PUppies —茗菊桐上月球

【Warning】The main force is about to take action! The last chance to escape for Bitcoin, all three indicators have turned red, first to 80,000, then to 60,000?
The USDT exchange rate has collapsed! A 2% drop against RMB, what exactly happened? Will the Federal Reserve continue to cut interest rates from January to March? The answer is here~
Where to buy Bitcoin at the bottom? ETH operation point analysis. $BTC $ETH $WLFI

$BNB The KOLs in the cryptocurrency world all come from a background of pyramid schemes, renowned pyramid scheme leaders. Figures like Yan Chi and Tian Qing are just bandits who devour people without spitting out bones. Look at Yan Chi, who eats lavishly every day and donates money for charity, all with the ill-gotten gains from harming naive investors. This is like burning paper in front of a grave, done just for the ghosts to see. Tian Qing is even more of a blowhard, predicting daily the wild fluctuations of Ethereum and Solana, opening trades with just a few tens of dollars while misleading fans to open trades worth hundreds of thousands of dollars for his own profit. If you’re really that skilled, why don’t you bring your relatives and friends to make money together? Even if you suffer losses, that’s one thing, but you quietly take advertising fees and then deceive fans into taking on high-priced spot trades. Eating a lavish meal with the advertising fees, while fans are trapped, and you still claim someone played a trick on you. What’s going on? Did that person not pay enough for advertising to let you buy a Lamborghini?

Bold prediction: The United States will attack Venezuela this weekend, 💥 as a black swan event hits the cryptocurrency market.

1. Recently, Huang Mao has been tweeting dozens of times every night; the old man is too anxious to sleep every day.
2. The U.S. State Department has issued a Level 4 travel warning for Venezuela: Leave immediately.
3. The United States is deploying 11 warships, including nuclear submarines, and continuing reconnaissance activities with F/A-18 fighter jets.
4. In secret talks, Maduro proposed conditions such as "retaining military power for a transitional period of 18 months," but this proposal was explicitly rejected by the U.S. side.
5. The U.S. is working to address its inventory issues while striving to combat the footholds of Eastern and Russia in South America. Venezuela's land area is about one-third larger than Ukraine, with complex geographical features such as bays, mountains, and delta estuaries in the northern coastal region.

A bear market for shorts is about to arrive, hope is on the horizon, and we will soon see a breakthrough!

