$MSTR 24 hours down 1.61%, price hugging around $157. The funding rate is still positive—longs are paying shorts. Price falling while the funding rate is positive means longs are trapped and still adding more. This is a classic sign ahead of a liquidation cascade.
Single-signal inference: based on divergence between the funding rate and the price direction. In a downtrend, a positive funding rate means longs are stubbornly holding on; costs accumulate a little every 8 hours. Once the sell-off accelerates, the most likely to get blown up are these leveraged long positions.
The strongest counterevidence: this kind of small drop is not threatening, or Bitcoin-related assets have solid support.
Trading tag: #TradFi #链上美股 #MSTR
Where do you think this reasoning is most likely to be wrong?
Single-signal inference: based on divergence between the funding rate and the price direction. In a downtrend, a positive funding rate means longs are stubbornly holding on; costs accumulate a little every 8 hours. Once the sell-off accelerates, the most likely to get blown up are these leveraged long positions.
The strongest counterevidence: this kind of small drop is not threatening, or Bitcoin-related assets have solid support.
Trading tag: #TradFi #链上美股 #MSTR
Where do you think this reasoning is most likely to be wrong?