BTC猫头鹰

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BTC猫头鹰

公众号：兔子爱炒币推特账号：@tuzi777a 免费技术博主，不带单，自己玩；偶尔分享开单经验与技巧；无任何收费项目.谨防上当受骗！

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BTC猫头鹰

#牛市到来 The bull market may have truly already started. Reasons are as follows: judge for yourself! 1: On the macro level: the Fed’s rate hikes have been implemented, Japan’s rate hike has also landed, and clear plans have materialized. The Russia-Ukraine war has become largely “inconsequential,” and the situation in the Middle East is basically at this point as well. On the surface, it’s all kinds of bearish news; in reality, all the bad news has already been priced in. In other words, things can only get better from here—nothing worse than before. 2: On geopolitics: as the U.S. midterm elections approach, Trump has to cool down tensions in the Middle East. Once geopolitics eases, how should the market move? Think it through yourself. Oil prices are the best reference: once oil starts to plunge hard, crypto and U.S. stocks will inevitably surge! 3: On technical analysis: the daily chart for BTC is at the top of the daily consolidation range. The weekly MACD has already touched the 0 axis. I said earlier that this signal is extremely crucial. It’s not hard to spot the bull-market start signal; the rare part is the confirmation signal. It’s like breaking a key level—if the pullback hasn’t finished yet, you can’t say it’s firmly held. And the weekly MACD crossing above the 0 axis is precisely that confirmation. Compared with 2023: with the MACD standing above 0, BTC’s corresponding position must also hold above 82,000, then it should push toward the 85,000–87,000 area. After the pullback confirms, the market won’t turn back. 4: Yesterday I noticed the public-chain sector was broadly surging. Old geese who have survived several bull-bear cycles should know: when a bull market starts, BTC breaks first, then ETH is especially strong. After that comes the public chain, followed by consolidation—then the AI sector, the DeFi sector, and the meme sector will begin rotating. And right now, the broad strength in public chains also supports the bull-market start signal, suggesting it’s about to enter the confirmation stage. The bull market has started. Be cautious about shorting—be cautious about shorting! As a technical-type player + a blogger, I shouldn’t be overly expecting the trend. Mature traders act based on real-time price movements and the corresponding strategy, and shouldn’t add too much personal subjective expectation that deviates from the objective essence of trading! But as a veteran “old leek” in the crypto圈 for seven years, I have a strong feeling—maybe that person really is coming. There will definitely be a pullback later, but there will not be new lows. 🔝I’m staking this claim here—see you in half a year to find out!

#牛市到来 The bull market may have truly already started. Reasons are as follows: judge for yourself!

1: On the macro level: the Fed’s rate hikes have been implemented, Japan’s rate hike has also landed, and clear plans have materialized. The Russia-Ukraine war has become largely “inconsequential,” and the situation in the Middle East is basically at this point as well. On the surface, it’s all kinds of bearish news; in reality, all the bad news has already been priced in. In other words, things can only get better from here—nothing worse than before.

2: On geopolitics: as the U.S. midterm elections approach, Trump has to cool down tensions in the Middle East. Once geopolitics eases, how should the market move? Think it through yourself. Oil prices are the best reference: once oil starts to plunge hard, crypto and U.S. stocks will inevitably surge!

3: On technical analysis: the daily chart for BTC is at the top of the daily consolidation range. The weekly MACD has already touched the 0 axis. I said earlier that this signal is extremely crucial. It’s not hard to spot the bull-market start signal; the rare part is the confirmation signal. It’s like breaking a key level—if the pullback hasn’t finished yet, you can’t say it’s firmly held. And the weekly MACD crossing above the 0 axis is precisely that confirmation. Compared with 2023: with the MACD standing above 0, BTC’s corresponding position must also hold above 82,000, then it should push toward the 85,000–87,000 area. After the pullback confirms, the market won’t turn back.

4: Yesterday I noticed the public-chain sector was broadly surging. Old geese who have survived several bull-bear cycles should know: when a bull market starts, BTC breaks first, then ETH is especially strong. After that comes the public chain, followed by consolidation—then the AI sector, the DeFi sector, and the meme sector will begin rotating. And right now, the broad strength in public chains also supports the bull-market start signal, suggesting it’s about to enter the confirmation stage.

The bull market has started. Be cautious about shorting—be cautious about shorting!

