交易师投资笔记
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2025.12.4 Daytime Market Analysis
Wait for a pullback to enter again... There have been quite a few news pieces these past couple of days, leaning towards positive. On the technical side, if the long position reaches the resistance level during the rebound, one should exit quickly. There is a probability of a rate cut around mid-month; Ethereum faces pressure at the daily and golden lines in the short term.
That day: As long as the golden cross is present on the 4-hour chart, the short-term structure is not fixed, continuously testing...
Resistance levels: 3430, 3600, 96800, 99800
Support levels: 3170, 3100, 91500, 90800
Ethereum that day: 15-minute golden line, manually set long positions at 3180, 3170. If it doesn't reach, look for smaller golden crosses. Stop-loss at 3130, take profit at 3280, 3340, 3420.
Bitcoin that day: Gradually moving away from the bottom, the 4-hour golden cross is continuously testing. Manually set long positions at 91500, 91700, stop-loss at 91000 or determine based on real-time market, take profit at 94900, 96200, 96800.
Shorts easily hit stop-loss... Those who wish to trade can do so based on technical operations.
Combine live streaming and technical analysis, manage position size, for reference only #btc #ETH #比特币
Wait for a pullback to enter again... There have been quite a few news pieces these past couple of days, leaning towards positive. On the technical side, if the long position reaches the resistance level during the rebound, one should exit quickly. There is a probability of a rate cut around mid-month; Ethereum faces pressure at the daily and golden lines in the short term.
That day: As long as the golden cross is present on the 4-hour chart, the short-term structure is not fixed, continuously testing...
Resistance levels: 3430, 3600, 96800, 99800
Support levels: 3170, 3100, 91500, 90800
Ethereum that day: 15-minute golden line, manually set long positions at 3180, 3170. If it doesn't reach, look for smaller golden crosses. Stop-loss at 3130, take profit at 3280, 3340, 3420.
Bitcoin that day: Gradually moving away from the bottom, the 4-hour golden cross is continuously testing. Manually set long positions at 91500, 91700, stop-loss at 91000 or determine based on real-time market, take profit at 94900, 96200, 96800.
Shorts easily hit stop-loss... Those who wish to trade can do so based on technical operations.
Combine live streaming and technical analysis, manage position size, for reference only #btc #ETH #比特币
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Today's Blockchain Dynamic Sharing (2025.12.3)
1. Trump will announce plans to adjust automotive fuel economy regulations
2. Trump: will announce the new Federal Reserve Chairman early next year
3. Trump claims the Federal Reserve Chairman should cut interest rates and reiterates his criticism of Powell
4. The Republican candidate supported by Trump narrowly wins in Tennessee, raising concerns about the midterm election outlook
5. The crypto fear index has risen to 28, escaping the 'extreme fear' range
6. The world's second largest asset management company Vanguard has reversed its stance, and Bank of America advises interested investors to allocate 1%-4% to digital assets
7. Last night, the crypto 'warm wind blew', mainstream institutions showed goodwill, and the expectation of liquidity easing is gradually being realized
2. Trump: will announce the new Federal Reserve Chairman early next year
3. Trump claims the Federal Reserve Chairman should cut interest rates and reiterates his criticism of Powell
4. The Republican candidate supported by Trump narrowly wins in Tennessee, raising concerns about the midterm election outlook
5. The crypto fear index has risen to 28, escaping the 'extreme fear' range
6. The world's second largest asset management company Vanguard has reversed its stance, and Bank of America advises interested investors to allocate 1%-4% to digital assets
7. Last night, the crypto 'warm wind blew', mainstream institutions showed goodwill, and the expectation of liquidity easing is gradually being realized
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Today's Blockchain Dynamics Share (2025.12.1)
1. The crypto fear index has dropped to 24, and the market has entered a state of 'extreme fear' again.
2. Ethereum's net supply increased by 77,380 coins in the past 30 days.
3. Bitcoin fell 17.67% in November, marking the worst performance since 2018.
4. In November, cryptocurrency trading volume hit a 5-month low, with significant outflows from Bitcoin ETFs.
5. Are rumors of Powell's resignation resurfacing? He will give a speech on Tuesday morning.
6. Kalshi faces a class action lawsuit for allegedly conducting sports betting activities without a license.
7. Crypto enters December with a 'black opening', with factors such as the Bank of Japan's hawkish remarks possibly triggering this round of decline.
8. Despite rumors that Powell will 'resign', the market has not bet on his departure within this year.
2. Ethereum's net supply increased by 77,380 coins in the past 30 days.
3. Bitcoin fell 17.67% in November, marking the worst performance since 2018.
4. In November, cryptocurrency trading volume hit a 5-month low, with significant outflows from Bitcoin ETFs.
5. Are rumors of Powell's resignation resurfacing? He will give a speech on Tuesday morning.
6. Kalshi faces a class action lawsuit for allegedly conducting sports betting activities without a license.
7. Crypto enters December with a 'black opening', with factors such as the Bank of Japan's hawkish remarks possibly triggering this round of decline.
