降息风波
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#美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #降息风波
Historically, every time the Fed cuts interest rates, it leads capital in one direction, waiting for the interest rate hike cycle to harvest, without exception.
So when this round of interest rate cuts begins, will the cryptocurrency market rise generally?
Let's first sort out the cryptocurrency market:
1/Denominated in US dollars
2/Legalization is becoming more and more sound, but there is still room for improvement
3/CZ is in prison and released
4/ETF is listed and traded
5/BTC has been sideways for 9 months
Secondly, let's sort out the Fed's monetary policy
1/CPI target 2%. It has not been achieved yet
2/Historical 1-2% interest rate still has sufficient room for regulation
3/It is still shrinking the balance sheet and has not released liquidity on a large scale
4/The general election is about to begin
Summary: Before QE is launched, it is probably difficult for large-scale funds to flow into the cryptocurrency market, unless the legalization process is accelerated + Trump is pro-cryptocurrency after taking office.
The attitude of capital can be seen from the fact that Bitcoin is rising alone, while ETH and Shanzhai are not rising.
In the future, ETH needs to release more positive news to shock the market before it can lead Shanzhai to rise.
The longer BTC is sideways, the more chips will be changed. I believe that in a short time, 70,000 Bitcoin will be the bottom of the stage.
$BTC $ETH
Historically, every time the Fed cuts interest rates, it leads capital in one direction, waiting for the interest rate hike cycle to harvest, without exception.
So when this round of interest rate cuts begins, will the cryptocurrency market rise generally?
Let's first sort out the cryptocurrency market:
1/Denominated in US dollars
2/Legalization is becoming more and more sound, but there is still room for improvement
3/CZ is in prison and released
4/ETF is listed and traded
5/BTC has been sideways for 9 months
Secondly, let's sort out the Fed's monetary policy
1/CPI target 2%. It has not been achieved yet
2/Historical 1-2% interest rate still has sufficient room for regulation
3/It is still shrinking the balance sheet and has not released liquidity on a large scale
4/The general election is about to begin
Summary: Before QE is launched, it is probably difficult for large-scale funds to flow into the cryptocurrency market, unless the legalization process is accelerated + Trump is pro-cryptocurrency after taking office.
The attitude of capital can be seen from the fact that Bitcoin is rising alone, while ETH and Shanzhai are not rising.
In the future, ETH needs to release more positive news to shock the market before it can lead Shanzhai to rise.
The longer BTC is sideways, the more chips will be changed. I believe that in a short time, 70,000 Bitcoin will be the bottom of the stage.
$BTC $ETH
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The Fed’s losses and their impact on subsequent rate cuts and the cryptocurrency industry and global financial markets
#降息风波 #美国经济软着陆？ #美联储亏损
The Fed’s Losses
The Federal Reserve recently reported that its losses have exceeded $200 billion. This loss is mainly due to the interest costs paid by the Federal Reserve to financial institutions during the interest rate hike cycle exceeding the interest income from the bonds it holds. Nevertheless, Federal Reserve officials emphasized that this loss will not affect the implementation of its monetary policy.
Possibility of subsequent rate cuts
The Fed may continue to cut interest rates due to changes in economic conditions. The main purpose of cutting interest rates is to stimulate economic activity and job growth by reducing borrowing costs. The Fed's interest rate cut policy usually leads to a decrease in market interest rates, thereby encouraging businesses and consumers to increase spending and investment3.
The Fed’s Losses
The Federal Reserve recently reported that its losses have exceeded $200 billion. This loss is mainly due to the interest costs paid by the Federal Reserve to financial institutions during the interest rate hike cycle exceeding the interest income from the bonds it holds. Nevertheless, Federal Reserve officials emphasized that this loss will not affect the implementation of its monetary policy.
Possibility of subsequent rate cuts
The Fed may continue to cut interest rates due to changes in economic conditions. The main purpose of cutting interest rates is to stimulate economic activity and job growth by reducing borrowing costs. The Fed's interest rate cut policy usually leads to a decrease in market interest rates, thereby encouraging businesses and consumers to increase spending and investment3.
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Don't say that the alt season is coming, it's all self-deception!
I haven't posted for a long time. Recently, I looked at the trend of BTC. It's really going to be ruined. It's a complete shipment mode. The important condition for the crypto market to surge is that there is a lot of money in the market, which is not available now. It's good enough to cut meat now. We are still fantasizing about the arrival of the bull market. When the real bear market comes, everyone is still dreaming! #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #降息风波 #Btcoin
I haven't posted for a long time. Recently, I looked at the trend of BTC. It's really going to be ruined. It's a complete shipment mode. The important condition for the crypto market to surge is that there is a lot of money in the market, which is not available now. It's good enough to cut meat now. We are still fantasizing about the arrival of the bull market. When the real bear market comes, everyone is still dreaming! #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #降息风波 #Btcoin
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📺 The Fed hit the pause button on Wednesday, and the market is confident about the expected rate cut in September! 🚨
🗓️ Hello everyone! The results of this FOMC meeting have been announced, and the Fed has decided: Let's not cut interest rates for now! This has made the next meeting a target of public criticism. The market is almost determined to believe that there will be a rate cut in September, and the expected rate cut probability has soared to 100%!
👀 Data shows that at the September FOMC meeting, the market generally predicts a 25 basis point rate cut. At the November FOMC meeting, the market predicts a 50 basis point rate cut. And by the end of December, there may be another 75 basis point cut. To put it bluntly, everyone thinks that we have to face three rate cuts before the end of this year.
💥But then again, isn't this expectation too radical? There is no room for error, which is like walking on a tightrope. If the Fed's next decision is different from market expectations, it will certainly hit market confidence, and the market may face another round of bloodbath!
🦅 Therefore, some people believe that if Fed Chairman Powell's speech in September is more hawkish, market confidence may be frustrated, and the cryptocurrency market and other financial markets may face greater downward pressure.
🤔 But in my opinion, although the interest rate cut at the next FOMC meeting seems to be the general trend, we must also be prepared for the Fed's possible "unexpected move". After all, the market is always full of uncertainty, isn't it?
💬 Finally, do you think the Fed will follow market expectations at the next FOMC meeting? Or will there be a big reversal? Leave your opinion in the comment section!
#美联储决议 #市场预期 #降息风波 #加密货币市场
🗓️ Hello everyone! The results of this FOMC meeting have been announced, and the Fed has decided: Let's not cut interest rates for now! This has made the next meeting a target of public criticism. The market is almost determined to believe that there will be a rate cut in September, and the expected rate cut probability has soared to 100%!
👀 Data shows that at the September FOMC meeting, the market generally predicts a 25 basis point rate cut. At the November FOMC meeting, the market predicts a 50 basis point rate cut. And by the end of December, there may be another 75 basis point cut. To put it bluntly, everyone thinks that we have to face three rate cuts before the end of this year.
💥But then again, isn't this expectation too radical? There is no room for error, which is like walking on a tightrope. If the Fed's next decision is different from market expectations, it will certainly hit market confidence, and the market may face another round of bloodbath!
🦅 Therefore, some people believe that if Fed Chairman Powell's speech in September is more hawkish, market confidence may be frustrated, and the cryptocurrency market and other financial markets may face greater downward pressure.
🤔 But in my opinion, although the interest rate cut at the next FOMC meeting seems to be the general trend, we must also be prepared for the Fed's possible "unexpected move". After all, the market is always full of uncertainty, isn't it?
💬 Finally, do you think the Fed will follow market expectations at the next FOMC meeting? Or will there be a big reversal? Leave your opinion in the comment section!
#美联储决议 #市场预期 #降息风波 #加密货币市场
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