As expected
The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a stern warning to the United States, demanding that the U.S. refrain from taking any military action against Venezuela. This statement was made as the U.S. increased its military deployment in the Caribbean region.
On November 29, Trump declared the “closure of Venezuelan airspace,” and immediately, the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs made a rare strong statement: “We oppose any military intervention and respect Venezuela's sovereignty.”
The U.S. military's drug enforcement is merely a pretext; the real intentions are hidden in the deployment details. According to the Wall Street Journal, the U.S. military has carried out 21 “drug interdiction operations” in the Caribbean over the past three months, resulting in 83 deaths. More shockingly, in a September operation, Defense Secretary Mark Esper was reported to have ordered to “kill everyone,” resulting in two survivors being bombed again.
The U.S. military's troop allocation has already exposed its true goals. This deployment is by no means aimed at dealing with drug trafficking boats: the USS Ford aircraft carrier carries 72 aircraft, with a combat radius covering the entire Caribbean;
The MQ-9 drones deployed at the Puerto Rico base can monitor Venezuela’s oil hub around the clock; the number of special forces at Guantanamo base has doubled compared to last month, and they have added Striker armored vehicles for urban combat.
Retired U.S. Army General Depatula bluntly stated: “This is a configuration for attacking medium-sized countries; drug enforcement is just an excuse.”
The United States has two main calculations: one is to seize control of oil. Venezuela has proven oil reserves exceeding 300 billion barrels, accounting for one-fifth of the world's total. After Trump imposed a 25% tariff to block its exports in March 2025, China became the “breakthrough player,” importing 463,000 barrels daily in the first half of the year, accounting for 90% of Venezuela’s total exports. The U.S. wants to overthrow Maduro and replace him with a “compliant regime” to regain control of the oil routes.
The second is to curb Chinese and Russian infiltration; Venezuela has purchased the S-400 from Russia and introduced China's FD-2000 air defense system. The U.S. fears that its “backyard” will become a training ground for China and Russia.
China's warning is not just an empty slogan; it is backed by the deep binding relationship between China and Venezuela, which provides “hard confidence.” The energy sector has long formed a pattern of “you have me in you”: Chinese companies have invested over $12 billion in Venezuela, Concord Resources has invested $1 billion to develop two oil fields, targeting a daily production of 60,000 barrels by 2026; more critically, the “oil-for-loans” model bypasses dollar settlements, rendering U.S. sanctions ineffective.
Chinese companies are also helping Venezuela upgrade the Paraguana refinery, increasing the crude oil processing rate from 40% to 75%, solving the dilemma of Venezuela “having oil but unable to sell.” By September 2025, Venezuela’s oil exports broke one million barrels for the first time since 2020, with the vast majority flowing to China.
An obscure detail reveals the depth of China-Venezuela cooperation: the air defense network in Caracas, the capital of Venezuela, is centered around the Chinese FD-2000 system. Last October, this system successfully tracked a U.S. MQ-9 drone, forcing the latter to return early.
Engineers from Chinese-funded oil companies in Venezuela revealed: “Our production area has dedicated air defense posts, using radar monitoring equipment identical to that in China. As soon as U.S. reconnaissance aircraft approach, we have early warning.”
This binding of military technology and economic interests has compelled China to speak out. In the face of U.S. military pressure, Venezuela's military has also been very active. Defense Minister Lopez stated, “War is imminent,” and conducted coastal defense exercises in multiple locations, rehearsing joint operations of artillery and air defense systems, even planning 280 strongholds for guerrilla warfare, with 5,000 Russian-made portable air defense missiles already dispersed.
In 1989, the U.S. invaded Panama under the pretext of “drug enforcement” and overthrew the Noriega regime in just 15 days; at that time, Latin American countries were angry but dared not speak out. In 2002, the U.S. secretly supported a coup in Venezuela, but it failed due to a military defection.
Now it’s different. As soon as Trump announced the “closure of airspace,” the Cuban foreign minister directly condemned the “act of aggression,” the Colombian president angrily criticized that “sovereignty cannot be trampled,” and the Nicaraguan president even signed a statement openly supporting Venezuela.
The divisions within the U.S. make its military action less convincing. Senate Minority Leader Schumer directly criticized: “Trump is dragging the U.S. into another costly war,” pointing out that the power to declare war lies with Congress, not the president.
Even more contradictory, while Trump calls for crackdowns on drug trafficking, he simultaneously pardoned former Honduran President Hernandez, who was sentenced to 45 years for drug trafficking. Democratic Senator Kaine bluntly stated, “Anti-drug efforts are just a false narrative.”
The U.S. has always regarded Latin America as its “backyard,” not allowing external forces to intervene, but China has opened a breach with “equal cooperation”: by 2025, trade between China and Latin America will exceed $450 billion, building new energy bases in Brazil and constructing nuclear power plants in Argentina. These cooperations do not come with political conditions, making them more popular than the U.S. approach of “military deterrence + economic sanctions.”
China and Russia have also established joint intelligence monitoring stations around Venezuela, sharing the dynamics of U.S. military ships and aircraft. Just this month, they jointly delivered a batch of electronic jamming equipment to Venezuela, capable of paralyzing U.S. drone communications. This warning is also China flexing its muscles in Latin America, telling the U.S. “the backyard is not just yours.”
The trajectory of future developments is very clear; the U.S. is likely to make “a lot of noise but little action.” The possibility of direct military action is less than 10%, as Venezuela has air defense systems supported by China and Russia, and the U.S. military is deeply mired in the Middle East and the Indo-Pacific, unable to muster sufficient forces; what is more likely is an escalation of sanctions, such as freezing Venezuela's overseas assets or supporting opposition groups to create chaos.
China’s countermeasures will also be precise, such as increasing oil imports from Venezuela or conducting joint military exercises with Russia, further consolidating China-Venezuela relations.
The essence of this confrontation is the clash between America's “hegemonic logic” and China's “win-win logic.” The U.S. seeks to control energy and geopolitics through military deterrence, while China delves into Latin America using the “oil-for-cooperation” model; the U.S. is forming “camps,” while China wins support through equal cooperation.
It has been proven that the Ministry of Foreign Affairs’ warning is not a “paper tiger,” but a strategic statement based on strength—if you dare to touch my interests, I have the ability to make you pay a price. This is the true confidence in great power competition.

