Rex的投研手记
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Rex的投研手记
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从 0 开始的加密投研记录：热点怎么读、数据怎么看、逻辑怎么证伪。每天更新，不卖课不喊单，观点仅供参考
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A quick thought: I have a habit when holding tokens—I check the unlock calendar first. For example, $ZORA has 3.73% of its circulating supply unlocking on October 30 (in 3 days), worth about $1.02 million.
That’s not a huge percentage, so I usually don’t change my plans because of it, but I do keep an eye on the activity of related addresses.
Feel free to share a different take in the comments.
#ZORA
A quick thought: I have a habit when holding tokens—I check the unlock calendar first. For example, $ZORA has 3.73% of its circulating supply unlocking on October 30 (in 3 days), worth about $1.02 million.
That’s not a huge percentage, so I usually don’t change my plans because of it, but I do keep an eye on the activity of related addresses.
Feel free to share a different take in the comments.
#ZORA
That’s not a huge percentage, so I usually don’t change my plans because of it, but I do keep an eye on the activity of related addresses.
Feel free to share a different take in the comments.
#ZORA
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$DOOD 5 minutes -2.38%.
The elevator is descending. Please hold the handrail and do not lean against the doors. The price has fallen for a while in the short term, leaving more investors holding losing positions. There will also be plenty of sell orders from people looking to break even on the rebound.
#DOOD
$DOOD 5 minutes -2.38%.
The elevator is descending. Please hold the handrail and do not lean against the doors. The price has fallen for a while in the short term, leaving more investors holding losing positions. There will also be plenty of sell orders from people looking to break even on the rebound.
#DOOD
The elevator is descending. Please hold the handrail and do not lean against the doors. The price has fallen for a while in the short term, leaving more investors holding losing positions. There will also be plenty of sell orders from people looking to break even on the rebound.
#DOOD
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Let's review this news:
① What happened: BitChat topped the SNS rankings on the French Apple App Store and supports Bitcoin payments.
② Why it matters: The news itself is neutral and mostly provides background, but it could affect expectations going forward.
③ What I'll watch: Whether the price can hold above its pre-news level, and how the market reacted when similar things happened in the past.
④ How to respond: Stick to the original plan and wait for a clearer signal.
Looking at it another way, $BTC is currently at 80055.95, up 0.53% over 24 hours, with an intraday range of 79368.67–80844.7.
Which way do you think it will go? Share your thoughts in the comments.
#BTC
Let's review this news:
① What happened: BitChat topped the SNS rankings on the French Apple App Store and supports Bitcoin payments.
② Why it matters: The news itself is neutral and mostly provides background, but it could affect expectations going forward.
③ What I'll watch: Whether the price can hold above its pre-news level, and how the market reacted when similar things happened in the past.
④ How to respond: Stick to the original plan and wait for a clearer signal.
Looking at it another way, $BTC is currently at 80055.95, up 0.53% over 24 hours, with an intraday range of 79368.67–80844.7.
Which way do you think it will go? Share your thoughts in the comments.
#BTC
① What happened: BitChat topped the SNS rankings on the French Apple App Store and supports Bitcoin payments.
② Why it matters: The news itself is neutral and mostly provides background, but it could affect expectations going forward.
③ What I'll watch: Whether the price can hold above its pre-news level, and how the market reacted when similar things happened in the past.
④ How to respond: Stick to the original plan and wait for a clearer signal.
Looking at it another way, $BTC is currently at 80055.95, up 0.53% over 24 hours, with an intraday range of 79368.67–80844.7.
Which way do you think it will go? Share your thoughts in the comments.
#BTC
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When the unlock calendar says “X hundred million tokens unlock next week,” which numbers should you look at first?
The impact of unlocking $100 million worth of tokens is obviously not on the same scale for a coin with a circulating market cap of $500 million as for one with a circulating market cap of $50 billion.
A one-time unlock and a linear release spread out day by day affect the circulating supply differently: the former happens at a single point in time, while the latter is distributed across each day.
At first, I thought knowing how to read candlestick charts was enough. Later, I realized that understanding the rules comes first.
Understanding the rules helps you make clearer decisions; it’s not about predicting the market.
$ARB 0.1675（-0.24%）
#ARB
When the unlock calendar says “X hundred million tokens unlock next week,” which numbers should you look at first?
The impact of unlocking $100 million worth of tokens is obviously not on the same scale for a coin with a circulating market cap of $500 million as for one with a circulating market cap of $50 billion.
A one-time unlock and a linear release spread out day by day affect the circulating supply differently: the former happens at a single point in time, while the latter is distributed across each day.
At first, I thought knowing how to read candlestick charts was enough. Later, I realized that understanding the rules comes first.