8. Despite rumors that Powell will 'resign', the market has not bet on his departure within this year.
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2025.12.1 Daytime Market Analysis
The domestic crackdown on cryptocurrency issues continues, and currently, the large-scale short positions are still very strong. If the problem continues to develop, there may be further bottom testing... Focus on the U.S. market's pullback, which may indicate that there could still be fluctuations in the short term, especially to watch the U.S. market... Currently, the news and technicals do not align with a quick bottom fishing strategy... If the U.S. market can close up during the night, it suggests that Powell may release positive news earlier...
On that day: Continuous pullback... Daytime trades rebound on shorts... It is not recommended to bottom fish so quickly in the short term.
Resistance Levels: 2900, 2980, 88500, 91500
Support Levels: 2720, 2560, 83200, 78500
Ethereum on that day: 2880, 2890 shorts, manual orders, stop-loss at 2915 can also be according to the actual trading... Take profit at 2840, 2770, 2760
2720, 2760, 2720 stabilizing with pullback, here will rebound...
Bitcoin on that day: Continuous collection of bearish candles, shorts will continue... 88500, 88000 short positions, stop-loss at 90000, no limit orders, manual orders, take profit at 85000, 85300, 855800
85300, 84500 here will have a rebound... No limit orders, if there is divergence, pay attention to whether it occurs during U.S. market hours.
Based on live broadcasts and technical analysis, for reference only #btc #ETH
The domestic crackdown on cryptocurrency issues continues, and currently, the large-scale short positions are still very strong. If the problem continues to develop, there may be further bottom testing... Focus on the U.S. market's pullback, which may indicate that there could still be fluctuations in the short term, especially to watch the U.S. market... Currently, the news and technicals do not align with a quick bottom fishing strategy... If the U.S. market can close up during the night, it suggests that Powell may release positive news earlier...
On that day: Continuous pullback... Daytime trades rebound on shorts... It is not recommended to bottom fish so quickly in the short term.
Resistance Levels: 2900, 2980, 88500, 91500
Support Levels: 2720, 2560, 83200, 78500
Ethereum on that day: 2880, 2890 shorts, manual orders, stop-loss at 2915 can also be according to the actual trading... Take profit at 2840, 2770, 2760
2720, 2760, 2720 stabilizing with pullback, here will rebound...
Bitcoin on that day: Continuous collection of bearish candles, shorts will continue... 88500, 88000 short positions, stop-loss at 90000, no limit orders, manual orders, take profit at 85000, 85300, 855800
85300, 84500 here will have a rebound... No limit orders, if there is divergence, pay attention to whether it occurs during U.S. market hours.
Based on live broadcasts and technical analysis, for reference only #btc #ETH
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2025.11.27 Daytime Market Analysis
Same Day: Currently, at this level, do not chase long positions; the larger timeframe is in the final stage of a step-up…
Resistance levels: 3150, 3250, 91500, 92500
Support levels: 2980, 2880, 88100, 86200
Ethereum Same Day: 3080 short position… do not place orders, if there is no signal, do not engage, stop loss 3110, … take profit 3006, 2980
3006, 2980 long positions… take profit 3050, 3080, 3120 [exit when in profit]
Limit orders: 2930, 2900, 2890 long positions… stop loss 2875, take profit 3000, 3050, 3150
Bitcoin Same Day: 91200, 91500 pin bar divergence short position, stop loss 300-500 points, first look for a pullback to short then long, take profit 89200, 88200,
88500 limit orders, 87500, 87200, 87800 long positions… stop loss 86800, take profit 89200, 90500, 91300
Combined with live streaming and technical analysis, for reference only #btc #ETH #比特币
Same Day: Currently, at this level, do not chase long positions; the larger timeframe is in the final stage of a step-up…
Resistance levels: 3150, 3250, 91500, 92500
Support levels: 2980, 2880, 88100, 86200
Ethereum Same Day: 3080 short position… do not place orders, if there is no signal, do not engage, stop loss 3110, … take profit 3006, 2980
3006, 2980 long positions… take profit 3050, 3080, 3120 [exit when in profit]
Limit orders: 2930, 2900, 2890 long positions… stop loss 2875, take profit 3000, 3050, 3150
Bitcoin Same Day: 91200, 91500 pin bar divergence short position, stop loss 300-500 points, first look for a pullback to short then long, take profit 89200, 88200,
88500 limit orders, 87500, 87200, 87800 long positions… stop loss 86800, take profit 89200, 90500, 91300
Combined with live streaming and technical analysis, for reference only #btc #ETH #比特币
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Today's Blockchain Update (2025.11.26)
1. The crypto fear index has fallen to 15, and the market remains in a state of 'extreme fear'
2. Polymarket has received approval from the CFTC to amend its designated order, allowing entry into the U.S. market through intermediaries
3. Bitcoin experienced its worst January in nearly three years, with ETF outflows reaching a record $3.7 billion for the month
4. A man in South Korea operated a fraudulent securities platform, using cryptocurrency to launder $2.9 million and was sentenced to 8 years in prison
5. The selection process for the Federal Reserve Chair is nearing completion, with reports indicating that Hasset has become the frontrunner
6. The Federal Reserve's dovish stance has overwhelmed the hawkish, with interest rate cut expectations rising within days
7. Texas crypto reserves have taken a key step forward, having allocated $5 million to BlackRock's Bitcoin spot ETF
2. Polymarket has received approval from the CFTC to amend its designated order, allowing entry into the U.S. market through intermediaries
3. Bitcoin experienced its worst January in nearly three years, with ETF outflows reaching a record $3.7 billion for the month
4. A man in South Korea operated a fraudulent securities platform, using cryptocurrency to launder $2.9 million and was sentenced to 8 years in prison
5. The selection process for the Federal Reserve Chair is nearing completion, with reports indicating that Hasset has become the frontrunner
6. The Federal Reserve's dovish stance has overwhelmed the hawkish, with interest rate cut expectations rising within days
7. Texas crypto reserves have taken a key step forward, having allocated $5 million to BlackRock's Bitcoin spot ETF
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Today's Blockchain Dynamics Share (2025.11.25)