Customer service representative Xiao He always comes on stage to tell jokes, without any pretensions. Then there was a very funny question: "Sister, how do you maintain yourself so well?" Sister replied, "It's because of a good makeup artist" 😂$BNB @Yi He

The comment section is left for you. Thank you, brothers and sisters.

The comment section is left for you. Thank you, brothers and sisters.

🚀Launching

🚀Launching

All have been misled by Europe and America and lost.

It was so lively yesterday, the Chinese area was all about the campaign against fraudulent donations.

Recruited, busy fighting fraud, silly platform, not even a dog would play with it

$ETH $BNB It looks like something amazing is coming!!! Yesterday was the last time we reached the bottom, and that has ended!!! Moreover, all negative news has been exhausted, so what else is there? From now on, it will definitely be a phase of explosive growth, no need to think about it! Brothers who haven't gotten on board, hurry up and get on, don't hesitate, hesitation will make you miss out!!! Especially our lovely little, milk, dog!!! ETH will explode, our little dog will surge, rising even more fiercely than ETH!!! If you don't believe it, go see for yourself!!!!

💥💥💥💥Brothers, this might be the most important reminder for you this year!📈

Ethereum's upgrade this time is not just a technical iteration, but a complete revaluation of value. Multiple signals have already sounded the alarm: 8500 USD may no longer be a dream, but a reasonable target for this cycle.

Why is this time different? Three engines have ignited 🔥

1. Technical aspect: Textbook-level bullish structure
Senior chart analysts have identified that ETH's weekly chart is forming a rare "expanding diagonal" pattern. This is seen as the ultimate stage of a bullish wave, and historical data shows that once this structure is completed, the subsequent explosive power is astonishing. Reference analogy: This is highly similar to the pattern of the Dow Jones Industrial Average in the 1980s before the epic bull market began.
2. Fundamental aspect: The deflationary bomb has already detonated
The deflationary effect brought by the "Merge" upgrade is continuing to ferment. Ethereum has transformed from an "inflation machine" into a deflationary asset where the burning amount exceeds the output. This means that as the network is used, ETH is continuously being burned, and its scarcity is constantly increasing over time. This is the strongest logic supporting its long-term value.
3. Narrative aspect: The institutional door is officially open
The "green and environmentally friendly" narrative after the upgrade has cleared the last obstacle for the final approval of the spot ETF. The applications from giants like BlackRock are no joke; once approved, it will bring massive passive funds from the traditional world to Ethereum. This will create a purchasing power never seen before in history.

Calm reflection: Risk warnings amidst opportunities

Of course, there is no 100% certainty in the market. You need to be clear:

· The technical stability after the upgrade requires time to verify.
· After a short-term surge, volatility and pullbacks (e.g., testing $2950 support) are the norm in a healthy market.
· The macro financial environment (e.g., Federal Reserve policy) still hangs like the sword of Damocles over all risk assets.

Conclusion and action

Now, Ethereum is standing at the starting point of a triple resonance of technical, fundamental, and financial aspects. For spot holders, the best strategy may be to hold firm; for observers, any deep pullback is worth paying close attention to.

