From now on, before making any trades, especially in the morning, I will post an intraday trend analysis for the assets we're targeting, usually BTC, ETH, and SOL.
The trading direction and analysis for the day will primarily follow this note, and the trend must remain consistent unless I explicitly indicate a direction change.
If there's a violation, I'll be sending out red envelopes for each infraction!
Taking Binance Square as an example, let’s think about: What strategic value does a content community have for a platform?
For an exchange, its product form is essentially a trading tool. At the peak of the domestic Internet era, someone once said: "A good product should be used and then gone." However, when a platform has gone through the initial growth period of high expansion, especially when the industry is currently in the stage of transitioning from high growth to stock, good products should not be used and then gone. So what strategic value does the Binance Square product have for Binance? 🗝️Article title 1. Discuss the rationality of Binance Square 2. Why is this a product moat that is difficult to replicate?
Walmart’s free cash flow falls 20%—where does the $10.9 billion in the second half come from?
When a company’s profit grows, its free cash flow declines. At the same time, management makes a big promise that free cash flow in the second half will grow at a double-digit rate. Why? If we focus only on core business, the earnings report Walmart released this time looks quite good in both revenue and profit: Total net revenue in the second quarter reached $187.9 billion, up 5.9% year over year; adjusted operating profit increased 17.4% year over year, and adjusted earnings per share reached $0.81, up 19.1%; The company also raised its full-year guidance for sales, operating profit, and earnings per share. But I think the cash-flow changes in this earnings report are worth discussing. When you look at them, they are difficult to achieve. Here, we need to report two figures:
Thank you for this friend’s recognition. Pointing things out is not something I can claim—I just want to share my perspective.
1. First, we need to fix a timeframe. This is the most, most, most important thing. If you don’t know which timeframe to use, you can ask yourself: what kind of trading frequency do you expect?
For example, if I’m doing intraday delivery, I won’t go back to look at the 4H and daily (D1) charts.
But if you usually like holding positions for two or three days, then I’d recommend using the daily or 4H chart to judge the trend, and then using the 1-hour or 30-minute timeframe to decide where the entry has the better risk-reward ratio.
2. Trading is more about refining the way to respond than just getting this one right and the next one right. We can’t assume that whatever we do is automatically correct—we have to accept the fact that we can be wrong.
But the question is: if we’re wrong, how do we deal with it?
3. Finally, one last line to offer: trade along the larger timeframe, and enter against the smaller timeframe.
300起步
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A feeling in the late night—if any big-shot would be willing to give me guidance, I’d be very grateful. In my trading system, right now BTC (big biscuit) is in a bearish trend. The daily chart has never really picked up volume. This morning I shared a wish for a W-bottom; after carefully reviewing it, I found that when you combine volume and price, it doesn’t really fit—only the shape looks similar. Around 64,000 I closed my long position and flipped to open 🈳. The resistance overhead is at 64,450. This is clearly the place where I should have opened a short. But as I watched the price on the screen gradually stretch upward and the trading volume increase step by step, I felt dazed. I was confused. In the back of my mind, it was as if there was a voice telling me, “The short you opened at 64,000 was the wrong choice.” At this moment, I’m陷入 deep self-doubt. I hope some seasoned expert can help me find my way. #btc #trading psychology
Three hundred points isn’t much, but it’s still enough.
Eric SJ
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If you’re worried that $BTC won’t reach 6w4, you can also enter short at the current price. But you need to split the position you originally planned into several smaller lots. If it rises, add
In the end, the average cost will be around 64,000. This way, you won’t miss the move
If you’re worried that $BTC won’t reach 6w4, you can also enter short at the current price. But you need to split the position you originally planned into several smaller lots. If it rises, add
In the end, the average cost will be around 64,000. This way, you won’t miss the move
Eric SJ
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$BTC has already reached the initial resistance. This trade is incredibly smooth within the day.
You can take profit first, if that’s how you feel (stop fixing it in a sense).
Next, you can consider placing a short order around 64000.
$BTC has already reached the initial resistance. This trade is incredibly smooth within the day.
You can take profit first, if that’s how you feel (stop fixing it in a sense).
Next, you can consider placing a short order around 64000.
Eric SJ
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Bullish
How resistance levels are determined $BTC
On the 4H chart, I drew a Fibonacci retracement; around 63,700 is the 0.382 resistance level.
After a weekend, the market consolidated and moved out of the downward trend. Next, we need to decide the direction again, but for now, we should watch for a rebound to confirm the trend.
On the 4H chart, I drew a Fibonacci retracement; around 63,700 is the 0.382 resistance level.
After a weekend, the market consolidated and moved out of the downward trend. Next, we need to decide the direction again, but for now, we should watch for a rebound to confirm the trend.
Eric SJ
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Bullish
A new week
Dabing $BTC is starting to push toward the 63,000 integer level. All weekend has been consolidating around this area, and a new structure has already been formed.
Based on the chart indicators, all intraday cycles are currently at low levels.