1. The crypto fear index has risen to 20, and the market remains in a state of 'extreme fear'.
2. Amazon will invest up to $50 billion to expand AI and supercomputing infrastructure for U.S. government agencies.
3. Analysis: Amazon's $50 billion investment in AI infrastructure boosts cryptocurrency market sentiment.
4. The U.S. PCE report for September will be rescheduled to release on December 5 at 10 PM.
5. The U.S. third-quarter GDP data will be announced on December 23.
6. Four men broke into a house to steal $1.6 million worth of cryptocurrency, torturing the victims for over 13 hours.
7. After detonating a simulation grenade, an attempted robbery of cryptocurrency failed, and a Russian man was arrested on the spot at a crypto trading platform office.
2. Amazon will invest up to $50 billion to expand AI and supercomputing infrastructure for U.S. government agencies.
3. Analysis: Amazon's $50 billion investment in AI infrastructure boosts cryptocurrency market sentiment.
4. The U.S. PCE report for September will be rescheduled to release on December 5 at 10 PM.
5. The U.S. third-quarter GDP data will be announced on December 23.
6. Four men broke into a house to steal $1.6 million worth of cryptocurrency, torturing the victims for over 13 hours.
7. After detonating a simulation grenade, an attempted robbery of cryptocurrency failed, and a Russian man was arrested on the spot at a crypto trading platform office.
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2025.11.25 Daytime Market Analysis
Today there should be a small pullback for short positions, then continue to look for long opportunities. The 4-hour breakout belongs to hitting the gold line properly... There will be favorable news at the beginning of the month, and in the short term, this is the bottom... After the pullback, continue to challenge the daily line pressure, then enter a large-scale consolidation...
Macro and Spot: Interest rate cut expectations, internal issues at high levels, the government shutdown exposes internal problems, let's not discuss that for now. If Trump changes office next year, the long cycle will have short-term fluctuations, and we need to be cautious of another spike breaking support to set a trap... Then reconnect with the spot market.
On the day: Short-term 4-hour station... News expectations are favorable, both long and short positions are present today, short positions at low and long thoughts.
Resistance levels: 3080, 3150, 90000, 91500
Support levels: 2860, 2910, 87000, 84800
Ethereum today: 2910, 2905 starting to focus... 2860, 2880 long positions... Stop loss at 2850, take profit at 2960, 2990, 3050.
Bitcoin today: 86800, 86500 long positions, 85000, 84600 to add, stop loss at 84400, take profit at 89500, 89200, take profit at 90000, 90800 (if the head position is profitable, you can exit first, and re-enter after a pullback).
Combined with live broadcasts and technical analysis, for reference only #btc #比特币 #ETH
Today there should be a small pullback for short positions, then continue to look for long opportunities. The 4-hour breakout belongs to hitting the gold line properly... There will be favorable news at the beginning of the month, and in the short term, this is the bottom... After the pullback, continue to challenge the daily line pressure, then enter a large-scale consolidation...
Macro and Spot: Interest rate cut expectations, internal issues at high levels, the government shutdown exposes internal problems, let's not discuss that for now. If Trump changes office next year, the long cycle will have short-term fluctuations, and we need to be cautious of another spike breaking support to set a trap... Then reconnect with the spot market.
On the day: Short-term 4-hour station... News expectations are favorable, both long and short positions are present today, short positions at low and long thoughts.
Resistance levels: 3080, 3150, 90000, 91500
Support levels: 2860, 2910, 87000, 84800
Ethereum today: 2910, 2905 starting to focus... 2860, 2880 long positions... Stop loss at 2850, take profit at 2960, 2990, 3050.