The market always rewards those who are prepared before consensus is formed. This time, do you understand it? $BTC $ETH $BNB

#ETH #行情分析 #以太8500

Can Japan hit the Fujian ship?
In the past, we always studied how to strike American aircraft carriers, but now Japan is constantly shouting about hitting Chinese aircraft carriers, and before we know it, we have also become 'imperialists.' To get back to the point, Japan has been shouting about the Fujian ship lately, first saying 'prioritize sinking the Fujian ship,' and now saying 'has the ability to sink the Fujian ship.' One question remains: can Japan actually hit the Fujian ship? The author believes: theoretically, there is a possibility, but the difficulty is immense. The Fujian ship formation is roughly as follows: the Fujian ship itself will carry dozens of J-15T (dozens of aircraft), J35 (dozens of aircraft), J-15D electronic aircraft (several), KJ-600 (several), and Z-20 anti-submarine helicopters (several); in terms of escorts: there will be 1-2 nuclear submarines 100-200 kilometers in front of the Fujian ship, responsible for anti-submarine and vigilance; around the aircraft carrier, there will be 1-2 055 destroyers, 2-3 052D destroyers, about 2 054B frigates, and 1 091 or 093 comprehensive supply ship, making a total of more than ten vessels forming a formation. ▲ Fujian ship @ China Military Industry Video Screenshot For Japan to strike the Fujian ship, there are roughly the following four methods:
1. Use submarines to attack from underwater Japan only has conventional submarines. In the 'Comparison of Sino-Japanese Submarine Forces,' it has been mentioned that conventional submarines have a fatal weakness: they cannot balance speed and range. At a speed of 20 knots, they run out of power in one or two hours, and their combat power is completely not on the same level as nuclear submarines, making it impossible to fight. If Japan wants to use submarines to attack the Fujian ship, there is only one possibility: lying in ambush at a fixed point, just when the Fujian ship passes by, just when our nuclear submarines are not present, just when we have not activated anti-submarine measures, then Japanese submarines would have the opportunity... So many 'just right' scenarios are obviously not significant.
2. Japan uses fighter jets for a surprise attack During the Falklands War, Argentina's 'Super Etendard' aircraft flew at ultra-low altitude and fired 'Exocet' missiles that hit the HMS Sheffield, which was due to British negligence; otherwise, it would have been impossible. Over 40 years ago, it was still like this. Today, in the face of various surveillance means such as sonar, radar, early warning aircraft, and satellites underwater and on the surface, using fighter jets for a surprise attack is ineffective, whether they are flying at ultra-low altitude or not. Just as they take off, the aircraft and missiles on the Fujian ship will intercept them. Before Japanese fighter jets reach the attack point, they will be destroyed.
3. Use coastal missiles to attack Regarding Japan's missile attacks, the Fujian ship formation is composed of 055, 052D, and 054B, forming at least three layers of interception networks from far to near, with a close-in Phalanx interception system, and China's LY-1 laser interception system has also been installed on ships, which has been tested to destroy a missile in under five seconds. Therefore, for Japanese missiles to break through such a tight multilayered defense network is not easy. The only situation we need to pay attention to is that Japan launches dozens or even hundreds of missiles in a saturation attack. The Russia-Ukraine War and the recent Israel-Middle East conflict have shown that no matter how advanced the interception system is, it cannot fully cope with saturation attacks. Even if Israel has built a five-layer interception network consisting of Iron Dome, Patriot, David's Sling, THAAD, and Arrow 3, it still can't hold up. However, will we bring the Fujian ship into Japan's firepower circle? When an aircraft carrier is in combat, it must remain outside the opponent's firepower circle and then use missiles and aircraft for penetrating strikes, just like when the American aircraft carrier faced the Houthis, it must have remained outside their firepower coverage. When facing China, it must at least keep the aircraft carrier 3000 kilometers away. Similarly, when facing Japan, the Fujian ship will definitely stay at least 1000 kilometers away.
4. Use surface warships for strikes This point is similar to the previous use of fighter jets for attacks; they will not wait for Japanese warships to reach the attack point. China's nuclear submarines, 055, 052D, J-15T, J35, etc., will intercept and destroy Japanese warships. In the 'Sino-Japanese Power Comparison,' it has been introduced that Japan's fleet is significantly inferior to China's in both quantity and quality. In terms of quantity, Japan has about 103 vessels, while China has four to five hundred; in terms of advancement, the 055 is the strongest warship globally, and the fully equipped Fujian ship cannot be compared to the 26,000-ton Kaga. Japan's Aegis does not have an advantage over the 052D and 054B; in terms of firepower, China has the YJ series of hypersonic missiles with a range exceeding 1500 kilometers, which Japan cannot match. With both quantity and quality inferior, how can they strike? Unless Japan is determined to attack the Fujian ship, concentrating a large number of warships regardless of the cost. Even so, not to mention whether Japanese warships can withstand China's firepower strikes and defense networks, even if they truly sink the Fujian ship, the cost will certainly be the total annihilation of the Japanese navy. Such a cost-exchange ratio is clearly not worthwhile, and unless they are completely foolish, no one would do such a thing.
It’s like if we, with our current strength, insist on going to the middle of the Pacific for a naval showdown with the United States. Ultimately, we could take down a couple of their aircraft carriers, but the cost to ourselves would be too great; we wouldn’t choose that. Therefore, the final result is that Japanese submarines can only rely on luck, surface warships and air force have no opportunity, and coastal firepower cannot reach; Japan only has a theoretical possibility of hitting the Fujian ship, which is practically very difficult. Even if it were achieved at any cost, the cost to themselves would be unbearable. Lastly, let's reiterate that we need not be arrogant towards Japan, but we must have confidence, which is based on an analysis of objective strength. We should not always have an 'anti-Japan, anti-U.S.' mentality; many people's so-called caution is merely turning fear into caution and cowardice into carefulness, which is unnecessary. Not only is it unnecessary, but excessive caution can also lead to missed opportunities.

