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Proekt_73
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Proekt_73

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Мы в Twitter и др - @Proekt_73. Анализ крипторынка, новости, сделки с объяснением. Не даем финансовых рекомендаций, DYOR! Тупые комменты, "вангования" - бан
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ATTENTION, COPYISTS who, together with us, were building a spot portfolio in October 2025ATTENTION, COPYISTS who, together with us, were building a spot portfolio in October 2025. We waited a long time for the opportunity to prepare this post [https://www.binance.com/copy-trading/lead-details/4725495168516894721?ref=45164596](https://www.binance.com/copy-trading/lead-details/4725495168516894721?ref=45164596). In our chat for copyists, we already received information about an important signal that we are now monitoring for ADDING to this portfolio.

ATTENTION, COPYISTS who, together with us, were building a spot portfolio in October 2025

ATTENTION, COPYISTS who, together with us, were building a spot portfolio in October 2025. We waited a long time for the opportunity to prepare this post
https://www.binance.com/copy-trading/lead-details/4725495168516894721?ref=45164596.
In our chat for copyists, we already received information about an important signal that we are now monitoring for ADDING to this portfolio.
Article
On US labor market bullish data, BTC reacted with a drop of 2.4% from the highOn US labor market bullish data, BTC reacted with a drop of 2.4% from the high. A disappointing picture for those who like trading events and macro data. On the chart, there’s a great fulfillment of the potential high marks from our indicator on the 3- and 4-hour timeframes (by now, a mark has also appeared on the 5-hour timeframe, by the way).

On US labor market bullish data, BTC reacted with a drop of 2.4% from the high

On US labor market bullish data, BTC reacted with a drop of 2.4% from the high. A disappointing picture for those who like trading events and macro data. On the chart, there’s a great fulfillment of the potential high marks from our indicator on the 3- and 4-hour timeframes (by now, a mark has also appeared on the 5-hour timeframe, by the way).
Article
This night, for the first time since early August, ZEC has shifted into a sustained downtrend on the 12- and 18-hour timeframesThis night, for the first time since early August, ZEC has shifted into a sustained downtrend on the 12- and 18-hour timeframes. That looks quite unusual against the backdrop of a buoyant market. NOT at all unusual, considering our earlier higher-timeframe analysis of the asset, which we did on September 19. First, a brief reminder, and at the end — a new breakdown. Spoiler: we’re waiting for a noticeable bounce, and then — further down.

This night, for the first time since early August, ZEC has shifted into a sustained downtrend on the 12- and 18-hour timeframes

This night, for the first time since early August, ZEC has shifted into a sustained downtrend on the 12- and 18-hour timeframes. That looks quite unusual against the backdrop of a buoyant market.
NOT at all unusual, considering our earlier higher-timeframe analysis of the asset, which we did on September 19.
First, a brief reminder, and at the end — a new breakdown. Spoiler: we’re waiting for a noticeable bounce, and then — further down.
Article
The probability of a U.S. Federal Reserve interest-rate hike has fallen to 16.1%The probability of a U.S. Federal Reserve interest-rate hike has fallen to 16.1%. According to #CMEGroup, 83.9% of market participants are betting on a pause. And this despite the fact that at the beginning of the week more than 65% of players in the market were still expecting an interest-rate hike. As a result, first these expectations significantly weakened the favorable Personal Consumption Expenditure Indexes, and today market-labor data has "sealed the deal".

The probability of a U.S. Federal Reserve interest-rate hike has fallen to 16.1%

The probability of a U.S. Federal Reserve interest-rate hike has fallen to 16.1%. According to #CMEGroup, 83.9% of market participants are betting on a pause.
And this despite the fact that at the beginning of the week more than 65% of players in the market were still expecting an interest-rate hike. As a result, first these expectations significantly weakened the favorable Personal Consumption Expenditure Indexes, and today market-labor data has "sealed the deal".
Verified
Article
New US macro data: the US labor market has cooled sharplyNew US macro data: the US labor market has cooled sharply. The September report came in noticeably below expectations across almost all key indicators: - NFP (employment in the non-farm sector): +29K (!) versus forecast of +89K and prior figure of +133K. - Unemployment rate: 4.2% versus forecast of 4.1% and prior figure of 4.1%.

