$BTC - My analysis on 15m - Update for today (11/09) - The bounce came! Yesterday (10/09) I said that $BTC was trending down on the 15m timeframe, with a top at 77.959 and 3 failed attempts to go up. The price was at 76.875 above support 76.676, and I said: if it holds, expect a bounce to 77.100 / 77.200, where the average is.
What happened today is shown on the chart: - It swept the support and hit a low of 76.046,58.
- It surged up and made a top at 79.890,00 - Now it’s at 77.390, fighting to stay above the AVL 77.314,17 After the 79.890 top, it started forming a new LTB on the 15m (yellow line). As long as it stays below this LTB, I remain cautious in the short term. If it closes above the AVL, it may seek 78.391. If it rejects, it goes back to 76.699. Yesterday the reading was correct. And today, what are you seeing? Are you also seeing this LTB after the top?
Using the same logic that correctly predicted on March 1 that April would end above US$ 70.202, the current model suggests that May 2027 may end below US$ 87.496.
This assumes that the 2M timeframe has already begun forming a downtrend cycle of Kyushu Ashi candles, with a minimum cycle duration of 7–9–2 candles. This is also consistent with my base case: $BTC may spend 1+ year moving within a range before the next major bull market begins.
The thesis can be invalidated if December 2026 closes above US$ 99.8k, or if another bullish KA candle appears on the 2M chart and breaks the current downtrend cycle.
🇺🇸 TRUMP: CONGRESS APPROVAL MAY NOT BE REQUIRED FOR US$ 5 CHECKS
President Trump says he believes congressional approval may not be necessary for his proposed US$ 5 dividend for American adults. The proposal would cost more than US$ 1 trillion if paid to every adult citizen. Implementation and funding details remain unclear.
$BTC has just entered the final stage of a high trap (bull trap). The relief rally is almost complete. US$79K → US$62K → US$57K → US$45K (Bottom) → US$126K
Don’t fall for the last rally trap. Don’t turn liquidity into an exit. Reminder: I called the Bitcoin bottom at US$16K and the top at US$126K.
My next call will be the biggest of this cycle.
Turn on notifications. Most people will follow me too late.
And while everyone is looking at today’s red candles... September 15 is probably the biggest date I’m watching 😁
The Senate is expected to conduct a crucial procedural vote on the CLARITY Act, basically trying to finally define the roles of the SEC vs. the CFTC and give cryptocurrencies clearer market-structure rules. This matters FAR more in the long run than $ZEC dumping 13% or $BNB dropping 5% in a single day. SEC Chair Paul Atkins already said on August 18 that the legislation is still “indispensable” and openly backed bringing CLARITY to the president’s desk... while the SEC itself proposed its Crypto Assets Regulation on the same day, following its March interpretation of crypto assets.
So that’s it... the market could dump again tomorrow 😆 but clearer SEC/CFTC rules + institutional access + less regulatory uncertainty are still being built underneath all this noise. That’s why I’d rather DCA into strong coins during the fear than suddenly find myself buying them again after regulation gets clearer and prices are already 30%–50% higher.
😳 This is exactly why political meme cryptocurrencies scare me more than they excite me..
The "Hunter biden" #LAPTOP崩盘 literally went from about US$199 to US$0.76 in hours... -99.6%. At the wild launch peak, for a brief moment it even showed a market cap of ~US$110B / US$144B FDV, while the pool’s actual liquidity was only ~US$48K... basically the numbers looked GIGANTIC, while the liquidity underneath was tiny. At US$0.76 with 350M circulating, that’s only about ~US$266M in market cap now.
And we’ve seen this movie before... $TRUMP ATH around US$73... now ~US$2... market cap that previously reached roughly US$14B+ now is at ~US$570M.
$MELANIA once touched around a US$2B market cap... now barely US$2B market cap... now barely ~US$100M, price down ~99% from ATH. Political name + viral attention can bring BILLIONS in valuation insanely fast...
But when do the hype and liquidity go away? apparently BILLIONS can disappear just as fast 💀 Trade the hype if you understand the risk... but please don’t confuse a famous surname with fundamentals.
One day, you will finally agree with me that the main problem with Solana is memecoins and the infinite maximum supply.
The infinite maximum supply is not a big problem for me; my main concern is how $SOL is seen as only a place for memecoins, and not just memecoins—a place where scammers can create cheap memecoins that can skyrocket to millions of dollars in market cap and make $SOL free for people when they trade their cheap memecoins.
What if we actually try this together? I’m starting this 30-day challenge and I want all of you to join. No excuses—just consistency, patience, and discipline. 📈
Who’s in? 👇 Leave your reaction 🔥 if you’re participating, 👀 if you’re just watching. Let’s see how far we can go together. 🚀
If you want to join this challenge, get into our chatroom now on my profile #30DaysChallenge $BTC $ZEC
As the price approaches 81 thousand, they need to sell Bitcoin to balance the risk. Each 1% increase generates US$ 94 million in sales. At today’s price, that’s about 1,200 Bitcoin. That’s why every attempt at a rise is cut off at the same point. 78 thousand dollars below. The same logic works in reverse. As the price approaches 78 thousand, the dealers buy Bitcoin. Each 1% drop generates US$ 43 million in purchases. That’s why the drops stay firmly in the same place. Bitcoin is currently at US$ 78.436. This means it’s only US$ 436 above the lower limit. It’s right in the zone where the dealers are buying. One number sums up the whole picture. Net position of the dealers plus US$ 286 million. What that means is this: when the price rises, they sell; when it falls, they buy. They dampen every move. So what happens if 78 thousand breaks? Below that level, this number turns negative. Dealers stop buying on the downside and start selling. The hand that’s smoothing today’s decline becomes the hand that accelerates the fall below 78 thousand.
