I've been in the cryptocurrency circle for a while now, and recently watching the price charts go up and down, I really feel what it means to have your heart race!
Liquidity is primarily concentrated above 90k, with the densest area between 95-99k. The long target is 98.5k, which coincides with the Fib 0.5 and the projection position of ABC wave 1:1. The drop from 126k has been a 5-wave decline, and we are currently in the fourth wave adjustment, which usually takes the longest time. This fourth wave is divided into three waves: ABC. It appears that wave AB has ended, and wave C is about to rise, targeting 98k.
Hainan's closure has dramatically launched! Singapore's "Transit King" throne is facing a challenge Today's global focus is on Hainan! The island's closure has officially started, giving birth to a super free trade port that is 8 times larger than Dubai, 30 times larger than Hong Kong, and 50 times larger than Singapore🌍 Many people are puzzled: what does the closure have to do with ordinary people? Is it that the duty-free shops are larger, more luxury goods, or do you need a visa to go to Hainan? First, let's clarify: closure ≠ closing off people! Sunbathing in Sanya and duty-free shopping in Haikou remain unobstructed, with no additional visa required🙅♂️ Your imagination can be even bigger! Hainan will not follow the old paths of Hong Kong, Singapore, and Dubai; it aims to create the world's largest and unique free trade port—closure is meant to open a larger gateway to connect with the world Direct benefits for ordinary people are coming quickly: on the first day of closure, it exploded! An Apple phone can be discounted up to 2140 yuan (duty-free price + consumption coupons)🛍️ But this is just an appetizer; what’s even more significant is that Hainan is set to challenge Singapore's dominance Hainan will challenge Singapore’s decades-long status as the "Transit King" and become a brand new super transit hub in the Asia-Pacific! The key lies in the four characters "one line is opened" Key point: After the closure, 6600 items can be imported with zero tariffs, from high-precision scientific research equipment to daily consumer goods, entering Hainan with almost no barriers! This wave of openness directly impacts the traditional transit trade pattern Hainan's closure is not just a regional upgrade, but a reshaping of the Asia-Pacific trade landscape. Do you think Hainan can surpass Singapore? #海南封关 #自由贸易港
Japan's interest rate hike doesn't need to cause panic 📈 The recent volatility in the cryptocurrency market has increased. Should we take Japan's interest rate hike anxiety seriously? Regarding Japan's interest rate hike: The adjustment after a long period of low interest rates does indeed affect the liquidity, but the fear of the unknown has amplified pessimistic expectations! The dollar interest rate is already declining, and a yen interest rate hike is not unprecedented, so there’s no need to panic excessively. Core judgment: The actual impact of interest rate hikes/cuts requires time to ferment; in the short term, emotions dominate! The biggest problem in the cryptocurrency market is not a lack of funds, but a lack of confidence—money is available, but there’s no desire to buy cryptocurrencies. Buffer advantage: The yen interest rate hike directly affects dollar-denominated assets, and cryptocurrencies offer a buffer, so there's no need to withstand the shock hard. Market situation: Recently, the volatility has been extreme, with declines mainly concentrated in altcoins! A reminder: Avoid altcoins! Mainstream coin performance: Bitcoin remains stable around 90,000, while ETH and BNB have noticeably slowed their decline, relatively resilient. Positioning strategy: Now is not the time to say the market is about to rise (both liquidity and confidence are insufficient), but when the market lacks confidence, it is precisely a good opportunity to consider building positions in long-term mainstream assets! If it declines further, there’s no fear; manage positions reasonably and keep some funds to cope with potential further corrections. #Cryptocurrency market #Impact of Japan's interest rate hike
In fact, I also find it quite strange that today is the third consecutive day and the fourth time this week that it has fallen back after hitting $90,000. It feels like $90,000 is a significant barrier that, as soon as there is a sense of upward movement, it gets smashed back down. Moreover, the rise in the U.S. stock market today is also quite good, with the Nasdaq recovering all its losses for the week. This means that the continued rise in the U.S. stock market can affect some emotions of $BTC ; if the U.S. stock market were to fall, it would be even more troublesome. Earlier, I also looked at the ETF data. Although the returns are in the red, it still ranks sixth in net fund flow for U.S. ETFs in 2025. This indicates that even though the price of Bitcoin is falling, most investors still show no signs of panic selling. Furthermore, compared to December 20, 2024, the current spot ETF holdings of BTC are still over 100,000 BTC more than at that time. Therefore, it is quite normal for funds to be net inflowing. Of course, the price is still more than $10,000 apart, which indicates that most ETF investors are not targeting hedging but indeed showing signs of accumulating positions. Looking back at the data, the turnover rate, which just decreased for two days, has risen again, which is a bit concerning. If the turnover rate does not come down, it will have a significant impact on the stability of the current price, indicating that a large number of investors are engaging in short-term trading. Next week is Christmas week, and liquidity will significantly decrease, which can help stabilize the current market for about two weeks. The current chip structure is still quite healthy, and the chips stuck at high positions have not shown much movement. This should represent the part primarily held by ETFs and indicates that the emotions of most loss-making investors are quite stable $BTC $ETH .
