cryptoanalysis

🚨 ON-CHAIN ALERT: XRP SOPR FLIPS NEGATIVE

$XRP has officially lost its aggregate holder cost basis, triggering a major distribution phase.

📉 SOPR dropped: 1.16 → 0.96

Coins are moving at a loss

Panic selling among holders is active

💡 Historical context:

At $1.43, this mirrors the Sep 2021 – May 2022 consolidation:

Step 1: Flush

Step 2: Weak hands capitulate

Step 3: Long sideways range while supply is absorbed

⚠️ What this means for traders:

This is distribution, not accumulation

Expect an extended range building phase before the next leg up

Watch liquidity levels closely for reversal signals

🧠 Key takeaway:

Patience > impulsive trades. Let the market digest supply before making moves.

💬 Discussion: Are you buying the dip or waiting for confirmation?

#XRP #Ripple #CryptoAnalysis #OnChainData #BinanceSquare

$BNB is at a sensitive spot as price tests the key resistance around $645. This isn’t just a round number it’s a zone where sellers previously stepped in multiple times and capped the upside.
From a structure perspective, a clean breakout and hold above $645 would open the door for an expansion toward $700, a major psychological level where short-term profit-taking is likely. Price reaction there will matter a lot.
On the flip side, if $BNB gets clearly rejected at $645, a pullback or consolidation phase wouldn’t be bearish by default. It could simply be the market absorbing liquidity before a cleaner move.
Right now, the play is patience, not FOMO:
Break & hold above $645 → momentum toward $700Strong rejection → wait for a new structure, avoid early entries
Markets reward patience more than urgency.
Are you leaning breakout or continued range for $BNB ?

Bitcoin has always respected one rule more than any narrative: long-term structure matters most during macro stress.
Looking at the weekly chart, $BTC is still trading inside a long-term ascending channel that has guided price through multiple cycles.
Every major expansion phase has respected this structure, while every deep correction has tested its lower boundaries.
One level stands out historically and structurally: the 200-week moving average (200W MA).
Why the 200W MA matters
The 200W MA has acted as Bitcoin’s cycle floor during bear markets:
In 2018, BTC bottomed near it.In 2022, BTC briefly broke below it, triggering panic but also marking a generational accumulation zone.
If Bitcoin loses the 200W MA again, history suggests we should not ignore what comes next.
The $38,000 confluence
From the chart, $38,000 is not just a random number:
It aligns with the lower bound of the long-term channelIt overlaps with a key Fibonacci retracement zoneIt sits near prior high-volume consolidation areas
In 2022, when BTC lost the 200W MA, price didn’t collapse immediately but once structure broke, downside momentum accelerated. That same structural risk exists again if the level fails.
This doesn’t mean $38,000 must be reached but if the 200W MA breaks, this becomes a high-probability area of interest, not a prediction.
Market context matters
What makes this cycle different is that Bitcoin previously made new highs during a contracting macro environment, largely driven by ETFs and institutional access.
Now, the market is at a crossroads:
Either BTC holds long-term structure and confirms resilienceOr it repeats history, where structural breaks force price to seek deeper liquidity zones before the next expansion
Understanding this distinction is critical for risk management not just for traders, but for long-term holders as well.
This is not about fear it’s about preparation.
The 200W MA is the line between long-term confidence and structural stress
$38,000 is a level the market will react to if that line breaks
Structure breaks first narratives come later
If Bitcoin revisits the 200W MA, do you see it as a warning sign or a long-term opportunity?
#BTC #bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis

​Поки весь криптосвіт затамував подих, $BTC влаштував справжню гру нервів навколо психологічної позначки. Чи це підготовка до польоту на $100k, чи тонка пастка для лонгістів? Розбираємо цифри, які не брешуть.
​📊 Ринковий ландшафт: Цифри та факти
​За останні 24 години BTC демонструє "боковик" із легким низхідним нахилом.
​Поточна ціна: ~$69,189.
​Домінування: 59.04% (Біткоїн продовжує "пити кров" альткоїнів).
​Дистанція від ATH: -45% від піку жовтня 2025 року ($126,198).
​Це критична точка. Ми бачимо серію висхідних мінімумів, але кожна спроба биків пробити $70,000 зустрічає стіну ордерів на продаж.

