BTC loses the 80307.8 pivot, while retail traders are still dreaming of a breakout
9 a.m.—first, a look at the overnight report card: BTC is at 80105.8, down 0.849%. It surged to 80999.9 last night, only to get slapped back after barely clearing R1 at 80806.4. That upper wick was a beauty; the close was uglier. Price is now gasping below the PP pivot at 80307.8—this isn’t building strength; it’s lining up to fall.
ETH fared even worse: 2323.7, down 1.448%. It briefly reclaimed PP at 2335.45, then lost it again. The overnight low of 2306.98 is barely a whisker above S1 at 2300.11. When the broader market twitches, ETH kneels a little lower. A time-honored tradition.
Funding rates? BTC 0.002984%, ETH 0.006158%—so many zeros you lose count. In plain English: neither bulls nor bears dare place a big bet; everyone’s on the sidelines munching seeds. Trading volume, at least, is real—$5.84 billion for BTC and $5.01 billion for ETH. Money is moving; it’s just heading down.
BNB is the only one keeping its dignity, at 740.9, down just 0.096%. From S1 at 733.45 to R1 at 746.77, its range is as narrow as an aisle in a study hall. XRP at 1.2949 is doing sit-ups between 1.28 and 1.31—for absolutely nothing.
Direction: bearish. The intraday line in the sand is 79615.7. If it breaks, the overnight low of 79809.2 is out of the picture, leaving open space below. Only if it holds is it worth talking about reclaiming 80307.8 and facing resistance at 80806.4.
Some people are still shouting, “Buy the dip.” With price riding below the pivot, they should swallow the word “opportunity” for now. Want to see the bulls turn things around? Get back above 80307.8 first.
Retail traders’ bad habit: counting support levels during a slow bleed, until support turns into a ceiling. Today, keep your eyes on just two numbers—79615.7 and 80307.8. The direction will be decided by this next move.
BTC drops to 81561, and bulls are still paying their faith tax on schedule
Midday market recap, in four words: weakness across the board. BTC is at 81561.7, down 1.56% over 24 hours. The intraday high of 82955 has become a monument to those who chased the rally, while the low of 80888.9 is wobbling right beneath our feet. ETH is down 2.12% to 2393.32, XRP is down 2.19%, and major coins are all in the red. Only BNB, down 0.12%, is pretending to stay calm—but that’s not resilience; it’s poor liquidity. It just hasn’t had its turn to get hit yet. The most ironic part is the funding rates. After a drop like this, BTC’s rate is still 0.0067%, ETH’s 0.007%, and XRP’s 0.0087%—positive across the board. In plain English: prices are falling, but bulls are still paying by the hour and refusing to leave the table. That’s the faith tax. The more people who pay it, the more the market will make sure they learn their lesson. Directional outlook: bearish signals are clear. BTC has already fallen below the pivot at 82201.17, and the rebound can’t reclaim it—the structure is weak. The key intraday line is 80072.33, the daily buy level and the bulls’ last scrap of cover. Hold there, and only then is a recovery back to 82201 worth discussing. Break below it, and there’s nothing but a vacuum beneath—don’t talk sentiment halfway down the mountain. Resistance overhead is just as clear: the daily sell level at 83513.43 is hanging in the sky, and without volume, forget about reaching it. ETH’s script is even more straightforward: 2393.32 is lying motionless below the 2409.52 pivot. Support is at 2337.61; any rebound needs to clear 2460.03 before you start talking fantasies. Even XRP is down 2.19%. If you’re still dreaming of a broad rally, maybe take a look at the color of your holdings first. One final question: prices are down, funding rates are still positive, and retail traders are still holding on for a miracle—historically, when bulls collectively refuse to give up like this, it often isn’t the bottom. What does a real bottom look like? Funding rates turn negative, bulls surrender, and the group chat goes silent. The chat is still buzzing now, which means the show has only just begun.
Up 0.119% and we’re calling the bull back? BTC is napping right on the daily buy level at 82804.8
Midday market update: let the data speak first, and let’s pour some cold water on things.