I published around 150 tweets in total (active output throughout the year, covering trading insights, market analysis, conference reflections, and lifestyle sharing)
The most discussed topics were trading strategies, meme opportunities, and AI applications.
The annual keyword is Alpha (from Alpha master to constantly seeking on-chain Alpha, this is my main theme 👐 )
What I like to emphasize is to stay optimistic, money never sleeps (bear markets shout death, bull markets shout top, but opportunities are always there, and new hundred-fold chances arise in despair)
The project I focused on the most this year is Aster, mentioned over 30 times (from early heavy investment to deep ecological participation, Aster is not just a trading tool, but the king of perp on the BNB chain)
The biggest highlights are three things: 1. Successfully bottomed out and heavily invested in tokens like Hype/Aster/XPL, achieving a leap in capital scale. 2. Attended multiple conferences (Dubai Binance Blockchain Week, Solana Breakpoint, Token2049, etc.), met big shots, expanded knowledge, and tasted countless Alphas on-site. 3. Persisted in sharing trading reviews and cognitive improvement essays, helping many friends “find direction” in the bear market, while I also went all in on crypto from traditional finance, completing a life transformation.
Overall, I can earn the title of “Alpha Master” this year. 💎🚀
(Although 2025 may have pullbacks and cold winters, staying at the table, getting close to strong players, and continuously evolving is the greatest victory. In 2026, keep thriving!) #加密市场观察
The most counterintuitive ETF of the year is born! Why is BlackRock's IBIT attracting 25 billion despite negative returns? Bloomberg analysts confirm: Among the top 25 inflows into U.S. stock ETFs in 2025, IBIT is the only one with negative returns (-9.59%), yet it ranks 6th in inflow size, directly surpassing the 64% return gold ETF GLD 🤯 Key signals can no longer be hidden: ✅ Institutions are voting with their feet: pension funds and sovereign funds are eager to allocate, compliant channels + BlackRock's risk control endorsement, short-term returns give way to long-term allocation needs ✅ The narrative of digital gold is heating up: 68% of institutions believe Bitcoin can enhance portfolio Sharpe ratios, with some funds shifting from traditional safe-haven assets to digital assets ✅ Bear market capital absorption = bull market potential? Currently, IBIT's AUM has surpassed 10 billion USD, with institutional holdings accounting for 24.5%, and fund resilience far exceeds market expectations Focusing on the highs and lows of returns now may cause you to miss the next wave of asset allocation 🌊 What do you think about institutions frantically grabbing negative-return Bitcoin ETFs? #机构投资新趋势 #数字资产配置
In the cryptocurrency market of 2025, the rules have really changed. In the past, retail investors would FOMO into chasing highs and panic selling, but now institutions are voting with real money, treating BTC as 'digital gold' in their allocations. The volatility has decreased, but the correlation with U.S. stocks and interest rates has become stronger. The next Alpha may not simply be in price fluctuations, but in understanding the new rules. #比特币 #Web3
US CPI unexpectedly cools, Bitcoin surges and then crashes, who got cut?\n💥 Last night, the crypto circle collectively staged a "heartbeat acceleration"! The US November CPI data unexpectedly came in at 2.7% year-on-year, far below the expected 3.1%, directly igniting market expectations for interest rate cuts. Just as the celebration ended, it was met with a "slap in the face"!\nAs soon as the data was released, FOMO sentiment in the circle instantly peaked: Bitcoin surged to $89,500 in the short term, and altcoins also followed suit to touch the $3,000 mark. Many retail investors chased the high overnight, thinking that the "altcoin season" was about to start early!\nWho would have thought that a reversal happened in the early morning! Bitcoin suddenly crashed by 5,000 points, erasing all gains from the rebound. Those chasing high altcoins directly faced a "waterfall" market, suffering losses that made them want to curse 😭. Veteran investors have long seen through this: single-month CPI data can be distorted, and such good news is just a "trap for the greedy"!