​🔍 On-chain детектив: Хто продає?
​Найцікавіше ховається в аналізі грошових потоків (Cash Flow). Дані Binance показують тривожний сигнал:
​Загальне сальдо: -4,195 BTC за добу. Гроші виходять з ринку.
​Тиск "Китів": Великі гравці скинули 3,707 BTC. За останні 5 днів цей показник сягнув вражаючих -15,464 BTC.
​Висновок: Поки ритейл-трейдери сподіваються на ріст, великий капітал методично фіксує прибуток або переходить у режим очікування.

​📉 Сценарій 1: Ведмежий тест (Пріоритетний)
​Якщо тиск китів не вщухне, нас чекає "струшування":
​Тригер: Пробій підтримки $68,300.
​Ціль: Корекція до $65,500 – $64,000.
​Чому? Ринку потрібно зняти зайву ліквідність та протестувати зони, де стоять великі лімітні ордери на купівлю.
​📈 Сценарій 2: Бичачий прорив
​Якщо бики поглинуть пропозицію китів:
​Тригер: Впевнене закріплення вище $71,126 (бажано на 4-годинній свічці).
​Ціль: Швидкий імпульс до $75,500 – $78,000.
​Чому? Пробій $71k змусить шортистів масово закривати позиції, що створить "паливну" ракету вгору.
​💡 Поради для трейдерів (Trade Plan)
​Не вгадуйте — реагуйте. Рівні $68,300 та $71,100 — це ваші точки прийняття рішень.
​Слідкуйте за обсягами. Пробій без обсягу — це фальстарт.
​Управління ризиком. Ставте стопи нижче $68k, якщо ви в лонгу, бо "кити" рідко помиляються в моментумі.
​Важливо: Цей аналіз створений для освітніх цілей. Крипторинок волатильний, тому завжди проводьте власне дослідження (#DYOR).
​А що ви думаєте? Кити фіксуються перед обвалом чи просто переливають ліквідність? Пишіть у коментарях! 👇
​#bitcoin #BTC #CryptoAnalysis #BinanceSquare #trading

Leave the chart for a while

And look at what is happening behind the scenes.

There is a complete financial crime

Currently practiced on SOL.

The great escape of units not for sale
During the past 72 hours, while everyone was watching the price drop to $84, 1,077,000 units of SOL were withdrawn from centralized exchanges.

The logical question is, if there was real fear, we would see these amounts flowing to the exchanges for sale, not the other way around! Whales are withdrawing coins to their cold wallets silently.

The market is buzzing as Solana (SOL) tests critical levels. After a period of cooling, price action has dropped right into our "Area of Interest" (AOI). We’ve seen an immediate reaction from buyers, but the million-dollar question remains: is this the definitive reversal toward the $300 mark?
Current structure suggests that the long-term bullish thesis is still alive, but patience is key. We have hit the demand zone where big players typically accumulate, and now we are looking for that high-confidence confirmation.
📊 Trading Signal: SOL/USDT
Direction: Long (Potential Reversal) 🔄
Stance: Observation for Confirmation
Entry Zone: $80.00 – $85.00 (Horizontal Support)
Target 1 (Mid-Term): $150.00
Target 2 (Main Objective): $300.00 🎯
Stop Loss (SL): $72.50 (Below recent swing lows)
🔍 Technical Breakdown
SOL has successfully tapped into the buying zone defined by the horizontal demand lines. While we are seeing a price bounce, Team Setupsfx_ is looking for a shift in market structure on lower timeframes (1H/4H) before going "all-in."
Bullish Case: Holding the $80 support maintains the macro-bullish structure for a run toward $300.
Bearish Warning: A breakdown below the $70 level would invalidate the reversal and suggest a deeper correction.
Risk Management: Cryptocurrency markets are volatile. Ensure you are using appropriate position sizing and protecting your capital.
What do you think? Is $SOL headed for $300 or lower? Drop your thoughts below! 👇

