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Michael Saylor said he thinks Bitcoin will return to levels above $100,000. Honestly, statements like this always draw attention in the market. But in the short term, we need to look not only at big targets but also at macro flows and technical confirmation. So the question isn’t just whether $BTC will hit 100K one day. I think it will :) But the real question is: what will the road there look like? Bond yields, the dollar index, ETF flows, and risk appetite are much more decisive in price action right now.

Switzerland has taken a step toward spot Bitcoin ETFs. 🇨🇭 Switzerland’s financial regulator, FINMA, has approved the first retail-focused spot $BTC ETF structure that invests directly in Bitcoin. This is significant because access to Bitcoin is now becoming easier not only through crypto exchanges, but also through traditional financial products. For retail investors in particular, steps like this can increase confidence in and accessibility to the market. In short, Bitcoin’s place in the financial system is becoming more official with each passing day. If you think this is significant, give it a like :) #BTC #ETF

There are strong inflows into BTC ETFs. In fact, there is spot demand, but macro pressure is still on the table. Yesterday, U.S. spot $BTC ETFs saw +526.6M $ in net inflows. But nearly all of that came from BlackRock IBIT. The 82K–83K range is a decision zone in the short term. My daily outlook: NEUTRAL. Because right now, I can’t immediately say, “There are ETF inflows, so a rally is guaranteed.” But better days are near.

Bitcoin is right at a decision point. On the chart, $BTC is forming a narrowing triangle. Above 83K → the structure strengthens. Below 81K → 80K is back on the table. But while prices are squeezing, interesting things are happening behind the scenes: - Strive bought 1,223 BTC worth $100M - Strategy added another 267 BTC - BitMine bought 12,535 $ETH - JPMorgan moved JPM Coin to the Ethereum mainnet. So institutional demand hasn’t completely disappeared. Now I’m watching the ETFs. BTC ETFs saw $82M in outflows on Friday. If flows turn positive today and BTC breaks above 83K on volume, we should take the recovery much more seriously.

This week, Bitcoin dipped below $80K, but for now the market is trying to hold around $81K. The main source of pressure is macroeconomic factors once again. Hotter-than-expected inflation and strong PPI and retail sales data from the US reinforced the view that “the Fed may keep policy tight for longer.” On top of that, oil is also very strong. Brent crude topped $111. On Friday, ETFs offered no support either: spot $BTC ETFs saw $82.39 million in outflows, while spot $ETH ETFs saw $69.68 million in outflows. But here’s the interesting part: On-chain, the number of wallets holding 10–10,000 BTC hit a record high. So it doesn’t look like large players are heading for the exits altogether. My daily directional outlook: NEUTRAL–NEGATIVE

U.S. inflation rattled markets again. CPI came in at 3.7%, versus expectations of 3.6%. In other words, the market priced in this today: if inflation stays high, the Fed will keep interest rates elevated for longer. On the initial reaction, $BTC slipped below 83K again. But here's the interesting part: Spot ETF flows were positive, so the sell-off isn't entirely a “institutions are fleeing” story. Today's main pressure is clearly macro-driven. On the chart, the 82K–82.8K area remains critical. My daily directional outlook: NEUTRAL-NEGATIVE

Bitcoin seems quieter over the weekend. It’s been 1 year since the major crash on October 10, 2025. Today’s analyses are saying: - Liquidity has recovered in $BTC and $ETH, but altcoins are still weak - Even though annual volatility has declined, severe anomalies are occurring more frequently than in 2018 So the market looks more “mature,” but the risk isn’t over. - On the chart, we’re back around 83K after recovering from the 80.5K low. My daily outlook: NEUTRAL–SLIGHTLY POSITIVE Let’s see whether this recovery can reach 85K, or if it’s just a brief respite.