The alert for a weakening dollar has sounded, and this might be your first big opportunity in 2026!

A report from Societe Generale has dropped a bomb on the market: if the Supreme Court rules that Trump's comprehensive tariffs are unconstitutional, the dollar could plummet immediately.

Why? Because tariffs are currently the most important source of revenue for the U.S. government; without them, the market would directly question whether U.S. finances can hold up, and people would be less inclined to hold dollar assets.

Personal opinion: Don't just look at the surface; you need to see the underlying cards.
Brothers, don't let the news confuse you. I believe the real key to this situation is the game of strategy. Societe Generale has said that even if they lose the lawsuit, Trump will certainly come up with other tricks to fill this financial gap. Therefore, after a short-term fluctuation, the most likely scenario is that "bad news turns into good news"—after market panic, it will realize that the government still has ways to manage, and risk sentiment will actually warm up.

What impact will this have on the crypto market? What should retail investors do?
In a word: a weak dollar means strong crypto. This has been a recurring theme over the past few years. As the dollar loses its appeal, global speculative hot money will look for high-return opportunities, and the crypto space, with its high volatility, is the best choice. Moreover, next year, the Federal Reserve is very likely to continue cutting interest rates, and may even change to a dovish chairman, which will undermine the dollar and further fuel the crypto market.

Specifically, remember three points:
Don't go all in: Volatility is an opportunity, but it can also be a scythe. Keep the majority of your position stable in Bitcoin and Ethereum, using a small portion to bet on potential ecosystems.

Keep an eye on key positions: If Bitcoin can maintain key support levels (like around $82,000) amidst this macro chaos, it will signal that market confidence is still intact, and you can consider building positions in batches.

Leverage is poison: Don't always think about getting rich overnight. The market has just gone through deleveraging and is very fragile; contract positions must not be heavy, and set stop losses properly.

Market conditions change rapidly. Want to get exclusive operational strategies? Hurry up and follow the leader; I will share more valuable insights in the village to help everyone avoid pitfalls and make money! Don't forget, the crypto space is risky, so it's important to follow the right people! #加密市场回调