Bitcoin today: 86800, 86500 long positions, 85000, 84600 to add, stop loss at 84400, take profit at 89500, 89200, take profit at 90000, 90800 (if the head position is profitable, you can exit first, and re-enter after a pullback).
Combined with live broadcasts and technical analysis, for reference only #btc #比特币 #ETH
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Today's Blockchain Dynamic Sharing (2025.11.24)
1. Vitalik: The X platform's 'display of account's country' will only bring short-term positive effects.
2. Analysis: The bizarre divergence of US economic data has led the Federal Reserve into a policy maze.
3. Economist: A rate cut in December has once again become a high-probability event, with Williams' speech providing a heavy tone for the market.
4. Trump: The full benefits of tariffs have not yet been realized, and the amount due will set a new historical high.
5. Bitunix Analyst: The stagnation of US employment diverges from strong GDP, and market pricing enters a gap area with BTC approaching the short liquidation price.
6. Ant Group Chairman Jing Xiandong: Blockchain smart contracts can solve the fair distribution of returns for intelligent agents.
2. Analysis: The bizarre divergence of US economic data has led the Federal Reserve into a policy maze.
3. Economist: A rate cut in December has once again become a high-probability event, with Williams' speech providing a heavy tone for the market.
4. Trump: The full benefits of tariffs have not yet been realized, and the amount due will set a new historical high.
5. Bitunix Analyst: The stagnation of US employment diverges from strong GDP, and market pricing enters a gap area with BTC approaching the short liquidation price.
6. Ant Group Chairman Jing Xiandong: Blockchain smart contracts can solve the fair distribution of returns for intelligent agents.
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Today's blockchain news sharing (2025.11.21)
Today's blockchain news sharing (2025.11.21):
1. Federal Reserve Governor Cook: The likelihood of a significant drop in asset prices has increased, but it does not constitute a risk to the financial system
2. Trump signed an order to exempt 40% of tariffs on some Brazilian agricultural products
3. The crypto fear index has dropped to 14, and the market is in a state of 'extreme fear'
4. The Federal Reserve's 'hawkish' voices are all speaking out; the risk of asset price collapse may become a new 'roadblock' to rate cuts
5. The Argentine congressional investigation committee accuses President Milei of participating in the LIBRA scam
6. The US government is organizing its wallet, transferring some funds from the FTX collapse and the Bitfinex hack to a new address
1. Federal Reserve Governor Cook: The likelihood of a significant drop in asset prices has increased, but it does not constitute a risk to the financial system
2. Trump signed an order to exempt 40% of tariffs on some Brazilian agricultural products
3. The crypto fear index has dropped to 14, and the market is in a state of 'extreme fear'
4. The Federal Reserve's 'hawkish' voices are all speaking out; the risk of asset price collapse may become a new 'roadblock' to rate cuts
5. The Argentine congressional investigation committee accuses President Milei of participating in the LIBRA scam
6. The US government is organizing its wallet, transferring some funds from the FTX collapse and the Bitfinex hack to a new address
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2025.11.21 Daytime Market Analysis
The news is slightly bearish, with ongoing issues regarding tapering and various states of bottom insertion... In the short term, the trend here will gradually insert pins to raise the bottom, and at the end of the month, macro data should bring about a small positive impact... Attention can be paid to weekly support and setting up some ambush orders.
On the day: go long first, then short, and then set up some short-term bottom-fishing orders... If short-term long orders cannot hold during the day, it’s best to exit first; one can also consider making a one-sided order.
Resistance levels: 90000, 93100, 3000, 3180
Support levels: 84000, 81000, 2750, 2650
Ethereum for the day: 2840, 2830 long orders, small short-term pin break for replenishment, or small stop loss at 2800, take profit at 2960, 3000
Or for pin breaks, manual or delegated orders at 2750, 2738 long orders, stop loss of 35 points based on position, take profit at 2900, 2950, 3000
Bitcoin for the day: delegated orders at 85500, 86000 long orders... small replenishments or take profits at 90000, 89000, 88000
Short orders should observe the strategies and ideas from the live stream; look for opportunities to bottom-fish over the weekend... or today take a pullback slowly going long...
Combining live streaming and technicals, manage position control, for reference only #btc #ETH #比特币
The news is slightly bearish, with ongoing issues regarding tapering and various states of bottom insertion... In the short term, the trend here will gradually insert pins to raise the bottom, and at the end of the month, macro data should bring about a small positive impact... Attention can be paid to weekly support and setting up some ambush orders.
On the day: go long first, then short, and then set up some short-term bottom-fishing orders... If short-term long orders cannot hold during the day, it’s best to exit first; one can also consider making a one-sided order.
Resistance levels: 90000, 93100, 3000, 3180
Support levels: 84000, 81000, 2750, 2650
Ethereum for the day: 2840, 2830 long orders, small short-term pin break for replenishment, or small stop loss at 2800, take profit at 2960, 3000
Or for pin breaks, manual or delegated orders at 2750, 2738 long orders, stop loss of 35 points based on position, take profit at 2900, 2950, 3000
Bitcoin for the day: delegated orders at 85500, 86000 long orders... small replenishments or take profits at 90000, 89000, 88000
Short orders should observe the strategies and ideas from the live stream; look for opportunities to bottom-fish over the weekend... or today take a pullback slowly going long...
