Bykaranteli

Recorded whale notional was $5.27B in the last 24h, with a 51.4% buy share and a two sided tape. $BTC had the most whale notional at $3.60B, and $ETH had the largest single print at $22.27M.

At $BTC , resting bids within 2% of mid total $163.6M versus $153.3M on asks, a 3.3% imbalance with bids heavier. The largest bid wall is $37.6M at $85,181.09, 0.05% below mid, and the largest ask wall is $38.1M at $85,266.31, 0.05% above mid. Compared with 24 hours earlier, 2% bid liquidity is lower and 2% ask liquidity is higher; this is a snapshot, not a prediction.

Recorded $BTC call premium bought was $4.0M versus put premium bought at $484K. The biggest print was a buy of a $4.0M 70,000 call expiring Oct 30, 2026, and blocks were 59% of flow.

Since 2021, days in this very low band saw a median +0.0% BTC move over the next 7d (n=397, base +0.2%, 5y of records). History, not a forecast.

$BTC recorded -0.013% today, meaning US buyers are bidding below the global price, for a 29 day same sign streak. The 7 day average is -0.034%, and the annualized quarterly carry is +4.74%.

Since 2017, days in this low band saw a median +0.0% BTC move over the next 7d (n=661, base +0.5%, 9y of records). History, not a forecast.

The median USDT borrow APR across venues was 3.96%, with OKX cheapest at 3.5% and Binance dearest at 4.99%. Recorded best carry was $DOT on Binance at 10.24%, from 10.95% funding APR and 0.71% borrow APR.

DOT+1.27%

Recorded $BTC hashrate is 880 EH/s, down -8.3% over 7 days, with difficulty at 132.72T. Recorded block fee is 2.0 sat/vB and miner revenue is 444.5 BTC.

Since 2017, days in this very high band saw a median +0.1% BTC move over the next 7d (n=624, base +0.5%, 8y of records). History, not a forecast.

The onchain supply at the share price was $3.42B, up +0.91% since the last recorded day, with $165.9M in 24 hour DEX volume, and Ondo Stocks was the largest issuer at $1.05B. The reference is closed, and there were no recorded top premiums or discounts.

ONDO+0.49%

AI was the best 24 hour theme at +1.78% and Meme was the worst at -1.92%. Over 30 days, Quantum beat $BTC by 73.5 percentage points, AI by 43.8, DeFi by 38.1, Layer 2 by 29.3, DePIN by 27.2, RWA by 20, Layer 1 by 16.5, and Meme by 5.2.

Bitcoin dominance is 58.64%, and the tape is waiting. One read does not confirm rotation; $BTC at 58.64% alongside $ETH at 11.27% only sets the level, and a sustained break in dominance or a repeated move across sessions would be needed to confirm capital shifting.

Greed eased 5 points over 24h to 67. Stablecoin cap recorded $312.8B after a 0.22% 24h rise while $BTC dominance held at 58.69%, a rotation back to $BTC posture.

The Altcoin Season Index is 69, a neutral regime, with 33 of 48 sampled alts beating $BTC over 90 days. The 7 day change is -14, with $AKE up 106x and $XPL at -10.5% over 90 days.

19 of 399 crypto perps are oversold on the daily and 33 are overbought and $HANA is the most oversold at 23.3 RSI. Next are $1000000BOB at 27.4 RSI and +7.4% over 24h and $BILL at 30.8 RSI and -5.0% over 24h. The heatmap shows the same contracts across eight intervals.

On $ETH , resting bids within 2% of mid total $132.2M versus asks at $94.6M, a 16.6% imbalance with bids heavier; this book is a snapshot, not a prediction. The largest bid wall sits at $2678.11, 0.05% below mid, for $18.4M, while the largest ask wall sits at $2999.65, 11.95% above mid, for $20.5M. Compared with 24 hours earlier, 2% depth is up on both sides, with bids higher by 6.1% and asks higher by 14%.

+0.01% means Turkey pays above the world, with +0.6 bps in a positive regime. Recorded: the dollar leg is +3.2 bps on USDT/TRY versus the official rate and the crypto leg is -2.5 bps for $BTC , with OKX TR the dearest at +8.5 bps.

A $1M market order costs 0.3 bps on the deepest book, $BTC , and 20.5 bps on the thinnest book, $LINK . Thin books leave less depth for shocks to absorb, which raises cascade risk across the book.

LINK+1.08%

$BTC at 84,878: $183.6M of bids vs $149.1M of asks within 2%, imbalance +10.4%. Biggest bid wall 84,836 (0.1% below, $38.6M). Biggest ask wall 84,921 (0.1% above, $40.4M).

$ETH at 2,682: $126.2M of bids vs $91.0M of asks within 2%, imbalance +16.2%. Biggest bid wall 2,681 (0.1% below, $18.7M). Biggest ask wall 2,683 (0.1% above, $19.7M).

Resting orders across 21 spot venues at 13:59 UTC, binned per 0.1%. Depth can be pulled; this is resting size, not fills.