alert的会所

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alert的会所

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推特：@BTC_Alert_ 有一家做海外电商的公司，自己玩币，没社区，不抽奖，不pua，不收钱开课。你说的都对，不争不抢。分享宏观经济、周期性交易，投资点项目和团队，寻找公司转型方向。

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BTC Holder

High-Frequency Trader

8.7 Years

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alert的会所

If you followed my tweet and bought on August 6 $MUBARAK
.

Then you’re up five times now, but I didn’t hold it either—I sold on the 5th floor.

Lately there’s been a lot of back-and-forth. If I’ve offended you.

You tag me— I often say sorry.

alert的会所

Let’s talk about trading again: about a month ago, I bought six coins on BSC.

Not being able to hold isn’t the reason you don’t make money. The real reason you don’t make money is self-deception and trying only a little.

A month ago, I traded $AKE . The volatility was too high, and in the end I woke up too early and caught the late train.

I’ve been thinking: is there a more reliable way to find some “hot” coins—maybe even set a trap and wait?

There are two expectations here:

1. Coins on BSC with a market cap below 2000w, and the liquidity/position holders have redistribution and concentration.

The “shell” price on Binance perps is around 1000w. Even if the 2000w spot price may not be sold for 1000w, they’re still controlling the float—then it will launch.

Monitoring point: when OI is close to the market cap or greater than the market cap.

2. There’s some level of consensus/“narrative” injected.

Take Binance Life as an example: as a meme, if there’s a team behind it, they’ll definitely consider risk.

Especially during the bear market, and when they were reducing the number of listings.

And the biggest advantage of Life is there’s no delisting risk. Even if four does some dirty, tiring work, they’re still treated like the “real child”—just the same.

No matter whether it’s the cost of accumulating positions or the time involved, you can get reliable returns.

In summary: whether it’s spot or futures, you can buy and hold.

What I chose is 4 — White Cloth $Lobster $B2 tut tst I’m here, damn it.

From the whole community, only $TUT made money.

The reason is simple: the holding experience is good—after 4-5 days, it brought more trades and even compensation events from other exchanges.

But many people didn’t hold.

The info I saw was:

“Brother, are you still there?”

“I’m screwed—lost a lot!”

“I’m still here. I added.”

“Or they started daydreaming.”

Why they added? No one knows. Whether expectations changed is unclear. I don’t know if OI or the order book changed, whether the float increased on-chain, or whether there were any suspicious transfer operations—nobody mentions any of that.

This is simply the most basic thing in futures trading: no special technique needed. You could even just pick any monitor and do it.

I spent a long time writing a recap post, and they seemed excited, but they didn’t dig into it much.

It seems like: they think they can find a convincing-sounding rationale to persuade themselves, then have a sudden realization and treat it as a “gain,” reassuring themselves that everything makes sense.

In the end: consoling themselves for missing out—haha, I’m the one who didn’t hold.

But: is it only that you didn’t hold?

Even up to today, there are still people talking about the -2% futures fee cap.

And that was already after so many versions passed.

MUBARAK-31.02%

alert的会所

Bali, charter package tour, didn’t go.

Singapore, charter package tour, didn’t go.

If you look at the posts, you’ll know—conditions are just too good. I had to work, so I didn’t have time to go.

alert的会所

$BULLA

It should be Binance’s crackdown

go double holding

liquidity appears

flatten *aster double holding

collect spot

$ASTER jump transfer

月半771

$BULLA Some friends asked me how I noticed it, so I’ll briefly explain. I’ve been paying attention to this for more than a month. What’s relatively unusual is that he opened a two-way single, so I only dared to play short-term.
Also, the on-chain big player has recently withdrawn a lot. Last night he removed the two-way single. It’s bound to pick a direction, so I’m taking a gamble. I won’t explain the details. I’m tired.

BULLA-9.42%

ASTER-5.76%

alert的会所

Sorry!

Never forget national humiliation

Wishing you prosperity.

alert的会所

Verified

“Clear Plan” Ahead of the Vote: After the “Billionaire Bill” Passes, What Changes Actually Take Place?

