龙小雨

First layer: Macro structure and trend judgment (What to use to see the overall trend?)
This layer is like using a 'telescope' to determine the current position and main direction of the market in the large cycle.
1. Wave Theory (Eliot Wave Theory)
· Function: Identify the major bullish and bearish cycles of the market and the specific stage in the current trend (such as whether it is in the impulse wave 3 or the correction wave C). It provides a grand roadmap, letting you know 'where you might be now and where you might go in the future.'
· Application: When counting waves, it is necessary to combine other tools for verification. For example, a hypothetical 'third wave' should usually be accompanied by huge trading volume and strong momentum indicators (RSI overbought) confirmation.

Case background: The Jia Yu County Public Security Bureau discovered a virtual currency wallet containing approximately 1.9 million USDT during the investigation of an extortion case in the suspect's rented residence.
Involved amount: Based on the current exchange rate, 1.9 million USDT is approximately 13.566 million RMB.
Processing progress: The police issued a notice on December 5, 2025, requiring rights holders to claim with legal proof within 6 months; overdue claims will be turned over to the national treasury.

老哥$ETH 7000的目标有点远啊
据Lookonchain称，疑似TomLee旗下机构Bitmine再次买入41,946枚ETH，交易价值约1.3078亿美元。

Just now, a major charity news broke in the tech circle: Michael Dell, the founder of Dell Technologies, and his wife Susan, announced a donation of $6.25 billion aimed at providing startup funds for investment accounts for approximately 25 million American children!

This is not an isolated action, but a direct supplement to a new policy in the United States called "Invest in America" (commonly known as the "Trump Account"). The specific differences are as follows:

🎯 Who is it for? Where does the money come from?

· Government Basic Plan: Covers newborns born from 2025 onwards, with each receiving $1,000 from the federal government.
· Dell Donation: Specifically fills the "gap," covering children aged 10 and under born before 2025, with each receiving $250. Priority is given to children from families with a median income of less than $150,000.

Are you curious about what cryptocurrencies like $BTC are considered in the eyes of our country's law? Are they protected legal properties or illegal 'dirty goods'? The answer may surprise you: it's like an actor, playing completely different roles in different scenes, without a unified 'household registration.'

Simply put, domestic justice has not given it a black-and-white single label. Whether it is 'asset' or 'other' depends entirely on what kind of 'stage' it appears on.

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Stage 1: On the stage of combating crime, it is 'dirty money/loot'

According to on-chain analyst @ai_9684xtpa, the insider who opened a short position on 1011 has just liquidated the long position of 15,000 ETH (45.32 million USD) in batches, ultimately profiting 846,000 USD.
Ultimately, the long position lasted less than four days and ended in profit. As of now, only the BTC long position of 11.08 is in a loss state, while the rest are profitable, with a total account profit reaching 101 million USD.

Analyst Eamonn Sheridan from the financial website investinglive stated that the latest economic data from Japan is reinforcing market expectations that the Bank of Japan may restart its interest rate hike cycle in the coming months. Inflation levels in the Tokyo region continue to far exceed targets, while industrial output saw a brief rebound before an anticipated slowdown, jointly driving these expectations. Economists pointed out that this data will lead the Bank of Japan to maintain its policy tightening path. Additionally, the recent drop in the yen exchange rate to a 10-month low adds new variables to policy decision-making. Policymakers are concerned that further depreciation of the yen could increase inflation of food and imported goods. There are still divisions within the Japanese government. Prime Minister Fumio Kishida's pro-inflation advisers argue that interest rates should not be raised amid weak consumption and contraction in the third quarter economy. However, stubborn inflation, a weak yen, and credible wage growth data have pushed the Bank of Japan's committee's policy inclination towards tightening monetary policy sooner. Considering various factors, as inflation continues to remain above the policy target and the Bank of Japan tends to take preemptive actions to stabilize prices and exchange rates, Japan is gradually approaching the next interest rate hike point, whether in December or early next year.

On November 28, according to Hyperinsight monitoring, the following is an overview of the recent movements of popular active whales on-chain in the past 24 hours:

The "Mahjong Brother" Huang Licheng's address continues to roll positions long, going long on 8,200 ETH with 25x leverage and going long on 172,809 HYPE with 10x leverage, currently in a floating profit state.

A whale on Hyperliquid has made over $10.6 million in profit by shorting 1,000 BTC with 3x leverage.

The "1011 Insider Whale" remains inactive, going long on 15,000 ETH with 5x leverage, with floating profits narrowing to $1.01 million. Currently, there are no changes in the position.

The core logic is actually not complicated:
▪️ The valuation is indeed low, significantly cheaper than US stocks, with a thick safety cushion.
▪️ Policies are actively promoting consumption, and new technologies like AI are being implemented, with prospects on both sides.
▪️ Returned the target of 5200 points for the CSI 300, which calculates to about 15% upside.