\nFor beginners, key points: CPI below expectations = market bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates, liquidity becoming looser, which is originally good news for the crypto circle; however, institutions are cautiously observing, coupled with the impending interest rate decision from the Bank of Japan, funds are reluctant to blindly enter the market, instead taking profits from the good news.\n⚠️ Key reminder: The market is currently in a full-blown tug-of-war between bulls and bears, don’t be swayed by short-term fluctuations! Quickly reduce high leverage positions, beginners should avoid small-cap altcoins, beware of being "cut by leeks"! In extreme market conditions, also be wary of platforms "pulling the plug", after all, there have been past lessons learned!
Today, the cryptocurrency market is directly experiencing a "two extremes" situation! As soon as the German and British economic data was released, the entire market exploded. Newbies are panicking and thinking about cutting losses, while veteran investors are quietly HODLing. Have you caught this wave of market movement? First, let me educate the newcomers: the UK cut interest rates by 25 basis points, while the European Central Bank stood pat. This policy divergence has directly led to a "big relocation" of cross-border capital, impacting the crypto market as well—Ethereum took the lead in plummeting, dropping over 3% in 5 minutes, and many brothers who chased high on altcoins directly faced a "waterfall" market, suffering huge losses that made them question their lives. 😭 In contrast, Bitcoin remains relatively strong, fluctuating around $38,000, truly living up to its title as the "anchor" of the crypto market! But don't let your guard down; experienced players remind us to be cautious of platforms "pulling the plug" during extreme market conditions, as there have been instances before when exchanges suddenly froze trading during data fluctuations! Currently, the FOMO sentiment and panic in the circle are split in half: one part believes it’s a "buying opportunity" and is increasing their positions in mainstream coins overnight; the other part fears there might be further black swan events and decisively liquidates to hold USDT and observe. To be honest, this market movement is even more thrilling than the plot of "Binance Life", testing our mental fortitude every day!
Recently disclosed economic data from Germany and the UK is not merely a regional economic signal, but rather a "barometer" that influences global industrial chains, capital flows, and policy directions. As the two core engines of the European economy, their data performance significantly impacts the global economy through three key pathways!
🌍 1. German Data: The "Conduit" of European Economic Recession Risk As the largest economy in the Eurozone, Germany's IFO Business Climate Index, corporate bankruptcy data, and other core indicators directly reflect the fundamentals of the European economy. Latest data shows that in 2025, the number of corporate bankruptcies in Germany reached 23,900, a new high in 11 years, with the service and manufacturing sectors being the hardest hit, and 28.3% of companies admitting they cannot predict future business developments. This pessimistic sentiment is spreading through the industrial chain:
1. Global Supply Chain Shock: Germany's "hidden champions," small and medium-sized enterprises, are key suppliers of critical components in the automotive and machinery sectors. Their mass bankruptcies have led to supply shortages in the global related industrial chain. Although some automotive parts companies in China are seeing opportunities for replacement orders, export companies are facing a 40% year-on-year increase in exchange rate risks with Germany; 2. Trade Confidence Hit: U.S. tariff policies have already put pressure on German exports, with cumulative losses potentially reaching 290 billion euros from 2025 to 2028. As an important participant in global trade, Germany's weak exports will further drag down the pace of global trade recovery.