The “Billionaire Bill” is the U.S. stablecoin regulatory framework—the Stablecoin Act. Once it’s completed in a compliant manner, major exchanges are all pushing stablecoins.

The “Clear Plan,” on the other hand, builds a federal regulatory framework for exchanges, brokers, market makers, issuers, DeFi, and self-custody.

So the biggest theme of this round is what’s happening around stablecoins and derivatives at the narrative level.

Your most direct feeling is that major exchanges have backed out of their U-paid membership cards.

You’ll notice that before, it seemed like only USDC and USDT were available—now all kinds of native coins are logging into CEX platforms.

You might wonder: why were exchange wealth-management returns so low before, but now all kinds of U offerings have yields close to U.S. Treasuries?

This all comes from the rollout that follows the Clear Bill—betting on and positioning for the Billionaire Bill.

And these applications in FF’s ecosystem have already been laid out first.

fUSD: a regulated digital dollar—its purpose is to solve compliance issues and provide stablecoin base yield.

Falcon Card: supports USDf (overcollateralized dollars), addressing everyday stablecoin usage scenarios.

RWA pipeline: tokenized GPUs are only the first issuance—bringing AI compute assets onto the chain.

The current $FF has rebounded threefold from the bottom.

When the Billionaire Bill is implemented, and operations at the project level are built on DWF—or when DeFi expands based on stablecoins and RWA—there will be new demand and upward momentum for $FF .

FF+2.12%

alert的会所

Let’s talk about trading again: the recent rhythm is all wrong—be a step ahead and eat shit.

Earlier, trades based on bullish-Wooshhawk expectations and a major 900k BTC-airdrop at the 8.1w pressure level were wiped out by the market’s rebound, and it completely peeled my scalp.

After that, when trading the rate-hike expectations, my position wasn’t large enough to catch a big move; today, the CPI will most likely come in line with expectations.

RH’s $Ponzi 61-contract bottom-fishing went in at 61, stopped out at 58, and it was up to 64 today—one day faster.

Today’s $flybrain 6m—we talked with a friend about it. This time, the origin traces back to experiments by Google’s neuroscience researchers.

When it hit on 6m, I saw it and was ready to swap for $10k.

But then I thought about the earlier Sol artist experiment: some institutions behind Sol, including a16z, also paid attention. They thought it was a scam, the narrative was weak, and it was just an old play.

So I gave up the swap and went straight to 50m.

Recently, many calls on the broader market, small-cap coins, and memes have been accurate—but the timing has been off. It shouldn’t have been entered via contracts.

I’m going to stay on the sidelines, observe, and let things settle—don’t let people come in late.

alert的会所

Let’s talk about trading again: what kind of “art” is it when you’re buying late, resulting in a loss of $110k.

$MEME
The highest floating profit was $130k, and then I sold off more than half at 0.1–0.13. After that, the rest I went into alpha and then sold as well. I took out $40k in total—so that’s basically a loss of $80k.

$牛来 I’m on spot. On BSC, it was another whole round of being killed; Robinhood got its valuation smashed.
I sold the RH hype and went to chase Robinhood’s “dragon one,” betting on a rebound.

$PONS Loss of $16k. Actually, the expectation was that it wouldn’t break 0.6 and would bounce back. The last bounce was very strong, but this one was weak. There was selling from the front seats, so I made a quick swing trade and wanted to claw back the loss on a small altcoin. When I saw the front-seat selling, I just left.

That altcoin loss was $7,200.

I don’t know how it happened—before, everyone would sweep in together and then discuss trade expectations. Now everyone’s just turned into late buyers.

A group mate originally went long at 0.658. Seeing the price was higher than mine, he bailed immediately—insisting on being the late buyer.

I was mocking that this isn’t trading. What kind of trade has “good lights only for late buyers”?

In the end, he just chuckled. He didn’t get the art of late buying.