Combining live streaming and technicals, manage position control, for reference only #btc #ETH #比特币
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Today's Blockchain Dynamics Share (2025.11.20)
1. Fed's Mouthpiece: The divergence on whether to cut rates is deepening, and the voting results in December will be very close
2. Battle Night Summary: Nvidia's profits are a boon for the market, while the Fed's minutes show increasing divergence, raising doubts about a rate cut in December
3. Analysis: Since 2018, Bitcoin has rebounded significantly after each crash
4. Announcement: Tonight's battle on the unemployment rate and non-farm data will become a key catalyst for future market trends
5. Founder of Real Vision: Liquidity operation authority is shifting from the Fed to the Treasury, and central bank independence will disappear
6. Vitalik Warns: If institutional ETH holdings continue to grow, Ethereum will face two major threats
2. Battle Night Summary: Nvidia's profits are a boon for the market, while the Fed's minutes show increasing divergence, raising doubts about a rate cut in December
3. Analysis: Since 2018, Bitcoin has rebounded significantly after each crash
4. Announcement: Tonight's battle on the unemployment rate and non-farm data will become a key catalyst for future market trends
5. Founder of Real Vision: Liquidity operation authority is shifting from the Fed to the Treasury, and central bank independence will disappear
6. Vitalik Warns: If institutional ETH holdings continue to grow, Ethereum will face two major threats
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2025.11.20 Daytime Market Analysis
The suspension caused by internal decision-making issues has resulted in overall favorable meeting minutes... As the end of the year approaches, data needs to be processed, and the short-term direction shifts to a low long rebound trend after overselling.
On the day: Today, focus on going long... As long as it falls back to 3000, 2900 core level, do not short...
Resistance levels: 95000, 97500, 3200, 3280
Support levels: 90000, 91000, 2950, 2850
Ethereum for the day: Today, only take long positions, live room 3040 current price long position, 3000, 2980 long positions, take profit at 3130, 3160, target price 3350, 3260
Bitcoin for the day: As long as there is a MACD golden cross or main chart golden cross long signal on a small scale, take it... If it doesn't reach, look at the small scale, live room current price 92400 long position has a supplement... 91000, 90000 long positions, take profit at 93800, 94200, 96200.
If there are still opportunities, it is also possible that it may not go back, order 91000, 890000, 88300, 2930, 2920, 2850 long positions... take profit at 96200, 95600, 3150, 3250.
Combining live broadcasting and technology, manage position control, for reference only #btc #比特币 #ETH
The suspension caused by internal decision-making issues has resulted in overall favorable meeting minutes... As the end of the year approaches, data needs to be processed, and the short-term direction shifts to a low long rebound trend after overselling.
On the day: Today, focus on going long... As long as it falls back to 3000, 2900 core level, do not short...
Resistance levels: 95000, 97500, 3200, 3280
Support levels: 90000, 91000, 2950, 2850
Ethereum for the day: Today, only take long positions, live room 3040 current price long position, 3000, 2980 long positions, take profit at 3130, 3160, target price 3350, 3260
Bitcoin for the day: As long as there is a MACD golden cross or main chart golden cross long signal on a small scale, take it... If it doesn't reach, look at the small scale, live room current price 92400 long position has a supplement... 91000, 90000 long positions, take profit at 93800, 94200, 96200.
If there are still opportunities, it is also possible that it may not go back, order 91000, 890000, 88300, 2930, 2920, 2850 long positions... take profit at 96200, 95600, 3150, 3250.
Combining live broadcasting and technology, manage position control, for reference only #btc #比特币 #ETH
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Today's Blockchain Dynamic Sharing (2025.11.19)
1.AI hype cools: US tech stocks collectively fell on Tuesday, Nvidia's earnings report becomes the focus
2.Federal Reserve's Barkin: Agrees with Powell's view, December rate cuts are not a done deal
3.Coinbase CEO: Progress in US crypto regulatory legislation is smooth, looking forward to the CLARITY Act's advancement in December
4.Standard Chartered: The BTC sell-off has ended, expecting a rebound before the end of the year
5.Futu Q3 earnings report: Virtual asset scale grew by 90% quarterly, trading volume increased by 161%
6.Michael Saylor: Bitcoin's volatility has dropped to about 50%, long-term performance may exceed the S&P 500 index by 1.5 times
7.Preview: Starting this Thursday, the US will complete missing employment data and release a new batch of economic data
2.Federal Reserve's Barkin: Agrees with Powell's view, December rate cuts are not a done deal
3.Coinbase CEO: Progress in US crypto regulatory legislation is smooth, looking forward to the CLARITY Act's advancement in December
4.Standard Chartered: The BTC sell-off has ended, expecting a rebound before the end of the year
5.Futu Q3 earnings report: Virtual asset scale grew by 90% quarterly, trading volume increased by 161%
6.Michael Saylor: Bitcoin's volatility has dropped to about 50%, long-term performance may exceed the S&P 500 index by 1.5 times
7.Preview: Starting this Thursday, the US will complete missing employment data and release a new batch of economic data
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2025.11.19 Day Market Analysis
As long as the meeting minutes mention interest rate cuts, it is a positive signal... The short-term bottom is 3000, and if the 90,000 level is maintained, it can still provide short-term support.