Understanding the rules helps you make clearer decisions; it’s not about predicting the market.
$ARB 0.1675（-0.24%）
#ARB
The impact of unlocking $100 million worth of tokens is obviously not on the same scale for a coin with a circulating market cap of $500 million as for one with a circulating market cap of $50 billion.
A one-time unlock and a linear release spread out day by day affect the circulating supply differently: the former happens at a single point in time, while the latter is distributed across each day.
At first, I thought knowing how to read candlestick charts was enough. Later, I realized that understanding the rules comes first.
Understanding the rules helps you make clearer decisions; it’s not about predicting the market.
$ARB 0.1675（-0.24%）
#ARB
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Article
What are digital signatures? How does the blockchain confirm that a transaction was sent by you?I came across this point while reviewing, so I thought I’d share it.
Bank transfers rely on account credentials and the bank’s verification. On a blockchain, there’s no institution to verify your identity—the network recognizes only one thing: a digital signature. Understand that, and you’ll also understand why private keys are so important.
When you send $BTC , your wallet signs the transaction with your private key, and nodes across the network verify the signature using the public key. Currently: 80,220.01 (24h +0.19%).
■ A pair of keys
Digital signatures use a pair of keys: the private key generates the signature, and the public key verifies it. The private key is a randomly generated large number, and the public key is calculated from the private key using elliptic curve operations. Bitcoin and Ethereum both use the secp256k1 curve.
What are digital signatures? How does the blockchain confirm that a transaction was sent by you?
I came across this point while reviewing, so I thought I’d share it.
Bank transfers rely on account credentials and the bank’s verification. On a blockchain, there’s no institution to verify your identity—the network recognizes only one thing: a digital signature. Understand that, and you’ll also understand why private keys are so important.
When you send $BTC , your wallet signs the transaction with your private key, and nodes across the network verify the signature using the public key. Currently: 80,220.01 (24h +0.19%).
■ A pair of keys
Digital signatures use a pair of keys: the private key generates the signature, and the public key verifies it. The private key is a randomly generated large number, and the public key is calculated from the private key using elliptic curve operations. Bitcoin and Ethereum both use the secp256k1 curve.
Bank transfers rely on account credentials and the bank’s verification. On a blockchain, there’s no institution to verify your identity—the network recognizes only one thing: a digital signature. Understand that, and you’ll also understand why private keys are so important.
When you send $BTC , your wallet signs the transaction with your private key, and nodes across the network verify the signature using the public key. Currently: 80,220.01 (24h +0.19%).
■ A pair of keys
Digital signatures use a pair of keys: the private key generates the signature, and the public key verifies it. The private key is a randomly generated large number, and the public key is calculated from the private key using elliptic curve operations. Bitcoin and Ethereum both use the secp256k1 curve.
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🔢 $DOOD 1 hours +32.16%｜24h +57.86%
Latest price 0.00227, 24h trading volume: $98.71 million
At this pace, either buyers are aggressively snapping up tokens, or short sellers are being forced to stop out.
#DOOD
🔢 $DOOD 1 hours +32.16%｜24h +57.86%
Latest price 0.00227, 24h trading volume: $98.71 million
At this pace, either buyers are aggressively snapping up tokens, or short sellers are being forced to stop out.
#DOOD
Latest price 0.00227, 24h trading volume: $98.71 million
At this pace, either buyers are aggressively snapping up tokens, or short sellers are being forced to stop out.
#DOOD
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Pay attention to fund tracking 👀
A quick surge of 5.24% within $JCT minutes, current price 0.006313.
However, over 24h it is still -9.27%; it is likely a oversold rebound, and sustainability depends on trading volume.
Whether the volume can be sustained will determine how far this wave can go. Let’s keep an eye on it together.
#JCT
Pay attention to fund tracking 👀
A quick surge of 5.24% within $JCT minutes, current price 0.006313.
However, over 24h it is still -9.27%; it is likely a oversold rebound, and sustainability depends on trading volume.
Whether the volume can be sustained will determine how far this wave can go. Let’s keep an eye on it together.
#JCT
A quick surge of 5.24% within $JCT minutes, current price 0.006313.
However, over 24h it is still -9.27%; it is likely a oversold rebound, and sustainability depends on trading volume.
Whether the volume can be sustained will determine how far this wave can go. Let’s keep an eye on it together.
#JCT
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A market check during a work break reveals: open interest rose 10.88% over $DOOD 15 minutes. Contract traders are piling in, while I'm patiently waiting.
Do you think this is a genuine breakout or just a temporary fluctuation?
#DOOD
A market check during a work break reveals: open interest rose 10.88% over $DOOD 15 minutes. Contract traders are piling in, while I'm patiently waiting.