BTC is at 82878.5, up 0.119% over 24 hours. Is it up? Technically, yes. The price is sprawled out right above the daily buy level of 82804.8, and it could tumble if it so much as rolls over. The morning high was 84875.2, but it pulled back before even touching the daily sell level at 85085.2—rejected on the way up, then hugging the floor on the way down. Does that look like a launchpad?
Funding rate: -2.229e-05. The bears are still collecting fees. Someone’s about to say, “Negative funding means the shorts are crowded, which means a reversal is coming.” Wake up. Negative funding paired with a price glued to the floor says just one thing: nobody’s rushing to carry the bulls.
ETH is at 2446.52, up 0.101%. Its 24-hour low was 2432.85, almost falling asleep right on the daily buy level at 2430.08. This “rise” in Ethereum couldn’t even buy you a cup of milk tea.
BNB is down 0.248% at 740.81, just a step away from its daily buy level of 740.44. Even exchange tokens are dozing off—where’s this broad-market rally narrative supposed to come from?
The only real show-off in the room is XRP, up 1.148% at 1.3482. But its funding rate is 3.878e-05, the highest positive reading across the board—longs are crowding at the door and paying the shorts. A lone coin rallying while funding climbs is an FOMO down payment, not the start of a trend. The daily sell level is right above at 1.4; let’s see if it can hold above 1.33 on a retest. Then it can brag.
Here’s the call: bearish bias. Keep these three BTC levels in mind—82804.8 below; if that breaks, watch 82594.8. The daily pivot is 83840.0 in the middle; don’t talk reversal unless price gets back above it. And 85085.2 above—come back and call it a bull market if we get there.
The price is napping on support, and there are more people shouting “reversal” than there are buy orders. Waiting for the candlesticks to wake up is more reliable than listening to people shouting.
User Says DOT Was Stolen After Fearless Wallet Update; Polkadot Support Team Investigating
A wallet security incident in the Polkadot ecosystem has recently drawn community attention. A Fearless wallet user issued an urgent warning, saying that 260.05 DOT was transferred out of their account shortly after they completed an update prompted by the app itself. The user said their recovery phrase had been kept secure and had never been entered on any external website, making common user errors an unlikely explanation.
Key facts: On-chain records show that the stolen funds were first consolidated at an intermediary address and then split into several transfers, sent just 18 and 36 seconds apart. The user regards this second-by-second precision as technical evidence that an automated program exploited a vulnerability. They have submitted a detailed report, including transaction records and a timeline, to the Web3 Foundation and the Polkadot support team. Polkadot support confirmed receipt and said it is investigating. The user also submitted evidence through Fearless developers’ support channel but, as of their latest update, has not received a substantive response. It is important to note that the user clarified that their reference to confirmation concerns the technical evidence, not an official conclusion; the final findings are subject to the investigation. The user also urged the community to move assets to hardware devices or other trusted wallets as soon as possible, and suggested that Polkadot reconsider its recommendation of Fearless.
Analysis: If the recovery phrase was not compromised and there was no phishing attack, yet funds were still transferred automatically after an update, possible explanations include an exploitable vulnerability in the app’s code or update mechanism, a compromised local signing environment, or even a supply-chain attack. These are all speculative and should be treated as such pending the official investigation findings. Compared with security firms’ incident records and monthly statistics, attack vectors in the crypto sector in 2026 are shifting away from smart contract vulnerabilities toward off-chain infrastructure, signing keys, and permissions. Several major losses have resulted from key leaks and compromised permissions. Wallets and update channels have become high-value attack surfaces, and this incident appears consistent with that trend.
Potential impact on the crypto market: The most immediate short-term impact is on trust. Users may move assets from third-party software wallets to hardware wallets or other clients, potentially affecting on-chain transfer activity to some extent; this is speculative. In the medium term, if the investigation confirms a wallet vulnerability, Polkadot’s recommendation of the wallet may be reconsidered. If the incident is found to be isolated, its impact will gradually fade. The amount involved in this individual case is limited, so for DOT the impact is more likely to be a matter of sentiment and trust than a direct shock to supply and demand. This assessment is also an inference.