New US macro data: the US labor market has cooled sharply

New US macro data: the US labor market has cooled sharply.
The September report came in noticeably below expectations across almost all key indicators:
- NFP (employment in the non-farm sector): +29K (!) versus forecast of +89K and prior figure of +133K.
- Unemployment rate: 4.2% versus forecast of 4.1% and prior figure of 4.1%.
Article
The Ukrainian Bureau of Economic Security attacked a large network of crypto exchangersThe Ukrainian Bureau of Economic Security attacked a large network of crypto exchangers. During more than 30 searches in 16 regions of Ukraine, law enforcement officers seized cash in different currencies totaling more than 630 million hryvnias in the hryvnia equivalent. 14 million in US dollars. The operation was carried out jointly with the Office of the Prosecutor General.

The Ukrainian Bureau of Economic Security attacked a large network of crypto exchangers

The Ukrainian Bureau of Economic Security attacked a large network of crypto exchangers. During more than 30 searches in 16 regions of Ukraine, law enforcement officers seized cash in different currencies totaling more than 630 million hryvnias in the hryvnia equivalent. 14 million in US dollars. The operation was carried out jointly with the Office of the Prosecutor General.
Article
Important events for the crypto market on October 2 from the economic calendarImportant events for the crypto market on October 2 from the economic calendar. We’re expecting higher volatility. It could even be greater than what we saw in the data on U.S. personal consumption prices on September 30. The key question right now is which direction it will go. Trends are pointing upward, while the record-high markers suggest a potential decline right as the data is released.

Important events for the crypto market on October 2 from the economic calendar

Important events for the crypto market on October 2 from the economic calendar.
We’re expecting higher volatility. It could even be greater than what we saw in the data on U.S. personal consumption prices on September 30. The key question right now is which direction it will go. Trends are pointing upward, while the record-high markers suggest a potential decline right as the data is released.
Article
BTC showed a new bullish impulse todayBTC showed a new bullish impulse today. The concerns for the bears expressed yesterday in the morning, during the day, and at night have been justified. The price has resumed steady uptrends on the 3-, 4-, and 5-hour timeframes. In this way, it offset the two main confirmations for the start of the correction, which appeared back on September 24. The targets of the new uptrends are shown in the screenshots. The furthest base target is $87,939 on the 4-hour timeframe. Additional targets are up to $90,693. In other words, here the outlook is for a retest of the September 21 maximum and the removal of liquidity.

BTC showed a new bullish impulse today

BTC showed a new bullish impulse today. The concerns for the bears expressed yesterday in the morning, during the day, and at night have been justified.
The price has resumed steady uptrends on the 3-, 4-, and 5-hour timeframes. In this way, it offset the two main confirmations for the start of the correction, which appeared back on September 24. The targets of the new uptrends are shown in the screenshots. The furthest base target is $87,939 on the 4-hour timeframe. Additional targets are up to $90,693. In other words, here the outlook is for a retest of the September 21 maximum and the removal of liquidity.
Article
Glassnode noted that large BTC sell orders above $85,000 have disappeared.Glassnode noted that large BTC sell orders above $85,000 have disappeared. Binance BTCUSDT limit order heatmap shows that buyers cleared a large sell wall around $85,000 after nearly a week of unsuccessful attempts. After that, part of the notable sell orders above the price was removed, and the bid-minus-ask depth metric (a market imbalance indicator that measures the difference between the total volume of buy orders (Bid) and sell orders (Ask)) became positive by the end of the period.

Glassnode noted that large BTC sell orders above $85,000 have disappeared.

Glassnode noted that large BTC sell orders above $85,000 have disappeared.
Binance BTCUSDT limit order heatmap shows that buyers cleared a large sell wall around $85,000 after nearly a week of unsuccessful attempts. After that, part of the notable sell orders above the price was removed, and the bid-minus-ask depth metric (a market imbalance indicator that measures the difference between the total volume of buy orders (Bid) and sell orders (Ask)) became positive by the end of the period.
Article
Serious "bell" for a new BTC all-time high—our indicator shows it againA serious "bell" for a new BTC all-time high again confirms our indicator. A steady uptrend on the 2.5-hour timeframe, with baseline targets at $85,176, $85,886, and $86,596. The potential breakdown level is $83,400. These targets are not yet a new high—above the maximum of September 21, $87,395—but more important is this: - Additional targets come quite tightly up to $90,658.

