Vink柒

Hold defense first, then withdraw the short positions. This $200 million buy order looks a bit scary—it's like they don't want it to drop. The short position at 84,300 is still losing by 400 points. That's tough. We'll wait for opportunities later.

Sure enough, in a bull market, you still have to add longs—don’t short.
$BTC

Profoundly shorting hard—I not only have hedged short positions, but I also additionally opened short-term short trades. Don’t learn from me. Pure addiction—I just wanted to short something. It’s the wrong move against a bull market; if you’re not careful, the market will grind you.

Updated the follow-up strategy. It's not just closing my hedged short positions on 82 sqm.

I expect it to first drop to around 78 and then churn for a few days, followed by a very quick rebound down to 72. After that, it will make a new high and start the next trend cycle.

Volatility is currently compressed to the extreme—it's about to release. October as a whole will finish higher, but the first half of the month will be down, while the second half will recover the losses.

If you haven't entered yet, you can wait for it to drop to go long. For those who have already opened hedged short positions, just keep holding them—it won't be long now. I think in just a few more days it will cascade down.

#BTC $BTC

Updated the follow-up strategy. It's not just closing my hedged short positions on 82 sqm.

I expect it to first drop to around 78 and then churn for a few days, followed by a very quick rebound down to 72. After that, it will make a new high and start the next trend cycle.

Volatility is currently compressed to the extreme—it's about to release. October as a whole will finish higher, but the first half of the month will be down, while the second half will recover the losses.

If you haven't entered yet, you can wait for it to drop to go long. For those who have already opened hedged short positions, just keep holding them—it won't be long now. I think in just a few more days it will cascade down.

#BTC $BTC

That hurts so much—finally my short order gets unwound. I set a break-even stop to limit losses.

Let’s see if we can get down to 82. If it breaks below 82, then we’ll still be looking at 75.

If it doesn’t break below 82, then we enter the next range 82–97, and the market starts to trade sideways.
$BTC

Worth paying attention to Zeta. On the daily chart, it’s using a huge volume surge to probe and drive higher.

It already feels like it’s about to start moving, and the controlling block is extremely concentrated. You could even say it can be lifted “into the sky,” while if it gets sold off, it can smash straight back to zero.

If there’s a chance to pull back to the breakout point and it doesn’t break down, then I’d suggest entering a sizable position first to test.

If it then continues for a few more days with high-volume, big bullish candles, then just chase the long directly—expecting 3–5x upside space.

If it’s consecutive high-volume bullish candles, and then it flips and aggressively smashes down and breaks through, then I can only say the scumbag main force is staring at my wallet’s 10U and won’t let go—fine, take it then.
$ZETA

Wonderful—everyone is saying “the bull is coming,” everyone is adding positions and chasing longs. So I feel that my hedge short positions should be profitable.

FOMO sentiment
$BTC

As expected, start the current long with half-position short hedging at 84. This will hedge at the pressure level below the previous central pivot.

I don’t know whether it will directly break through and reach 90k, or whether it will meet resistance right here and then switch to an expansion-style consolidation. Personally, I feel it will turn into an expansion-style consolidation.

If nothing else, then just stop out the short and make a little less profit on the shorts compared to the longs—anyway, the long positions will continue to be held.

$BTC

Looking back at last week, it was basically perfect at first. But considering some news flow and macro headlines, I entered the long position early—I didn’t wait for it to drop to the bottom of the line I drew before going long.

I missed out on a bit of profit, but I’ll keep holding the long positions. This is still a relatively low level, and it will keep rising afterward.

However, at 82–84, I’ll open a short position with 40–60% of the long size to hedge. Fundamentally, I still think the time isn’t enough, so I don’t expect price to stray too far outside this range. Opening shorts is to avoid losing some profit during consolidation and pullbacks.

The short stop-loss will be set around 86. I’ll keep holding the long position.

#BTC $BTC

Hope the next trend looks like this:
First, it dips and breaks below in the short term, then rallies to a new high, and then gets a second drop to trap the chasing buyers.

After completing the accumulation in the early bull market stage, it starts moving in a trend.

The bigger volatility should be in the middle to late part of September. When you see a big drop, just look for a value-buying bottom.

$BTC

The Federal Reserve meeting has begun.

After the decision, the direction of the next move is clear.

Raising rates by 25 basis points matches expectations—first consolidate a bit, then rise.

If they don’t raise rates, it jumps straight up; a rate cut leads to a huge spike followed by a sharp plunge.

A 50-basis-point hike kicks off a crash.

But no matter what, going long right around here looks very appropriate. Even after a hike, there will likely be a dovish signal. Plus, the previous bill hasn’t passed—if it doesn’t pass, in the long run it still means an unregulated “wild era.” Even the magnitude of the ups and downs should be better than after regulation.

$BTC

Hope the next trend looks like this:
First, it dips and breaks below in the short term, then rallies to a new high, and then gets a second drop to trap the chasing buyers.

After completing the accumulation in the early bull market stage, it starts moving in a trend.

The bigger volatility should be in the middle to late part of September. When you see a big drop, just look for a value-buying bottom.

$BTC

We’re shifting to a multi-market strategy now. The market has already priced in the rate hikes. Even if there’s another hike, the price will dip and then rebound, and there won’t be an out-of-expectation rate hike.
$BTC