Editorial assessment: Before an official conclusion is released, this case should not be presented as established proof that the wallet leaked private keys. However, the on-chain timeline provided by the user can be independently verified, so the community’s caution is reasonable. Users of the wallet should verify the source of updates and review their transaction records. Consider using hardware isolation to manage significant assets. This content does not constitute investment advice.
NEAR Governance Vote Opens: Annual Inflation Rate Proposed to Fall from 2.5% to 1.6%
Tokenomics across public blockchains are undergoing a collective reassessment, and NEAR is the latest project to put an issuance cut on the governance agenda. According to reports by PANews and BlockBeats, NEAR’s governance body, the House of Stake, has officially opened voting on proposal HSP-029. The plan is to lower the maximum annual NEAR issuance rate linearly from its current 2.5% to 1.6% over 24 months, following an approximately 90-day buffer period. Voting closes on November 2, 2026. The proposal requires supermajority support and will only take effect after validators adopt it through a network upgrade.
The proposal includes detailed estimates: if implemented, approximately 11.8 million fewer NEAR tokens would be issued over the next two years, and around 66.1 million fewer over six years. Compared with the current policy, this would amount to a roughly 4.36% reduction in supply. The trade-off is lower returns: total staking yield is expected to fall from 5.27% to 3.37%. In other words, this is a typical exchange of short-term returns for long-term scarcity: reducing issuance limits dilution but directly cuts stakers’ nominal rewards.
The proposal has two underlying aims. The first is supply-side discipline: the lower the issuance rate, the less new sell pressure and dilution over time, making it easier for the token economy’s long-term structure to move toward a fixed supply. According to BlockBeats’ background review, NEAR has already lowered inflation from a higher level to 2.5%. This proposal would cut it by a further 0.9 percentage points and phase in the change over 24 months, replacing a one-time adjustment with a gradual one. The second aim is to send a signal at the governance level: key tokenomics decisions have shifted to the House of Stake. The voting window is only about two weeks, and implementation also depends on validators supporting a subsequent upgrade, so the execution process is not short.
The potential impact on the crypto market should be considered from both sides. On the positive side, slower supply growth, combined with the community’s product narratives around AI, chain abstraction, and other areas, could improve how the market values NEAR over the long term. Historically, proposals to reduce issuance have often been interpreted as bullish for deflation. The risks are that staking becomes marginally less attractive after yields fall from 5.27% to 3.37%; if the staking rate drops significantly, this could theoretically affect the network’s security budget. Moreover, the proposal has not yet passed, and the voting outcome, supermajority threshold, and validator upgrades are all uncertain. It would be imprudent to price the proposal as though it were already an implemented positive catalyst.
Editorial view: This is another landmark event in the shift of public-chain tokenomics from high inflation toward more refined management, in line with the industry’s recent trend of reducing inflation and emphasizing real revenue. But the proposal is fundamentally a redistribution of benefits: all token holders benefit from fewer tokens being issued, while stakers bear most of the reduction in rewards. Internal community tensions may come to a head during the vote. Three milestones are worth watching: the level of support when voting closes on November 2, changes in staking data during the buffer period, and how quickly validators respond to the network upgrade. Until then, any definitive conclusions about price are premature.
Korean AI computing-power stock Elice hits daily gain limit after plunging on debut
Background: Korean AI computing-power service provider Elice Inc. listed on the KOSDAQ under the “next-generation cloud services” narrative, at a time when global investors were reassessing valuations for AI infrastructure. The company had limited name recognition outside South Korea, and the IPO pricing was interpreted by the market as an attempt to capitalize on spillover demand from the AI boom. But its share price plunged 32% on the first day of trading—a record drop, according to several media outlets—also exposing investor doubts about the sustainability of highly valued computing-power assets. In the key development, the stock rebounded strongly on Wednesday, touching the 30% daily gain limit at 79,900 won. It recovered most of its first-day losses, but remained below its IPO price of 90,500 won. Huh Jae-Hwan, an analyst at Eugene Investment & Securities, said the company’s valuation was not cheap, but that the previous day’s drop had nevertheless been excessive. In broader market terms, reports attributed the rebound to improved sentiment following better earnings from U.S. tech companies. The KOSPI and KOSDAQ also rose in tandem that day. Reports differ slightly on their intraday gains, putting them at around 3%–3.8% and 2.5%–2.8%, respectively. The direction is consistent, but the figures should not be conflated.