💷 2. UK Data: The "Amplifier" of Global Monetary Policy Divergence The Bank of England has recently lowered interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%, becoming the only institution among the four major European central banks to adjust rates this week, while the European Central Bank is likely to keep rates unchanged. This policy divergence is exacerbating volatility in global markets:
1. Capital Flow Restructuring: Changes in interest rate differentials between the UK and Europe, and the US and the UK, are prompting a reallocation of cross-border capital. The pound's exchange rate has experienced significant fluctuations following the rate cut, triggering reactions in G10 currencies and affecting global foreign exchange market stability; 2. Emerging Market Pressure: In the short term, some capital may flow into high-yield emerging assets due to the UK rate cut, but in the long term, uncertainties in German and UK policies may trigger a return of risk-averse capital to developed economies, raising the financing costs for emerging economies with high external debt.
The Bank of Japan announced a rate increase of 25 basis points to 0.75%, the highest level in thirty years. How did the market react? Will cryptocurrencies experience a new wave of volatility? #日本央行 #加息 #加密货币 #市场分析
Born in a mountain village in Sichuan, lost her father at the age of 9, and carried water for school during her childhood. Attended classes at the age of 4 and a half, consistently ranked first in her studies, but dropped out at 16 due to poverty, working various tough jobs such as supermarket promotions and selling bedding. Transitioning from a travel TV host to the cryptocurrency industry: joined OKCoin as a co-founder in 2014, bringing the platform to the industry TOP1; in 2017, joined Binance, accompanying the platform from its inception to becoming a global leader, now serving as co-CEO of a platform with 300 million users.
As a core ally of CZ and the "Queen of PR" in the cryptocurrency world, she skillfully balances regulatory requirements and user needs. She returned to work immediately after maternity leave, driven by her fearless determination, carving out her place in the male-dominated crypto space.
From a kerosene lamp in a mountain village to the global financial stage, He Yi's story proves: a comeback is just turning a dead end into a stepping stone upward! #何一
Crypto Market Earthquake! Japan's Interest Rate Hike Triggers Cryptocurrency Flash Crash Crypto enthusiasts urgently seek safety! Today at 11:00 Tokyo time, the Bank of Japan officially announced significant news—ending a decade of negative interest rates and raising rates by 25 basis points! Once the news broke, global markets exploded! A 2.3% drop in the Nikkei is nothing, while cryptocurrencies directly flash crashed: Bitcoin dropped 8% in 5 minutes, and Ethereum plummeted by 12%! The core reason: Japan is the last global pool of cheap capital, and after the rate hike, yen arbitrage trading collapsed! A massive sell-off of cryptocurrencies to repay debts led to a direct withdrawal of liquidity
Key reminder: Altcoins and high-leverage DeFi projects are going to suffer! Instead, stablecoins and tokenized government bonds, such as RWA projects, have become a safe haven This is not a short-term fluctuation; it's the beginning of deleveraging in the crypto space! Those holding cryptocurrencies should adjust their positions quickly to avoid liquidation!
