๐ด๏ธ๏ธ MSCI WILL DECIDE STRATEGYโS FATE TODAY ๐ด๏ธ๏ธ After the US market closes, it will become known whether Michael Saylorโs company and other firms with large crypto reserves will be excluded from the indices. Reason: New MSCI rules for companies that primarily accumulate assets JPMorgan: STRATEGYโs exclusion could lead index funds to sell $2.8 billion in MSTR shares.
Regime: a shift from forced risk reduction to selective buying; there is still no confirmation that the correction in the tech sector is over. 1 CoreWeave confirmed real growth in demand for AI infrastructure| This supported chipmakers, but did not resolve the problems of high capital costs and debt burdens
All four major announcements in 2026 became local peaks: a peak on the day of the news or the next day, followed by a 25โ47% pullback over 5โ9 days. โข Zero announcement on 10.02: peak of 2.589 on 11.02, with $734 million in trading volumeโthe highest since May 2025โthen 1.381 (โ47%) after 8 days. โข ATLAS announcement on 25.08: peak of 1.345 that same day, then 0.978 (โ27%) after 7 days. โข Mainnet date on 20.10: peak of 2.136 on 21.10, then 1.416 (โ34%) after 9 days. โข 21X pilot on 04.11: peak of 1.948 on the day of the news, then 1.468 (โ25%) after 5 days. A large holder uses the news flow to sell into the crowd's buying rally. Actual investor sales amount to about one-fifth of the monthly unlock, but they hit the market immediately after the date is announced.
Market Overview 09.11 S&P +2.43% (7556), Nasdaq +2.74%, Dow +2.15%: rebound after the 05.11 crash. The Dow rose by more than 1,000 points as investors returned to stocks after last week's sell-off. Oil fell. #NVDA โ4.27% (178.67, lowest since April). Reason: the board of directors launched an investigation into Huang's relationship with a businesswoman whom US intelligence considers a Chinese spy.
๐ด๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธโ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธBitcoin WILL FALLโ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ because today it once again closed below the 50-week moving average, which has always signaled that the bear market will continue: #BenjaminCowen (1.1 million subscribers)
โก๏ธ๏ธThe recent breakout above the 50-week moving average was false, because the price fell back below it. The same thing happened in 2019, after which BTC fell sharply. Also, #BTC lost its May high of 82k. #BTC is locally at a bull market support zone, having reached the 20-week moving average (SMA). But it will most likely lose this support zone too, because according to statistics, #BTC bottoms in Q4 of midterm election years, and the stock market correction is also continuing. โก๏ธ๏ธA bottom has not been reached yet and will form around mid-December, which coincides with the schedule of upcoming Fed meetings. Capitulation will happen then, and only afterward will the market rise.
๐ด๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธโ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธShorted the ENTIRE American stock market!!! For $720,000 with 3x leverage. I don't think I'll get liquidated, since a 30% rise from current levels isn't going to happen. HAMAHA
โก๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธBought into 26 of the most overbought American companies. Total volume: $720K. Each stock makes up 3%. Bought stocks like APPLE, MICROSOFT, WALMART, MASTERCARD, VISA, and others. โก๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธPlans to hold the positions for a month. Everything in the stock market looks scary and bleak. Technically, the charts are pointing down.
๐๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธJust a reminder that 2 weeks ago #HAMAHA predicted explosive growth for Altcoins. But immediately after his forecast, the market started falling, and he hasn't given any more crypto updates. Click. Apparently, now he's bearish on crypto too...
โYesterday (November 5, 2026), the NU7 upgrade was successfully activated at block 3,543,405.
โThe major technical breakthrough: the target block time was reduced from 75 to 25 seconds (making the network 3 times faster).
โThe NSM (Network Sustainability Mechanism) was launched to protect the #ZEC emission model. Technical Outlook and Price Levels (ZEC/USDT) โCurrent price: The coin is holding in the $1,260โ$1,300 range, remaining steady amid Bitcoin's local dip. โKey support: $1,200โ$1,227 (a strong buyer demand zone). โResistance: $1,350 (a break above this level would pave the way to the yearly high of $1,680). โBottom line: The coin is showing a strong bullish structureโthe faster transactions and revamped fee economics provide a powerful fundamental catalyst for growth through the end of Q4.