As a technical-type player + a blogger, I shouldn’t be overly expecting the trend. Mature traders act based on real-time price movements and the corresponding strategy, and shouldn’t add too much personal subjective expectation that deviates from the objective essence of trading! But as a veteran “old leek” in the crypto圈 for seven years, I have a strong feeling—maybe that person really is coming. There will definitely be a pullback later, but there will not be new lows. 🔝I’m staking this claim here—see you in half a year to find out!

BTC-0.83%

ETH-0.18%

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BTC猫头鹰

To all my friends who have been paying attention to me:
As Binance Square becomes more and more regulated, more and more people have realized the importance of real trading; so I decided to recreate a live trading micro-account @猫头鹰实盘 ; over there, I’ll provide the entry signals for each of my trades for anyone who needs them; after each trade is entered, I’ll share it as quickly as possible; whether right or wrong is up to the fans to verify the results; because my account was created too recently, the data isn’t sufficient yet—so opening contract live trading isn’t rigorous enough right now; I’m planning to show it after the number of trades reaches 300! (the number of posts is approximately equal to the number of entry trades)

I’ve never opened trades with copy-trading signals because I don’t want people to say I’m earning commission; so basically I’ve been giving signals directly in the live room. However, live time is limited, so signals opened outside of the live room will be posted later in the live trading micro-account @猫头鹰实盘 —follow it if you want to see them!

When the market was bad, I rested for half a year, and only recently came back to start trading. I’m also gradually resuming streaming lately. Before the contract live trading on the micro-account opens, if you want to follow the entries, you can come to my live room (this account will be used only for streaming going forward).

The Square is full of all kinds of virtual platforms and hedging trading—be sure to tell them apart; let’s resist together!

If this order isn’t fair, I should still be full, right?! 🤮

ENA+18.55%

BTC猫头鹰

Briefly on how the Bitget hack affects the market

Short term
1. Limited impact on the broader market: The platform has a protection fund with full coverage for reimbursement. The market views it as an incident involving a single platform, not an industry-wide systemic crisis. BTC and ETH only saw minor fluctuations, with no sudden crash.
2. Platform token BGB: Fell 3–5% in the short term, then partially recovered.
3. Potential sell-pressure risk: The hackers obtained about 350 million in assets, and converted a large portion into ETH and XRP. In the future, as the hackers mix funds and sell in batches, they may intermittently create sell pressure for ETH and some altcoins. It may not immediately trigger a dump, but it remains a lingering risk.
4. Sentiment: It increases everyone’s concern about the security of centralized exchanges, and some capital may shift toward cold wallets and decentralized wallets.
5. Bitget pauses withdrawals, triggering panic among users of that platform, but it does not spread into a full-market bank-run wave.

Long term
1. The industry will push each exchange to further harden hot/warm wallet backend permissions and strengthen internal controls.
2. Stronger consensus: Don’t keep all assets on exchanges long-term. For large holdings, cold storage is a priority.
3. Regulatory expectations: There will likely be increased global regulatory discussions regarding custody and risk control for crypto exchanges.

Unlike the FTX bankruptcy and the Bybit hack: this time the cold wallet remains intact, and the protection fund provides full coverage. There is no solvency shortfall, so it did not trigger a chain-reaction stampede across the whole market.
The main risk comes from the hackers’ subsequent selling of the stolen coins.

Finally, I want to say: whenever possible, choose large platforms that have been proven over time and have strong technical teams. Don’t expose your principal to risk just for a small amount of commission rebate!

🎙️ Let’s go live trading and find tonight’s order opportunities!!

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03 h 58 m 00 s

389

🎙️ Bureaucracy often comes with opportunity—can you make a deal tonight with the live stream?

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27 m 35 s

This is an article I posted on September 18 with my live trading small account!

Go back and take a look at the prices in the public chain sector on September 18... Most people probably didn’t believe it when they saw it, right? Then look at the prices now; for example, SUI, for example, SOL... The market always starts when you’re half-believing, and it ends when you make a big move! Trading requires foresight. Otherwise, you’ll always just be a retail investor (a “leek”)!

The same strategy, the same live stream—if you still can’t make money 💰, then you should really figure out why.