The first-day plunge and the next-day gain limit are not necessarily contradictory. They look more like a sharp repricing of a high-expectation asset after liquidity, sentiment, and valuation anchors fell out of balance. The IPO price of 90,500 won can be viewed as an anchor set by the primary market. The first-day break below that level, and the scale of the decline, showed that secondary-market investors did not consider the “AI computing power” label alone enough to offset valuation risks. Wednesday’s rebound to 79,900 won still fell short of the IPO price, suggesting that it was more a correction in sentiment than a renewed validation of fundamentals. It is especially important to note that the 30% gain limit can amplify the impression of a strong comeback, while also preventing prices from fully adjusting. Short-term supply and demand can therefore become distorted near daily price limits.
The impact on crypto markets should be viewed as an indirect transmission, with facts kept separate from speculation. The facts are that the available evidence covers only the South Korean stock market, the pricing of an AI computing-power company, and sentiment around U.S. tech earnings; it shows no cryptocurrency fund flows, on-chain data, or unusual activity on trading platforms. One plausible scenario to watch is that if AI infrastructure stocks shift from panic to recovery, risk appetite in Asia could briefly improve, lending a sentiment boost to crypto narratives tied to computing power, AI agents, and decentralized infrastructure. But such spillovers are usually fragile: if expectations for U.S. earnings reverse or South Korean stocks become volatile again, related assets could give back their gains in tandem. Another possible channel is liquidity preference: when high-volatility equities attract short-term capital, marginal buying in crypto markets may be diverted, and vice versa. The direction is not fixed.
Editorial view: The significance of this news is not the stock’s hitting the daily gain limit itself, but the indication that AI valuations are moving from one-way enthusiasm into a period of testing marked by high volatility. The steep first-day decline shows that the market is beginning to question computing-power revenue, capital expenditure, and returns. The strong rebound the next day, meanwhile, suggests that panic did not escalate into outright rejection. A more prudent approach for readers is to watch whether the stock can hold above its IPO price, whether trading volume increases, and whether the company discloses verifiable orders and gross-margin structure. Without sufficient evidence, a one-day recovery should not be interpreted as a trend reversal, nor should sentiment toward AI stocks be equated directly with the direction of crypto assets.
DeepSeek-V4 officially launches, adding Pro and Flash versions to its API
Over the past two years, DeepSeek has maintained a rapid pace of model releases: V3 launched in late 2024, R1 followed in early 2025, and a series of upgrades—including V3.1 and V3.2—came afterward. In February 2026, some users got an early look through an app update at a gradual rollout that expanded the context window from 128K to 1M, with the knowledge base updated through May 2025. On April 24, the official changelog confirmed the formal launch of DeepSeek-V4. The official changelog shows that the API now supports two new versions, V4-Pro and V4-Flash, and is compatible with both the OpenAI ChatCompletions API and the Anthropic API. The endpoint remains unchanged; developers only need to set the model parameter to deepseek-v4-pro or deepseek-v4-flash. The old model names deepseek-chat and deepseek-reasoner will be discontinued on July 24, 2026. During the transition period, they will respectively point to V4-Flash’s non-thinking mode and thinking mode. A June report from a third-party cloud platform also said that the production version of V4 introduced a 1M-token context window and a new sparse attention architecture. A closer look at this update suggests a clear emphasis on efficiency rather than parameter-count showmanship. A previous Nomura Securities report said that two design features introduced in V4—mHC manifold-constrained hyper-connections and the Engram conditional memory module—address two major pain points: instability in deep-network training and high memory usage. The former makes information flow between layers more stable, while the latter places static knowledge in inexpensive memory, freeing up costly HBM. The firm believes V4’s core value lies in using architectural innovations to lower training and inference costs and advance the commercialization of AI applications—not in upending the existing AI value chain. Nor does it expect V4 to recreate the panic over computing demand seen when V3 launched. Notably, the report also mentioned that DeepSeek models accounted for more than half of calls to