๐ฎ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธโ๏ธโ๏ธThe creator and CEO of #ะกhia Network continue to ACTIVELY SELL coins!!! โก๏ธ๏ธGene Hoffman and Bram Cohen are in a big hurry to sell the CHIA pre-farm in 2026, and they themselves say that they are selling, not "selling." โก๏ธ๏ธThe share of the CHIA pre-farm that has been sold has finally crossed the halfway mark: 10.55 million coins out of 21 million have already been sold. โก๏ธ๏ธOf the 10.4 million pre-farm coins still unsold, 4.5 million are already in a hot wallet, from which CHIA coins are usually sold. โก๏ธ๏ธAt the current pace of 100,000 XCH every 3โ4 days, the 4.5 million coins currently in the hot wallet could be sold by MarchโApril 2027, which is also when the second halving of the Chia Network will take place. ๐๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธThe good news is that by March 2027, the team and funds will hold only 16% of the total coin supply. According to the SEC document on decentralization criteria, the project's original team should not control 20% or more.
Patient, long-term #CHIA holders can only thank these two clever guys, whose sales have helped the CHIA project fit much better within regulatory frameworks. Meanwhile, right now #ะกHIA is setting a new all-time low around $1.
The report was strong across the board, except for part-time employment Employment: +165K (expected +65K). Revisions for August and September: +84K (186K and 60K). The 3-month average comes to ~137K, while the market had expected around 50K. Wages: +0.4% m/m (expected 0.3%), 3.1% y/y (expected 2.9%). This is the most important point: the market expected growth to slow below 3%, but it accelerated. Unemployment: 4.1%; labor force participation: 61.9%. DXY rose 0.6% to 102.2 Yields up, stocks down Crypto reaction to the data is muted USDJPY is approaching 159โ160, where the risk of verbal or actual intervention emerges. VIX is falling Long-dated bonds are not being sold. Crypto is shedding leverage without a price decline.
#BTC Update 75K didnโt hold. Low: 75.10โ75.16K The bounce during the US session was weak. Price reached 76.5โ77K and faded. Asia bought spot, but didnโt push the price up. Spot: volume and the number of orders increased significantly in the 74โ75K zone.
Options (Deribit) Total OI fell from 336.2K to 322.1K BTC: the 06NOV expiry passed. 27NOV rose from ~62K to 68.7K BTC. PCR 0.84, max pain at 80K. 9NOV call condor 78/80/82/84K: 78K and 84K bought, 80K and 82K sold. This is a bet that by settlement on Monday at 08:00 UTC, the price will return to 80โ82K.
Conclusion The 74โ75K zone is holding on real bids. Options agree: 73K puts for 27NOV are being sold. Leverage is rising in the narrow 75.1โ76.5K range. Long liquidity is building below 75K, making it the first obvious target. Sell walls at 76.5โ78K and US ETF outflows are weighing on the market. With this setup, a rally is likely only through a short squeeze triggered by an external catalyst.
#BTC 75.6K, daily range 75.45โ80.89K Strong buy wall at 75K I think it will withstand the bearsโ pressure The stock market rebound is already underway I think weโll close the U.S. session above current levels However, thereโs a risk of further selling in the Asian session, as the tech sector will follow the U.S. market close
They say we're falling because of selling in AI/tech stocks, weak earnings reports (Intel, Amazon, Qualcomm, etc.), and a reassessment after the US election.
Red Thursday Stock market crash in the US At 14:30 UTC, at the opening of the main US session, memory and semiconductor stocks crashed, and crypto was dumped in the same minute. Algorithms are cutting risk across the entire AI/tech basket, and crypto is part of it as a high-beta asset. AMD -14% SanDisk -13% Micron -12% TESLA -9% NVIDIA -7.5%
#Apple Update. Down 6% in two days, โ6% in 4 hours
Yesterday ๐ closed at $331.9 Today #AAPL opened with a gap up at 341.6 and hit a new all-time high of $354.5 From the post-earnings low of $321, it gained 10% in a session and a half. Market cap: $5.13 trillion. All post-earnings losses have been recouped.
What changed? Nothing at Apple itself: the margin outlook, services, and cash flow remained unchanged. The external backdrop changed. Conclusion Over two days, Apple completed a full cycle: the market first sold it on memory concerns, then bought it on hopes that policy would cool demand for memory. Today's rally is driven by expectations, and the numbers will need to confirm it: Micron's December earnings report and contract memory prices for Q1 2027. TA As long as the price is above $345, buyers have the advantage. A drop below 336$ would mean the breakout was false.