I asked a knowledgeable friend: Reasons why Bitcoin could drop to ~40,000 USD in 2026? 📊 1. Market correction and bearish cycle After reaching all-time highs in 2025, some analysts point to signs of a bearish market that could continue to push the price down. Technical patterns and historical cycles indicate that after significant peaks, a significant correction usually follows. 📉 Adverse macroeconomic conditions The global economy directly influences this. If central banks —like the Federal Reserve— maintain high rates or reduce liquidity, risk assets like Bitcoin become less attractive to many investors, which can lead to selling and falling prices. WEEX ⚠️ Lower liquidity available If a significant proportion of Bitcoin is not available for trading (for example, held by long-term investors), the market can become volatile. In bearish phases, this volatility can increase the decline if many decide to sell. 🧠 Negative market sentiment Cryptocurrency prices often move with market psychology. If the news is predominantly negative —strict regulations, platform bankruptcies, or fear in traditional markets— that can reduce demand and push the price lower. ($40,000) may seem low compared to other broad scenarios in the market; there are studies that explore possible divergent trajectories. For example: Some models show that prices could fall before stabilizing due to market adjustment after recent highs. In other words, 40,000 USD is not “impossible” under certain market conditions, especially if a technical pullback coincides with an adverse macroeconomic environment. Bitcoin could drop to 40,000 USD in 2026 if: The market enters a prolonged bearish cycle. The global economy becomes less favorable for risk assets. Investor sentiment turns negative, and there are strong technical adjustments. $BTC
Victory for Cynthia Lummis: reintroduce the Bitcoin Bill in the United States Senate The senator had presented the project in 2024 but it was vetoed due to lack of support. After Trump's assumption of office, the initiative returns to the public eye $BTC $ETH
I knew I would lose everything, yet I decided to move forward. I underestimated the falls and now they are killing me psychologically and financially. I have to learn, there is no better time to do it, I have to mature and make sure this doesn't happen again. I will not give up and I know the day of being a winner will come. $ETH $SOL $XRP
It's not a bad idea to retire on time, it's better to have something in your pocket than to lose everything. Think about your families, children, partners, you can start from scratch, don't continue with this torture and be happy with little money, than unhappy with nothing. Retire on time with something, don't lose everything. $SOL $BTC $TRUMP
I am looking for people willing to join the campaign! It's the best.
Cash Dollars USA
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We need to start an awareness campaign so that investments are not made in memes, where only a few win and the majority lose, undermining trust in the crypto market. Let's bet on important projects that, although volatile, are solid. We need to clean up the crypto business for the sake of small and medium investors who are the ones losing capital. If you support my proposal, you know what to do. $PENGU $1000CAT $TRUMP The 3 jewels that took our capital and do not allow the market to function as it did before.
We need to start an awareness campaign so that investments are not made in memes, where only a few win and the majority lose, undermining trust in the crypto market. Let's bet on important projects that, although volatile, are solid. We need to clean up the crypto business for the sake of small and medium investors who are the ones losing capital. If you support my proposal, you know what to do. $PENGU $1000CAT $TRUMP The 3 jewels that took our capital and do not allow the market to function as it did before.
#LIBRA Fraud? Study cryptocurrencies well. Operation of bitcoin, altcoins, memes, and stablecoins. Study the market, practice, and live as the crypto world really is. All experts really know what happened, do not express opinions like blind ignorant people due to ideology.. $TRUMP $PENGU $1000CAT
#LIBRA is slowly recovering, a normal movement in cryptocurrencies. There is a possibility that friendly whales will shoot it. Remember that things are going well for Milei. A good opportunity may present itself. Just a little investment just in case. $BTC $XRP
Don't get excited about that little rise, it's just a small breather to keep going down, they call it the diver's behavior. The goal is the depths. Keep your sanity and don't fall into temptation.
You have to retire and secure some of your investment, a big crash is coming for the market. This news says it all. They warn that a meteorite will hit the Earth: "Darkness and chaos will come"
The researcher Juan José Benítez assures that a meteorite would fall on Earth, generating massive destruction and total darkness for nine years. Who knows anything about the subject?
Alright, I give up! I just withdrew my investments with an 85 percent loss, I really urgently needed the remaining 14.99. Now, I leave you with your altseason. Goodbye $PENGU $1000CAT $TRUMP
"Altseason" is a term in the cryptocurrency world that refers to a period when altcoins (any cryptocurrency that is not Bitcoin) experience a significant price increase compared to Bitcoin.
Indicators of an Altseason
1. Declining Bitcoin dominance: If the percentage of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization that belongs to Bitcoin decreases, it means that money is flowing into altcoins.
2. Altcoins outperforming Bitcoin: If many altcoins are recording greater gains than Bitcoin, it is a clear signal.
3. Increase in trading volume in altcoins: More investors are becoming interested in them.
4. Strong market narratives: Such as DeFi cycles, NFTs, memecoins, or emerging projects in blockchain.
When does it occur?
The altseason usually occurs after a major Bitcoin rally, when investors seek higher gains in smaller cryptocurrencies. It can also happen when there is innovation or hype in certain categories of altcoins.
Are you seeing signs of a possible altseason now?
No, because Bitcoin is just correcting and that will take a few months, while altcoins will continue to fall. $BTC $ETH
I don't think it has anything to do with Trump, aren't you seeing that the entire market has been falling since the beginning of the year? Just today everything just plummeted.
they laughed at me when I advised them to sell $TRUMP a 35 even at a loss so that they could buy more below at 15 or 10, they didn't listen to me and look at the consequences. If you don't believe me, you can see the posts I made at the time and you will see that I am right.
The duration of a bear market can vary significantly depending on the economic, political, and financial circumstances that cause it. However, based on historical data:
Historical average: Approximately 9-18 months.
Extreme cases: Some bear markets have lasted only a few months (like the one in 2020, which lasted 33 days), while others have stretched over several years (like the one from 2000-2002 or the one from 2007-2009, which lasted around 2 years).
Factors influencing duration:
1. Causes of the bear market: If it is due to a recession, it may last longer; if it is just a market correction, it is usually shorter.
2. Monetary and fiscal policy: Actions by central banks and governments can accelerate or prolong recovery.
3. Investor sentiment: Panic can prolong the decline, while confidence can accelerate recovery.
In general, bull markets tend to last longer than bear markets, and recovery after a decline is usually strong.
NOTE: I hope you appreciate the information. $TRUMP $SOL $PENGU