Bitcoin dropped as low as 80.4K yesterday and is approaching 83K again today. But for now, I see this move as a relief rally, not a trend reversal. Today, on the positive side: → Trump’s message that there would be no attack on Iran slightly reduced geopolitical risk → Oil pulled back → Stocks recovered. But on the negative side: → $244M flowed out of $BTC ETFs yesterday → Total outflows over the past 2 days were approximately $729M → The U.S. government moved 12,267 BTC (~$1B) remaining from the Bitfinex case to new wallets; there’s no evidence of a sale right now, but naturally, the market is watching. We also got a nice bounce from 80.4K on the chart. My outlook for today: NEUTRAL–SLIGHTLY POSITIVE 🟢 Holding above 83K → 84.4K 🟢 Reclaiming 85K → the structure strengthens noticeably 🟡 82K → short-term pivot 🔴 Below 82K → 81K / 80.4K come back into focus. For me, the question right now is simple: Is this just a relief rally, or can BTC reclaim the 83–85K range? What do you think? #bitcoin

Justin Drake from the Ethereum Foundation thinks that the rapid progress of AI in the field of mathematics could pose a serious future threat to the elliptic-curve signature systems that protect Bitcoin and Ethereum wallets. Details: https://bitcoinkralicesi.com/haberler/yapay-zeka-bitcoin-cuzdanlarini-kirabilir-mi-ethereum-arastirmacisindan-uyari/ In Drake’s worst-case scenario, it may not take years for this risk to materialize. However, as of today, it has not been demonstrated that Bitcoin or Ethereum private keys can be practically broken using AI. Therefore, it would be incorrect to treat these statements as a realized attack or a definite security crisis. The real message is that the crypto industry should prepare now for potential threats in the future.

Bitcoin fell below 81K! But why? Today, we can no longer simply say, “It was liquidated.” U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $487M in net outflows—the biggest daily outflow since June. On top of that: - oil is around $104 - the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is at 5.3% - the Ethereum Foundation warned that AI could threaten wallet security $BTC $ETH

Bitcoin posted its highest weekly close in 8 months. But at the same time, several warning signals are flashing. 👀 $BTC closed the week at around 86,570$ . (Its highest weekly close since January.) Let's look at the data: - The S&P 500 hit a new high. - The Fear & Greed Index rose to 73 (Greed). - The altcoin rotation metric is near its yearly high. - BTC ETFs saw outflows of -89.8M USD yesterday. So risk appetite is rising, but ETF buyers have yet to strongly confirm Bitcoin's move. My outlook for the daily direction: SLIGHTLY POSITIVE, but cautious. FOMC minutes are coming tomorrow. For Bitcoin, we'll be watching: 85K support + ETF flows + FOMC minutes. This is not investment advice.

Bitcoin tested 87K again. And was rejected again. 👀 But there are two other important developments today: 🇺🇸 The CFTC officially proposed its first crypto market rules. Regulation CTX + Regulation CAM aim to create a federal regulatory framework for crypto platforms registered with the CFTC in the US. 🇺🇸 The SEC, meanwhile, gave the green light to the listing of the first 3x Bitcoin and Ethereum products in the US. But these aren’t spot products; they’re CME futures-based products targeting daily 3x returns. They haven’t started trading yet. The SEC’s regulatory stance is becoming increasingly positive for BTC. But there’s a warning on the macro front today: the US 10-year Treasury yield → ~5.33%. It has risen sharply again from the ~5.17% level we saw after Friday’s NFP. And BTC now has a very clear wall ahead: an 87–87.2K USD sell wall. My outlook for the start of the week: NEUTRAL–SLIGHTLY POSITIVE Not investment advice.

So what should we watch next week? 👇 (Crypto folks, gather round) Monday | 17:00 🇺🇸 ISM Services PMI If the services sector remains strong while price pressures also come in high, the odds of the Fed raising rates again could increase. Wednesday | 21:00 🇺🇸 FOMC Minutes I think this is the most important event of the week. The Fed raised rates by 25 bps in September. The minutes will show us how hawkish members are on inflation, the labor market, and further rate hikes. Friday | 17:00 🇺🇸 Michigan Consumer Sentiment The main thing I’ll be watching here is inflation expectations. If they rise again, they could push U.S. Treasury yields higher and put pressure on $BTC. In short, next week: ISM -> FOMC -> Michigan And on the BTC chart: Could 85K turn from resistance into support this time?