How can the group admin go first, and then the next few thousand people wait to be late buyers?

alert的会所

Partly True

Macro Outlook:

The Federal Reserve will not raise rates in September.

The Bank of Japan raises rates by 25 basis points

alert的会所

Still the same formula:

RH is all the rage.

Alpha on Binance.

When alpha was poured in, Mars was “stewed” for so long, but the results were just so-so.

CZ spits phlegm.

Fourmeme has an invincibility golden card—does the dirty work, says the quiet part out loud, clear as day, CA.

Step into the trenches and you spot 400k worth of 4Stock.

Noticed W’s tweet and felt a warning bell.

There are several similar tweets—felt another warning bell.

Watching the chip distribution and the position management looks just like the past—felt yet another warning bell.

$4Stock speedrun

Hammered it—JB—and told myself I won’t accept any compliance test.

alert的会所

$BULLA has already broken through 0.05, with a profit of over 40k.

Unfortunately, $4 also rose, and I had to stop out and leave at a loss.

alert的会所

About trading again: I don’t have the energy to play Robinhood; I’ll stick to what I’m good at.

1. $BULLA : Last night I detected extraction from Matcha. By midday, the order book became thinner—around 2 million OI.

Consolidate the chips, reduce liquidity, and earlier they only poked OI for themselves.

Getting in to go long—calling it a “妖币” doesn’t help. When the OI from non-firms increases, the market maker will definitely keep washing. You can only discuss it in the community.

2. CP’s transfer went to dgrid’s test address. It seemed likely to go up on Alpha, but it never got announced.

cb and okx have spot trading; if it does go up on Alpha, it might surge into futures. I’m preparing 200 million to take it.

Maybe it was because the cake deployment of liquidity couldn’t be worked out—no Alpha, so I gave up on the trade.

3. $AKE triggered an alert. Did it mean abandoning BTR and continuing to do AKE instead—cutting the cross-exchange arbitrage? I’m impotent; I went to bed and woke up early and missed it.

I basically don’t check Twitter or news anymore—everything is just shitcoins making money.

Many people also write “Robinhood” because writing it gets traffic. Exchanges are competing for trading volume, and they’re all reducing trading fees.

BN’s delisting happened faster than its listing; the shell token price skyrocketed. Lots of other shitcoins are also taking advantage while the market still has room to move.

Focus on what you’re good at. Traffic is of little use—make money first.

Good night.

BULLA-9.42%

4-20.22%

alert的会所

Binance: Beware of New-Style Phishing Attacks! And just yesterday, one of my group mates was scammed out of $10,000. The current attacks targeting crypto are not just a matter of clicking a link—they’ve become ongoing, persistent attacks. If I’m not mistaken, the security community calls this—APT (Advanced Persistent Threat). The situation is roughly like this: My TG friend has some non-KOL traders. They don’t use TG very much, but we often chat and exchange trading ideas together. Da Xiniu is a regular on Binance’s profit leaderboard, and he’s also a friend of mine. His TG was compromised a long time ago. The scammer used TG’s synchronization feature to learn my chat history with Da Xiniu. Then they used a high-fidelity fake account of mine to automatically forward my and Xiniu’s chat history, and deleted my real account and Xiniu’s chat history. So it effectively forms a loop: Me → Scammer’s intermediary → Da Xiniu. Using the intermediary, the scammer inserted a request to borrow money at the right time. They made the borrow request three times—totaling nearly $10k. Brother Xiniu trusted my handsomeness and transferred without blinking. This two-month APT profited $10k, and it went through Binance as a transfer intermediary. (See if you can contact Binance to freeze it.) By checking the TG records, you can see my login device is very clean. Brother Xiniu had devices that were not his own, and he had enabled F2A authentication. Security comes first—Binance also practices protecting user assets. Scammers are evolving their APT, and Binance is evolving too: 1. Anti-email phishing. Recently, Binance’s app has been showing in-app pop-ups urging users to update anti-phishing codes. The anti-phishing code is a set of unique letters and numbers that will appear in every legitimate email you receive from Binance. If the email shows an incorrect code or no code at all, then it’s phishing (zp). 2. Login devices. This time, after investigating login devices together with Brother Xiniu, we found that his TG had been stolen two months earlier. Everyone should also check Binance’s login devices. Although Binance has facial recognition for withdrawals, many large account holders still swap money via “dealing” (intermediary exchanges) and move funds into their pockets—and it’s extremely hard to trace. 3. Reminders about hotspot security issues. Many users received yesterday’s Binance reminders about preventing phishing. Yesterday, many Twitter users also received emails about resetting passwords. 4. Combine human protection with technical protection. When money is involved, you must verify repeatedly. Old-timer Lu often says: security is 1, and everything else is 0. In the Z era, the old-timer says: it’s still Binance that you can trust.

