猎币罗盘

Has Russia really fully opened up to cryptocurrency? Not so fast—the most important part of this news actually isn’t how much BTC has risen.
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Russia has officially opened applications for cryptocurrency exchanges to register. I think this news is more worth paying attention to than BTC’s short-term price movements.
But first, let’s clear up a common misconception:
This does not mean that “Russia has completely opened up to cryptocurrency.”
What actually happened is that, starting October 5, Russia’s new rules for accessing the crypto market officially took effect. Cryptocurrency exchanges, digital custodians, and similar businesses can apply to be included in the Bank of Russia’s regulatory registry.
Applying does not mean automatic approval, and there are still regulatory requirements that will determine which crypto assets ordinary investors can ultimately trade.
But what makes this development truly worth watching is this:
In the past, when many countries discussed cryptocurrency, the focus was mostly on whether to “restrict or ban” it.
Now, more and more regulatory efforts are shifting toward questions like:
How can exchanges be brought under regulatory oversight? How can an entry framework be established? How can crypto assets be incorporated into the traditional financial system?
These are two very different things.
So I won’t raise my BTC price target just because of this news, nor will I interpret it as a reason BTC is about to skyrocket.
But over the longer term, if more major economies gradually shift from asking “whether to allow it” to “how to regulate it,” that is clearly a trend worth following for the long-term legitimization and institutionalization of the crypto market as a whole.
In the short term, watch the price. Over the long term, pay closer attention to how the rules are changing.
$BTC
#俄罗斯开放加密货币交易

After BNB broke through $790, my trading plan:
Today, BNB has become a hotspot in the market as the price breaks above the $790 area.
When many people see a breakout, their first instinct is to chase in.
But my trading habit isn’t to rush in just because it’s going up.
The breakout is only the first step—the execution that follows is what matters more.
My plan:
First, I’ll establish a partial position as an observation lot.
If, after the breakout, BNB can continue to hold around $790 and the trading volume remains strong, I’ll consider adding to my position.
If it continues higher, I will take profit in batches at key resistance zones.
If it falls back below the breakout area again, it means this breakout lacked sufficient strength, and I will control risk according to my plan.
Trading isn’t about guessing the exact top.
What truly matters is:
when to enter;
when to add to the position;
when to take profit;
and when to exit.
I’ll keep tracking this BNB trade and update my plan based on how the price moves next.
$BNB

$63 million just bought AAVE from the exchange, and today the price hit a 7-month high
I think this capital is worth tracking.
Yesterday an on-chain address bought about 39,000 AAVE from Kraken, worth roughly $6.3 million.
Today AAVE has already pushed above $178, setting a new high since February.
Looking at these two things together is far more interesting than simply seeing “up 7%.”
Now the price is near $175, and my stance is very clear:
The bias remains bullish, but I won’t chase near the new high.
I’d rather wait for 170–173.
If there’s clear support/absorption in this zone, I’ll consider joining the next leg. First target: 180–183. After a breakout, we can look around $188.
If $165 breaks and can’t be reclaimed, this plan is invalid.
Why don’t I chase at $178?
Because a truly strong market isn’t afraid of giving you a pullback.
If there’s indeed sustained inflow into AAVE this time, then after the first batch of profit-taking comes out, someone should step in next.
That’s the “next buyer” strength I’m waiting for.
$AAVE

6.34 billion US dollars flowed into BTC ETFs, but on the last day the funds suddenly began to withdraw
BTC had some very nice data in the third quarter:
US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of about $6.34 billion.
BTC rose by more than 42% in the same period.
If you only look at this, it’s easy to draw a conclusion:
Institutions are still buying, so it’s bullish.
But I care more about another figure.
On the last trading day of September, BTC ETFs instead recorded a net outflow of about $149 million, ending the prior streak of net inflows over nine straight days.
This means that for BTC, you can’t just look at “how much institutions bought”; you also need to see whether this round of inflows can continue.
So I’m not going to chase it just because it broke above 85,200.
My plan is:
First, see whether it can truly hold ground around 85,000.
If it can keep absorbing demand above 85,000, I’ll stay more bullish. My first target is 86,500～87,000; if it breaks further, I’ll look around 88,500.
But if it slips back below 83,800, I’ll dial down my short-term long expectations.
The most interesting part of the market right now is exactly this:
The $6.34 billion in Q3 ETF funds has already proved that there is long-term buying demand.
But in Q4, when the first batch of capital arrives, will it keep pushing in—or will it start taking profits?
That’s the key data worth watching next.
$BTC
#比特币ETF三季度净流入63.4亿美元

BTC returns to around $83,000, yet market sentiment is still in “greed”
What I find most noteworthy these past two days isn’t that some random altcoin suddenly pumped 20%, but that price and sentiment have become clearly misaligned.
BTC has pulled back from the prior high to around $83,000; many altcoins are falling even more sharply, but the Crypto Fear & Greed Index still remains in the greed zone.
This suggests that, at least for now, the market hasn’t entered a true panic phase.
But that’s exactly what I’m most focused on next:
If BTC keeps falling while sentiment refuses to cool off enough, the market may still need to further flush out short-term positions; conversely, if around $83,000 we start to see gradual support/absorption while sentiment stays stable, then this pullback could be fundamentally different.
So today I’m not in a rush to guess the next candlestick.
I’d rather know where everyone truly stands right now:
A: still holding positions
B: already reduced positions
C: mainly holding USDT, waiting for opportunities
I’m currently leaning toward A, but I’ll keep watching the absorption of funds.
$BTC