BTC猫头鹰

Let me put it simply—my understanding of this market move!
1：When you switch to a larger timeframe, you’ll find that the drop in the past two days for BTC is at most a pullback after a breakout above 82,500.
2：If you understand chart formations, you’ll know why I say that as long as it doesn’t break below 79,500, I’m still bullish.
3：Subjectively, I think this correction hasn’t finished yet, and it most likely still needs to go once toward the 80,000 area. But objectively, it’s also possible it first tries to break through 87,000—fails—then pulls back to test around 80,000!
4：For the long term, I still expect price to first move into the 95,000–97,000 range, and then enter the real correction phase to confirm the final leg of this bull market.
Trade logic first—only trade within what you understand. Don’t trade without logic. Don’t trade the hype. Don’t trade based on emotions. And don’t trade if you don’t know why you’re placing the order!

BTC-0.83%

BTC猫头鹰

🎙️ Continuing to go live and place orders! The market is falling—how should we position ourselves?

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02 h 09 m 07 s

274

🎙️ Live Trading—Opening Orders!!

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01 h 26 m 35 s

407

🎙️ The market is about to turn profitable; live trading has secured 4 consecutive wins—continue tonight!

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02 h 05 m 25 s

398

When you’re treating it like nobody gets trapped easily just because there are so many copycat deals—if this doesn’t count as a bull market, then what does? People who are slow to react always end up going farther and farther down the road of relying on I-pā-fēi. At this moment, what you should do is change your bearish mindset, not keep fantasizing about getting picked up to your “ride” when price revisits the previous low for you! #比特币突破8.7万美元创八个月新高

BTC猫头鹰

#牛市到来 The bull market may have truly already started. Reasons are as follows: judge for yourself!

1: On the macro level: the Fed’s rate hikes have been implemented, Japan’s rate hike has also landed, and clear plans have materialized. The Russia-Ukraine war has become largely “inconsequential,” and the situation in the Middle East is basically at this point as well. On the surface, it’s all kinds of bearish news; in reality, all the bad news has already been priced in. In other words, things can only get better from here—nothing worse than before.

2: On geopolitics: as the U.S. midterm elections approach, Trump has to cool down tensions in the Middle East. Once geopolitics eases, how should the market move? Think it through yourself. Oil prices are the best reference: once oil starts to plunge hard, crypto and U.S. stocks will inevitably surge!

3: On technical analysis: the daily chart for BTC is at the top of the daily consolidation range. The weekly MACD has already touched the 0 axis. I said earlier that this signal is extremely crucial. It’s not hard to spot the bull-market start signal; the rare part is the confirmation signal. It’s like breaking a key level—if the pullback hasn’t finished yet, you can’t say it’s firmly held. And the weekly MACD crossing above the 0 axis is precisely that confirmation. Compared with 2023: with the MACD standing above 0, BTC’s corresponding position must also hold above 82,000, then it should push toward the 85,000–87,000 area. After the pullback confirms, the market won’t turn back.

4: Yesterday I noticed the public-chain sector was broadly surging. Old geese who have survived several bull-bear cycles should know: when a bull market starts, BTC breaks first, then ETH is especially strong. After that comes the public chain, followed by consolidation—then the AI sector, the DeFi sector, and the meme sector will begin rotating. And right now, the broad strength in public chains also supports the bull-market start signal, suggesting it’s about to enter the confirmation stage.

The bull market has started. Be cautious about shorting—be cautious about shorting!

As a technical-type player + a blogger, I shouldn’t be overly expecting the trend. Mature traders act based on real-time price movements and the corresponding strategy, and shouldn’t add too much personal subjective expectation that deviates from the objective essence of trading! But as a veteran “old leek” in the crypto圈 for seven years, I have a strong feeling—maybe that person really is coming. There will definitely be a pullback later, but there will not be new lows. 🔝I’m staking this claim here—see you in half a year to find out!

Good night, Makarabaka!

BTC猫头鹰

🎙️ Since sincerity can't move you, then use orders to make your case—continue live streaming and抓 tight for new order opportunities!

End

02 h 25 m 11 s

428

As long as the results are right, you needn’t say more about the process—an eminent scholar will argue the case for you #加密市场总市值重回3万亿美元

BCH+0.59%

BTC猫头鹰

When I initially told you to buy the dip, it felt like I was going to harm you… everyone was talking about aiming for 30,000 or 40,000. Now that it’s been pulled up, everyone asks: where can we enter now?!