Do you think this is a genuine breakout or just a temporary fluctuation?
#DOOD
Do you think this is a genuine breakout or just a temporary fluctuation?
#DOOD
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I care more about on-chain address activity; actions speak louder than words.
Current news: Binance will add trading for 4 Trade.Fi perpetual contracts.
Watch to see whether more channels repost this; the more it gets picked up, the more weight it carries.
$BNB 740.22
#BNB
I care more about on-chain address activity; actions speak louder than words.
Current news: Binance will add trading for 4 Trade.Fi perpetual contracts.
Watch to see whether more channels repost this; the more it gets picked up, the more weight it carries.
$BNB 740.22
#BNB
Current news: Binance will add trading for 4 Trade.Fi perpetual contracts.
Watch to see whether more channels repost this; the more it gets picked up, the more weight it carries.
$BNB 740.22
#BNB
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A friend just asked me: “Bitcoin falls below $80,000 as AI-related selling intensifies”—would you call that bullish or bearish?
My answer: It’s bearish directionally, but bearish doesn’t mean it’ll keep falling forever. Once the sentiment has run its course, things may actually turn around.
$BTC What do you think?
A friend just asked me: “Bitcoin falls below $80,000 as AI-related selling intensifies”—would you call that bullish or bearish?
My answer: It’s bearish directionally, but bearish doesn’t mean it’ll keep falling forever. Once the sentiment has run its course, things may actually turn around.
$BTC What do you think?
My answer: It’s bearish directionally, but bearish doesn’t mean it’ll keep falling forever. Once the sentiment has run its course, things may actually turn around.
$BTC What do you think?
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“KPL: Our Era” is trending, with a related asset: blockchain gaming → $SAND .
It’s more useful to see whether the discussion lasts for a few days than to focus on a brief spike in the rankings. If it were you, would you act now or wait a little longer?
“KPL: Our Era” is trending, with a related asset: blockchain gaming → $SAND .
It’s more useful to see whether the discussion lasts for a few days than to focus on a brief spike in the rankings. If it were you, would you act now or wait a little longer?
It’s more useful to see whether the discussion lasts for a few days than to focus on a brief spike in the rankings. If it were you, would you act now or wait a little longer?
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📌 An ancient Ethereum whale has moved ETH again after 11 years of dormancy; 1,500 ETH have flowed into exchanges.
Market data: $ETH 2317, 1h +0.76%, 24h -2.2%, 24h trading volume: $335 million.
The news is somewhat positive; let’s see whether the data backs it up.
📌 An ancient Ethereum whale has moved ETH again after 11 years of dormancy; 1,500 ETH have flowed into exchanges.
Market data: $ETH 2317, 1h +0.76%, 24h -2.2%, 24h trading volume: $335 million.
The news is somewhat positive; let’s see whether the data backs it up.
Market data: $ETH 2317, 1h +0.76%, 24h -2.2%, 24h trading volume: $335 million.
The news is somewhat positive; let’s see whether the data backs it up.
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$ERA breaks through the 0.09 level.
When I first got into the scene, I couldn’t understand why everyone focused on round-number levels. Over time, I came to see why: traders like to place orders and set stop-losses around round numbers, so orders cluster there and the battle near those levels gets more intense. Gradually, they become psychological thresholds.
Comparing several data points is more reliable than looking at just one, but even a greater number of indicators can’t provide a definitive answer.
$ERA breaks through the 0.09 level.
When I first got into the scene, I couldn’t understand why everyone focused on round-number levels. Over time, I came to see why: traders like to place orders and set stop-losses around round numbers, so orders cluster there and the battle near those levels gets more intense. Gradually, they become psychological thresholds.
Comparing several data points is more reliable than looking at just one, but even a greater number of indicators can’t provide a definitive answer.
When I first got into the scene, I couldn’t understand why everyone focused on round-number levels. Over time, I came to see why: traders like to place orders and set stop-losses around round numbers, so orders cluster there and the battle near those levels gets more intense. Gradually, they become psychological thresholds.
Comparing several data points is more reliable than looking at just one, but even a greater number of indicators can’t provide a definitive answer.
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🗞️ SOL fell below 100 USDT, down 2.38% over 24H
Analysts: Bearish—stay cautious.
Whales: Quietly ran the numbers.
Me: Hit bookmark, then scrolled to the next post.
$SOL Let's keep an eye on it for now. Follow for breaking news and more—this jokester will be here to chat first thing.
#SOL
🗞️ SOL fell below 100 USDT, down 2.38% over 24H
Analysts: Bearish—stay cautious.
Whales: Quietly ran the numbers.
Me: Hit bookmark, then scrolled to the next post.
