智能研究院

$ZEC At this level, I’ve laid out everything I could check and taken a look.
■ I. Structure
Current price 1,144, 24h -7.74%, trading volume 168 million.
Price is at 18% of its 24-hour range.
Three-timeframe trend: 1h bearish / 4h bearish / 1d range-bound.
■ II. Indicators
RSI: 1h 33.5 / 4h 35.9 / 1d 44.0
ADX: 1h 37.4 / 4h 18.3 (>25 indicates a clear trend)
CCI: -172 (±100 marks the strength/weakness threshold)
MFI: 17.9 (@20 indicates oversold funds / >80 overbought)
WILLR: -61.3
KDJ: K 35.4 / D 39.1 / J 28.1
Bollinger Bands: upper 1,215 / middle 1,171 / lower 1,126, position 20%

The data for $BMT looks interesting to me. Here’s my reasoning.
Current price: 0.0377, up 58.58% over 24 hours, with a trading volume of 55 million.
■ Why it’s worth watching
① Price is hovering near the Bollinger middle band at 0, with the upper and lower bands at 0 and 0 respectively. A move in either direction from here could have plenty of room.
② RSI is 58, nowhere near an extreme, which means any move could have room to continue.
③ Volume is 0.1× the average—not completely dead.
■ Key levels
· Move above 0 → opens up room to the upside
· Break below 0 → short-term structure weakens
· 0 in the middle is the dividing line between bulls and bears
■ How I’d approach it
I’d keep an eye on it in stages rather than going all in at once. There’s one way to trade a breakout and another to trade a pullback, but the key is to wait for confirmation before acting—not to guess.

I just finished scanning the entire market, and one phenomenon is worth noting.
At 20:34 Beijing time on 2026-10-24, the following coins on Binance spot USDT pairs simultaneously entered the RSI(14) zone below 32:
$ZEC (23), $PEPE (23), $WLD (24)
More notably, the MACD histograms for all 8 coins are below the zero line but have narrowed, while trading volume has generally fallen to 0.3–0.5 times the 7-day average.
This combination of “multiple coins simultaneously oversold + shrinking volume + narrowing momentum” is uncommon in historical data. It usually means selling pressure is easing, but it could also just be a breather in a continued downtrend.

At 20:31 Beijing time on 2026-10-24, BTC was at $80,752, down 1.19% over 24 hours, with $910 million in trading volume.
A few figures worth noting:
· RSI(14) 47.9, somewhat weak but not in extreme territory
· Volume has fallen to 0.35× the 7-day average
· Price is at the 19% level of the 24-hour range
· Bollinger Bands: upper $81,581 / middle $80,962 / lower $80,343
· ATR(14) 0.34%, volatility is low
Low volume + low volatility + lower-middle range: this combination does not point in a direction on its own, but it does provide a framework to watch:
If this is accumulation, volume will usually pick up modestly before a breakout; if this is a continuation pattern, it often resolves with a high-volume breakdown.

After every halving, the market enters another cycle narrative that gets discussed over and over. But what really deserves attention isn’t the calendar—it’s three changes in on-chain structure.
1. The behavior of long-term holders has changed.
Since the 2024 halving, exchange balances have continued to decline. But this time, the decline isn’t a sign of panic selling; it’s a structural shift driven by absorption through ETF channels. This means the sources of selling pressure going forward will be completely different from those in the previous cycle.
2. Volatility in miners’ holdings is rising.
Changes in miner reserves are beginning to decouple from the pace at which block subsidies are received. This means that some mining revenue is no longer dependent on subsidies, but is instead shifting toward the trading and fee markets. This transition warrants additional monitoring.