#SOL #CryptoAnalysis #Write2Earn

Monero is built for one thing: true financial privacy. Every transaction is obfuscated by default sender, receiver, and amount are all hidden.
No opt-in. No transparency toggles.
Digital cash. But markets don’t price ideals they price structure.
Technical damage is clear:
$XMR has lost two major support levelsPrevious demand zones failed to holdMomentum remains heavy on the downside
As long as price stays below reclaimed support, the path of least resistance points lower.
Key level to watch: ~$175That zone is likely to act as the next meaningful reaction area if selling pressure continues.
What matters now
Privacy narrative remains strong long-termShort-term structure favors continuation, not reversalA reclaim of lost supports is required to shift bias
Until then, this is a wait-and-observe market, not a chase.
Not financial advice
Trade structure, not beliefs
#Monero #PrivacyCoins #CryptoAnalysis

Hello, family! Today I have my eye on $PIPPIN and things are getting interesting. I share my technical vision combining the macro outlook and immediate action.
🔍 The Analysis
Daily Vision (1D): What a recovery! PIPPIN has broken strongly with the moving averages (EMA 25 and 50), moving away from that critical support at $0.14. We are seeing a daily candle with a large body that seeks to test previous resistance areas near $0.47.
15 min Action: This is where the "juice" is. The price is in a flawless upward trend, respecting the EMA 25 as if it were sacred ground. However, the RSI is already flirting with the overbought zone (around 67 pts), which calls for caution.

The Current Landscape: A Steep Correction

The digital asset market is no stranger to rapid price shifts, and today, GPS/USDT is taking center stage with a significant correction. At the time of the data capture, $GPS is trading at $0.01195, marking a sharp 20.01% decline over the last 24 hours. While a double-digit drop can be jarring, it’s essential for disciplined traders to look past the red numbers and dive into the mechanics of the price action. 📊

The screenshot reveals a 24-hour high of $0.01687 and a low of $0.01053. This tells us that the "flush out" was even deeper earlier in the session, and we are currently seeing a slight consolidation above those local lows. 🕯️

Technical Breakdown: Moving Averages & Volume

One of the most telling indicators on this chart is the MA60 (Moving Average), currently sitting at approximately $0.01192. We can see that the price is currently dancing right on top of this line. 🧐

Support Test: The fact that the price is hovering near the MA60 suggests this is a critical "make or break" zone. If the bulls can hold this level, we might see the formation of a base for a potential relief rally. 🛡️

Volume Profile: The volume bars at the bottom show significant spikes during the downward moves. This indicates high selling pressure, likely driven by stop-losses being triggered or profit-taking after a previous run-up. However, notice the green volume spikes near the end—this suggests that "dip buyers" are starting to step in at these discounted levels. 📈

Order Book Insights: Looking at the depth on the right, there is a concentrated cluster of buy orders (bids) around the $0.01190 - $0.01193 range. Conversely, resistance (asks) is stacking up heavily near $0.01200. Breaking through that psychological 0.012 level is the first hurdle for a recovery. 🧱

Understanding the "Why": Sentiment vs. Structure

A 20% drop usually implies a shift in short-term sentiment. Whether this was a "sell the news" event or a broader market correlation, the technical structure has shifted from a parabolic uptrend to a corrective phase. 📉

When an asset drops this quickly, it often leads to an "oversold" condition on shorter timeframes (like the 5m or 15m). Professional traders often look for a Mean Reversion—where the price attempts to snap back toward the moving averages after being extended too far to the downside. 🔄

Strategy & Outlook: What’s Next for GPS?

For those holding or looking to enter, the strategy revolves around Risk Management. 🛡️💼

Watch the Support: If $GPS fails to hold the $0.01190 mark, the next logical area of interest would be a retest of the 24h low at $0.01053.

Confirm the Reversal: Don't catch a falling knife! Wait for a "higher low" on the 15-minute chart or a sustained break above the $0.01206 resistance before assuming the bottom is in. 📉➡️📈

Volume Confirmation: A true recovery needs to be backed by rising green volume. If the price rises on low volume, it might just be a "Dead Cat Bounce" before further downside. 🐱🪂

Final Thoughts

Volatility is the price we pay for opportunity in the crypto space. While a -20% day looks intimidating on a portfolio tracker, it provides a much-needed reset for the RSI and allows for a healthier market structure in the long run. GPS is currently at a crossroads; the next few hours of price action around the $0.0119 level will likely dictate the trend for the remainder of the week. ⏳

Stay disciplined, stick to your stop-losses, and always trade with a plan! 🧠💪

#CryptoAnalysis #GPSUSDT #Altcoins #TechnicalAnalysiss #Binance

$GPS