Binance: Beware of New-Style Phishing Attacks!

And just yesterday, one of my group mates was scammed out of $10,000. The current attacks targeting crypto are not just a matter of clicking a link—they’ve become ongoing, persistent attacks.

If I’m not mistaken, the security community calls this—APT (Advanced Persistent Threat).

The situation is roughly like this:

My TG friend has some non-KOL traders. They don’t use TG very much, but we often chat and exchange trading ideas together.

Da Xiniu is a regular on Binance’s profit leaderboard, and he’s also a friend of mine.

His TG was compromised a long time ago. The scammer used TG’s synchronization feature to learn my chat history with Da Xiniu.

Then they used a high-fidelity fake account of mine to automatically forward my and Xiniu’s chat history, and deleted my real account and Xiniu’s chat history.

So it effectively forms a loop: Me → Scammer’s intermediary → Da Xiniu.

Using the intermediary, the scammer inserted a request to borrow money at the right time. They made the borrow request three times—totaling nearly $10k. Brother Xiniu trusted my handsomeness and transferred without blinking.

This two-month APT profited $10k, and it went through Binance as a transfer intermediary. (See if you can contact Binance to freeze it.)

By checking the TG records, you can see my login device is very clean. Brother Xiniu had devices that were not his own, and he had enabled F2A authentication.

Security comes first—Binance also practices protecting user assets.

Scammers are evolving their APT, and Binance is evolving too:

1. Anti-email phishing. Recently, Binance’s app has been showing in-app pop-ups urging users to update anti-phishing codes. The anti-phishing code is a set of unique letters and numbers that will appear in every legitimate email you receive from Binance. If the email shows an incorrect code or no code at all, then it’s phishing (zp).

2. Login devices. This time, after investigating login devices together with Brother Xiniu, we found that his TG had been stolen two months earlier. Everyone should also check Binance’s login devices. Although Binance has facial recognition for withdrawals, many large account holders still swap money via “dealing” (intermediary exchanges) and move funds into their pockets—and it’s extremely hard to trace.

3. Reminders about hotspot security issues. Many users received yesterday’s Binance reminders about preventing phishing. Yesterday, many Twitter users also received emails about resetting passwords.

4. Combine human protection with technical protection. When money is involved, you must verify repeatedly.

Old-timer Lu often says: security is 1, and everything else is 0.

In the Z era, the old-timer says: it’s still Binance that you can trust.

顺天改命大犀牛

Pig-Butchering Scam

Last night I went through a scam where the fraudsters “dumped and escaped the order book” on Telegram (TG) — I was cheated out of 6,000 USDT. I think it’s necessary to share what happened to help prevent more people from falling for it. Here’s how it went.

A couple of months ago, I met a person I’ll call “Brother Suo” and added his TG. Last night, the two of us chatted about recent trading. Then the fake “Brother Suo” asked me whether I had any Ethereum spot. He told me to first transfer some to him to use, and that later he would transfer it back to me. I said I don’t have any spot, I don’t hold any — I only trade futures.

Then the fake “Brother Suo” said, “Then transfer me a few thousand U first. It’s urgent.” I agreed. I asked, “Can it be 2,000 U?” The fake “Brother Suo” replied, “3,000 U.” So I transferred it. After he received it, he asked again that I was short by a bit, and asked me to transfer another 3,000, and he would return it to me at 0:00. I didn’t say much and just transferred it.