$SOL Let's keep an eye on it for now. Follow for breaking news and more—this jokester will be here to chat first thing.
#SOL
Analysts: Bearish—stay cautious.
Whales: Quietly ran the numbers.
Me: Hit bookmark, then scrolled to the next post.
$SOL Let's keep an eye on it for now. Follow for breaking news and more—this jokester will be here to chat first thing.
#SOL
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【Breaking】Stock tokenization faces a crisis of confidence as a nonprofit organization publishes a full-page ad in the WSJ urging CEOs to pay attention to the risks
· The outlook is bearish. If you’re looking to buy the dip, wait for selling pressure to ease.
· Watch to see whether futures positioning becomes noticeably one-sided because of this in the next report.
· $BTC
【Breaking】Stock tokenization faces a crisis of confidence as a nonprofit organization publishes a full-page ad in the WSJ urging CEOs to pay attention to the risks
· The outlook is bearish. If you’re looking to buy the dip, wait for selling pressure to ease.
· Watch to see whether futures positioning becomes noticeably one-sided because of this in the next report.
· $BTC
· The outlook is bearish. If you’re looking to buy the dip, wait for selling pressure to ease.
· Watch to see whether futures positioning becomes noticeably one-sided because of this in the next report.
· $BTC
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🐋 $BMT broke through the 0.035 level.
A lot of orders tend to cluster around round-number levels, so let’s first talk about why key price levels matter.
A large number of stop-loss orders are often placed around these levels. Once the price breaks through, these stops can be triggered all at once, causing volatility to spike suddenly.
Unusual readings often come with greater volatility. At times like these, it’s better to reduce leverage rather than increase your position.
🐋 $BMT broke through the 0.035 level.
A lot of orders tend to cluster around round-number levels, so let’s first talk about why key price levels matter.
A large number of stop-loss orders are often placed around these levels. Once the price breaks through, these stops can be triggered all at once, causing volatility to spike suddenly.
Unusual readings often come with greater volatility. At times like these, it’s better to reduce leverage rather than increase your position.
A lot of orders tend to cluster around round-number levels, so let’s first talk about why key price levels matter.
A large number of stop-loss orders are often placed around these levels. Once the price breaks through, these stops can be triggered all at once, causing volatility to spike suddenly.
Unusual readings often come with greater volatility. At times like these, it’s better to reduce leverage rather than increase your position.
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Everyone online is sharing “International investment banks: The appeal of A-share valuations is beginning to emerge” 🔔
$BTC , affected by the stock market, is down 1.56% over 24h. Hot topics flare up and fade quickly—use them as leads, not as a basis for buying or selling.
Everyone online is sharing “International investment banks: The appeal of A-share valuations is beginning to emerge” 🔔
$BTC , affected by the stock market, is down 1.56% over 24h. Hot topics flare up and fade quickly—use them as leads, not as a basis for buying or selling.
$BTC , affected by the stock market, is down 1.56% over 24h. Hot topics flare up and fade quickly—use them as leads, not as a basis for buying or selling.
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Today's crypto routine: $JCT has fallen below the 0.006 mark.
Stay calm. Take your finger off the “sell at a loss” button, and have a sip of water first.
There’s no shame in setting a stop-loss; stubbornly holding on until you get liquidated is what really hurts.
Today's crypto routine: $JCT has fallen below the 0.006 mark.
Stay calm. Take your finger off the “sell at a loss” button, and have a sip of water first.
There’s no shame in setting a stop-loss; stubbornly holding on until you get liquidated is what really hurts.
Stay calm. Take your finger off the “sell at a loss” button, and have a sip of water first.
There’s no shame in setting a stop-loss; stubbornly holding on until you get liquidated is what really hurts.
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While killing time, I saw “Three major factors behind the drop in international gold prices” and my first reaction was to click on $PAXG .
Hot topics are just an excuse—don’t mistake them for a signal.
#PAXG
While killing time, I saw “Three major factors behind the drop in international gold prices” and my first reaction was to click on $PAXG .
Hot topics are just an excuse—don’t mistake them for a signal.
#PAXG
Hot topics are just an excuse—don’t mistake them for a signal.
#PAXG
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🚨 Trending topic: “How exactly did DeepSeek offend the US?”
Add $WLD from the AI concept sector to your watchlist first. Attention is a leading indicator; real money is the proof. Did you join in on this wave of discussion?
🚨 Trending topic: “How exactly did DeepSeek offend the US?”
Add $WLD from the AI concept sector to your watchlist first. Attention is a leading indicator; real money is the proof. Did you join in on this wave of discussion?
Add $WLD from the AI concept sector to your watchlist first. Attention is a leading indicator; real money is the proof. Did you join in on this wave of discussion?
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