Serious "bell" for a new BTC all-time high—our indicator shows it again

A serious "bell" for a new BTC all-time high again confirms our indicator. A steady uptrend on the 2.5-hour timeframe, with baseline targets at $85,176, $85,886, and $86,596. The potential breakdown level is $83,400.
These targets are not yet a new high—above the maximum of September 21, $87,395—but more important is this:
- Additional targets come quite tightly up to $90,658.
Article
BNB: a technical snapshot in the moment, social sentiment, and plans for the asset.BNB: a technical snapshot in the moment, social sentiment, and plans for the asset. Alphractal notes that BNB is losing attention on social media despite the price recovering. The analytics platform draws attention to the significant divergence. The Social Contributors Active metric from #Alphractal shows the number of active crypto influencers and authors who discuss BNB on social media. The trend has noticeably worsened.

BNB: a technical snapshot in the moment, social sentiment, and plans for the asset.

BNB: a technical snapshot in the moment, social sentiment, and plans for the asset.
Alphractal notes that BNB is losing attention on social media despite the price recovering. The analytics platform draws attention to the significant divergence.
The Social Contributors Active metric from #Alphractal shows the number of active crypto influencers and authors who discuss BNB on social media. The trend has noticeably worsened.
CryptoRank: BTC posted its best third quarter since 2017. In July–September 2026, the price of #BTC ended up rising by as much as 42.6%. The last time a third quarter was stronger was nine years ago: in Q3 2017, growth was 74.1%. Of course, that was a completely different time with different numbers. This recovery came after two consecutive losing quarters: - Q1 2026: -22.1%; - Q2 2026: -14.1%. The rise in Q3 made up for most of the previous drop, BUT it still hasn’t brought BTC back into positive territory year-to-date. Let’s remind you that the start of 2026 found active trades at a price above $90,000. There was no bullish engulfing of the early-2026 drop. Still, we believe the market has already turned bullish. This is because our indicator showed the return of a sustained uptrend on the weekly timeframe. If, by the end of Q4, the bulls can bring BTC back into a sustained uptrend on the 2-week timeframe as well, then all the bears with failed shorts and a lack of liquidity will have to get drips. We show clearly why, using the example of the previous two bull markets. But the path to this signal, we believe, won’t be easy and, in places, will be bloody.
CryptoRank: BTC posted its best third quarter since 2017.

In July–September 2026, the price of #BTC ended up rising by as much as 42.6%. The last time a third quarter was stronger was nine years ago: in Q3 2017, growth was 74.1%. Of course, that was a completely different time with different numbers.

This recovery came after two consecutive losing quarters:

- Q1 2026: -22.1%;
- Q2 2026: -14.1%.

The rise in Q3 made up for most of the previous drop, BUT it still hasn’t brought BTC back into positive territory year-to-date. Let’s remind you that the start of 2026 found active trades at a price above $90,000.

There was no bullish engulfing of the early-2026 drop. Still, we believe the market has already turned bullish. This is because our indicator showed the return of a sustained uptrend on the weekly timeframe.

If, by the end of Q4, the bulls can bring BTC back into a sustained uptrend on the 2-week timeframe as well, then all the bears with failed shorts and a lack of liquidity will have to get drips. We show clearly why, using the example of the previous two bull markets.

But the path to this signal, we believe, won’t be easy and, in places, will be bloody.
Partly True
Article
Important events for the crypto market on October 1 from the economic calendar. Important events for the crypto market on October 1 from the economic calendar. Today is Thursday, which means that the schedule includes the traditional unemployment benefits reports for the United States and the Fed balance sheet. But today, a number of economic indices for the States will also be released, which can likewise cause increased volatility in the moment.