Finally, after I received the money, for the third time he asked whether I could make it up to 10,000 U. He said it was urgent, so he needed to “make it full.” At this point I already felt something was off, because normally he wouldn’t ask again and again like that. Why didn’t he just ask for 10,000 the first time? If he kept asking like this, it would mean it wouldn’t stop after this transfer.

So I refused, saying that futures trading needs to top up margin — I needed to pause and ask “Fat Brother” first to confirm whether Brother Suo’s TG account had been compromised. When I transferred the second time, I actually had a slight suspicion already. But when I checked the past chat history, all the historical messages were still there. I thought, maybe Brother Suo’s account was fine — we’d been chatting on and off for several months.

After I asked Fat Brother, and Fat Brother contacted Brother Suo by phone, it turned out there was a problem.

Analysis shows: the very earliest TG I added was actually the real Brother Suo’s TG. But that TG had already been stolen earlier. That means the scammer could log into my TG on other devices. Last night I also saw two login locations. Both were in Thailand. That same night, in the early hours, the scammer deleted the chat window between me and Brother Suo.

Then he created a fake “Brother Suo” account with the same avatar (with a red “1” added — basically a TG scammer tag indicator), and also changed to a username that was basically the same. The only difference was that the letters were I vs l (capital i and lowercase L are almost indistinguishable). Then he copied and synchronized the conversations between me and the real Brother Suo into the fake “Brother Suo” account.

Because the fake Brother Suo account was controlled by the scammer, and my account could also be freely logged into by the scammer, the two accounts could send messages back and forth automatically. For the past two months, I had been chatting normally with the fake Brother Suo account for two months — I never noticed anything wrong.

So when I made the transfer last night, I didn’t suspect anything either. I could still see the prior chat history. Only on the third transfer did I start to suspect something.

In the past conversations, the fake Brother Suo acted like a “relay” to pass messages. He had even chatted with me for months. The scammer really laid a long line to catch a big fish.

So this is a very classic scam — everyone should take it as a warning and avoid being fooled. Be careful when transferring money online. Even if you must transfer, verify from multiple sides and don’t be careless. Also, if you use Telegram, you must remember to enable two-step verification. When you log into a new device, you need to enter your password — it will protect you much more.@alert的会所 >

BNB-3.05%

alert的会所

Don’t stare at Brother Sun’s little matters

Gossip won’t make you profitable

You come to Web3 to make money

$DOS is the best-performing new coin recently

You can’t have missed it, can you?

DOS-0.54%

alert的会所

Let’s talk about trading again: it’s 9am again, and it’s another $TRUMP token issuance.

I went in at 3m, sold at 12w, and my mindset completely shattered!

Trump’s digital gold token issuance—I saw it as 4.1m.

Verification: Trump is paying attention, and the allocation is highly controlled.

At 4m, GMGN injected $3,000. The price was originally 5m成交 at 4m, and the slippage was brutal.

Checked the pool: the USD1 pool, with a 4% tax.

GMGN prioritizes speed—no aggregated pool. Using OKX, I entered at 3.2m with $3,800.

Average price 3–4m, $6,700, with 0.2% allocation.

Inside the trenches, someone checked the domain and found it was inherited from an expired domain.

Then out of nowhere, 0xsun popped into my head with a story about the verification info.

Market cap dropped from 6m to half.

In such a terrible market environment, even on BSC it couldn’t get past 1m.

In the clear bill, the moral clause needs to restrict Trump.

Sold on the spot—lost a $500 fee.

Later, a group mate found an appropriate expired domain with no objective evidence. On the Solana side, the team’s heads—nobi, frankdegods—were shilling.

Market cap broke 60m.

Sold and missed by 12w.

I’m so damn pissed—so pissed I want to smash the shit out of it.

It’s all because of the damn cow—no real reason.