Bitcoin again above 85K. On Friday: $BTC broke 85K and jumped to 87K. But then it gave back the entire move. Today, again around ~85.3K. So we’re in the same place again. A strong break of 85K and it acting as support is needed. If it does that, 90K can come easily. My daily directional expectation: SLIGHTLY POSITIVE 🌟 In the macro picture, the pressure from the Fed eased, and BTC recovered after Friday’s drop. Will 85K this time stop being a resistance and turn into support? We’ll see much more clearly once the volume returns on Monday. Not investment advice.

The macro picture for Bitcoin is improving, but something is missing: ETF buyers. 👀 After yesterday’s weak NFP, the odds of the Fed raising rates in October fell to about 14–17%. This is bullish for BTC. But look at the ETF side: last week, around +$2.39B flowed into BTC ETFs. This week? So far, only ~+$82.9M. Also, the figure is provisional because the Friday BlackRock data hasn’t been finalized yet. So ETF demand isn’t over, but it has slowed down quite significantly.

Even the possibility of a rate hike in the Fed's October meeting has eased after the NFP, pulling back into an approximately 15–20% range! The macro picture is calming down. Now it's time for Bitcoin to demonstrate that it can hold above 85K. $BTC

Bitcoin today surged to 87K, then fell back to 84.5K. What happened? Let’s take a look together: 1- The NFP we expected from the US came in: - NFP → +29K (Forecast → +90K) - Unemployment → 4.2% (Forecast → 4.1%) - Wage growth → only 0.1% month-on-month. Moreover, employment data for the previous two months was revised down by a total of 60K. 2- The market interpreted this as labor cooling. 3- Expectations that the Fed might raise rates again declined. 4- A positive atmosphere formed for $BTC. 5- Then a rapid upswing came via short squeezes. (It was reported that around $110M in shorts were liquidated within about 10 minutes, and BTC approached 87K) 6- After that, BTC was pushed back down to ~84.5K because the selling pressure above 85K is very high; a momentum-driven breakout is needed. 7- In addition, after the initial drop, US 10-year Treasury yields rose again to around 5.28%.

Critical Friday for Bitcoin: What to Watch in the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Report to Be Released on Friday. Expected +90K; Unemployment at 4.1%. How could the NFP and the Fed's October rate expectations affect Bitcoin? https://bitcoinkralicesi.com/haberler/bitcoin-i%C3%A7in-kritik-cuma-g%C3%BCn%C3%BC/ What Should Bitcoin Investors Look at on Friday? First, they will look at the 90K NFP expectation. Then, they will follow the unemployment rate of 4.1%. However, to interpret the report correctly, it’s also necessary to examine wage increases and possible revisions that could be made to previous months. For Bitcoin, after the data release, two markets will be especially important: the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield and the U.S. Dollar Index. If both Treasury yields and the dollar rise strongly together after the NFP, macro pressure on Bitcoin could increase. Conversely, a decline in both could create a more supportive environment for $BTC. This content is for informational purposes and is not investment advice.

Wednesday Core PCE came in better than expected. $BTC moved above 85.5K with the first reaction, but it couldn’t hold. This is also very important for $ETH and altcoins.

My daily directional expectation: NEUTRAL-SLIGHTLY POSITIVE 🟢 Above $85K → strong confirmation 🟢 $87–87.5K → breakout 🟡 $82K → critical support 🔴 A daily close below $82K → structure weakens 🚨 Losing $80K → deeper correction If you didn’t watch my video at the beginning of the week, make sure to check it out; the scenario we’ve been discussing is progressing step by step. I’ll reassess the chart again after tomorrow’s NFP. Not investment advice. $BTC