On that day: Slowly oscillating downwards for support, in the evening expect a positive rebound... Today, short then long...
Resistance levels: 3220, 3350, 94000, 96500
Support levels: 3030, 2930, 90800, 88888
Ether on that day: Aggressive short at 3105, add or short at 3120, 3150, manually stop-loss divergence orders, take profit at 3020, 3000, 2970
Long positions at 3000, 3020... Small additions at 2970, 2990, take profit at 3120, 3150, looking for positives at 3200, 3220, 3260
Lottery spike order at 3920, 3900 long positions, stop-loss of 30 points... Take profit at 3080, 3120, 3200
Bitcoin on that day: Aggressive short at 92300, shorts at 92600, 93000, stop-loss at 93500, take profit at 90000, 90800 [Short positions are not structured; short-term trades should exit]
Long positions at 90000, 90800... Take profit at 92600, 93000, 93500, 94100
Long position pending orders at 90000, long position pending orders at 88888, stop-loss at 88100, take profit at 93000, 94200
Based on the morning live broadcast and technical analysis, for reference only #比特币 #BTC
As long as the meeting minutes mention interest rate cuts, it is a positive signal... The short-term bottom is 3000, and if the 90,000 level is maintained, it can still provide short-term support.
On that day: Slowly oscillating downwards for support, in the evening expect a positive rebound... Today, short then long...
Resistance levels: 3220, 3350, 94000, 96500
Support levels: 3030, 2930, 90800, 88888
Ether on that day: Aggressive short at 3105, add or short at 3120, 3150, manually stop-loss divergence orders, take profit at 3020, 3000, 2970
Long positions at 3000, 3020... Small additions at 2970, 2990, take profit at 3120, 3150, looking for positives at 3200, 3220, 3260
Lottery spike order at 3920, 3900 long positions, stop-loss of 30 points... Take profit at 3080, 3120, 3200
Bitcoin on that day: Aggressive short at 92300, shorts at 92600, 93000, stop-loss at 93500, take profit at 90000, 90800 [Short positions are not structured; short-term trades should exit]
Long positions at 90000, 90800... Take profit at 92600, 93000, 93500, 94100
Long position pending orders at 90000, long position pending orders at 88888, stop-loss at 88100, take profit at 93000, 94200
Based on the morning live broadcast and technical analysis, for reference only #比特币 #BTC
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2025.11.18 Daytime Market Analysis
2750 is a key point, the overall trend is continuously declining, and there hasn't been a good recovery yet. Long positions are for rebounds and are not suitable to hold for too long. (Spot: Bitcoin and Ethereum haven't reached the point of collapse yet; the situation isn't fully meeting the conditions for bottom fishing, and continued declines may trigger issues with other altcoins)
Daily: 90,000, 88888, and 3000 points can still serve as support. The downward trend is still ongoing, lacking a sudden positive news to drive a rally... For now, look for rebound longs, but still bearish on rallies. Continue to be bearish on rebounds, take trades based on technicals today, wait for shorts, and watch longs.
Resistance Levels: 96800, 93800, 3150, 3280
Support Levels: 88888, 87500, 2920, 2750
Bitcoin Today: 91100, 95050 long positions, stop loss at 90000, take profit at 92500, 93500 is also a bearish position, short take profit at 89000, 91000, 87500 (long positions should be exited in time)
Ethereum Today: 2970, 2990 long positions, stop loss at 2950, take profit at 3100, 3120 (if positive news comes, look for 3200, 3210) (also the entry point for shorts) (if not taking long on rebounds, just wait for bearish positions)
Based on the morning live broadcast and technical analysis, for reference only #btc #ETH #比特币
2750 is a key point, the overall trend is continuously declining, and there hasn't been a good recovery yet. Long positions are for rebounds and are not suitable to hold for too long. (Spot: Bitcoin and Ethereum haven't reached the point of collapse yet; the situation isn't fully meeting the conditions for bottom fishing, and continued declines may trigger issues with other altcoins)
Daily: 90,000, 88888, and 3000 points can still serve as support. The downward trend is still ongoing, lacking a sudden positive news to drive a rally... For now, look for rebound longs, but still bearish on rallies. Continue to be bearish on rebounds, take trades based on technicals today, wait for shorts, and watch longs.