open-source models on OpenRouter in late 2024, but their share had fallen significantly by the second half of 2025. V4 faces a much more complex competitive environment than it did a year ago. The impact on crypto markets can only be assessed through logical inference for now; the available evidence contains no data on how related sectors actually responded after V4’s release. There are three possible transmission channels. First, if inference costs fall substantially, the demand narrative for decentralized computing projects could be reassessed, echoing the institutional view that the release will not trigger panic over computing demand. Second, low-cost long-context capabilities could benefit AI agent development: multi-step tasks consume more tokens, potentially providing a catalyst for the agent narrative. Third, as open-source models continue to approach the performance of closed-source models, expectations for local deployment and decentralized inference may strengthen. These are all projections, not established facts. Editor's note: The clearest signal in this update is the deliberate effort to keep migration costs low. Compatibility with both APIs, combined with a three-month transition period for the old model names, shows that the official priority is the developer ecosystem. For the crypto industry, the ultimate beneficiaries of improved model efficiency are more likely to be application-layer projects that generate real usage and on-chain settlement demand, rather than assets linked to AI only by association. Two sets of data are worth tracking: migration activity after the old model names are discontinued on July 24, and actual changes in application-level usage.
El Salvador’s Bitcoin reserves rise to 7,798, nearing the 7,800 mark
El Salvador was the first country in the world to make Bitcoin legal tender. After the Bitcoin Law took effect in September 2021, the government began steadily purchasing Bitcoin. In March 2024, officials announced that a large portion of the country’s holdings had been transferred to cold wallets in domestic physical custody vaults. The National Bitcoin Office subsequently made a holdings-tracking website and wallet addresses public, and spread the reserves across multiple addresses to strengthen security. For more than four years, this Central American nation’s Bitcoin accumulation has been a persistent topic in crypto markets.
According to the National Bitcoin Office (in an update dated October 8, 2026), El Salvador added 7 Bitcoin over the past seven days, bringing its national reserves to 7,798. At prices prevailing when the update was published, the holdings were worth more than $643 million, just short of the 7,800 mark. Its “one Bitcoin a day” accumulation strategy remains in effect. The same update included two key details: first, the International Monetary Fund recently said that El Salvador did not meet the relevant standards for public-sector holdings of crypto assets, but approved a waiver based on corrective measures and new commitments; second, IMF First Deputy Managing Director Dan Katz said that, apart from documented donations, the country was not expected to continue accumulating Bitcoin. The recent additions were reportedly funded by private donors whose identities have not been disclosed.
Looking at the longer timeline, the tension between continued accumulation and the IMF is key to understanding the story. In February 2025, the IMF Executive Board approved a 40-month Extended Fund Facility worth about $1.4 billion. Conditions included making it voluntary for businesses to accept Bitcoin, gradually winding down direct public-sector involvement in the Chivo wallet, and continuing to reduce financial risks related to Bitcoin. The agreement originally called for direct purchases to be phased out, but donations have allowed holdings to keep climbing: official figures put the total at around 6,319 in September 2025, rising to 7,798 a year later. This explains an apparent contradiction: while the country nominally continues to “add one Bitcoin a day,” its funding increasingly depends on external donations rather than direct government purchases. There is no public information about the donors’ identities or motives, so any further interpretation would be speculative.
For crypto markets, the signal sent by a sovereign nation’s continued accumulation matters more than its actual impact on supply and demand. The 7,798 Bitcoin represent a very small share of the total circulating supply, so their direct effect on market prices is limited. What the market is really absorbing is the narrative of “long-term holding at the national level,” as well as the example it offers to long-term holders during market downturns. Going forward, variables worth monitoring include whether donations continue, the limits of the IMF’s waiver mechanism, and whether more countries follow suit by establishing Bitcoin reserves.