$HEMI was only 977m tokens and market cap 8.15m! Now they’re 2b tokens and market cap 20m? How? This shows that the next token launch is 26/09/26!!! Can someone explain, please
Now that $ZEC has bounced back above $1,250, with a new high at $1,278... breaking the previous resistance at $1,257 🔥
Here’s what I’ve noticed so far... the pattern has been consistent over the past few months, from the Zcash bullish move around $15 until now.
First, ZEC started accumulating around $300 - $480, which pushed it above $850... the second time, ZEC had strong consolidation in the $760 to $888 range, which gave ZEC the momentum to break the long psychological barrier above $1,000, right?
Now, once again, $ZEC is building a strong accumulation and consolidation zone in the $1,080 to $12.80 range... I’m not saying there will be 100% another pump toward $1,350; there will be 100% another pump toward $1,350 to $1,500, but...
If we look at the patterns so far...
The structure shows high chances of Zcash reaching $1,300+ and maybe maybe $1,850 as the next destination.
I’m bullish on ZEC, and I feel this is still a good range to buy with a proper DCA plan to hold long term.
My targets and DCA on corrections for $ZEC : Buy Zone 1: $1,180 - $1,250 ( DCA ) Buy Zone 2: $1,080 - $1,100 ( DCA ) 🎯 TARGETS: $1,350 - $1,800+
Ripplelobbiestoadvanceclarityactvote 🚨 **CRITICAL HOUR FOR CRYPTO:** The U.S. Senate cloture vote is coming up! 🏛️
Washington is preparing for a high-impact procedural vote on the CLARITY Act (H.R. 3633). Industry advocates are pushing a major effort ahead of this crucial deadline, which requires 60 votes to move the proposal forward toward full debate. **What’s at stake in this regulatory showdown?**
* **SEC vs. CFTC split:** Clear statutory boundaries to separate digital securities from commodities. * **Spot Market Jurisdiction:** Grant the CFTC direct and explicit oversight over spot markets for digital commodities.
* **Legal certainty in the market:** Shift from enforcement-based regulation to a codified, long-term statutory law.
**Focus on Tokens:** * **$XRP:** Aims to secure statutory protections beyond the SEC’s current commodity classifications, for long-term institutional adoption.
* **$BTC:** Positioned to thrive under a formal framework that does not qualify as a security, overseen primarily by the CFTC.
The 60-vote threshold requires bipartisan support. Will Congress deliver clear rules for the market, or will the lack of procedural progress stall momentum?
Share your predictions below! 👇 #CLARITYAct #CryptoRegulation #xrp #BTC
A blockchain linked to Bitcoin, used by several cryptocurrency exchanges, was hacked for US$ 320 million. According to Bloomberg, the incident is the latest in a wave of thefts that has shaken confidence in the security of digital assets
Hey, folks, pay attention! Three key dates to remember this week to help complete the next big move for the majors, especially $BTC and the rest of the market. $SOL and ETH….. First: September 9: The 10-year Treasury yield data is coming out. What will be the impact on BTC? Confused? Let me explain.
This data can shed light on how much of the Treasury bond buyback, promised by the Treasury Department at the end of last month, is actually happening. It will also give us a better idea of whether bond investors are interested in buying at current yields or not.
Number 2: September 10: The PPI is coming out. A hotter-than-expected outcome could strengthen the Fed’s more hawkish narrative, while weaker data might bring some relief to the market.
And the third: September 11: The CPI is coming out. This will be the last major inflation data point before the FOMC meeting on September 16.
The recent strong employment data has already increased the odds of a more hawkish Fed, so the CPI could be very important for the next big move.
So what will your move be, folks? My conclusion on this is simple: the downside move has already been significant, and the trend may continue toward the US$86K region. But I don’t think the last top around US$82,450— which was also the double-top region before the previous breakdown toward US$57,200— should be ignored.
I already have a short position in the majors because I missed the last BTC move while waiting for the bottom to be hunted.
But not this time. I’m in. 😎 Let’s make it happen. 🚀
$ZEC looks cooler than before, but I’m still avoiding that for the moment until a bearish structure change happens!! On the daily timeframe…
🚨📊 Bitcoin Spot ETFs Still US$ 1B Below Break-Even in 2026 📊🚨 The screen burned late into the night. The money had started to come back, the market was breathing again, but one number refused to disappear. The recovery was real, but the hole was still there. That’s the unusual story behind US spot Bitcoin ETFs in 2026. After heavy redemptions early in the year, ETF demand rebounded quickly, but net flows from January to now remain approximately $1 billion below break-even. The key point is the direction. US spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted about $987 million last week, extending the streak of inflows to three straight weeks.
In these three weeks, approximately $3.8 billion returned to the products. This changes the interpretation. The market isn’t just watching institutions walk away from Bitcoin. Capital is coming back, even as BTC recently fell again below $80,000. But the billion dollars still matters.
This means the recovery hasn’t fully erased the damage from the prior redemptions; therefore, a strong week shouldn’t automatically be treated as a confirmed long-term trend. For traders, the smartest signal may be consistency rather than a spectacular entry.
If ETF demand keeps gaining strength while Bitcoin holds key levels, institutional participation could become an increasingly important market driver. The gap is narrowing, but the story isn’t over yet.
❓Will Bitcoin ETFs fully erase the 2026 deficit before the next major move in BTC? Notice: This is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto markets are volatile and can change quickly.