及时雨浩天
《微博：及时雨浩天》，专注加密货币领域的资深分析师，深耕行业7年，LSE硕士
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2. Click add in the top right corner
3. Enter id:1163923718
If you're still hesitant and don't know where to start, feel free to chat～
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Real-time market analysis, systematic trading education, intraday short-term operations, and swing contract layouts! If you're still hesitating and don't know where to start, feel free to chat👇👇👇
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#黄金 Evening layout near 4430 is empty, currently near 4412, space at 6 PM, can choose freely.
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#黄金 12.22 Evening Gold Commentary:
On Christmas Eve, gold and silver remain at the top of the market's gainers list, driven primarily by expectations of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. Positive inflation data from last week, along with a decrease in initial jobless claims and safe-haven demand triggered by geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East and between the U.S. and Venezuela, have jointly propelled gold and silver to set historical records.
This non-technical market trend can no longer be analyzed through technical indicators. In the afternoon, part of the short position established at 4420 was exited at 4407. If there is a rebound tonight, consider re-entering shorts at 4420-4430.
Currently, silver bulls seem a bit weak, moving in sync with gold, looking bearish around 69.5!
Crude oil is short around 57.8/58.0, maintaining a target at 55.8/55!
Gold shorts at 4420-4430, with an initial target at 4390; if broken, look down to 4330!
On Christmas Eve, gold and silver remain at the top of the market's gainers list, driven primarily by expectations of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. Positive inflation data from last week, along with a decrease in initial jobless claims and safe-haven demand triggered by geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East and between the U.S. and Venezuela, have jointly propelled gold and silver to set historical records.
This non-technical market trend can no longer be analyzed through technical indicators. In the afternoon, part of the short position established at 4420 was exited at 4407. If there is a rebound tonight, consider re-entering shorts at 4420-4430.
Currently, silver bulls seem a bit weak, moving in sync with gold, looking bearish around 69.5!
Crude oil is short around 57.8/58.0, maintaining a target at 55.8/55!
Gold shorts at 4420-4430, with an initial target at 4390; if broken, look down to 4330!
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12.22 Afternoon Gold Commentary:
The short position given in the morning has been stopped out. My trading habit is to defend with around 10 points for short-term trades, aiming for 30-50 points. It's important to balance win rate and market space, and while the difficulty increases, it’s essential to showcase the most realistic situation!
On Monday, the Asian market continued to rise, indeed exceeding expectations. Technically, the bullish trend has not shown signs of stopping in the short term, but I am taking left-side positions. This mindset offers considerable space, as long as risk is managed well; the timing of entering trades is crucial. In the European session, continue to look for high shorts, do not chase the highs!
Short around 4410, targeting 4330, with a stop at 4415!
The short position given in the morning has been stopped out. My trading habit is to defend with around 10 points for short-term trades, aiming for 30-50 points. It's important to balance win rate and market space, and while the difficulty increases, it’s essential to showcase the most realistic situation!
On Monday, the Asian market continued to rise, indeed exceeding expectations. Technically, the bullish trend has not shown signs of stopping in the short term, but I am taking left-side positions. This mindset offers considerable space, as long as risk is managed well; the timing of entering trades is crucial. In the European session, continue to look for high shorts, do not chase the highs!
Short around 4410, targeting 4330, with a stop at 4415!
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12.22 Morning Crude Oil Review:
Recently, crude oil has risen, primarily driven by two actions from the United States—intercepting Venezuelan oil tankers at sea and announcing new sanctions against it. This series of measures has sparked market concerns about the disruption of Venezuela's oil export supply chain, becoming a direct catalyst for the increase in oil prices.
On the other hand, developments related to the Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations are also affecting market nerves. Currently, the market's tense expectations have not eased, yet there has been no substantial progress in the negotiation process. It is noteworthy that the weak trend in the downstream crude oil market is becoming increasingly evident: U.S. gasoline prices have fallen to a four-year low, and refining profit indicators have dropped to their lowest point since February, confirming the sluggish demand situation, with the imbalance between supply and demand still prominent.
Therefore, before any signs of demand recovery appear, the likelihood of a sustained rebound in crude oil is low, and the strategy remains to sell on rallies.
Short around 57.2, with a target of 55.8-55.
Recently, crude oil has risen, primarily driven by two actions from the United States—intercepting Venezuelan oil tankers at sea and announcing new sanctions against it. This series of measures has sparked market concerns about the disruption of Venezuela's oil export supply chain, becoming a direct catalyst for the increase in oil prices.