December's major financial events are piling up! Each one concerns your wallet, take a quick look! Family! Recently, the big news has been too dense, all related to our investments and consumption, hurry up and take note 👇 🔥 Hainan Free Trade Port's island-wide closure has officially landed. The policy of 'first line open, second line controlled' is fully effective! The number of zero-tariff products is increasing, whether it's shopping from overseas or corporate investment, you can reap the benefits of the policy. Those looking to take advantage should pay close attention! 📈 Big movements in the A-share market! The brokerage giant is coming. China International Capital Corporation plans to merge with Dongxing and Xinda Securities. After the merger, the total assets will soar to trillions! Three stocks are about to resume trading, plus trillions in household savings may enter the market, the A-share market has potential, but the risk of fluctuations should also be cautioned! 🤣 The US and Europe have completely fallen out over policies towards China! The backlash came too quickly. The US is calling on the EU to jointly restrict exports of chip equipment to China, but Germany directly said 'no', and Infineon has been approved to supply chips to Chinese new energy vehicles; Dutch ASML quietly renewed its equipment maintenance contract with China, completely ignoring the US's call! The TTC meeting only produced vague statements after two days of arguments, and the proposal to restrict rare earth technology to China was opposed on the spot by France and Italy — no one wants to lose the Chinese market! 💡 A small market reminder: precious metals have skyrocketed! Silver futures hit a record high, and gold has also risen; US stocks collectively fell last night, AI stocks are under pressure; JPMorgan has raised its lithium price expectations, and there may be opportunities in the lithium mining sector!
Sleepless night! Trader A Qiang urgently reminds: two major heavyweight events are coming, and the market is about to change! Family! I just received a call from my buddy A Qiang, who has been watching the market all afternoon, skipping dinner just to wait for tonight's financial test 🤯 A Qiang has been trading for 5 years, usually as steady as a rock, but today he's anxiously rubbing his hands: “Tonight is crucial! The U.S. November CPI data and the interest rate decisions of the Bank of England and the European Central Bank are colliding, and volatility is definitely unavoidable!” I quickly asked for details, and A Qiang explained clearly: “The Federal Reserve has just cut rates three times, and now we are watching the CPI to set the direction! If core CPI rises above expectations, the dollar might rebound, and tech stocks and gold could be affected; if it falls, expectations for rate cuts will rise, and the stock market and gold are likely to strengthen!” What’s even more exciting is that the Bank of England and the European Central Bank are synchronously issuing decisions! A Qiang said his old comrade is heavily invested in the pound and is now restless: “The market is guessing that the Bank of England will cut rates, and if they suddenly do nothing, the pound might soar instantly; if the European Central Bank takes a strong stance, the euro will also have to move!” I asked A Qiang how to respond, and he sighed: “I’ve already halved my position and set all my stop losses! Last time, I impulsively chased the highs when the data came out and got stuck, staying up watching the market until 3 AM, and I was groggy at work the next day!” I sincerely advise everyone: don't operate blindly tonight! The market can be chaotic before data is released; take a clear look at the actual data and the expected differences before taking action! Newbies, don’t go in heavily, or you might easily lose sleep over losses! After hanging up, I realized that traders around the world probably won't have the heart to sleep tonight, just waiting for this wave of market movement! If you’re also watching the market and have relevant positions, be sure to pay attention to risks! Don’t follow the crowd blindly! What do you think, will tonight’s CPI lean towards rising or falling? Will the Bank of England and the European Central Bank take unexpected actions? Let's discuss in the comments! # Financial Hotspot # Rational Investment # Market Observation #交易心得
