CAFE forward test, Nov 11: the day is almost closed.
347 signals, 92.2% in profit. 32 of 33 coins finished green. The only red one: AVAX −1.1%.
Top coins (sum of signal results after fees): $NEAR +24.1% · $DASH +22.9% · $ZEC +22.5% · ARB +19.3% · OP +18.0%
The interesting part is depth. Signals on deep pullbacks (3%+ from the level) averaged +2.0% each after fees. Shallow ones: +0.7%. The deeper the pullback, the better the bounce. That's the core of CAFE.
68% of trades in profit, yet together they added up to −14%. How?
That was one of our forward-test days. Most trades won small, a few lost big.
Win rate alone tells you nothing. What matters: • average win vs average loss; • the median trade, not the best one; • how many trades end in the worst case.
A strategy with 50% wins can make money. A strategy with 70% wins can lose it all.
That's market mechanics, and CAFE measures it. Search Cryptanov.
Nov 10: 414 signals, 81.9% in profit, 28 of 34 coins closed the day green. Top coins (sum of signal results after fees): $INJ +30.6% · NEAR +28.1% · ONDO +17.8% · ENA +16.3% · STRK +14.9%
Nov 11 (so far): 326 signals, 92.6% in profit, 32 of 33 coins green. Top coins: $NEAR +24.1% · DASH +22.9% · ZEC +21.8% · ARB +19.3% · OP +18.0%
Every signal is logged in a public forward test: wins and losses, nothing deleted.
Grab a cup of signals: possibly the only honest crypto CAFE. Search Cryptanov.
34 coins, 5 years of daily candles: 55,146 days in total. A doji (body ≤ 10% of the day's range) shows up on about 1 day in 10.
• After a doji, price closed higher the next day 49% of the time. • After any candle: also 49%. • After a drop of 8%+ in 3 days: 50% with a doji, 52% without one.
The difference is zero. On its own, a doji is a coin flip, not a signal.
Hi Square! I'm Cryptanov, and I run CAFE (Crypto ATR Fractal Engine): a system that looks for spots where price, on its way to a level, reverses more often than it continues.
What you'll find here: • daily forward-test results, wins and losses, nothing hidden; • popular trading myths tested on 5 years of data; • candles and coins broken down with numbers, not beliefs.
Measure, don't believe. Possibly the only honest crypto CAFE.
long-term forecast for $ETH , if it survives this time) it will be buried more than once, and it's unlikely that anyone who buys it even now will hold it until 100k:) I am reposting this for new subscribers who need to gain basic knowledge 🕊️
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