Important events for the crypto market on October 1 from the economic calendar.

Important events for the crypto market on October 1 from the economic calendar.
Today is Thursday, which means that the schedule includes the traditional unemployment benefits reports for the United States and the Fed balance sheet. But today, a number of economic indices for the States will also be released, which can likewise cause increased volatility in the moment.
Article
BTC consolidates below $84,000, and all attempts to recover today are being rebuffed by sellersBTC consolidates below $84,000, and all attempts to recover today are being rebuffed by sellers. Moreover, aggressively so, which is clearly visible on the 5-minute timeframe. Nevertheless, the price is still holding a sustained uptrend on the 1-hour and 2-hour timeframes obtained yesterday. As long as it isn’t absorbed by selling, the move to new lows remains in question. Since September 28, the chart is still within the structure of rising highs and lows.

BTC consolidates below $84,000, and all attempts to recover today are being rebuffed by sellers

BTC consolidates below $84,000, and all attempts to recover today are being rebuffed by sellers. Moreover, aggressively so, which is clearly visible on the 5-minute timeframe.
Nevertheless, the price is still holding a sustained uptrend on the 1-hour and 2-hour timeframes obtained yesterday. As long as it isn’t absorbed by selling, the move to new lows remains in question. Since September 28, the chart is still within the structure of rising highs and lows.
Article
With new US macro data, the BTC price at the moment showed growth above $85,000With new US macro data, the BTC price at the moment showed growth above $85,000. And it’s even getting close to $86,000. The situation is that if the price holds at its current level or even continues to rise over the next 2 hours, it will mean a return to a stable uptrend on the 3-hour timeframe. And the need to cover the last fraction of the short position being accumulated. Once again.

With new US macro data, the BTC price at the moment showed growth above $85,000

With new US macro data, the BTC price at the moment showed growth above $85,000. And it’s even getting close to $86,000.
The situation is that if the price holds at its current level or even continues to rise over the next 2 hours, it will mean a return to a stable uptrend on the 3-hour timeframe. And the need to cover the last fraction of the short position being accumulated. Once again.
Article
The BTCUSDSHORTS metric provides the probability of a drop in short pressure over the next three daysThe BTCUSDSHORTS metric provides the probability of a drop in short pressure over the next three days. On the daily timeframe of the chart, a mark appeared for a potential high from our indicator. The last time such markers appeared was on August 18, June 24, and April 18. We show on the #BTC price chart these dates and the move after such signals. These are not signals of “only up from now on,” but overall, taking the trend into account, the probability of going up is not small and it’s worth considering.

The BTCUSDSHORTS metric provides the probability of a drop in short pressure over the next three days

The BTCUSDSHORTS metric provides the probability of a drop in short pressure over the next three days. On the daily timeframe of the chart, a mark appeared for a potential high from our indicator.
The last time such markers appeared was on August 18, June 24, and April 18. We show on the #BTC price chart these dates and the move after such signals. These are not signals of “only up from now on,” but overall, taking the trend into account, the probability of going up is not small and it’s worth considering.
Verified
Article
Important for the crypto market events on September 30 from the economic calendar. Important for the crypto market events on September 30 from the economic calendar. Today is the second most important day of the week. The markets can quite easily be shaken up—and badly. Ahead is a large block of macroeconomic data from the United States, where the key role is played by the personal consumption expenditure indices. This is the very inflation that the Fed is trying to bring to its 2% target—and still can’t.

Important for the crypto market events on September 30 from the economic calendar.

Important for the crypto market events on September 30 from the economic calendar.
Today is the second most important day of the week. The markets can quite easily be shaken up—and badly. Ahead is a large block of macroeconomic data from the United States, where the key role is played by the personal consumption expenditure indices. This is the very inflation that the Fed is trying to bring to its 2% target—and still can’t.
Article
BTC’s inability to break above $84,542 led to a noticeable price pullback to the $83,000 level.BTC’s inability to break above $84,542 led to a noticeable price pullback to the $83,000 level. As anticipated, unable to break above this level, the price began absorbing the entire morning pullback. And as of now, it has reached another liquidity zone on the 5-minute timeframe, already below — $82,889–$82,949.