#BTC走势分析 As far as this leg of the US stock rally is concerned, it’s basically about done. All my US stock orders are also squared off now; overall it’s been pretty good! So has the crypto uptrend ended too? I don’t think it has ended. What will happen next? Let me share my expectations! 1: Macro: The Clear Bill has passed. Rate hikes are already a thing of the past. There’s likely to be another rate hike within the year, but the market will likely digest the negative news in advance. When that rate hike actually comes, I believe there won’t be much volatility—maybe even less than this time. In recent days, Trump has said he doesn’t rule out meeting with the Iranian president. That’s intentional de-escalation of tensions. Today’s drop in oil also supports this expectation. With Trump’s midterm election ending in November, before that happens I don’t think the probability of a geopolitical escalation is high. This provides a foundation for the crypto market in the next phase. 2: Technicals: Looking back at the previous two bull cycles, after BTC broke through the key box range in 2023, it continued upward by 23.4%, then pulled back to the top of that box without breaking below it, which confirmed that the bull market was officially underway. I compared that historical magnitude with today’s actual situation. Right now, a move upward from the top of the box by 18% lands exactly at the key resistance level. If we follow the “cutting the boat to fit the sword” logic, BTC would likely range upward into the 94,500–97,500 zone, and I would consider entering a short from that area. Of course, for those who want to be safer, it would be more reasonable to wait until BTC completes the pullback action before entering. 3: Logic: BTC made multiple attempts before it finally broke above 82,500. Since it broke through so hard, it probably won’t pull back quickly. Based on the timing: if rate hikes continue in October, that would be the timing for the next pullback. So in the period from late September to late October, the logic aligns with a sideways-to-up movement. Overall: for the rest of this month’s trading, I will still follow the principle of going long on dips, but I won’t hold long-term positions. I’ll mainly trade swings—take a bite and move on. Only when it truly forms a pullback pattern will I consider holding a long-term position! Every post I make is coded out word-for-word by me personally, with no AI involvement. If you agree with my viewpoint, please feel free to hit follow!

#BTC走势分析 As far as this leg of the US stock rally is concerned, it’s basically about done. All my US stock orders are also squared off now; overall it’s been pretty good!
So has the crypto uptrend ended too? I don’t think it has ended. What will happen next? Let me share my expectations!
1: Macro: The Clear Bill has passed. Rate hikes are already a thing of the past. There’s likely to be another rate hike within the year, but the market will likely digest the negative news in advance. When that rate hike actually comes, I believe there won’t be much volatility—maybe even less than this time. In recent days, Trump has said he doesn’t rule out meeting with the Iranian president. That’s intentional de-escalation of tensions. Today’s drop in oil also supports this expectation. With Trump’s midterm election ending in November, before that happens I don’t think the probability of a geopolitical escalation is high. This provides a foundation for the crypto market in the next phase.
2: Technicals: Looking back at the previous two bull cycles, after BTC broke through the key box range in 2023, it continued upward by 23.4%, then pulled back to the top of that box without breaking below it, which confirmed that the bull market was officially underway. I compared that historical magnitude with today’s actual situation. Right now, a move upward from the top of the box by 18% lands exactly at the key resistance level. If we follow the “cutting the boat to fit the sword” logic, BTC would likely range upward into the 94,500–97,500 zone, and I would consider entering a short from that area. Of course, for those who want to be safer, it would be more reasonable to wait until BTC completes the pullback action before entering.
3: Logic: BTC made multiple attempts before it finally broke above 82,500. Since it broke through so hard, it probably won’t pull back quickly. Based on the timing: if rate hikes continue in October, that would be the timing for the next pullback. So in the period from late September to late October, the logic aligns with a sideways-to-up movement.

Overall: for the rest of this month’s trading, I will still follow the principle of going long on dips, but I won’t hold long-term positions. I’ll mainly trade swings—take a bite and move on. Only when it truly forms a pullback pattern will I consider holding a long-term position!
Every post I make is coded out word-for-word by me personally, with no AI involvement. If you agree with my viewpoint, please feel free to hit follow!

BTC-0.83%

BTC猫头鹰

🎙️ The ox is back—aren't you coming back? The live stream keeps taking orders!! No waiting to start the drive!!

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03 h 18 m 07 s

663

The big pie is slightly up or consolidating at this position for two days. The substitute coin has a great opportunity! We’ll keep streaming in the live room at 8 o’clock and placing orders!

ENA+18.55%

BTC猫头鹰

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