Finally, it is important to distinguish facts from impressions: the holdings figures and the IMF’s statements are verifiable facts. The picture of domestic adoption is less positive. A 2025 study found that most residents stopped using their wallets after claiming the sign-up reward; remittances received through crypto wallets have long accounted for only around 1% to 2% of the total; and in a Central American University poll, 71.1% of respondents said Bitcoin had brought no benefits. The gap between steadily rising reserves and tepid everyday use is what makes this national experiment worth watching.
Circle reports $1.4 billion in first-half revenue, with 59% going to distribution partners
Stablecoin issuer Circle disclosed its operating results for the first half of 2026 in an official blog post on October 16, with Chief Business Officer Kash Razzaghi presenting the figures. The disclosure comes amid a market debate over the stablecoin issuer business model: new entrants have claimed that issuers keep most of the returns on reserves while redemption costs remain high. Circle chose to respond directly with half-year data. Here are the key figures: Circle generated about $1.4 billion in revenue in the first half, of which about $819 million, or 59%, went to payments to USDC distribution partners and transaction costs; about $473 million, or 34%, was invested in infrastructure such as licenses, banking partnerships, settlement liquidity, compliance, and blockchain integration. Its net profit margin was about 7%, implying net profit of approximately $98 million based on that margin. This is an estimate by the editor based on the disclosed figures, not a figure directly reported by the company. Operationally, USDC on-chain settlement volume exceeded $36 trillion in the first half, while total minting and redemption exceeded $315 billion, averaging about $1.7 billion per day. By June, USDC's share of global stablecoin trading volume had risen to about 77%, from about 60% a year earlier. More than 150 partners now participate in revenue sharing across the USDC ecosystem. On redemptions, customers building businesses through the Circle Payments Network (CPN) or Circle's platform (including products such as Arc, Circle Mint, and Circle Wallets) can now redeem USDC for free and benefit from around-the-clock, near-real-time settlement. Redemptions through standard banking channels have always been free for all customers, with funds arriving within two business days at most. A breakdown of the business model reveals three underlying dynamics. First, most revenue flows to distribution partners in the form of revenue sharing, showing that stablecoin issuance is fundamentally a scale business: issuers must continually share reserve returns with channels to expand USDC's circulation. Second, the 34% investment in licensing, compliance, and settlement capabilities creates a regulatory-friendly moat, and helps explain why the net margin is only about 7%. Third, expanding access to free, near-real-time redemptions directly reduces friction in capital turnover for institutions and payment use cases, addressing a weakness that had previously drawn criticism. The potential impact on the crypto market can be inferred as follows: First, transparent disclosures could become a competitive tool for leading issuers, pressuring later entrants to publish their cost structures and shifting stablecoin competition from issuance to distribution networks and settlement experience. Second, improved redemption services could benefit payments, cross-border settlement, and tokenized real-world asset use cases, potentially attracting more institutions to use USDC as a settlement medium. Third, the continuation of revenue-sharing arrangements could sustain incentives for exchanges, wallets, and custodians to promote USDC. These are all inferences based on the disclosed information, not company guidance. Editor's note: Circle has responded to criticism with figures rather than rhetoric. However, its roughly 7% net margin also signals that profitability depends heavily on reserve size and interest-rate conditions. If rates fall or circulation growth slows, profit growth could come under pressure. The key figures have been corroborated by multiple reports. The next things to watch are whether distribution costs as a share of revenue decline as the business scales in the second half, and whether the CPN settlement network can open up new revenue streams.