On the other hand, developments related to the Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations are also affecting market nerves. Currently, the market's tense expectations have not eased, yet there has been no substantial progress in the negotiation process. It is noteworthy that the weak trend in the downstream crude oil market is becoming increasingly evident: U.S. gasoline prices have fallen to a four-year low, and refining profit indicators have dropped to their lowest point since February, confirming the sluggish demand situation, with the imbalance between supply and demand still prominent.
Therefore, before any signs of demand recovery appear, the likelihood of a sustained rebound in crude oil is low, and the strategy remains to sell on rallies.
Short around 57.2, with a target of 55.8-55.
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12.22 Morning Gold Review:
Good morning, friends. I did some simple analysis over the weekend and also want to remind everyone of some preparations that need to be made.
Gold surged quickly in the morning session, reaching a high of 4372, be cautious about chasing long positions! As mentioned over the weekend, as long as the gold price does not break through 4381, there is still a possibility of a sharp drop.
From the four-hour level, the strong bullish candlestick shows a strong upward movement, and the technical indicators present a bullish pattern, but the actual trend still needs to be treated with caution. The K-line continues to record upper shadow patterns, which is a signal of diminishing bullish momentum. In terms of operations, continue to look for a pullback below 4381 and do not blindly chase high prices.
In the 4371-4381 short position, target 4300!
Good morning, friends. I did some simple analysis over the weekend and also want to remind everyone of some preparations that need to be made.
Gold surged quickly in the morning session, reaching a high of 4372, be cautious about chasing long positions! As mentioned over the weekend, as long as the gold price does not break through 4381, there is still a possibility of a sharp drop.
From the four-hour level, the strong bullish candlestick shows a strong upward movement, and the technical indicators present a bullish pattern, but the actual trend still needs to be treated with caution. The K-line continues to record upper shadow patterns, which is a signal of diminishing bullish momentum. In terms of operations, continue to look for a pullback below 4381 and do not blindly chase high prices.
In the 4371-4381 short position, target 4300!
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12.21 Gold Outlook and Trading Opportunities for Next Week:
Last week, gold maintained a high level of volatility, with the weekly closing showing a small gain. Such fluctuations are hard to sustain, and a new wave of price movement is bound to occur.
From a daily structure perspective, the gold price is currently in a rising wedge pattern during a downward wave process. Unless it strongly breaks above the previous high of 4381, I personally expect a short-term decline to come.
The confirmed key signal lies in the price effectively breaking below the support range of 4265-4276. Therefore, the operational strategy for next week is clear: as long as the historical high is not broken, one can set up short positions at resistance levels to bet on a short-term pullback. If the support range is breached, the gold price is expected to further test the 4200 level.
Before the market closes, a short position near the highest point of 4355 was suggested, and there is currently a 17-point space available, which can be freely decided upon next Monday～ #黄金
Last week, gold maintained a high level of volatility, with the weekly closing showing a small gain. Such fluctuations are hard to sustain, and a new wave of price movement is bound to occur.
From a daily structure perspective, the gold price is currently in a rising wedge pattern during a downward wave process. Unless it strongly breaks above the previous high of 4381, I personally expect a short-term decline to come.
The confirmed key signal lies in the price effectively breaking below the support range of 4265-4276. Therefore, the operational strategy for next week is clear: as long as the historical high is not broken, one can set up short positions at resistance levels to bet on a short-term pullback. If the support range is breached, the gold price is expected to further test the 4200 level.
Before the market closes, a short position near the highest point of 4355 was suggested, and there is currently a 17-point space available, which can be freely decided upon next Monday～ #黄金
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#黄金 Every transaction is a refinement of deep analysis; every profit is a medal for strict adherence to rules. The market is full of twists and turns, but the strategy remains as steady as a rock. Continuous victories are not just cold numbers, but proof of professional foundation and enduring patience. I wish to walk hand in hand with you, embarking on a new investment journey!
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12.20 Market News In-Depth Interpretation:
The market has no constant winners; every trial and error is a precise calibration of the trend. Facing losses and iterating strategies is the core confidence in trading.