Resistance Levels: 96800, 93800, 3150, 3280
Support Levels: 88888, 87500, 2920, 2750
Bitcoin Today: 91100, 95050 long positions, stop loss at 90000, take profit at 92500, 93500 is also a bearish position, short take profit at 89000, 91000, 87500 (long positions should be exited in time)
Ethereum Today: 2970, 2990 long positions, stop loss at 2950, take profit at 3100, 3120 (if positive news comes, look for 3200, 3210) (also the entry point for shorts) (if not taking long on rebounds, just wait for bearish positions)
Based on the morning live broadcast and technical analysis, for reference only #btc #ETH #比特币
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Today's Blockchain Dynamics Sharing (2025.11.17):
1. Market sentiment remains 'extremely fearful', today's fear and greed index is 14
2. Federal Reserve officials once again release strong hawkish signals, December rate cut in doubt
3. The Federal Reserve will welcome a rotation of regional presidents, with both new and old members showing a hawkish attitude
4. WeBank develops a stablecoin anti-money laundering plan, plans to build local blockchain infrastructure in Hong Kong
5. The correlation between Bitcoin and US tech stocks has reached a new high since 2022
6. Peter Thiel has fully divested from Nvidia in Q3
7. Japanese long-term bonds are being sold off, with the market worried that the scale of economic stimulus will push up issuance
8. Analysts: Japan's economy has contracted for the first time in six quarters, complicating the central bank's interest rate path
9. US Treasury Secretary: $2000 dividends may appear in various forms, tax cuts or tips being tax-exempt are potential options
10. Bitunix Weekly Market Report: Macroeconomic pressures intensify, market sentiment returns to risk aversion
11. Jia Yueting: QLGN will be renamed AIxCrypto before November 20
12. CICC: This round of gold bull market may not have ended yet, and a breakout above $5000 next year cannot be ruled out
13. Real Vision founder: The Federal Reserve may be forced to adjust fiscal policy to prevent a liquidity crisis, and liquidity management has become a political game
14. Raoul Pal: The Federal Reserve may be forced to adjust policy this week to avoid a funding crisis
15. Matrixport: The leveraged positions of Bitcoin and Ethereum are clearing at an accelerating pace
16. Slow Mist: Some NoFx open-source automated trading system users have had their wallet private keys leaked
17. ECB officials warn: If stablecoins face a run, it may force the European Central Bank to adjust the interest rate path
18. Data: The cryptocurrency market is generally declining, BTC falls below $95,000, only PayFi and CeFi sectors rise against the trend
19. Data: Bitcoin spot ETF had a net outflow of $1.11 billion last week, continuing three weeks of net outflows; Ethereum spot ETF had a net outflow of $729 million last week, setting a historical third high
20. CZ: If the $4.3 billion fine in the Binance case is refunded, it will be used for investments in the US, no application has been submitted yet
21. 4E: Bitcoin has erased its gains for the year, with soaring correlation resonating with the retreat of funds #btc #ETH #比特币
1. Market sentiment remains 'extremely fearful', today's fear and greed index is 14
2. Federal Reserve officials once again release strong hawkish signals, December rate cut in doubt
3. The Federal Reserve will welcome a rotation of regional presidents, with both new and old members showing a hawkish attitude
4. WeBank develops a stablecoin anti-money laundering plan, plans to build local blockchain infrastructure in Hong Kong
5. The correlation between Bitcoin and US tech stocks has reached a new high since 2022
6. Peter Thiel has fully divested from Nvidia in Q3
7. Japanese long-term bonds are being sold off, with the market worried that the scale of economic stimulus will push up issuance
8. Analysts: Japan's economy has contracted for the first time in six quarters, complicating the central bank's interest rate path
9. US Treasury Secretary: $2000 dividends may appear in various forms, tax cuts or tips being tax-exempt are potential options
10. Bitunix Weekly Market Report: Macroeconomic pressures intensify, market sentiment returns to risk aversion
11. Jia Yueting: QLGN will be renamed AIxCrypto before November 20
12. CICC: This round of gold bull market may not have ended yet, and a breakout above $5000 next year cannot be ruled out
13. Real Vision founder: The Federal Reserve may be forced to adjust fiscal policy to prevent a liquidity crisis, and liquidity management has become a political game
14. Raoul Pal: The Federal Reserve may be forced to adjust policy this week to avoid a funding crisis
15. Matrixport: The leveraged positions of Bitcoin and Ethereum are clearing at an accelerating pace
16. Slow Mist: Some NoFx open-source automated trading system users have had their wallet private keys leaked
17. ECB officials warn: If stablecoins face a run, it may force the European Central Bank to adjust the interest rate path
18. Data: The cryptocurrency market is generally declining, BTC falls below $95,000, only PayFi and CeFi sectors rise against the trend
19. Data: Bitcoin spot ETF had a net outflow of $1.11 billion last week, continuing three weeks of net outflows; Ethereum spot ETF had a net outflow of $729 million last week, setting a historical third high
20. CZ: If the $4.3 billion fine in the Binance case is refunded, it will be used for investments in the US, no application has been submitted yet
21. 4E: Bitcoin has erased its gains for the year, with soaring correlation resonating with the retreat of funds #btc #ETH #比特币
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2025.11.17 Daytime Market Analysis
The short-term has not yet reached the bottom, the rebound trend is still a bearish signal, and the standstill is uncertain. Starting this week, the proposed agreement data is recovering. This week, unemployment benefits will be a focus; if favorable, it will rise quickly. Monetary policy indicates a high likelihood of not lowering interest rates in the next period based on the data.