Net outflows from digital asset products; hacking and scam incidents on the rise 📰 Crypto Evening Brief | 2026-10-17 21:00
🔥 Major Events 1. UNCX discloses cross-chain attack, with losses of approximately $807,600 — The attacker exploited the public vesting function in Smart Token Vesting V2 to withdraw excess tokens… 2. Analysis: Stolen funds continue flowing into ZEC for transfers — Analyst Specter monitored the movement after the Bitget attacker used Zcash’s privacy features to transfer stolen funds…
📊 Market Data 1. CoinShares: Digital asset investment products saw $434 million in net outflows this week — US inflation and consumer data came in stronger than expected, shifting market expectations for Fed policy in a more hawkish direction… 2. Team behind TRUMP made $779 million to $1.16 billion in profits, while buyers lost 97% — CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju posted that… 3. Arthur Hayes: The bigger the AI bubble, the higher Bitcoin will rise — Arthur Hayes said that unprofitable companies such as OpenAI and Anthropic… 4. Bloomberg analyst says Bitcoin could test $10,000 support if US stocks fall 20% — Bloomberg strategist Mike McGlone said that if US stocks fall 20%, Bitcoin could head toward the $10,000 support level… 5. Tom Lee: Crypto and chip stocks have corrected to support levels — BitMine Chairman Tom Lee said that if fundamentals remain stable, cryptocurrencies, chip stocks, and neocloud companies have all corrected… 6. Trader Killa: Bitcoin may bottom before the midterm elections — Trader Killa reviewed the timing of past US midterm elections and Bitcoin bottoms, and said Bitcoin could form a weekly-scale… bottom before the US midterm elections on November 3 7. Arthur Hayes: Quantum threat is exaggerated; proper wallet management is enough — In an interview, Arthur Hayes said the so-called quantum threat to crypto is exaggerated and is a known, manageable risk—not a reason to sell… 8. Vitalik compares the cost structures of Bitcoin mining and AI inference — Vitalik wrote that roughly half the cost of Bitcoin mining comes from capital expenditure on computing equipment, and the other half from electricity… 9. US stocks diverge further, with the median S&P 500 constituent down 15% from its peak — Morgan Stanley strategist Wilson warned that tightening financial conditions have an effect similar to rate hikes, with the impact concentrated in ordinary stocks… 10. Gold and silver retreat sharply, but supply-demand imbalances continue to support the precious metals outlook — Spot gold has fallen about 27% from its January peak of $5,608 per ounce to around $4,112, while silver has dropped to about $56… 11. Philadelphia Semiconductor Index plunges nearly 14% since October — Global semiconductor sales growth in the first half of 2026 hit its highest level since the 1980s, while TSMC set a new profit record for the sixth consecutive quarter… 12. Gartner: More than $3.5 trillion in AI infrastructure investment faces impairment risk — Gartner estimates that by 2030, AI data centers will need to generate $8.5 trillion in revenue to cover capital expenditures and deliver a 12% return…
🏛️ Regulation and Policy 1. Hong Kong’s BBB Group agarwood investment suspected of being a scam; police arrest four — Hong Kong media reported that the Hao Hao Hao Group claimed to invest in Malaysian agarwood and sold over-the-counter shares and digital assets in what is suspected to be a scam; police have received 21 reports… 2. Thai police arrest Chinese fugitive wanted for suspected money laundering in Bangkok — Thai immigration police arrested a 37-year-old Chinese man in Bangkok who was wanted by Chinese police on suspicion of transnational crime and money laundering… 3. Court documents reveal Telegram provided user data to US authorities — Publicly released US federal court documents show that Telegram provided the phone numbers, user IDs, display names… of certain users in response to valid legal requests
💡 Project Updates 1. Solana-affiliated company registered in Shanghai, with co-head named as legal representative — Qichacha records show that Shanghai Solana Enterprise Management Co., Ltd. was registered in June this year with registered capital of 5 million yuan… 2. DeepSeek upgrades V4.1 Flash; DeepSWE scores higher than Opus — DeepSeek upgraded V4.1 Flash to version 1017 and open-sourced its weights under the MIT License… 3. Jensen Huang draws an AI safety red line and may stop supplying chips to developers who create unsafe AI — NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang said that, hypothetically, if a customer developed unsafe AI software, chip supplies could be halted, but NVIDIA would speak with the customer first…
