issue is that the price has tested this level several times throughout June, and each retest weakens the support further.
On the flip side, there’s a silver lining that not many are talking about, which is the continued inflow of capital into XRP ETF funds despite the market's weak sentiment. If $XRP manages to reclaim $1.18, the entire picture could change, and we might start discussing levels between $1.20 and $1.30 again. The hope of breaking the psychological barrier at $1.00 could lead to a sharp drop to lower levels.
Currently, there is no clear trend; it's just a battle between buyers and sellers, and it seems the outcome is approaching.