条子哥
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条子哥
22006年加密星球年度风云交易员，2008年BTC创世区块特别奖，2024 MEME项目首席研究员，2025 MEME币抄底未遂金奖，华籍加密人，链上孤狼，梦想梭哈暴富财务自由，合约爆仓99，主打梭哈全亏 抄底必跌 加密反向指标天花板！加密货币首席品鉴师，全球级野生交易员，K线图涂鸦艺术家
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Is the peach butt so popular now?
March 31 Market Analysis
Market Analysis: Long-term Strategy: Currently still in a large range fluctuation, without a clear trending market. Waiting for the market to regain 69500 before re-entering, can try buying near 65000 with a small position. Key bull-bear boundary point 69500
Short-term view: The market enters a new volatility range, with the first resistance near 68500 and the first support around 66100, operating range 66100-68500
📉 Short near 68500
📈 Long near 66100
After breaking 68500, the second resistance level above is 69500, and if it breaks below 66100, the support is around 65000. Just rotate through the three ranges.
Key points: Support 66100, 65000; Resistance 68500, 69500$BTC
Market Analysis: Long-term Strategy: Currently still in a large range fluctuation, without a clear trending market. Waiting for the market to regain 69500 before re-entering, can try buying near 65000 with a small position. Key bull-bear boundary point 69500
Short-term view: The market enters a new volatility range, with the first resistance near 68500 and the first support around 66100, operating range 66100-68500
📉 Short near 68500
📈 Long near 66100
After breaking 68500, the second resistance level above is 69500, and if it breaks below 66100, the support is around 65000. Just rotate through the three ranges.
Key points: Support 66100, 65000; Resistance 68500, 69500$BTC
Is this a lack of intelligence?
Daily chain scanning, low-frequency chain scanning! Aliens
Around 80k to get in, the callback allows for entry, feels like it can reach 1m
The angle is great, mainly it can also extend, so the callback isn't necessarily a bad thing; it gives you a chance to get in, brothers!
Around 80k to get in, the callback allows for entry, feels like it can reach 1m
The angle is great, mainly it can also extend, so the callback isn't necessarily a bad thing; it gives you a chance to get in, brothers!
March 2026 Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cut Timing, Magnitude, and Key Points
📅 Key Dates (Beijing Time)
Interest Rate Decision & Policy Statement: March 19 (Thursday) 02:00
Powell Press Conference: March 19 (Thursday) 02:30
📊 Market Expectations: No Change is the Consensus
CME FedWatch Data Shows:
Maintain Interest Rate Probability: 99.1% 🟢
Interest Rate Cut Probability of 25BP: 0.9% 🔴
Expectation Shift: Due to the Middle East conflict and the impact of oil prices exceeding $100, the market has significantly lowered its annual interest rate cut expectations, with some analysts believing there may only be 0-1 opportunity for a rate cut within the year.
🔑 Core Points:
Dot Plot (SEP) Reassessment: This is the main focus!
Observe whether Federal Reserve officials will sharply cut the 2026 interest rate cut expectation from 2-3 times in January to 1 time, potentially raising the interest rate center collectively.
Dilemma: How Powell balances the recession risk from the “February Non-Farm Payroll Surprise (-92,000)” with the secondary inflation concerns brought by the “Hormuz Strait Shutdown.”
Geopolitical Qualitative: Powell's tolerance for soaring oil prices will determine whether the dollar can stabilize above the $100 mark.
#美联储3月议息会议
📅 Key Dates (Beijing Time)
Interest Rate Decision & Policy Statement: March 19 (Thursday) 02:00
Powell Press Conference: March 19 (Thursday) 02:30
📊 Market Expectations: No Change is the Consensus
CME FedWatch Data Shows:
Maintain Interest Rate Probability: 99.1% 🟢
Interest Rate Cut Probability of 25BP: 0.9% 🔴
Expectation Shift: Due to the Middle East conflict and the impact of oil prices exceeding $100, the market has significantly lowered its annual interest rate cut expectations, with some analysts believing there may only be 0-1 opportunity for a rate cut within the year.
🔑 Core Points:
Dot Plot (SEP) Reassessment: This is the main focus!
Observe whether Federal Reserve officials will sharply cut the 2026 interest rate cut expectation from 2-3 times in January to 1 time, potentially raising the interest rate center collectively.
Dilemma: How Powell balances the recession risk from the “February Non-Farm Payroll Surprise (-92,000)” with the secondary inflation concerns brought by the “Hormuz Strait Shutdown.”
Geopolitical Qualitative: Powell's tolerance for soaring oil prices will determine whether the dollar can stabilize above the $100 mark.
#美联储3月议息会议
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Daily Dog Fighting
Ninja around 40k entry
High point around 500k!
Ninja around 40k entry
High point around 500k!
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