BTC’s inability to break above $84,542 led to a noticeable price pullback to the $83,000 level.

BTC’s inability to break above $84,542 led to a noticeable price pullback to the $83,000 level.
As anticipated, unable to break above this level, the price began absorbing the entire morning pullback. And as of now, it has reached another liquidity zone on the 5-minute timeframe, already below — $82,889–$82,949.
Article
For BTC, everything for us today comes down to one single level, $84,542For BTC, everything for us today comes down to one single level, $84,542. IF the price absorbs it at least on a 5-minute timeframe, this will open the way for a continuation of the uptrend. IF not, then the lively rebound that started this morning could end. On the 5-minute timeframe, it’s visible that for now—and for the past couple of hours—the rise in #BTC is being held back by a liquidity zone at $84,291–$84,542. So far, every time the zone is tested, the price gets a reaction from sellers. But the more often the zone is tested, the higher the probability of a breakout. Right now on this timeframe there are two marks for a potential low. And you can expect a third attempt by buyers to break the zone.

For BTC, everything for us today comes down to one single level, $84,542

For BTC, everything for us today comes down to one single level, $84,542. IF the price absorbs it at least on a 5-minute timeframe, this will open the way for a continuation of the uptrend. IF not, then the lively rebound that started this morning could end.
On the 5-minute timeframe, it’s visible that for now—and for the past couple of hours—the rise in #BTC is being held back by a liquidity zone at $84,291–$84,542. So far, every time the zone is tested, the price gets a reaction from sellers. But the more often the zone is tested, the higher the probability of a breakout. Right now on this timeframe there are two marks for a potential low. And you can expect a third attempt by buyers to break the zone.
Partly True
Important events for the crypto market on September 29 from the economic calendar. Today, markets are primarily waiting for job openings data from the U.S. labor market. Many speeches by FOMC representatives are scheduled during the day, but they rarely caused increased volatility even when Powell spoke. And with Waller, who is not inclined to hint at the regulator’s future decisions through public statements, even more so. Schedule: - 14:00 Kyiv and Moscow time / 16:00 Astana time — Lagarde will give a speech again. ❗️- 17:00 Kyiv and Moscow time / 19:00 Astana time — Number of open job vacancies in the U.S. labor market JOLTS for August. - 17:00 Kyiv and Moscow time / 19:00 Astana time — CB consumer confidence index in the U.S. for September. Important for assessing the resilience of consumer activity. - 18:00 Kyiv and Moscow time / 20:00 Astana time — Speech by FOMC member Bowman. - 19:40 Kyiv and Moscow time / 21:40 Astana time — Speech by the Fed’s Vice Chair for Supervision, Barr. - 21:00 Kyiv and Moscow time / 23:00 Astana time — Speech by FOMC member Williams. - 22:00 Kyiv and Moscow time / 00:00 the next day in Astana — Speech by Waller from the Fed.
Important events for the crypto market on September 29 from the economic calendar.

Today, markets are primarily waiting for job openings data from the U.S. labor market. Many speeches by FOMC representatives are scheduled during the day, but they rarely caused increased volatility even when Powell spoke. And with Waller, who is not inclined to hint at the regulator’s future decisions through public statements, even more so.

Schedule:

- 14:00 Kyiv and Moscow time / 16:00 Astana time — Lagarde will give a speech again.
❗️- 17:00 Kyiv and Moscow time / 19:00 Astana time — Number of open job vacancies in the U.S. labor market JOLTS for August.
- 17:00 Kyiv and Moscow time / 19:00 Astana time — CB consumer confidence index in the U.S. for September. Important for assessing the resilience of consumer activity.
- 18:00 Kyiv and Moscow time / 20:00 Astana time — Speech by FOMC member Bowman.
- 19:40 Kyiv and Moscow time / 21:40 Astana time — Speech by the Fed’s Vice Chair for Supervision, Barr.
- 21:00 Kyiv and Moscow time / 23:00 Astana time — Speech by FOMC member Williams.
- 22:00 Kyiv and Moscow time / 00:00 the next day in Astana — Speech by Waller from the Fed.
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