Can't sleep tonight! Trader Aqiang's urgent reminder: US CPI + UK and EU central bank decisions, the market is going to explode! Family! I just got a call from my buddy Aqiang, he has been sitting in front of the computer all afternoon, even skipped dinner, just waiting for tonight's 'financial big test' Aqiang has been trading for 5 years, usually very steady, but today he is anxiously rubbing his hands: 'Tonight is really critical! The US November CPI data, UK central bank + European Central Bank interest rate decisions are all coming together, it could be 'a night in heaven, a night in hell'!' I quickly asked him what was going on, and Aqiang explained it clearly, even beginners could understand 'You know? The Federal Reserve just cut rates three times, now we are just waiting for the CPI data to determine the direction! If the data exceeds expectations (core CPI ≥3.4%), the dollar might rebound directly, and the tech stocks and gold I hold will suffer, last time in this situation I lost nearly 20,000 in one day!' 'But if the data drops (core CPI ≤2.8%), if the expectation of rate cuts comes up, the stock market and gold might soar directly, I made money from this wave last time, enough for a new phone!' What's even more exciting is that the UK and EU central banks are synchronously issuing interest rate decisions! Aqiang said his old comrade has heavily invested in the pound, and now he can't sit still: 'The market is guessing that the Bank of England will cut rates by 25 basis points, if it suddenly doesn’t cut, the pound could soar instantly; if the European Central Bank leans hawkish, the euro will also move!' I asked Aqiang how he plans to operate now, he sighed: 'I've reduced my position by half and set my stop loss! Last time the data came out too impulsively, I chased in at a high price and got trapped, stayed up watching the market until 3 AM, and the next day at work I was still dazed.' 'I sincerely advise everyone, don't operate recklessly tonight! The market will definitely be chaotic before the data is released, wait to see how much the actual data differs from expectations before acting. Beginners, don't go heavy, or it will be easy to lose sleep over losses!' After hanging up the phone, I realized that Aqiang was right—tonight, global traders probably won’t be able to sleep, just waiting for this wave of market movement. If you are also watching the market, or have positions related to tech stocks, gold, or the dollar, you must pay attention to the risks! Don’t be impulsive.
[Tonight's Financial Events] The US November CPI data will be released tonight, and the interest rate decisions from the Bank of England and the European Central Bank will also be announced simultaneously. Investors need to be wary of market fluctuations #CPI数据 #区块链
60 days of astonishing reversal! Brazil suddenly halts tariffs on China, finally realizing who the real powerhouse is! Family! The actions of this South American giant have left everyone dumbfounded 🤯 Just two months ago, they imposed tariffs on over 200 Chinese goods, and now, just 60 days later, they urgently backtrack—announcing the cancellation of anti-dumping duties on Chinese nylon filament!
I'm not kidding, this speed of change is faster than flipping a page! Why the sudden turn? It's because they couldn't bear it any longer!
📉 The bitter fruit of increased tariffs has already been tasted by Brazil!
The home appliance market in São Paulo has gone into chaos: Gree air conditioners originally priced at 1,999 reais soared to 2,300 after tariffs! The common people can't afford it, and businesses can't sell them.
Textile factory owners are worse off: the cost of importing Chinese nylon has risen by 15%, they just raised prices by 10%, and orders have dropped by a third!
In just three weeks, national retail inventories have piled up, with a year-on-year increase of 40%! 73% of small and medium enterprises are laying off workers, trying to protect local industries, but ended up digging their own graves!
🔍 Three major pressures forced Brazil to lower its head!
1️⃣ American betrayal: Trump imposed a 50% tariff on Brazilian steel and aluminum, with $820 million worth of steel unsold in November alone; Brazil fears provoking China again, and exports of soybeans and iron ore have also cooled down.
2️⃣ Domestic backlash: Tariffs on solar components from China increased costs by 30%, halting the transition to new energy; even the union chairman is anxious: trying to protect jobs has instead pushed factories to the brink!
3️⃣ Cannot do without China: In the first three quarters of 2025, Chinese investment in Brazil reached 4.8 billion, three times that of the U.S.! 42% of Brazil's economy relies on China, and 15% of Vale's production capacity depends on China.
Now looking at our China, we are stable! Exports to Brazil from January to November 2025 increased by 18% against the trend, with new energy vehicles occupying 65% of the Brazilian market; BYD buses are even running in the Rio subway 🚇
What’s even more impressive is that the proportion of currency settlements between China and Brazil has soared from 5% to 30%, moving towards de-dollarization! Huawei is helping Brazil build smart cities, crime rates have dropped by 27%, and internet costs have decreased by 25%; who can replace this cooperation?
💡 In simple terms: in the era of globalization, no one can do without anyone! Brazil's rapid turnaround in these 60 days is a lesson for the whole world: isolation leads to no way out, cooperation is the way forward! Do you think Brazil's actions were wise or forced? #巴西对华关税反转 #全球化