I think this move can break through; the resistance level is around 63,600–63,700.
Dabing $BTC is starting to push toward the 63,000 integer level. All weekend has been consolidating around this area, and a new structure has already been formed.
Based on the chart indicators, all intraday cycles are currently at low levels.
I think this move can break through; the resistance level is around 63,600–63,700.
However, there are still about 8 billion people in the world who do not have Bitcoin. The group holding $BTC accounts for only about 4.4% of the total population.
According to AI estimates, the number of people who hold gold is about 18%—30% of the total population.
Therefore:
The number of gold holders is approximately 4.1—6.8 times that of Bitcoin holders, and the market value is about 24.4 times that of BTC.
Holding the best hand of RWA—why can’t it still make money?
“$5 billion on-chain—where did the profits go?” Securitize As the first publicly listed company dedicated specifically to tokenization business in the crypto industry, it disclosed early this morning its first quarterly financial report after going public. According to the financial report data, the on-chain asset volume issued through its platform has already nearly reached $5 billion, but quarterly revenue fell from $19.48 million in Q1 to $14.44 million, a quarter-over-quarter decline of about 26%. In Q2, the company’s adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) also swung from a profit of $830,000 to a loss of $5.46 million. Adjusted EBITDA—one simple way to understand it—is: after temporarily excluding interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, and some one-off expenses, roughly how much money the company’s core business made.
When you reach the resistance level and then wait for emptiness at intermediate positions, the risk-reward ratio on intraday trades looks really bad, and there’s no certainty either.
$BTC —if aiming downward conservatively, it can still be a good 500 points.
赢在裆下
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The market move is getting a bit intense—are you still selling short? If it breaks through your underwear...
I highly recommend everyone to pay attention to Cloudflare ($NET.US ). This company’s market value is currently in the trillions.
I only realized how potentially amazing this company could be after I recently built my own website.
If you’re like me right now—where you hardly ever proactively open a specific website, and instead just let AI fetch things for you—then you’ll understand what I’m about to say.
Because Cloudflare has embedded one of its business scenarios into the middle layer between AI and websites.
➠ In the past: I have a need → open a website → the website returns data
➠ Now it’s becoming: I have a need → ask the AI → the AI accesses the website/API → scrapes and organizes the data → returns it to me
What it’s doing isn’t actually creating an entirely new business. I took the time to break it down over the past few days, and I found that almost all of its product launches are built around this propagation path:
➠ customers → Cloudflare → origin server/app ← Cloudflare ← requests from external users or Agents
Even the future business logic is the same—you could say it’s evolving from “carrying the internet” to “carrying the internet empowered by AI.”
As of 2026 Q2, about 23% of websites worldwide already use Cloudflare as a reverse proxy (Figure 1).
That means Cloudflare already sits at the request entry point for a sizable portion of websites.
And from the data of the past seven quarters, it has already validated the growth potential of the original business cycle in advance (Figure 2):
➠ quarterly revenue increased from $460 million to $696 million;
➠ year-over-year growth rate rose from 27% to 36%.
➠ DBNR recovered from 111% to 120%.
➠ the number of enterprise customers with annual revenue exceeding $100k increased from 3,497 to 4,698.
This original business was honestly not that “sexy.” It was more like an old story.
The new story (the link where AI requests access to websites) is what I personally feel has the biggest room for growth.
Because one person can’t, at the same time, continuously open a dozen websites and repeatedly call dozens of APIs, all day long, executing tasks. But that’s exactly the kind of behavior that AI can do—and does.
According to Cloudflare’s own network observation metrics, non-human traffic has exceeded 50% for the first time.
Not all of it is AI Agents—there are also traditional scrapers, automation tools, and malicious bots—but the direction is already very clear: machines are becoming an important visitor to the internet.
Eric SJ
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I Built a Website, and That’s How I Finally Understand Cloudflare Worth Over a Trillion Dollars
Cloudflare is already worth over a trillion dollars, but it’s not a stock that people often bring up in the market. What brought this company to my attention wasn’t that it surged over 20% in the past month, nor was it that any figure in its recent earnings report stood out.
Instead, it was when I was building my website a while back—right from building and running to the GEO design—that I almost never left Cloudflare as my platform.
That’s when I first gained a fairly complete understanding of what Cloudflare is actually doing. After learning about it during this period, I believe its business and future market space will be thoroughly reshaped with the boost of AI.
I Built a Website, and That’s How I Finally Understand Cloudflare Worth Over a Trillion Dollars
Cloudflare is already worth over a trillion dollars, but it’s not a stock that people often bring up in the market. What brought this company to my attention wasn’t that it surged over 20% in the past month, nor was it that any figure in its recent earnings report stood out. Instead, it was when I was building my website a while back—right from building and running to the GEO design—that I almost never left Cloudflare as my platform. That’s when I first gained a fairly complete understanding of what Cloudflare is actually doing. After learning about it during this period, I believe its business and future market space will be thoroughly reshaped with the boost of AI.
NETUS+4.07%
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