A Black Friday on U.S. stocks dragged crypto assets lower 📰 Crypto Morning Brief | 2026-10-17 09:00
🔥 Major Events 1. U.S. fiscal 2026 budget deficit rises to $1.99 trillion — According to The New York Times, U.S. Treasury Department data shows that the federal budget deficit for fiscal 2026 rose to $1.99 trillion… 2. Jensen Huang: AI market turbulence will eventually pass, and hardware investments will pay off — Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said at an event in Berlin that the current turbulence in the AI market will eventually pass… 3. Trump says oil prices will fall soon and hopes the Russia-Ukraine conflict will end — U.S. President Trump spoke about Russia-Ukraine and the Middle East, saying he knows some details about the Russia-Ukraine conflict and hopes it will end… 4. Nvidia CEO: Short-term volatility does not change the AI industry's long-term fundamentals — Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said at an event in Berlin that the current turbulence in the AI market will eventually pass…
📊 Market Data 1. Bitcoin falls below $81,000, and Ethereum slips below $2,400 — According to HTX market data, Bitcoin fell below $81,000 and is currently priced at $80,936… 2. All three major U.S. stock indexes close lower Friday as crypto and AI stocks plunge — According to market data, the Nasdaq fell 2.14% at Friday's close, while the S&P 500 fell 1.09%… 3. Strategy may be placed on MSCI's exclusion watchlist; shares fall to $137.5 — According to market data, Strategy (MSTR) extended its losses to 9.08%… 4. Cantor raises Strategy price target to $208 — Investment bank Cantor Fitzgerald raised its price target for Strategy from $186… 5. Strive's Bitcoin holdings rise to 35,595 BTC; TD Cowen raises price target to 5 — TD Cowen raised its price target for Bitcoin treasury company Strive from $44 to $56… 6. U.S.-listed crypto stocks broadly decline, with Strategy down nearly 10% — According to market data, U.S.-listed crypto stocks broadly fell, with Strategy down 9.9%… 7. Nasdaq's intraday loss widens to 2.36% as AI stocks fall across the board — According to market data, the Nasdaq's intraday loss widened to 2.36%, while the S&P 500 fell 1.19%… 8. AI stocks broadly fall at the U.S. market close; VIX fear index rises 21.45% — According to market platform data, the Dow fell 0.34% at the U.S. market close, while the S&P 500 fell 1.09%… 9. MSTR opens down more than 4%, possibly affected by MSCI warning — According to market data, this may be in response to news that MSCI warned Strategy could be removed from its global indexes… 10. U.S. stocks open mixed as storage sector continues to open lower — According to market data, the Dow rose 0.35% at the open, the S&P 500 rose 0.1%, and the Nasdaq fell 0.23%… 11. AI and crypto stocks come under pressure together at the U.S. market open — According to market data, the Dow rose 0.35% at the open, the S&P 500 rose 0.1%, and the Nasdaq fell 0.23%… 12. Nasdaq falls 1.09% intraday as AI stocks broadly decline — According to market data, the three major U.S. indexes were mixed, with the Nasdaq down 1.09% and the Dow up 0.44%… 13. Nasdaq's intraday loss widens to 2.2% — According to market data, the Nasdaq's intraday loss widened to 2.2%, while the S&P 500 fell 1.11%… 14. NeoSoul briefly breaks above $0.30 — According to GMGN market data, NeoSoul (DNA) briefly broke above $0.30…
🏛️ Regulation & Policy 1. New York City Comptroller calls on Anthropic to postpone IPO — According to Bloomberg, New York City Comptroller Levine urged Anthropic to postpone its planned IPO… 2. Crypto industry PACs spend over $52 million in Ohio — Political action committees linked to the crypto industry have spent more than $52 million on Ohio Senate races…
💡 Project Updates 1. Coinbase and Marqeta expand partnership to launch corporate stablecoin payment cards — Payments technology company Marqeta will expand its partnership with Coinbase… 2. Cobo Wallet App to discontinue service on December 1 — Cobo Wallet announced that its app service will officially shut down on December 1… 3. Solana Accelerate Shenzhen event postponed — The Solana Accelerate China team said that registrations exceeded the originally planned capacity… 4. Lighter announces launch of EVM development network — Lighter announced the launch of its EVM development network, built in partnership with Axiom… 5. Lighter previews upcoming options trading service — Lighter posted a brief teaser on social media announcing that its options trading service is coming soon…