Spot: It is still not appropriate to bottom out significantly; wait for the market to recover before buying. Only short-term trades and platform tokens can be made.
On the day: The 3000-point defense battle remains, with a 4-hour cycle showing fluctuations. When the pullback is in place, it will rebound long. Today, we will first go long at a low price, take profit on the long, and then observe the short.
Resistance levels: 3300, 3400, 98500, 100800
Support levels: 93600, 91500, 3000, 2910
Ethereum today: 3090, 3060 range long positions… Spike at 3030, 3010 to add positions, knowledge 329950, take profit at 3180, 3200.
Bitcoin today: 93500, 93700 long positions… 92500, 92000 to add, take profit at 96300, 96700.
Combined with the morning live broadcast and technical analysis, for reference only #比特币 #BTC #ETH
The short-term has not yet reached the bottom, the rebound trend is still a bearish signal, and the standstill is uncertain. Starting this week, the proposed agreement data is recovering. This week, unemployment benefits will be a focus; if favorable, it will rise quickly. Monetary policy indicates a high likelihood of not lowering interest rates in the next period based on the data.
Spot: It is still not appropriate to bottom out significantly; wait for the market to recover before buying. Only short-term trades and platform tokens can be made.
On the day: The 3000-point defense battle remains, with a 4-hour cycle showing fluctuations. When the pullback is in place, it will rebound long. Today, we will first go long at a low price, take profit on the long, and then observe the short.
Resistance levels: 3300, 3400, 98500, 100800
Support levels: 93600, 91500, 3000, 2910
Ethereum today: 3090, 3060 range long positions… Spike at 3030, 3010 to add positions, knowledge 329950, take profit at 3180, 3200.
Bitcoin today: 93500, 93700 long positions… 92500, 92000 to add, take profit at 96300, 96700.
Combined with the morning live broadcast and technical analysis, for reference only #比特币 #BTC #ETH
See original
2025.11.14 Daytime Market Analysis
The halt has caused panic in the market, with incomplete statistics showing a loss of 150 million US dollars... The US stock market is at a historical high... The technical aspect is also showing a large-scale bearish trend...
On the day: the bearish trend is in line with the trend, looking for a rebound long position during the day, no pattern for long positions... If the rebound is too late, then no short position will be taken
Spot: Bitcoin and Ethereum will only intervene in other coins' wave bottoming if they collapse; currently observing
Resistance levels: 3280, 3350, 101600, 104700
Support levels: 3000, 2920, 2850, 2750, 97500, 96500, 94200, 88888
Ethereum on the day: live room 3195 long position... or 3150, 3170 long positions, stop loss 3135, take profit 3280, 3310, conservatively taking 50 points [if it's too late, then no short position]
Weekend 3000, 2920 defense battle... preparing for next week... data repair adjustment... may explode with good news... stage bottoming points... take profit 3150, 3180, 3380
Weekend 98000, 97200, 97500 defense battle... short-term bottoming, take profit 100800, 101500, 103300
Bitcoin on the day: live room initial position current price 99200 long position... 98500 long position, stop loss 97500, take profit 100800, 101500
Combining live broadcast and technology, for reference only #比特币 #BTC #ETH
The halt has caused panic in the market, with incomplete statistics showing a loss of 150 million US dollars... The US stock market is at a historical high... The technical aspect is also showing a large-scale bearish trend...
On the day: the bearish trend is in line with the trend, looking for a rebound long position during the day, no pattern for long positions... If the rebound is too late, then no short position will be taken
Spot: Bitcoin and Ethereum will only intervene in other coins' wave bottoming if they collapse; currently observing
Resistance levels: 3280, 3350, 101600, 104700
Support levels: 3000, 2920, 2850, 2750, 97500, 96500, 94200, 88888
Ethereum on the day: live room 3195 long position... or 3150, 3170 long positions, stop loss 3135, take profit 3280, 3310, conservatively taking 50 points [if it's too late, then no short position]
Weekend 3000, 2920 defense battle... preparing for next week... data repair adjustment... may explode with good news... stage bottoming points... take profit 3150, 3180, 3380
Weekend 98000, 97200, 97500 defense battle... short-term bottoming, take profit 100800, 101500, 103300
Bitcoin on the day: live room initial position current price 99200 long position... 98500 long position, stop loss 97500, take profit 100800, 101500
Combining live broadcast and technology, for reference only #比特币 #BTC #ETH
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