The Federal Reserve is approaching a dual critical juncture of a rate-cutting cycle and a change in leadership: Trump has narrowed the list of chair candidates to four, namely Hassett, Walsh, Waller, and Riedel. Bowman has officially withdrawn from the candidate pool, and Riedel will be interviewed in the last week of the year. Trump has clearly stated that the next chair must support significant rate cuts, and monetary policy decisions need to be made in consultation with his team; the candidate will be finalized in a few weeks. Recently, Trump met with Waller and publicly praised him.
The Federal Reserve is approaching a dual critical juncture of a rate-cutting cycle and a change in leadership: Trump has narrowed the list of chair candidates to four, namely Hassett, Walsh, Waller, and Riedel. Bowman has officially withdrawn from the candidate pool, and Riedel will be interviewed in the last week of the year. Trump has clearly stated that the next chair must support significant rate cuts, and monetary policy decisions need to be made in consultation with his team; the candidate will be finalized in a few weeks. Recently, Trump met with Waller and publicly praised him.
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#黄金 Midnight Brief:
The previous wave of 4308 long positions was accurately fulfilled, and the gold price reached the 4354 line as expected, without any deviation! Captured a space of 46 points. Reducing the frequency of operations is essential to effectively control risks.
Currently, the gold price is around 4355, and the four-hour line is flat, allowing for another short entry. After it drops, you can freely choose to exit or hold until next Monday!
Overall, gold maintains a range-bound oscillation pattern, with the breakout window expected to extend to the beginning of the month. During the rebound, not chasing highs remains the core principle.
Entering short around the current price of 4355, with the initial target at 4325; if broken, look for 4315-4300.
The previous wave of 4308 long positions was accurately fulfilled, and the gold price reached the 4354 line as expected, without any deviation! Captured a space of 46 points. Reducing the frequency of operations is essential to effectively control risks.
Currently, the gold price is around 4355, and the four-hour line is flat, allowing for another short entry. After it drops, you can freely choose to exit or hold until next Monday!
Overall, gold maintains a range-bound oscillation pattern, with the breakout window expected to extend to the beginning of the month. During the rebound, not chasing highs remains the core principle.
Entering short around the current price of 4355, with the initial target at 4325; if broken, look for 4315-4300.
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#黄金 Buy near 4308 in the morning, currently stable at 4331, space at 23:00, stable and smooth!
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#黄金 How can we celebrate the New Year without fighting back? More than a month before the New Year, the cabin action has started!
With a threshold of 5000u, there are three places available, and with limited energy, we can't take on more. Let's join hands to fight a beautiful final battle!
With a threshold of 5000u, there are three places available, and with limited energy, we can't take on more. Let's join hands to fight a beautiful final battle!
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12.19 Afternoon Gold Review:
Yesterday, gold experienced a significant rise after a pullback, with the movement completely under the analysis and control of Haotian, where the short position at 4342 was closed at 4309.
In the evening, additional short positions were taken near 4365, and all were closed near 4340. The fluctuation and adjustment of gold prices are evident, and there is still a demand for continued fluctuation and adjustment today. The main theme is high shorts and low longs during the fluctuations.
Buy near 4308, target 4360!
Yesterday, gold experienced a significant rise after a pullback, with the movement completely under the analysis and control of Haotian, where the short position at 4342 was closed at 4309.
In the evening, additional short positions were taken near 4365, and all were closed near 4340. The fluctuation and adjustment of gold prices are evident, and there is still a demand for continued fluctuation and adjustment today. The main theme is high shorts and low longs during the fluctuations.
Buy near 4308, target 4360!
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Uncertain of the heavenly palace, what year is it tonight!
After the CPI data was released in the evening, gold prices soared to the 4342 line, and Haotian promptly reminded everyone not to chase high prices.
Positioned short near 4340, it has now reached the 4309 line, a full 31 points! Attention to Luodai!
After the CPI data was released in the evening, gold prices soared to the 4342 line, and Haotian promptly reminded everyone not to chase high prices.
Positioned short near 4340, it has now reached the 4309 line, a full 31 points! Attention to Luodai!
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#黄金 Clear thinking, the imitation is correct, and the collection is just a matter of time～
In the afternoon, gold fluctuates around the 4335 line for both long and short operations, achieving a continuous winning streak!
In the afternoon, gold fluctuates around the 4335 line for both long and short operations, achieving a continuous winning streak!
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Morning crude oil feedback
Long near 55.60, highest 56.79, ultra-short line can also take down 1.19 space
Long near 55.60, highest 56.79, ultra-short line can also take down 1.19 space
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