I just know him better; he was the one who dumped it at under 1m.

Gave me PTSD.

TRUMP-13.13%

alert的会所

Verified

Let’s talk about trading again: What exactly is the market trading? And where was my mistake in the recent past? Many bloggers say that the $40 trillion is simply too big, causing the U.S. debt crisis; the dollar isn’t trustworthy, so the “big pie” is used for hedging. It sounds reasonable at first glance, but if you think it through carefully, a lot of things are worth questioning. That $40 trillion in U.S. debt wasn’t formed last week—it accumulated gradually. It definitely isn’t caused by “one thing” that would suddenly trigger a jump in U.S. debt yields. By “suddenly,” I mean that last week’s U.S. debt yields rose very steeply. That suggests that someone in the market was dumping U.S. Treasuries in a concentrated way. At this point, Voish said: when U.S. debt yields rise, it’s equivalent to tightening. (That douchebag’s remark affected my judgment.) In principle, Voish should have stepped in to save the situation—not Bessent. The Treasury’s unplanned purchases of U.S. Treasuries were to save the yen. Historically, whenever they have intervened regarding the yen, the market gets worried—so even the yen’s bond market can end up affecting the fundamental position of U.S. Treasuries. Against this backdrop, when he goes for a buyback, the market starts betting that: Since that softie Voish won’t make a statement and is also evading responsibility, Bessent has no way to step in to save it. If you can save it once, there will be a second time. But now there isn’t much money—so continuing to save would basically be like flooding the market with liquidity. When the dollar can’t hold, the way to fight the dollar is to buy gold. $XAUT (This is the basic logic behind my gold trading.) And when I go short on the big pie—$BTC —I even treat the big pie as a technology stock. Plus, historically, the big pie rarely has day-to-day moves that are this large. So in the community, I’ve always emphasized: don’t just take profit on gold. The reason being—you didn’t capture the big pie’s rally. Gold was a bit weak, but the logic was still consistent. As long as you’re not losing, that’s fine. #比特币受阻于81000美元50周均线

Let’s talk about trading again:

What exactly is the market trading? And where was my mistake in the recent past?

Many bloggers say that the $40 trillion is simply too big, causing the U.S. debt crisis; the dollar isn’t trustworthy, so the “big pie” is used for hedging.

It sounds reasonable at first glance, but if you think it through carefully, a lot of things are worth questioning.

That $40 trillion in U.S. debt wasn’t formed last week—it accumulated gradually. It definitely isn’t caused by “one thing” that would suddenly trigger a jump in U.S. debt yields.

By “suddenly,” I mean that last week’s U.S. debt yields rose very steeply. That suggests that someone in the market was dumping U.S. Treasuries in a concentrated way.

At this point, Voish said: when U.S. debt yields rise, it’s equivalent to tightening. (That douchebag’s remark affected my judgment.)

In principle, Voish should have stepped in to save the situation—not Bessent.

The Treasury’s unplanned purchases of U.S. Treasuries were to save the yen.

Historically, whenever they have intervened regarding the yen, the market gets worried—so even the yen’s bond market can end up affecting the fundamental position of U.S. Treasuries.

Against this backdrop, when he goes for a buyback, the market starts betting that:

Since that softie Voish won’t make a statement and is also evading responsibility, Bessent has no way to step in to save it.

If you can save it once, there will be a second time. But now there isn’t much money—so continuing to save would basically be like flooding the market with liquidity.

When the dollar can’t hold, the way to fight the dollar is to buy gold. $XAUT
(This is the basic logic behind my gold trading.)

And when I go short on the big pie—$BTC —I even treat the big pie as a technology stock. Plus, historically, the big pie rarely has day-to-day moves that are this large.

So in the community, I’ve always emphasized: don’t just take profit on gold. The reason being—you didn’t capture the big pie’s rally. Gold was a bit weak, but the logic was still consistent. As long as you’re not losing, that’s fine.

#比特币受阻于81000美元50周均线

BTC-2.23%

XAUT-1.69%

alert的会所

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